EURUSD hit the bottom of the Channel Down.The EURUSD pair hit yesterday the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down that started after the July 27 High. As the 4H MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross, this emerges technically as a buy opportunity on the short-term.
Our target is 1.0850, just below the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, marginally below a projected +1.42% price range, which was the lowest so far rebound within this pattern.
The 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is the short-term Resistance while the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) the long-term Support, where closing below restores the bearish trend for more months to come.
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Eur-usd
EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.08000 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.08000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD: Direct Higher Low on the Channel's bottom. Buy signal.EURUSD made a direct hit at the bottom of the long term Channel Up pattern. This is a Higher Low on the upward sequence and the slightly red 1D technicals (RSI = 39.887, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 31.250) historically indicate within this pattern that this is the lowest risk buy entry.
In addition, the 1D RSI made the Higher Lows pattern on the S1 zone, which is consistent with the Channel bottoms of May 31st and March 8th. We have a buy position now, aiming at a +5.50% extension (TP = 1.13600).
Prior idea:
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EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.08150 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently we are waiting for a correction in order to see a potential retrace of the trend towards more lows.
Trade safe, Joe/
EURUSD before NFPYesterday EURUSD pulled back from the resistance followed by over 100 pips drop.
US jobs data is coming today.
The news is one of the most important for the USD and expect a reaction.
We’re watching for continuous of the downside move and heading towards the low at 1,0760.
Upon a breakout the next key support levels are 1,0700 and 1,0647.
EUR/USD - JUST A CORRECTION?
The price unfolds as previously forecasted.
Currently we finished 5 subwaves in the upside that formed the corrective Wave A, as part of the Wave 4 from the bigger 5 Waves on the downside now.
We will expect the corrective Wave 4 to continue to unfold, before we can say for sure that the Wave 5 impulse started on the downside!
See the chart for a more clear idea of what I'm talking about. Thank you!
From a fundamental perspective, there are a number of factors that are weighing on the euro. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates low for the foreseeable future, which makes the euro less attractive to investors. Additionally, the eurozone economy is facing headwinds from the ongoing war in Ukraine and rising inflation.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is trading below the 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also trading below the support level of 1.0832. If the pair breaks below this level, it could decline to the next support level of 1.0609.
However, there are some technical indicators that suggest that the EUR/USD pair could be bottoming out. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching oversold levels, and the stochastic oscillator is crossing over from oversold territory. This suggests that the pair could be due for a rebound.
Overall, the EUR/USD exchange rate is facing a number of headwinds from a fundamental perspective. However, there are some technical indicators that suggest that the pair could be bottoming out. Traders should closely monitor the price action in the coming days to see if the pair can break out of the current downtrend.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents only my personal thoughts and knowledge at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
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EURUSD 1st hit on the 1D MA200 after 9 months! BUY!!The EURUSD pair finally hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 9 months (since November 30 2022). That is a direct hit at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2023 Channel Up, which is so far holding. Perhaps the strongest buy signal that we could see also emerged, as the 1D RSI hit the 33.00 Support, which formed the bottoms of May 31 and February 24.
Based on all the above dynamics, this is the strongest buy opportunity on EURUSD on a 3 month horizon. It will be confirmed after it closes above the 4H MA200 (green trend-line) but the Risk/ Reward ratio is good enough for a buy entry now. Our first Target is the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level at 1.13000 and second the 1.14000 (would complete a +6.00% rise from the current bottom level).
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EURUSD Key levels pivotal as NFP nears The 4-hour chart on the EUR/USD displays a possible bearish bias, but there are some indications of consolidation after the small rebound observed on Friday. At present, the price is lingering around the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). To improve its bullish outlook, it would be necessary for the Euro to hit 1.0840 and for other technical indicators (that have shifted away from their bearish inclination) to remain in its favor.
The attention is now directed towards upcoming employment and inflation data. The JOLTS Job Openings report is scheduled for release on Tuesday, followed by the ADP survey on private job creation, in anticipation of the Nonfarm Payrolls report to be unveiled on Friday. In the realm of European data, emphasis is also placed on inflation reports. Commencing Wednesday, Eurozone nations will commence the release of preliminary August Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Additionally, on Tuesday, the German Gfk Consumer Confidence survey is set to be published.
If there is a weekly closure in proximity to the current levels after the US jobs reports, it might embolden sellers in the next week, potentially opening the price zone around 1.0733. In the meantime, resistance could potentially be encountered at levels 1.0840 and 1.0910.
EURUSD - Short trade FX:EURUSD
Based on swing trade idea, using Fibs on daily TF, I see an opportunity to short this pair using fibs level and price action, swing high and swing low on higher time frames.
Also EMA 200-100-50-20 indicate a strong downtrend
Current short move started from around 1.126 where EUR/USD finds the resistance level
Last 3 highs and lows create an rising channel but overall the pair is bearish and if we move to Monthly TF can observe better the area were we are, testing the previous support that becomes resistance for current move.
EURUSD...DT (2D)⚠️ TREND
— Momentum: Big Picture Uptrend
— Price Action: Downtrend Retracement
— CounterTrend: YES (moderate risk trade)
TEHNICAL ANALYSIS
—The price is currently trading below the 50-day moving average (MA), which is a bearish signal.
—The MACD indicator is also bearish, with the MACD line below the signal line.
—The RSI indicator is neutral, with a reading of 50.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Bullish Factors
— The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates low, which will make the euro more attractive to investors.
— The eurozone economy is expected to grow at a faster pace than the US economy in the coming quarters.
— The eurozone is a net exporter of goods and services, which will benefit from the stronger global economy.
Bearish Factors
— The US dollar is strengthening against most other currencies, which could weigh on the euro.
— The US economy is expected to grow at a faster pace than the eurozone economy in the coming quarters.
— The US Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates more aggressively than the ECB, which could make the dollar more attractive to investors.
EURUSD Bullish Trade IdeaThis expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I don't just execute based on these levels, I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- WYCKOFF
- ETC
EURUSD Time to turn bullish again.The EURUSD pair has almost hit the sell target that we set on last week's analysis (see chart below):
This is an update to that idea as the price is now not only approaching the bottom of the 9 month Channel Up but also the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), having the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance.
Being only a few pips before completing the -4.11% decline of the previous Lower Low correction in May, it is worth booking any sell profit and turn bullish again for the long-term. If you want to wait some more however, the last buy condition will be fulfilled when/ if the 1D RSI hits the 33.00 Support, where it rebounded on both the May 31 and February 24 lows.
As far as our target is concerned, we aim at the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level - Internal Higher Highs Zone at 1.14000. That would also complete +5.50% rise, similar to April's Higher High.
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