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EUR

EURUSD - Time to trap the herd going long?As mentioned in my previous analysis on EURUSD, what I was looking for came to pass. The large swing move did not occur yet, so i'm anticipating one more spike up higher before we head to the downside. I have a few things leaning towards my short bias: 1. Seasonal tendency for the USD is stronger. This is suspect for XXXUSD pairs to be going up. 2. May's monthly candle barely went lower in terms of Power of 3 manipulation, meaning i'm leaning more towards the manipulation being on the upside rather than downside. 3. DXY has my signature R2F Gap where I anticipate a reversal on EURUSD, and EURUSD has a nice area of inefficiency and a Breaker, which are both my favorite models. 4. Other EURUSD correlated assets are engineering Sellside Liquidity for later. A long could be taken higher, but I will be stalking the short setup i've been waiting for. I was open to it being the recent spike lower, but I see now the market is trying to do a multiple switcheroo. This will likely be the last one. So let's see what happens! Exciting times! - R2F
TVC:DXYShort
by Road_2_Funded
EURUSD 1 May 2024 W18 - Intraday Analysis - US FOMC/Powell Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 1 May 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment A day the markets awaits loaded with high impact news events. Starting with US ADP, Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings and ending with Rate Decision and Powell speech. Today's FOMC Statement and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech are eagerly anticipated by the market, as both have the potential to significantly influence the EUR/USD pair. The Dollar Index has advanced as investor focus shifts to these pivotal events. Should the FOMC statement or Powell's comments lean towards a more hawkish stance, indicating a preference for higher interest rates, it could bolster the US dollar and exert downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Conversely, if the statement or remarks lean towards a more dovish stance, suggesting a inclination towards lower interest rates, it could weaken the US dollar and generate some upward movement for the EUR/USD pair. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. No clear Demand zone available to initiate the INT Structure Pullback. Price could continue bearish without Pullback as we are in the Swing Continuation Phase. Expectation is set to continue bearish targeting the Weak Swing Low. 4. With the recent INT Structure turning Bearish confirming the Swing Pullback Phase may had ended, the Swing Bearish Continuation Phase started targeting the Weak Swing Low. Current 4H Supply (FLIP Zone) could provide an opportunity for Shorts after the Bearish iBOS inline with the Bearish Swing and Continuation Phase. Also be mindful that today is loaded with high impact news which will have a high volatility. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish OF Bearish 2. Swing continuing Bearish with Bearish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback. There is no HTF Zone that can be potential for the Swing Pullback Phase. Will wait for INT Structure to turn Bullish to look for Longs. Otherwise i prefer Shorts from the 4H Supply as it aligns with the HTF Bearish Phase and targets. 3. No Clear Demand to initiate the Swing Pullback. Waiting for INT Structure formation.
by Amr-Sadek
Sell EURCAD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level of the channel, ideally around 1.4660 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones: 1.4616: This represents the first level of support within the channel. 1.4588: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 1.4682. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
Buy EURAUD Channel Breakout The EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further gains in the coming hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the channel, ideally around 1.6300 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the previous resistance levels within the channel, now acting as potential support zones: 1.6402: This represents the first level of resistance within the channel. 1.6456: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 1.6290. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards. Thank you
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
17
EURUSD Short-term Bull Flag targeting top of Channel Down.EURUSD held the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support both today and on Friday and is rebounding. This is a short-term Bull Flag within the 4-month Channel Down pattern that is targeting its top (Lower Highs trend-line). As per the previous Bullish Leg of the Channel, we are targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.08300. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURUSD 30 Apr 2024 W18 - Intraday Analysis - EU CPI GDP / US CFThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 30 April 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Sentiment from Monday (April 29th) could carry over to Tuesday, depending on the outcome of Eurozone data releases (CPI, GDP) and US ( Consumer Confidence). A strong Euro today due to positive data might see some continuation. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Sub-Internal Bullish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). A break of the Sub-INT Low, this will confirm that the Pullback Phase maybe is over and we will continue down targeting the INT Low. On the other side if the Sub-INT Structure will stay Bullish, there is a HP we are targeting the mitigation of the Daily Supply. More Price development needed. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Sell: Phase B (HP) Long: Phase C (LP) 2. Swing turned Bearish signaling the probability that the 4H Pullback is maybe over and we may resume the 4H Bearish continuation move. No much change from yesterday, we still ranging within a Bullish INT Structure within a Bearish Swing. Possible Longs from the the current fresh 15m demand but be mindful that we swept the Liquidity below it and the 15m Bearish Swing could continue and run the INT Low. Shorts are currently not my interest till we have another Bearish Swing. 3. 15m Demand within the INT Structure as it could provide a Low Probability Long Phase C trade.
by Amr-Sadek
2
EUR/NZD potential bearish dropPrice is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.79858 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.80981 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Take profit: 1.78414 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURCAD: Geopolitical and Technical AnalysisThe euro is susceptible to fluctuations in energy prices, while the Canadian dollar stands to gain from them. Any developments concerning the conflicts in the Middle East or Ukraine, as well as increased tensions in these regions, could potentially lead to a bearish sentiment for EUR/CAD. However, I believe that the market's reaction to previous events, such as the Iran-Israel conflict, was perhaps exaggerated, and now there seems to be a reevaluation as markets return to their previous positions. We may see this trend persist until the next unexpected development from oil-producing countries I predict the green path, but I'm open to considering the red path as well. This viewpoint incorporates both intraday and long-term trading perspectives. Enter the trade after the zones have been breached.. Regarding the long-term view, just follow the path after breaking the lines
Long
by AliSignals
EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Bias with Short-Term Bullish PotentialTraders, Here's our analysis across different timeframes: Daily Chart: Strong bearish sentiment prevails, supported by a bearish channel formation, signaling potential long-term bearish trajectory. 4-Hour Chart: Consider the high of last week as a prime level for short positions. However, be prepared to switch to a bullish outlook if this level is breached. 15-Minute Chart: Look to short the pair for intraday trading opportunities, with a clear entry point at the cluster of pivot points, a reversal point and previous week high. Be caution and remain adaptable to changing market dynamics. Best regards,
Short
by AliSignals
EURUSD 29 Apr 2024 W18 - Intraday Analysis - GER CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 29 April 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment No major economic data releases are scheduled for Monday, limiting significant movement in the pair. However, the intervention in JPY leading to a USD weakness which will provide support for EURUSD some Bullish stand. Also note that the current week includes EU CPI and US FOMC / NFP which most probably result in a volatility and investors are positioning for that upcoming news events. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Sub-Internal Bullish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). A break of the Sub-INT Low, this will confirm that the Pullback Phase maybe is over and we will continue down targeting the INT Low. On the other side if the Sub-INT Structure will stay Bullish, there is a HP we are targeting the mitigation of the Daily Supply. More Price development from Intraday analysis to confirm a scenario. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Sell: Phase B (HP) Long: Phase C (LP) 2. Swing turned Bearish signaling the probability that the 4H Pullback is maybe over and we may resume the 4H Bearish continuation move. Currently price at a 15m/4H Supply zones that could initiate the Swing continuation phase. Possible Phase B Shorts but be mindful that the 4H INT Structure still Bullish and we may see another deep Swing pullback which will reflect on a Bullish 15m Swing BOS. 3. 15m Demand within the INT Structure as it could provide a Low Probability Long Phase C trade.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EUR/GBP potential bullish rise?Price has just bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to our take profit. Entry: 0.85516 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.85204 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take profit: 0.85856 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD 28/4/24Starting off as we do most weeks with EURUSD we gave out this idea way back at the start of this month and we are finally starting to see price line up with our bias, now of course as always we are waiting for an idea we have to line up and provide context tot the higher time frame move to then allow us to trade on the lower time frames, this is now in play from the view of the 1hr chart as you see marked on our chart here! At the end of last week we had a nice break to the downside leaving some clear spaces for us to watch to confirm this downside shift, after all we spent most of last week travelling up with speed and momentum. now because we see a sign this might be changing i am looking to confirm this and sell into the daily and weekly trend of down! Points to watch this week. FVG on this new hourly range, OB at the top of the range that gave this move the power it currently has. Remember we aren't picking and choosing what price does we trade what it chows us and add relevance and context depending on where it decides to do certain things. Trade what you see, not what you believe you should be seeing!
by PipSurfingSociety
Euro can rebound up to seller zone, breaking resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago rose a little and then made a strong downward impulse to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, breaking the 1.0740 resistance level. After this movement, the EUR turned around and started to rise inside the upward channel, where it firstly a little rose and then declined to the buyer zone. Price some time traded in this area and soon exited from it, making a fake breakout of 1.0625 level and then rose almost to the resistance line of the channel. But soon it turned around and declined to support line of the channel, after which rebounded up, making a fake breakout of the support level one more time. After this movement, the Euro in a short time rose to a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and not a long time ago rebounded and started to decline. At the moment, I think that the EUR can almost decline to the support line of the channel and then rebound up to the seller zone, breaking the resistance level. So, that's why I set my target at the 1.0760 level, which is located in the seller zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
2
EURUSDHello everyone and welcome to the weekly TOP-DOWN analysis. The week was not the most active in terms of position accumulation, but at the same time, it was quite informative. 1D - The daily timeframe continues to be in a short context. The first problematic zone was completely covered, but we did not receive the expected reaction and continued the long movement, overlapping the FVG. The main problematic zone is the FVG formed on April 10 during the news. I believe that after partially overlapping it, we will continue the short movement towards the lower targets.
Short
by yes_pls_max
EURUSD 29-3 May 2024 W18 Weekly Analysis - FOMC / NFP Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 29-3 May 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Potential EUR Upside: Weaker Dollar: The recent US economic data, particularly the lower than expected GDP growth, has weakened the US dollar. This trend could continue if upcoming data disappoints. Eurozone Data: Key Eurozone data releases (flash GDP and CPI) could show signs of improving economic health, boosting the Euro. Potential EUR Downside: Strong US Jobs Report: The highly anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday could show strong job growth, strengthening the dollar. Hawkish Fed: The Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday is a key event. If the Fed signals a more aggressive rate hike path to combat inflation, the dollar will likely strengthen. Overall: The EUR/USD sentiment is currently uncertain. The direction will depend on the outcome of key data releases and the Fed meeting. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. 4. Price currently within a Weekly demand zone that can initiate a minor Pullback for the continuation down to the Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price in a clear corrective move to the upside after tapping the Weekly Demand Zone. We didn't mitigate any HP Supply to initiate the INT Structure continuation phase so the scenario will be that price still could continue to mitigate the Daily Supply Zone. Other scenario that with the corrective more currently we are in price will continue down without the mitigation of a Supply zone. More price development required / LTF confirmations for the 2 scenarios. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Sub-Internal Bullish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). A break of the Sub-INT Low, this will confirm that the Pullback Phase maybe is over and we will continue down targeting the INT Low. On the other side if the Sub-INT Structure will stay Bullish, there is a HP we are targeting the mitigation of the Daily Supply. More Price development from Intraday analysis to confirm a scenario. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD - Long Trade IdeaHello folks, I am generally bearish on EURUSD at the moment, and I am still waiting for lower prices, but we could see more bullish momentum first. The logic behind this is of course to lure more bullish traders into the market, but I also do not see any significantly high impact news yet. However, if you see my other analysis, I am looking for a monthly close below the Monthly iFVG in order to be used as resistance, as mentioned in my previous analysis. That being said, take this trade idea as less than a A+ setup. Most of the probability of this trade lies price being at a ranged Discount, and in the efficacy of my R2F Gap coupled with a possible London Judas Swing. Safe trading! - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
EURO - Price can bounce up from support level to resistance lineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price entered to wedge, where it at once bounced from support line and little rose, but then started to decline. Price fell to resistance area, after which bounced up to resistance line of wedge and then in a short time declined to support line. Also, price broke $1.0845 level, but later EUR rose to resistance area again, exiting from wedge, and some time traded in. Then Euro made downward impulse from resistance area lower support area, after which turned around and started to rise in channel. Inside channel, price broke $1.0670 level and later rose to resistance line, but recently bounced and fell. In my mind, Euro can decline to support level and then bounce up to $1.0765 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
1