Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0877
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.0835
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take profit: 1.0951
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Eur-usd
EURUSD: Channel Down on 1H giving two trades.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.958, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 45.308) as it has been on a non-stop decline, which is even more effectively displayed on the 1H chart. You can see the flawless Channel Down making -0.90% Bearish Waves and then pulling back to the 0.5 Fibonacci only to get rejected again under the 1H MA100. This gives a potential double trade, initally with a short now to complete the -0.90% wave (TP = 1.08555) and then long to the 0.5 Fib (TP = 1.09000).
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Sell EUR/USD Strong DollarThe EUR/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0937, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0885
2nd Support – 1.0860
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0960. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EURUSD Bearish trend intact.The sell signal after the Double Top (September 23, see chart below) and the RSI Lower Highs rejection turned out to be a very accurate one and the price has already covered 75% of the distance to hitting our 1.08350 Target:
Given that there shouldn't be much divergence until then, we want to focus today on the 1W time-frame. As you can see, based on the ranged (Rectangle) pattern of the past 2 years, the price is at the top of the neutral zone, not even having broken the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 1.08350 is located on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and that is the minimum downside we expect, as the 1W MA100 provided the Lows of June 24 and April 15 2024. The long-term Support Zone is located considerably lower than that (1.04500 - 1.05250) and that is technically the downside potential of the pair.
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EURUSD All 4H contacts are sell opportunities.EURUSD has turned completely bearish as after the Sep 25th rejection, it broke under the previous Channel Up and formed a Death Cross on the 4hour time frame.
It continues to be a similar sequence of events as the post December 28th 2023 High.
We expect a similar Channel Down to lead the price lower and every MA50 (4h) test will be a sell opportunity.
Sell and target 1.07700 (-4.00% from the top).
Previous chart:
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Sell EURUSD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0986, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0935
2nd Support – 1.0909
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1005. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EUR/USD in Trouble? BofA May Think So Bank of America (BofA) anticipates that the European Central Bank (ECB) will reduce interest rates more aggressively than what is currently reflected in the EUR/USD.
This expectation is driven by doubts surrounding the ECB's estimate of the neutral rate and shifting savings and investment patterns within the Euro Area.
Even so, the EUR/USD has dropped to a new weekly low of 1.0950. With the U.S. dollar maintaining a bullish trend across the FX market, the pair may decline further, potentially testing the next support level at 1.0910.
If BofA’s forecast holds true, EUR/USD could revisit the lower highs seen in August and July, signaling a deeper pullback.
EURUSD: Dead cat bounce to 1.10500 expected.EURUSD is highly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.133, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 30.825) which given the fact that the price is approaching the LL trendline, it allows for some room to recover some losses. We expect this to be a dead cat bounce but a short term buy opportunity nonetheless. Target the 4H MA200 and the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 1.10500).
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Potential bullish rise?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0955
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.0899
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.1048
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Confirmed sell signal with MA50 (1d) confirmationEURUSD broke below the MA50 (1d) for the first time since August 2nd, which is a technical sell signal.
The MA50 (1d) has been the pivot of the Ascending Triangle and every break below it has delivered more downside.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the next rebound to the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 1.078000 (Support A).
Tips:
1. The MACD (1d) is posting the same pattern of the December top. Technical sell signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
EURUSD formed the first 4H Death Cross in 4 months.The Double Top on EURUSD last time we mentioned it (September 23, see chart below) worked perfectly and followed its technical bearish bias as not only did the price got rejected but also broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and marginally the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the May's Channel Up:
At the same time, the pair just completed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame in almost 4 months (since June 14) and every time in the past 2 and more years (except June 14) that it made that formation, it gave a solid medium-term (at least) sell signal.
As a result, there is no reason to diverge from the 1.08350 bearish Target, which as with the February 14 Low, it is on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
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Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD is falling towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0943
1st Support: 1.0894
1st Resistance: 1.1003
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1017
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.0955
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1080
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could price reverse from here?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.1020
1st Support: 1.0957
1st Resistance: 1.1075
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD H4 - Short SignalEURUSD H4
We would be looking for something similar to this for the likes of EURUSD and US30, US100 if the opportunity is to present, we have seen and witnessed the selling pressure, now we need some market correction to offer the entry to the next wave of selling pressure.
That being said, we still want to stack confluences, our indicated sell zone now sits at 1.11 price. A whole number, area of resistance and supply. Lets see what today brings!
EURUSD: Bearish reversal if the 1D MA50 breaks.EURUSD is on the lower levels of neutrality on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 46.772, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.817) as it reversed aggressively on the 1.12100 R1 level, forming what is so far a DT (double top) on a 1month 1D RSI bearish divergence. The same divergence was formed on the December 28th 2024 HH and it caused a decline to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. The trigger point to sell is always the 1D MA50. Consequently, we will turn bearish if it is crossed, aiming at the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.08350).
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EURUSD Bullish continuation of the Channel Up.The EURUSD pair is defying the Double Top selling pressure of the 1.12100 Resistance and it appears that there are high probabilities of extending the Bullish Leg of the June's Channel Up.
With the support of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that contained the September 11 pull-back, the trend may be targeting the pattern's top for a new Higher High. It appears that so far there is high symmetry between the July - August 2024 Leg and October - November 2023 trend (both +4.99% rises), so the current uptrend may be of around +3.85%, similar to the one of December 2023.
As a result, with the 1D MACD also on a Bullish Cross, we are targeting 1.13500 for a Higher High.
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EURUSD 29/09/24Starting the week with the Euro to U.S. Dollar. Following last week, we saw a clear push to the upside, with price action generating solid movement in an uptrend. We expect this momentum to continue as the U.S. Dollar shows signs of weakening. This suggests a high probability of price action moving toward the previously established high, which serves as a key area of trajectory, clearly pointing upwards. This is a leading indicator of a potential new high being formed.
Additionally, there are areas of liquidity and demand, which are crucial points of interest should we see a pullback. Keep in mind, our daily trajectory is clearly bullish. However, if we break below the trajectory low and fail to react to the demand area, I would expect price action to decline further, taking us to the lower end of the range on the higher timeframe.
Stick to your risk. Always follow your trading plan.
Multi-swing high resistance ahead?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a multi-swing high resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1197
1st Support: 1093
1st Resistance: 1.1243
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Bearish Divergence calling for sell.EURUSD has so far double topped on the Resistance A level.
At the same time the 1day RSI is on Lower Highs, which is a Bearish Divergence.
The last Bearish Divergence was on the December 28th 2023 high with the rejection that followed extending all the way to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
We expect a similar sell off, targeting 1.07700 (Fib 0.618).
Previous chart:
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Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1137
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1200
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1047
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.