Euro will start to grow from support and then leave pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Previously, price was moving confidently inside an upward channel, forming steady higher highs and higher lows. After a clear breakout from that structure, the price started consolidating inside a new pattern, an upward pennant. This formation usually appears as a continuation structure, where the market builds pressure before a new impulse. Currently, the price is trading near the middle of the pennant, after rolling down from the resistance line and rebounding up from the support area. The structure is compressing, and a retest of the support line near 1.1155 may occur before a breakout happens. Given the confluence of the pennant structure, the strong support area, and the previous bullish momentum, I expect the Euro to rebound again from the lower trend line and initiate an upward breakout. That’s why I set my TP 1 at the 1.1500 level, a logical target aligned with the upper boundary of the pattern and next key resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EUR
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1263
1st Support: 1.1166
1st Resistance: 1.1423
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURO - Price may make a movement up and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price traded between $1.0870 level inside a flat, where it after fell to bottom part and made an upward impulse.
Price exited from flat, breaking $1.0870 level too, and then made a correction, after which continued to grow.
Later, Euro reached $1.1425 level, breaking recently $1.1155 level recently, and soon price broke $1.1425 level too.
Next, price started to traded inside pennant, where it dropped from resistance line to support line, breaking $1.1425 level again.
Euro fell to support line, after which started to grow and in a short time, rose to resistance line.
Now, I think that Euro may make a movement up and then start to decline to $1.1235 support line of pennant.
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STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING? EURUSD 22/05 – STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING?
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK
The market remains caught between dovish expectations and hawkish reality. While recent US CPI and PPI came in weaker than expected, Fed officials have refrained from confirming any imminent rate cuts, keeping the dollar resilient in the medium term.
Meanwhile, the ECB’s cautious stance and ongoing inflation risks across the eurozone continue to cap euro strength. The divergence in tone between the Fed and the ECB adds to the short-term volatility and uncertainty around EURUSD’s direction.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 + H4 Timeframe)
EURUSD has faked a breakout above the 1.1310–1.1320 resistance zone and is now pulling back to the key structure support around 1.1279 — a critical short-term level.
📌 Key Observations:
Bearish engulfing candle formed on H1 after price rejected the upper zone → potential reversal signal.
EMA 13 is crossing below EMA 34 → suggesting short-term downside pressure.
A confirmed H1 close below 1.1279 opens room for deeper retracement towards 1.1234 (previous demand/FVG area).
If momentum builds, we could see a broader correction toward 1.1148 in the coming days.
⚙️ TRADE STRATEGY FOR TODAY
🔻 PRIMARY SCENARIO – SELL THE RALLY
Entry Zone: 1.1315 – 1.1318 (near FVG + fake breakout zone)
Stop Loss: 1.1360
Take Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 1.1279
→ TP2: 1.1234
→ TP3: 1.1148
🔹 ALTERNATE SCENARIO – BUY SCALP ON STRONG REACTION
Buy Entry: 1.1234 – 1.1230 (only with bullish M15 confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.1210
Take Profit: 1.1279 → 1.1300
🧠 STRATEGIC INSIGHT
A D1 candle close below 1.1234 will confirm a structure break and likely initiate a deeper downward trend.
On the flip side, if 1.1234 holds and US jobless claims disappoint later today, EURUSD may recover back to test 1.131x.
Market sentiment is highly reactive — stay flexible and prioritize price action confirmation.
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
EURUSD is at a pivotal point — either confirming a new downtrend or bouncing back within the current range. This is a trader’s market: clear key levels, disciplined risk management, and adaptive execution are essential.
📈 Follow for real-time chart updates, FVG mapping, and more daily trading setups.
Stay smart, stay sharp. Risk management first.
EURAUD to find buyers at previous resistance?EURAUD - 24H expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
The selloff has posted an exhaustion count on the daily chart.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Bespoke support is located at 1.7500.
We look to Buy at 1.7500 (stop at 1.7450)
Our profit targets will be 1.7700 and 1.7730
Resistance: 1.7630 / 1.7680 / 1.7725
Support: 1.7520 / 1.7450 / 1.7400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1424
1st Support: 1.1263
1st Resistance: 1.1557
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1267
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1140
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1425
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1236
1st Support: 1.1147
1st Resistance: 1.1422
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD: 4H Death Cross to push Channel Down much lower.EURUSD has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.499, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 31.600) as the price approaches the top of the 1 month Channel Down. A rejection and LH is expected soon that will initiate the new bearish wave. The last one was -4.45%, so that gives a TP = 1.0900, which falls right on the S1 level and the HL trendline from the February 3rd low. Keep in mind also that the market formed the first 4H Death Cross since February 10th.
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EURO - Price can make small correction and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURO, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to falling channel, where it at once fell to $1.1330 level and then not long time traded near this level.
Next, price rose to resistance line of channel, and some time traded near, after which dropped.
Price broke $1.1330 level and started to traded below this level, and later it continued to decline in channel.
Later, Euro made a gap and then exited from channel, after which turned around and started to grow in a rising channel.
In this channel, price broke $1.1140 level and continued to move up until it reached resistance line.
Then price corrected, and now I expect that Euro can bounce up from support area to $1.1280 inside channel.
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Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rejecting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1273
1st Support: 1.1084
1st Resistance: 1.1371
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/GBP - Blue Box is Strong SupportIn our recent EUR / GBP analysis we observed a substantial 226‑pip decline from the peak.() Price has now settled into the blue‑boxed support area, a level at which previous pullbacks found buyers and genuine value emerged.
It follows, then, that if price can break above the nearby red‑boxed resistance on lower‑time‑frame charts, with clear follow‑through rather than a fleeting spike, a long position would be entirely reasonable. Such a breakout would signal that demand has overcome supply pressure, restoring the upward trend in a disciplined, verifiable way.
Throughout our work, we have never relied on guesswork or emotion. Every level is chosen through careful study of price behavior and hard data, and our methodology has consistently delivered high accuracy as a result. In the spirit of prudent analysis, we ask only for confirmation of these key levels before committing capital, an approach that has served us well and should serve our followers equally.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Potential bearish drop?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1270
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.1374
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1139
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD 1st 4H Death Cross after 7 months. Is it enough to short?The EURUSD pair just formed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame since October 04 2024. The last such formation signaled the bearish extension of the trend by breaking below its Higher Lows trend-line.
That was a similar Higher Lows trend-line the price rebounded on on May 12, exactly on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). With the 1D RSI on levels similar with that previous Death Cross, we will wait for confirmation before shorting again and the price to break is the Higher Low/ 1D MA50 Cluster.
If broken, our Target will be just above the 0.618 Fibonacci from the bottom at 1.07350.
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EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?
🧠 Macro Overview
This week’s trading landscape is influenced by both European and U.S. developments:
EU Side: There are no major macroeconomic releases ahead, but expectations are growing that the ECB may adopt a more dovish tone in upcoming meetings. If inflation continues to cool, the euro may face downside pressure.
U.S. Side: Last week’s CPI and PPI data showed signs of cooling inflation, yet not enough for the Fed to shift gears. The U.S. dollar remains supported by the prospect of “higher for longer” interest rates.
Global Sentiment: Ongoing U.S.–China tensions and trade policy updates in Europe are keeping risk appetite cautious. The EUR/USD pair is testing a key zone and may break out of the descending channel soon — or reject hard if buyers fail to hold.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1 Chart)
EUR/USD bounced strongly from the 1.1160 – 1.1180 demand zone and is now testing the key resistance at 1.1237 — a confluence of descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the 1H chart.
A clean breakout above and sustained hold of 1.1237 could pave the way toward higher resistance levels at 1.1270 and 1.1325.
However, if the pair gets rejected at 1.1237, it may fall back to test the lower support at 1.1160 – 1.1180, possibly forming a range before a larger move.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Levels:
1.1237 → Key confluence zone (EMA200 + trendline)
1.1270 → Previous swing high
1.1302 – 1.1325 → Upper resistance zone with Fibo confluence
🔻 Support Levels:
1.1180 → Immediate demand area
1.1160 → Critical trendline support
A break below 1.1160 could trigger stronger bearish momentum
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout Above 1.1237
🔹 Entry: 1.1240 – 1.1250
🔹 SL: 1.1210
🔹 TP: 1.1270 → 1.1302 → 1.1325
2. Bearish Rejection at 1.1237
🔻 Entry: 1.1230 – 1.1225
🔻 SL: 1.1255
🔻 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1160
3. Buy-the-Dip at Key Support
🔹 Entry: 1.1165 – 1.1170
🔹 SL: 1.1135
🔹 TP: 1.1200 → 1.1230
⚠️ Key Notes:
Avoid entering trades during chop between 1.1215 – 1.1237 unless breakout confirmation appears.
Be cautious of liquidity grabs during London and NY session opens.
Stick to tight risk management as market remains uncertain and range-bound.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is at a decision point. Whether bulls take control or sellers defend key resistance will determine short-term trend direction. Trade the breakout or the reaction — not the prediction.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1281
1st Support: 1.1051
1st Resistance: 1.1424
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bouce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1083
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.1098
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1265
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD - Shift In Momentum Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After breaking below the structure marked in orange, EURUSD's momentum has been shifted from bullish to bearish.
EURUSD is currently rejecting the upper bound of its falling channel marked in red.
Moreover, it is retesting the orange structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?
🧠 Market Context:
After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum.
The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer.
Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves.
👉 Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend.
📊 Trade Scenarios for Today:
✅ High Probability – SITUATION 1 (70%):
Price breaks below the triangle’s base near 1.1185–1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone.
⛔ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 – 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline)
🎯 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1150 → 1.1120 → 1.1100
🛑 SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200)
🚨 Lower Probability – SITUATION 2 (30%):
Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) → short-term bullish reversal.
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1250 – 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume)
🎯 TP: 1.1290 → 1.1325 → 1.1350
🛑 SL: 1.1215
🔍 Key Technical Levels & EMA:
Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247
Major Support Zones: 1.1180 – 1.1150 – 1.1110
🎯 Execution Strategy:
Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume.
Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation.
Avoid premature entries — let price come to your levels.
⚠️ News to Watch:
No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines.
Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction.
✅ Final Thoughts:
The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers.
Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions.
Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
EUR/USD - Triangle Formation (16.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1321
2nd Resistance – 1.1376
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Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1265
1st Support: 1.1071
1st Resistance: 1.1367
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LONG EUR/SGD Investment Opportunity
Entry: 1.46708 Take Profit (TP): +1.33% Stop Loss (SL): -0.86%
📊 Market Overview
EUR/SGD is in a strategic zone, with an entry level set at 1.46708, an area that could act as a key support. The idea of this LONG trade is based on a possible resumption of the trend, taking advantage of a bullish movement in case of confirmation of the momentum.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Key Support: The price has tested the entry level several times, suggesting a potential base for a restart.
Resistance: The TP target implies a movement of +1.33%, indicating a possible breakout to new highs.
Stop Loss: The protection set at -0.86% helps manage the risk and minimize any losses.
📈 Risk Management
Capital management is crucial. With a Stop Loss of 0.86%, the risk is well calibrated against the potential gain of 1.33%, maintaining a positive risk/reward ratio.
🔥 Conclusion
If the price confirms the support and shows signs of strength, this LONG strategy on EUR/SGD could generate a favorable opportunity. However, it is always essential to monitor the market conditions and adjust the strategy if necessary.