EURUSD Channel Up aiming at 1.06300.EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Up on the 1hour time frame.
The two previous bullish waves both topped on a +2.27% rise.
Having made a new low on February 19th, we are now on the 3rd bullish wave.
We expect a symmetric +2.27%, based also on the identical 1hour RSI it shares with the previous 2 bullish waves.
Buy and target 1.06300 (top of Channel Up at +2.27%).
Previous chart:
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EUR
EURO - Price can bounce up from triangle to $1.0600 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price started to decline in the falling channel, where it bounced from the resistance line and broke $1.0465.
Then it continued to fall and reached $1.0265 support level, which coincided with support area and tried to grow then.
After this, price turned around and dropped to support line of channel and then made upward impulse.
Euro exited from channel and later started to trades inside a triangle, which continues to trades to this day.
In a triangle, price made a strong gap and then rose to resistance level, even broke it, but now trades below.
So, I think that Euro can break this level and even exit from a triangle, after which continue to grow to $1.0600
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EURUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidation supported at 1.0425The EURUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the breakout level, previous resistance, and now a new support zone.
The key trading level is at 1.0425, which is the previous consolidation price range and rising trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 1.0425 level could target the upside resistance at 1.0531 followed by the 1.0562 and 1.0617 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.0425 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 1.0374 support level followed by 1.0350 and 1.0300.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Potential bullish rebound?EUR/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: `155.94
1st Support: 153.99
1st Resistance: 158.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.83138
1st Support: 0.82638
1st Resistance: 0.83575
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD 25 Feb 2025 W9 -Intraday Analysis- US Consumer ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Today economic news:
US : Consumer Confidence
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With this week open, price continued Bullish as expected and created another ii-BOS after which price started PB for the ii-BOS and reached the recent Demand which we could see the next Bullish move from.
3️⃣
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase
2️⃣
🔹After the 15m Bullish BOS, price initiated the Swing PB Phase.
🔹Price reached the 15m Swing EQ (50%) and turned Bullish after the INT structure changed to Bullish iBOS indicating that the Swing PB maybe over and we are currently starting the Swing Bullish continuation Phase.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish with the 15m / 4H INT & Swing are all Bullish.
🔹Price targets are 15m Weak INT High and ultimately 15m Weak Swing High.
How to Trade Ending Diagonal: EURUSDOne of my favorite EW patterns: Ending Diagonal
It usually appears in wave C or 5, we have wave C
It consists of five waves and each of them are three waves
All looks good as wave 5 is over wave 3 and Ending diagonal might be completed
as EWO oscillator already shows Bearish Divergence between wave 3 and 5
This educational post to show trade setup on this pattern
The bottom of wave b in wave 5 is a breakdown trigger (blue) as it means wave 5 is over
Confirmation is on breakdown of wave 4 (orange)
Target is at the start of the Ending Diagonal (green)
Bonus track:
One could consider sell on 61.8% Fib retracement as we see the first impulse down
and now we watch this two-legged pullback.
Sell Signal📉 EURUSD Sell Signal 📉
🔹 Wait for the best candle formation before entering the sell trade! Risk management is crucial.
🔹 The 1.04980 resistance zone is considered as the entry point.
🔹 Stop-loss is set at 1.05355 to minimize potential risks.
🔹 Target levels:
✅ First target: 1.04658
✅ Second target: 1.04133
⚠️ Always manage your risk! Make sure to get additional confirmations before entering the trade.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/GBP is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8318
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8353
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8264
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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EURJPY forming a bottom?EURJPY - 24h expiry
Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 4 hour chart.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 156.97 level.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Buy at 156.75 (stop at 155.72)
Our profit targets will be 159.47 and 160.55
Resistance: 159.10 / 160.55 / 162.00
Support: 154.40 / 151.10 / 149.30
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURUSD Will it follow Trump's 1st Term??The EURUSD pair made a market bottom on January 13 2025 and in recent trade, it has been consolidating above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Interestingly enough, this is so far similar to the price action that preceded and followed Trump's 1st Term.
A 1D Death Cross took the market from the November 2016 elections to the January 2017 bottom. After a 1D RSI Double Top and Resistance rejection, the pair dropped again below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but recovered to reach the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) in end of March 2017 and initiate an aggressive Channel Up that peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the September 2016 High.
If EURUSD continues to replicate Trump's Year 1 of his 1st Term, it is possible to see the price reach 1.19000 by the end of 2025, although of course we can't rely solely on repetitive patterns, but have to go along macro reports and policies one at a time.
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Potential bullish rise?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0402
1st Support: 1.0293
1st Resistance: 1.0601
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0419
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.0373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0508
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD 24-28 Feb 2025 W9 - Weekly Analysis - US GDP / PCE Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 24-28 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
Inflation Data Dominates
Hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI/PPI initially fueled inflation fears, but signs of moderation in underlying PPI components raised hopes for softer PCE data next week.
Investors see a growing chance of Fed rate cuts in late 2025, limiting USD strength.
Tariff Noise vs. Market Calm
Trump’s tariff threats (e.g., reciprocal steel/aluminum duties) were largely dismissed as negotiation tactics, easing fears of an immediate trade war.
Markets expect delays in implementation, reducing near-term volatility.
Geopolitical Progress Supports Risk Sentiment
Reports of progress in Ukraine-Russia peace talks (e.g., territory swaps) reduced safe-haven demand for the USD, indirectly boosting the Euro.
Stabilizing energy prices and supply chains further supported the Eurozone outlook.
Central Bank Divergence
The Fed remains cautious, emphasizing data dependency, while the ECB signals potential rate cuts later in 2025.
Short-term EUR resilience stems from reduced trade-war risks and improving Eurozone economic data.
Focus on Upcoming Catalysts
This week PCE inflation report (Fed’s preferred gauge) will test disinflation optimism.
Weak U.S. retail sales/industrial production amplified concerns about slowing growth, weighing on the USD.
Key Takeaways
Bullish Drivers:
Progress in geopolitical tensions.
Softening inflation expectations ahead of PCE data.
Tariffs seen as negotiation tools, not immediate threats.
Bearish Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
Overall Sentiment:
Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD this week, with upside hinging on sustained risk appetite and confirmation of disinflation trends.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase)
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week.
🔹With the previous week solid Bullish close, the Demand did hold and there is a high probability that price could continue Bullish to facilitate the INT structure pullback phase.
🔹If price to continue Bullish, price will be targeting the liquidity above Dec 2024, INT Structure EQ (50%) at 1.06933 to target the Weekly Supply in premium before continuing down to target the Weak INT Low.
🔹Expectations is for price to continue Bullish if it managed to break 1.05333 27 Jan High to facilitate the INT structure pullback.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH.
🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase.
🔹Previous week I mentioned “if the Daily formed a Bullish CHoCH (Currently above the recent mitigated Supply) this will shift my outlook to the Weekly Scenario of a deep pullback of the Weekly INT Structure to at least the Structure EQ (50%). MTF required to shift Bullish to confirm”. And with that happened I’d shifted to Bullish expectation and there is expectations of a deep pullback within the Daily Bearish INT structure.
🔹The expected targets for the current bullish move is 1st to sweep the liquidity above the equal highs (17 Dec & 27 Jan) 2nd Break of the Strong INT High to facilitate the Daily Bearish Swing pullback and the Weekly Bearish INT pullback.
🔹Currently Supply is failing and Demand is holding confirms the short-term Bullish scenario and setting my expectations for continuing Bullish. Price had pulled back to the recent Daily Demand and continued Bullish.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹As expected yesterday, price managed to continue Bullish after reaching the INT-INT structure EQ (50%) in a solid impulsive move aligns with the Swing continuation move.
3️⃣
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF.
Economic Events for the Week
EUR/USD Market Analysis – Bearish Reversal from Key ResistanceThe EUR/USD pair has formed a bearish Bat harmonic pattern , completing near the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level. Price action has reacted strongly at this resistance, indicating a potential reversal. The first target (T1) is around 1.0394 , while the second target (T2) is near 1.0325 , aligning with key Fibonacci levels. If the resistance holds, a bearish move towards these targets is likely. However, a sustained break above the high may invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation.
HelenP. I Euro can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price broke through the support level, which aligned with the support zone, and then started to rise. Soon after, it reached the resistance level, which also coincided with a resistance zone, and even managed to break above it, attempting to push higher. However, the momentum faded, and the price reversed, beginning a decline. In a short time, it dropped below the 1.0470 level, breaking through it and forming a strong gap. The price continued to fall, moving below the 1.0315 support level and reaching the trend line. From there, it started to rise again, moving within an upward channel. Inside the channel, the Euro broke back above the 1.0315 level and climbed toward the resistance line. However, before making a fake breakout, it pulled back to the support level, briefly touching the trend line before continuing its upward movement within the channel. Later, the price reached the resistance zone, reversed, and made a small correction. After that, it attempted another move back toward the resistance zone, but recently, it has fallen below it and is now trading very close to this level. In my view, the price may drop to the trend line, which serves as the channel’s support, and then rebound higher, breaking above the resistance level. If that happens, I expect EURUSD to continue its upward movement, so I’ve set my goal at 1.0540. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURGBP 4H Channel Down topped. Drop expected.The EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the February 12 High. Technically that pattern is similar to the Channel Down of late January, which saw an accelerated decline after it failed to break above the 4H MA50.
We expect the pattern to complete a similar -2.18% decline and target 0.81750.
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EURUSD 21 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMI Day!This is my Intraday analysis on FX:EURUSD EURUSD for 21 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
It's PMI Day today:
EU: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI
US: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹As expected yesterday, price managed to continue Bullish after reaching the INT-INT structure EQ (50%) in a solid impulsive move aligns with the Swing continuation move.
3️⃣
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase
2️⃣
🔹The 15m Bullish Swing pullback phase is still intact with continues Bearish INT structures.
🔹Price had reached Swing extreme demand in Swing Discount.
🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, price had formed Liq. above the 15m Demand which was sept with the break of the Weak INT Low, mitigating the 15m Demand and forming a Bullish CHoCH to initiate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback.
🔹With the Bullish iBOS yesterday, we confirmed that the Swing Pullback phase may have ended and we are in a new Bullish continuation phase.
3️⃣
🔹With the recent iBOS, price is currently in Pullback Phase to HP POIs to then continue Bullish.
🔹As yesterday expectation of continuing Bullish, still on the expectations of price continuing Bullish targeting the 15m Weak Swing High / 4H Weak Swing High.
EURUSD: This is a temporary rebound inside a long term Bear FlagEURUSD has turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.188, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 17.971) but on the 1W timeframe this short term recovery is nothing but a Bear Flag on the aggressive decline that has started last September. The 1D RSI pattern is basically repeating the Bear Flags of January 2022 and August-September 2018 and the lowest target has been the 0.85 Fibonacci level. We expect it to reach this level again sooner or later. Go short, TP = 0.98150.
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EURJPY LongThe price has completed the retracement after breaking the last Lower High.
From now on we should with high probability expect the price to rally back up to the last swing high of $161.2 and see if it can break it before making another Higher Higher from there.
But before that, there are two significant OBs on the way up that the price can face significant selling pressure from. We need to watch those zones closely.
EURO - Price can break resistance level and rise to $1.0500Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to trades inside a triangle, bouncing from $1.0450 level and dropping to $1.0275 level.
After this, price bounced from this level and rose to resistance line of triangle and then started to decline.
Price fell to $1.0175 support line of triangle and then in a short time rose to resistance line and exited from this pattern.
Next, Euro started to trades another one triangle, where it reached $1.0530 points and then dropped.
Euro made a strong gap and later rose back to resistance line of triangle, but recently it fell below $1.0450 level.
Possibly, price can fall to support line and then bounce up to $1.0500 resistance line of triangle.
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Bearish drop?EUR/JPY has broken out of the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 157.19
1st Support: 155.60
1st Resistance: 158.37
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