Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 1.1768
1st Support: 1.1700
1st Resistance: 1.1816
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1765
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1807
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.1712
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap?EUR/USD – Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap?
🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK – EURO CLIMBS WHILE USD TREADS ON UNCERTAIN POLITICAL GROUND:
EUR/USD is trading just below the 1.1700 mark as investors remain cautious about the US dollar's long-term credibility. Growing concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence — should the “Trump 2.0” scenario unfold — have weighed heavily on USD sentiment across global markets.
Meanwhile, the Euro is gaining support thanks to a relatively hawkish tone from the European Central Bank (ECB). Policymakers appear reluctant to ease policy prematurely, which supports the Euro through expectations of prolonged higher interest rates.
However, with no major catalyst in play yet, traders are watching closely for mid-tier US data and any upcoming statements from ECB officials that might set the tone for the next directional breakout.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H4 TIMEFRAME:
Market Structure: EUR/USD remains in a well-defined ascending price channel. However, the pair is now testing the upper band near the 1.1804 resistance, a key liquidity zone where sellers previously stepped in.
EMA Alignment: Price is trading above the EMA 13/34/89/200 cluster — a strong sign of sustained bullish momentum.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI is hovering near 70 — potential overbought territory.
ADX remains above 25 — confirming trend strength but signaling caution at extended highs.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): A visible unfilled gap between 1.1600 and 1.1640 could act as a magnetic zone for price to revisit before the next impulse move.
🔹 Key Resistance: 1.1804 – 1.1835
🔹 Key Support: 1.1640 – 1.1600 (gap zone)
🔹 Major Demand Zone: 1.1499 – 1.1515
🎯 TRADE PLAN:
Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias):
Entry: 1.1600 – 1.1640
Stop Loss: 1.1550
Targets: 1.1750 → 1.1800 → 1.1850
Scenario 2 – Buy Deep Pullback:
Entry: 1.1499 – 1.1515
Stop Loss: 1.1450
Targets: 1.1640 → 1.1700
Scenario 3 – Countertrend Sell at Key Resistance (High Risk):
Entry: 1.1804 – 1.1830
Stop Loss: 1.1860
Targets: 1.1720 → 1.1650
📌 Strategic Insight:
EUR/USD may be setting up for either a breakout continuation above 1.1800 or a temporary reversal to sweep liquidity from the lower zones. Momentum favors bulls, but chasing highs without confirmation is risky. Focus on clean retracements and volume-supported entries.
💬 If EUR/USD drops back into the 1.1600 zone, will you load up for another leg higher — or wait for confirmation of trend strength? Share your view in the comments!
EURUSD - Macro Trend Shift Soon?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈From a macro perspective, EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling red channel.
Medium-term, EURUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the rising channel in orange.
Moreover, the green zone is a massive monthly resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red and orange trendlines and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#007: LONG EUR/MXN Investment OpportunityHi, I'm Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about this long investment opportunity on EUR/MXN.
After a careful analysis of institutional flows, market sentiment and macroeconomic dynamics between Europe and Mexico, I have identified a potential medium-term long opportunity on this currency pair, often overlooked by retail traders but closely followed by professional operators for its hybrid technical-fundamental structure. I would like to thank in advance the Official Partner Broker PEPPERSTONE who supported us in creating this technical analysis.
🔍 Technical and strategic context
In recent days, EUR/MXN has shown typical institutional accumulation behavior: prolonged congestion on key levels, progressive decrease in volatility, increase in volume anomalies on bearish spikes and presence of clear defenses on strategic support areas.
All this while retail positioning remains strongly unbalanced short, with over 75% of retail operators selling this pair in the current area. Historically, when such extreme levels of imbalance are reached, the likelihood of an institutional-driven reversal increases significantly.
🧠 Expected Behavior and Institutional Dynamics
Large financial institutions – including global banks and hedge funds – never enter “on cue”: they enter when the market is ready for them to win. This often happens after retail has positioned itself heavily against the upcoming move, and that is exactly what we are seeing these hours.
EUR/MXN is a high-yielding pair: the Mexican peso often benefits from favorable carry trades, but is also highly exposed to geopolitical tensions (such as the current US-Iran turmoil) and the overall direction of the US dollar and the euro. In this environment, with a stable euro and rising systemic risk, the natural flow tends to move away from the Mexican peso, making long EUR/MXN particularly attractive.
🎯 Operational positioning and objectives
My entry occurred on a well-defined compression zone, with a protected technical stop loss and a target calculated on structure, volumes and previous similar breakouts. The target is an area around 22.73, where institutional profit taking is likely to arrive.
It should be noted that the entire current structure is built on protection zones generated by passive orders: we know that in EUR/MXN these levels have historically caused strong rebounds when reached.
📊 Conclusion
This trade is not simply a directional bet. It is the thoughtful execution of a model based on the behavior of large operators, market psychology and advanced analysis of capital flows. It is not about "predicting the future", but positioning yourself at the same time as the strong hands do, exploiting their own rules.
My goal is to operate like a hedge fund does, and in this trade on EUR/MXN I see all the conditions for this to happen.
EURUSD: Correction to 1D MA50 possible.EURUSD is vastly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 74.017, MACD = 0.011, ADX = 27.363) having completed a +15.64% rise from the February 3rd 2025 Low. That was a technical HL bottom on the 3 year Channel Up and the same amount of price increase was seen on its first bullish wave. When it peaked it made three successive highs over a 6 month period (Feb-July 2023) before starting a long term bearish sentiment creation. For now, we can expect at least a 1D MA50 test on the short-term (TP = 1.15000).
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1742
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1698
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1814
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURO - Price can start to decline from resistance line of wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew to $1.1500 level and even broke it, after which started to decline in wedge.
Price declined to support line, breaking two levels, after which it turned around and started to move up.
Soon, EUR broke $1.1215 level and then rose more, after which made a correction to support line.
Then price in a short time rose to $1.1500 level, broke it one more time, and tried to grow more, but failed.
But recently it turned around and quickly rose to resistance line of wedge and now trades near.
In my mind, Euro can bounce from resistance line and fall to $1.1520 support line of wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURCHF LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25EURCHF LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Euro Continues Bullish Trend | Eyes on 1.1882 & 1.2075EUR/USD – Strong Bullish Structure | Watching 1.1745 Pivot Zone for Reentry
The Euro continues to trade in a well-defined bullish trend, supported by institutional demand and clear price structure.
After breaking above the 1.1684 resistance zone, EUR/USD extended toward 1.1818 and now approaches the next resistance at 1.1882. This level may act as a temporary cap, but if breached with momentum, the pair could target the 1.2075 zone next.
Bullish Order Blocks (BOBs) marked on the chart highlight previous accumulation zones where buyers stepped in aggressively. These areas are still valid for demand-based pullbacks.
Key Area to Watch – 1.1745 Pivot Zone:
This level serves as a potential reentry point if the price retraces. As long as EUR/USD holds above this zone, bullish momentum remains intact. A confirmed bounce here could resume the uptrend toward 1.1882 and beyond.
However, a clean break below 1.1745 could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.1627 or even 1.1557, which is the next major support zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.1882, 1.2075
Pivot Zone: 1.1745
Support: 1.1627, 1.1557
EURUSD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.Last time we analyzed the EURUSD pair (June 23, see chart below) we gave a strong buy signals at the bottom of the 1.5-month Channel Up:
The price is almost near our Target but since it's been consolidating for so many 4H candles on the pattern's top, it is better to take the good profit and turn bearish.
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level has been a solid target for the previous two Bearish Legs, but since the last one bottomed just above it on the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), we will place the Target a little higher this time also at 1.16100.
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Bullish rise?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1578
1st Support: 1.1278
1st Resistance: 1.1909
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURJPY 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025EURJPY 4hour Bullish Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
EJ has been in a bullish trend on all timeframes and doesn’t really show any signs of stopping. Currently we are right near major monthly resistance around 171.000. It is likely we will see price action push into this zone but we want to identify a potential trade beforehand.
Here are two potential scenarios for this week on EJ
Bullish Continuation - We are a bit close to the 171.000 monthly zone so we would like to see price action come back to our 168.500 4hour support zone before targeting higher.
Trend Reversal - If we see price action fall below 168.500 we want to see bearish conviction and rejection from that same zone. If this happens we can start to consider short scenarios and target lower support levels like 166.250.
RSI Flashes Warning on EURUSD: Critical Level Under Watch!Good morning traders,
If the EURUSD pair breaks below the 1.16729 level due to an RSI divergence, the next potential target could be around 1.16093.
Keep in mind that a break below 1.16729 may also signal a potential trend reversal.
I've marked the pivot points for you on the chart for better clarity.
Additionally, it's crucial to keep an eye on current economic data and news releases as part of your fundamental analysis.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Elliott Wave Analysis for EUR/USD - Bullish OutlookPEPPERSTONE:EURUSD
This analysis is based on the application of Elliott Wave principles for the EUR/USD market on a weekly timeframe.
💡 Wave Identification:
Corrective Cycle (ABC): After a peak marked by wave B, the market completed a 5-wave downward structure (waves 1 to 5), forming wave C, signaling a possible end of the correction.
Potential Reversal Zone (2/B): The current point is a strategic level where a bullish rebound is anticipated.
📊 Projection:
A bullish impulse is expected from point C. The initial target lies in the 1.1140 - 1.1217 zone, corresponding to key resistance levels and Fibonacci projections.
🧠 Conclusion:
A breakout above 1.0440 could confirm a significant bullish impulse, suggesting buyers are regaining control.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing.
HelenP. I Euro will drop to trend line, after movement upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that EURUSD has been moving in a stable upward trend, supported by a clear ascending trend line. Each time the price approached this line, it rebounded and continued to grow, respecting the bullish structure. After the recent breakout from the support zone around 1.1500, the market made a strong impulse to the upside and reached a local high. Now, the momentum seems to be slowing down, which opens the possibility for a corrective movement. Given this setup, I expect that the price could first make a small upward push to trap late buyers, and then turn around to begin a decline. The trend line remains a critical technical level, and I anticipate the price will revisit it soon. For this reason, I’ve placed my goal at 1.1575 points — this area aligns with the trend line and can serve as the next support if a pullback occurs. As long as this level holds, the market remains in a bullish structure, but a correction seems likely before further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURJPY MASSIVE RISE for the next few weeks. BUY below 170EURJPY has seen some rosy seasons the past 5 years. Every year it keeps grinding up to reach new highs, from 115 in 2020 to reach a parabolic high last year at 175 on June 2024.
Then, as with any parabolic era, hibernation comes after that peak tap at 175 that lasted 9 months. Price has woken up this year starting on April -- then charging up more this month. This consistent weekly gains is hinting of a bigger shift that only comes every 1-2 years.
From our diagram above you can observe the last big ascend from its big shifts. This shifts resurfaced every 1-2 years. And this quarter 2 we got another rare change in structure conveying a weighty rise ahead in the next 12 months moving forward.
EURJPY corrected heavily back to 1.0 FIB LEVELS, the most discounted bargain zone you can imagine -- so buyers converging on this area is a no brainer.
STRONG BUY at this levels -- below 170 is a definite bargain.
The price growth from the last few weeks is a testament of the directional context EJ is about to undertake.
Expect some greener seasons on this pair as it moves forward.
Harvest will be generous.
Spotted at 168.0
Interim target at 171
Mid/Long term target at 200.
TRADE SAFELY always. Market is Market.
Not financial advice. TAYOR.
Bearish drop?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8530
1st Support: 0.8482
1st Resistance: 0.8569
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURCAD - Weekly Resistance Might Shift The Momentum!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURCAD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the red zone is a strong weekly resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURCAD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish continuation for the Fiber?The price is falling towards the pivot point, which is a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.1630
1st Support: 1.1591
1st Resistance: 1.1692
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15700 zone, EURUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.15700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.