EURUSD approaches mother of all Resistances from the 2008 crisisThe EURUSD pair broke through all major medium-term Resistance levels, with the latest being the 1W MA200, but is now facing perhaps the most important Resistance of all. That is the Lower Highs trend-line, that started during the height of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis on July 2008.
As you can see on this 1M time-frame, this Resistance is technically the top of the 19-year Falling Wedge pattern, which encompasses different cycles of foreign exchange price action, such as the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) turning from a multi-year Support to multi-year Resistance etc.
The presence of the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) adds more selling pressure to the current Resistance cluster, which had the last major long-term rejection on July 2023 and before that on February 2018 (along with the 1M MA200 that time).
Ideally, the sell signal will get strengthened if the 1M RSI gets rejected on its 15-year Resistance Zone. As a result, a rejection within the multi-year Falling Wedge, will most likely see EURUSD test the Symmetrical Support Zone (blue), which only broke once during the recent 2022 Inflation Crisis.
If however the price closes a 1M candle above the Lower Highs of the Wedge, we will turn bullish long-term towards the 1M MA200, aiming at around 1.2000.
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EUR
Bullish rise?EUR/CHF is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.94637
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.93811
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.95768
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP is currently reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8458
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8406
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8508
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1195
1st Support: 1.1164
1st Resistance: 1.1219
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Euro can rebound up from buyer zone to 1.1190 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Looking at the chart, we can see how the price hit the support level, broke through it, but then quickly turned around and dropped to the lower part of the range. After that, the EUR reversed and bounced back up to the 1.0960 level, broke it again, exiting the range, and then climbed to the resistance line. The price then reversed and made a correction move to the support line, after which it started to rise near this line to the current support level. When the Euro reached this level, it broke through and kept rising until it hit the resistance line, but not long ago it turned around and made a correction move to the buyer zone. Right now, the price is trading near this zone, and I think the EUR might drop to the buyer zone before rebounding up. So, that's why I set my TP at 1.1190 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.11300 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.11300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Why the EUR/USD Could be Overextended? The euro surged to its highest level in a year yesterday, marking a fourth consecutive day of gains, before turning red.
This rally suggests growing market confidence that the eurozone may avoid a hard landing. Recent data supports this sentiment: final inflation figures for July show core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, holding steady at 2.9%—unchanged from May and June.
But the U.S. dollar is also weakening amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will initiate a series of interest rate cuts, potentially beginning in September.
However, it's not just the Fed eyeing September rate cuts and this might mean that the EURUSD is a little overextended.
Eurozone policymakers have downplayed concerns over persistently high inflation, with minutes from the July meeting revealing an "open mind" towards rate cuts at the September meeting.
Markets now anticipate a roughly 90% chance of a 25-basis-point cut next month, with the possibility of another cut by December.
EURO - Price can fall from support line of wedge to $1.1000Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once broke $1.0735 level and some time traded in support zone.
Later EUR reached support line of channel and then bounced up to resistance line of channel, breaking $1.0735 level.
Also, price made a gap, after this, Euro exited from channel and entered to wedge, where it fell to support line at once.
After this, price made upward impulse from support line of wedge, higher than $1.0945 level, breaking it.
Price some time traded between this level and a not long time ago bounced up to resistance line of wedge.
Now, I think that Euro can rise to resistance line and then bounce down to $1.1000, exiting from wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Here’s a warning for latecomers to the EUR/USD rallyEUR/USD has surged to highs not seen since July 2023. However, such has been the rush to buy since the start of August, it’s now sitting at extremely overbought levels on RSI (14) on the daily.
That should be a worry for late-to-the-party longs considering that outside the early stages of the pandemic, whenever EUR/USD has been this overbought, it’s coincided with some form of near-term top. Some have been small reversals, other considerably larger.
While that doesn’t guarantee another reversal on this occasion, it is a warning to those chasing the pair higher ahead in anticipation of Fed rate cuts. They were priced in long ago with the magnitude of expected easing not really changing over the past fortnight even as the dollar sank. The move comes across as technically driven, potentially making the signal from RSI more significant.
If we were to see a EUR/USD reversal, 1.1140, 1.10452 and 1.0948 are downside levels to note. Should the signal from RSI prove to be false, a continuation of the rally would likely target a push towards 1.12760, the high set in July last year. Watch for a topping pattern to strengthen the conviction of the trade. That’s not arrived yet on the daily timeframe.
DS
Bearsih reversal?EUR/CAD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the overlap support level.
Pivot: 1.52076
1st Support: 1.51182
1st Resistance: 1.53004
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 11.74014
1st Support: 11.60040
1st Resistance: 11.84572
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/JPY is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 161.19
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 157.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 165.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
looking for Sell EUR/USD around 1.11(8/20/2024)it's still too soon to jump to a conclusion but it seems EUR/USD is moving inside a big diagonal triangle and right now has hit the upper dynamic trendline.
we can sell EUR/USD if the price shows some bearish signs around here.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
HelenP. I After movement up, Euro will start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A few moments ago price rebounded up from the trend line and rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Soon, the price broke this level and continued to grow, but later turned around and made a correction movement to support 2. Next, the price bounced and some time traded near this level until it reached the trend line, after which it made impulse up to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. After this movement, the EUR rebounded down to the trend line, after which at once bounced and made an impulse up again, but at their moment it broke support 1 and even rose higher than the support zone. Just now, the price continues to grow, for this case, I expect that EURUSD will make one movement up and then start to decline to the trend line, thereby breaking the support level. That's why I set my goal at 1.1025 points, which coincided with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURUSD Excellent long-term reward if you sell here.The EURUSD pair has broken above its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since the week of July 17 2023). With this move it entered the (red) Resistance Zone of the practically Rectangle pattern that it has been trading in for more than 1.5 years.
Technically, the above conditions offer a great opportunity to sell for the long-term as during this time, the pair has been rejected here two times and once on the absolute Resistance 2 level (1.12750).
As a result we will use two short positions on EURUSD, aiming to close them on profit at the end of the year. All prior rejections hit at least the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so our Target will be slightly above it at 1.06650. From all angles, this opportunity offers solid Risk/ Reward conditions.
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Bearish drop?EUR/AUD has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.65358
1st Support: 1.62714
1st Resistance: 1.67679
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?EUR/NZD is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could reverse to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.80567
1st Support: 1.79290
1st Support: 1.79290
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.