EURUSD Once in a year buy opportunity about to run out.Last week (November 25, see chart below) we gave an ultimate buy call on the EURUSD pair as the price pierced through the 1.5 year Channel Down and immediately rebounded:
As you can see, that was the absolute bottom of the pattern, its technical Lower Low, which happened last time more than 1 year ago, on October 03 2023. The 1-week rally that followed is on a pull-back today as the new week opened and based on the previous two Lower Lows, this might be the final one, i.e. the last buy opportunity we will get before multi-week rally.
More specifically and as far as the October 2023 bottom is concerned, we are on the 1W RSI rebound similar to the week of October 23 2023. At the same time, this matches being on the 1W MACD's 2nd straight pink histogram bar. This indicates that this could be the last red week before the rally.
Our Target remains intact at 1.08765, exactly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (similar to the November 2023 Fib test).
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Eur-usd
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0662
1st Support: 1.0496
1st Resistance: 1.0776
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Gains 1.55% This Week Amid Weak US DataEUR/USD Gains 1.55% This Week Amid Weak US Data
The EUR/USD pair strengthened by approximately 1.55% this week, driven by better-than-expected data from the eurozone and disappointing economic reports from the US. Despite this recovery, the long-term outlook remains uncertain, especially as the economic divergence between the two regions continues to weigh on market sentiment.
US Data Falls Short of Expectations
A series of weaker-than-expected US economic indicators pressured the dollar this week:
- **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2.
- **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4.
- **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M.
- **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10.
- **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast.
- **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market.
- **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing.
These data points fueled concerns about slower economic activity in the US, prompting a sell-off in the dollar and supporting EUR/USD gains.
Eurozone Data Provides Modest Support
The eurozone provided some relief for EUR/USD with slightly better-than-expected results:
- **Economic Sentiment (Nov):** Rose to 95.8, exceeding the forecast of 95.1, signaling marginal improvement in business and consumer confidence.
While the euro benefitted from these figures, the broader macroeconomic picture in the eurozone remains weak.
Comparative Economic Outlook
The US economy continues to outshine the eurozone across several key metrics:
| Metric | US | Eurozone |
|-----------------------|----------------------|---------------------|
| **GDP Growth Rate** | 2.70% | 0.90% |
| **Unemployment Rate** | 4.10% | 6.30% |
| **Inflation Rate** | 2.60% | 2.30% |
| **Interest Rate** | 4.75% | 3.40% |
| **Manufacturing PMI** | 56.00 | 45.20 |
| **Services PMI** | 57.00 | 49.20 |
While the eurozone showed some resilience this week, its lower growth rate, higher unemployment, and weaker PMIs highlight the underlying economic challenges.
Outlook for EUR/USD
Despite this week’s gains, the outlook for EUR/USD remains bearish in the long term. If eurozone economic data continues to underperform, the European Central Bank (ECB) may face pressure to implement faster and deeper rate cuts. Conversely, the US appears to be on a stable path toward a "soft landing," supported by strong labor markets and robust economic growth.
Conclusion
While EUR/USD benefitted from weaker US data this week, the pair's long-term direction depends on the relative strength of economic fundamentals between the eurozone and the US. The euro remains vulnerable, especially if eurozone data disappoints further and the ECB accelerates its monetary easing.
Will EUR/USD sustain its gains, or is a reversal imminent? Share your thoughts in the comments!
EUR/USD Gains 1.55% This Week Amid Weak US DataEUR/USD Gains 1.55% This Week Amid Weak US Data
The EUR/USD pair strengthened by approximately 1.55% this week, driven by better-than-expected data from the eurozone and disappointing economic reports from the US. Despite this recovery, the long-term outlook remains uncertain, especially as the economic divergence between the two regions continues to weigh on market sentiment.
US Data Falls Short of Expectations
A series of weaker-than-expected US economic indicators pressured the dollar this week:
- **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2.
- **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4.
- **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M.
- **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10.
- **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast.
- **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market.
- **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing.
These data points fueled concerns about slower economic activity in the US, prompting a sell-off in the dollar and supporting EUR/USD gains.
Eurozone Data Provides Modest Support
The eurozone provided some relief for EUR/USD with slightly better-than-expected results:
- **Economic Sentiment (Nov):** Rose to 95.8, exceeding the forecast of 95.1, signaling marginal improvement in business and consumer confidence.
While the euro benefitted from these figures, the broader macroeconomic picture in the eurozone remains weak.
Comparative Economic Outlook
The US economy continues to outshine the eurozone across several key metrics:
| Metric | US | Eurozone |
|-----------------------|----------------------|---------------------|
| **GDP Growth Rate** | 2.70% | 0.90% |
| **Unemployment Rate** | 4.10% | 6.30% |
| **Inflation Rate** | 2.60% | 2.30% |
| **Interest Rate** | 4.75% | 3.40% |
| **Manufacturing PMI** | 56.00 | 45.20 |
| **Services PMI** | 57.00 | 49.20 |
While the eurozone showed some resilience this week, its lower growth rate, higher unemployment, and weaker PMIs highlight the underlying economic challenges.
Outlook for EUR/USD
Despite this week’s gains, the outlook for EUR/USD remains bearish in the long term. If eurozone economic data continues to underperform, the European Central Bank (ECB) may face pressure to implement faster and deeper rate cuts. Conversely, the US appears to be on a stable path toward a "soft landing," supported by strong labor markets and robust economic growth.
Conclusion
While EUR/USD benefitted from weaker US data this week, the pair's long-term direction depends on the relative strength of economic fundamentals between the eurozone and the US. The euro remains vulnerable, especially if eurozone data disappoints further and the ECB accelerates its monetary easing.
Will EUR/USD sustain its gains, or is a reversal imminent? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Overlap resistance ahead?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0604
1st Support: 1.0452
1st Resistance: 1.0705
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0519
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0453
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0657
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD broke out and is targeting the 4hour MA200.EURUSD confirmed a bullish break out after crossing over the 4hour MA50.
The emerging Channel Up turned the MA50 into the Support that is expected to extend the bullish trend.
The last time this happened was on October 29th and the uptrend extended all the way near the 4hour MA200 and hit the 2.0 Fib.
The RSI fractals are identical.
Buy and target 1.06700.
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EURUSD, higher to lower time frame breakdownGreetings, traders! Welcome to this EURUSD market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
If you like the breakdown, boost the idea and follow to receive more ideas.
Trade safely
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0604
1st Support: 1.0452
1st Resistance: 1.0705
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.05100 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.05100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Today's 1D Death Cross turning into a 3 month rally!The EURUSD pair is having a strong bullish reversal after marginally breaking on Friday below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Down. The 1W RSI got marginally oversold (below 30.00), which is a technical buy level.
So far it is similar to the October 03 2023 bottom, which was formed on a 1D Death Cross, exactly the kind of pattern that is being completed today! That bottom initiated a strong 3-month rally that hit the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level respectively. Our long-term Target is 1.08765 (Fib 0.618).
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Bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0519
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracememnt.
Stop loss: 1.0959
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0337
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
I'M BACK | EUR/USD
Good evening and/or good morning to everyone! 🌅🌙 It all depends on when you read this article. I know what you're already thinking... "What happened to the articles?" Well, that's not for me to answer! 😅
What I predicted has indeed come true, but as I mentioned earlier, it’s out of my hands. That said, let’s cut to the chase.
First of all, I need your support! 🙌 Leave a boost, hit follow , and drop a comment to help me continue publishing. Now, let’s dive into our analysis. 🧐
EUR/USD: What’s happening? 💱
Well, my friend, Trump’s election has made its mark, and I think the results are clear to everyone. But be careful! 🤔 Do you really think it’s us who are losing? No, my friend! The recession will happen, but it won’t be for the euro—it will hit the dollar. 💸
Give things time to unfold, and remember this article... and your loyal friend, PipGuard. 😉 Don’t let yourself be fooled by the price! Doing this job requires an analytical mind, but it’s even more crucial to stop asking "why" for every market move. Trust me, that’s my golden rule! 😊
Technical Analysis: What can we expect?
📉 The EUR/USD price is in a sharp downtrend. However, we can expect:
1️⃣ A correction in the short term.
2️⃣ A potential reversal in the medium/long term.
The study you see here was conducted on a weekly and 24-hour chart to give you a clear price direction and highlight key levels of interest. 🗺️
Current situation:
- The price is trading below the bullish resistance at 1.05300. 🚧
As long as the price remains below this level, the trend stays bearish.
👉 Important note: If the price doesn’t fully close (with the entire candle body) above this resistance, it will act as a support for bearish traders. I’ve clarified this to help you avoid confusion! 😉
- We also observe that the price reacted to the bearish resistance , now acting as a bullish support , located at 1.03880.
At this level, the price generated a spike but didn’t close fully, which confirms the strength of this area. 💪
Order Block and next moves:
- The price has touched but hasn’t yet mitigated our bullish order block (OB), which ranges from 1.03200 to 1.02500.
Within this range, we can look for a bullish impulse. 🚀
This move could happen:
- At the liquidity grab around 1.02900.
- Or upon touching the support/bearish level at 1.02515.
If, instead, the price continues to drop after a correction, don’t worry! 💡 Your friend PipGuard has you covered for this scenario too.
We have a weekly Fibonacci retracement ranging from 1.02100 to 0.99730, with significant liquidity between 1.01610 and 1.00890. 📊
I hope this analysis has been helpful to you! 😊
Once again, I ask you to support me with a boost, a comment , and a follow so you don’t miss future updates.
Wishing you good luck and a fantastic day/evening! ☀️🌙
Best regards,
PipGuard. 💼
EUR/USD: Euro Weakens as the US Dollar Gains StrengthEUR/USD: Euro Weakens as the US Dollar Gains Strength
The EUR/USD pair continued to decline last week, losing 2.8%. This marks another week of euro weakness, driven by poor economic data from the eurozone and strong US indicators that underscore the resilience of the American economy and reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Strong US Data Bolsters the Dollar
Key economic data from the US reinforced the dollar’s strength, reflecting the underlying robustness of its economy:
- Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): Reported at 213K, outperforming the 220K forecast, indicating a stable US labor market.
- S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Came in at 57.0, significantly above the 55.2 expectation, highlighting strong activity in the US services sector.
These figures diminish the likelihood of imminent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, maintaining the dollar’s attractiveness to investors.
Weak Eurozone Data Pressures the Euro
On the other hand, disappointing data from the eurozone added considerable pressure on the euro:
- HCOB Composite PMI Flash (Nov.): Dropped to 48.1 (below the 50 threshold indicating contraction), missing the forecast of 50.
- HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash (Nov.): Fell to 45.2, underperforming the expected 46.
- HCOB Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Declined to 49.2, well below the 51.6 forecast.
The eurozone’s sluggish growth, coupled with inflation stabilizing around 2%, makes a strong case for the European Central Bank (ECB) to accelerate rate cuts. With eurozone rates at 3.4% compared to 4.75% in the US, the dollar’s yield advantage makes it more appealing to investors.
Policy Divergence and Trade Risks
The divergence in monetary policy between the US and the eurozone is a significant driver of EUR/USD’s weakness. While the ECB seems poised to continue cutting rates, the Federal Reserve may slow its actions or even pause. Further boosting the dollar is the potential for future President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods, which could strengthen the US economy and delay rate cuts.
Seasonality: A Possible Lifeline for EUR/USD
Despite the euro’s bearish outlook, seasonality could offer some support to EUR/USD. Historically, December has often been a favorable month for the pair, which might provide temporary relief for the euro in the coming weeks.
Conclusion
EUR/USD remains under significant pressure due to weak eurozone data, monetary policy divergence, and the dollar’s relative strength. Unless there’s a major shift in economic dynamics or central bank decisions, the euro is likely to stay on the defensive.
Will seasonal trends be enough to support the euro, or will the downward trajectory continue? Share your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSD Potential Continuation Of The Bearish MomentumHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.05100 area, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.05100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0548
1st Support: 1.0496
1st Resistance: 1.0602
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0550
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0598
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0496
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD: Long term bottom formation. Target 1.09250.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.566, MACD = -0.011, ADX = 28.963) as despite the consolidation since last Thursday, it hasn't yet started to recover. This is however a common price action during bottom formation proccesses (like September and March 2023) and since the 1D RSI is on a bullish divergence (HL), we expect a rally to start soon. In the past rebounds that stopped initially on the HH trendline but for slightly lower risk we are targeting the November 5th High (TP = 1.09250), which started the recent selling.
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EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.06200 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.06200 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD strong buy signal if the 4hour MA50 breaks.EURUSD has started trading inside a Channel Up pattern, approaching the 4hour MA50 with its 4hour RSI on the rise.
This is identical to the pattern of late October both on price and RSI terms.
When that pattern finally closed a candle over the 4hour MA50, the price was catapulted to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (but remained under the 4hour MA200).
As a result, go long if the 4hour MA50 gets crossed and target 1.07550 (Fib 1.618).
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Potential bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.0578
1st Support: 1.0532
1st Resistance: 1.0637
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Bottom made. Now rally until end of year.The EURUSD pair eventually fulfilled all of our bearish signals since the September top, with the most recent one (November 11, see chart below) successfully hitting our 1.05300 Target:
We are now shifting to a long-term bullish sentiment after a long time, as the price finally reached the 1.05185 - 1.04500 Support Zone, which is holding for almost 2 years (since early January 2023).
The 1W RSI is virtually identical to the July - September 2023 Bearish Leg, on which we based all of our sell signals, as it was identified from early on that the similarities between the two were strong (1D chart).
Now that the 1.236 Fibonacci extension got hit, we expect the bullish reversal to reach at least the 0.5 Fibonacci level, as it happened on November 20 2023. As a result, our Target is currently 1.09400.
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