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EURUSD 26 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - US PCE Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15 Chart Analysis Market Sentiment PCE as the next hurdle: The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data is the key event today. This data is a crucial inflation indicator for the US Federal Reserve. Potential scenarios based on PCE: Higher than expected PCE: This suggests stronger US inflation, which could bolster the USD. Investors might anticipate a more hawkish stance from the Fed (raising interest rates), making the USD a more attractive investment. This scenario could weaken the Euro. Lower than expected PCE: This suggests cooling inflation, potentially weakening the USD. If inflation is under control, the Fed might be less aggressive with rate hikes, making the USD less appealing. This scenario could strengthen the Euro. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). Current Sub-INT structure doesn't have any clear Demand and we are currently within the Supply Zone formed during the news yesterday and with PCE today, i'd expect high volatility similar to yesterday. Today for me is a day to analyze and not to trade 😃 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. With the Swing containing Bullish and Swing Low did hold the volatility yesterday, I couldn't find a clear POI within the Swing to continue Bullish except the Demand down. Expectations with the current PA is that the Weak Swing High will get run. But be mindful that today US PCE news will have the market ranging till the news. As indicated in the 4H analysis, Today is the day where you analyze and don't trade as more clear setups will be available next week. 3. 15m Demand for possible longs if we are continuing Bullish.
by Amr-Sadek
EUR/GBP potential bearish reversal?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.85856 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.85999 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.85516 Why we like it: There is a pullback support which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Could EUR/CHF reverse from here?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.98001 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.98458 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Take profit: 0.97394 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURNZD intraday dips continue to attract buyers.EURNZD - 24h expiry Bespoke support is located at 1.8000. A lower correction is expected. We look to buy dips. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. Daily signals are mildly bullish. We look to Buy at 1.7995 (stop at 1.7955) Our profit targets will be 1.8095 and 1.8125 Resistance: 1.8050 / 1.8090 / 1.8109 Support: 1.8000 / 1.7980 / 1.7935 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
EURUSD 25 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - US GDP / JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Euro's recent strength: The Euro has gained some ground against the USD lately, fueled by weaker US data and supporting the Pullback Phase after the YTD lows. US data as a game changer: The upcoming US GDP and Jobless Claims reports are the main event. Strong numbers could significantly strengthen the USD, reversing the Euro's recent gains. Cautious market: Investors are holding back until the data is released, creating a wait-and-see sentiment that could limit the Euro's upside potential specially with US PCE Inflation Report tomorrow. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. As price reached the 4H Supply with Bullish OF, price showed a bearish reaction as expected to facilitate a Pullback to recent Demand. Price tapped into the 4H Demand and currently in the momentum to create a new high. As indicated previously, the Liquidity on the left above the 4H Supply and possibly the Swing EQ are the targets. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Long: Phase A Short: Phase C (Require Bearish iBOS) 2. Price mitigation to the 4H Demand. 3. Price turned bullish after mitigating the 4H Demand turning INT structure to Bullish. With INT structure is Bullish, expectations are set that we are going to target the Weak Swing High. But be mindful that we are still within the 4H Supply Zone that is partially mitigated yesterday so Phase A2 after the BOS will be tough. But Phase C will be applicable if we have a Bearish iBOS.
by Amr-Sadek
1
Approaching resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementEUR/AUD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.65020 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 1.65572 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Take profit: 1.64152 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EUR/JPY has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?Price is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 165.195 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 164.439 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 166.00 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EUR/USD: From Disappointing PMI to Dollar DeclineFollowing yesterday's PMI reports, the EUR/USD pair is riding a bullish wave. It's currently trading at 1.0690, up from our starting point at 1.06150. Traders are optimistic about a continued bullish trend, backed by shifting market dynamics and data-driven sentiment. The recent surge in the EUR/USD can be traced back to disappointing PMI results from the US, which triggered a sell-off in the Greenback. This, coupled with uncertainty surrounding the timing of a Federal Reserve rate cut, has weakened the Dollar further. Market expectations for a rate cut have shifted from July to September, adding downward pressure on the Dollar and boosting the Euro's momentum. A key factor driving the Euro's strength is the contrast in monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB). While the Fed navigates economic indicators and inflation pressures, the ECB maintains a dovish stance, hinting at potential easing measures. This divergence favors the Euro as investors seek currencies supported by accommodative central bank policies. Traders are now watching for a successful retest of key resistance levels, particularly around 1.06800. A breakthrough could fuel further upside momentum for the Euro against the Dollar. In summary, the EUR/USD rally reflects the complex interplay of economic data, monetary policy, and market sentiment. As traders adapt to evolving market conditions, opportunities emerge for those who can decipher signals and capitalize on emerging trends. With bullish sentiment prevailing, the EUR/USD pair is poised for further gains, signaling a potential continuation of the Euro's rise against the Dollar.
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD 24 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - US Durable GoodsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment EURUSD is slightly bullish: The Euro is currently showing some strength, having gained yesterday strong Euro data and on weaker US data. Market is cautious: Upcoming US inflation data is keeping investors cautious, potentially limiting gains for the Euro. US Durable Goods will be the watch today for volatility. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. As expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign fora bearish reaction from the 4H Supply. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Long: Phase A2 Short: Phase C (Require Bearish iBOS) 2. Price had created another Bullish Swing BOS aligning with the HTF requirements for a Pullback. Price had reached 4H Supply zone which could initiate the Swing Pullback Phase. For a PB phase to start we need a Bearish iBOS. 3. Current INT Low is the 4H Fractal CHoCH
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD above the 4H MA50 after 2 weeks.The EURUSD pair broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) today for the first time in almost 2 weeks (since April 10). Our long-term bearish Target (1.05500) is intact, as called on April 02 (see chart below): The 4H MA50 test should be a rejection though as it has been done while the pair is forming a Bear Flag. That is similar to the February 12 test which resulted into one final drop on the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Down. We expect a strong medium-term rebound after the price hits 1.05500 and our Target will be 1.0800, which is marginally below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, the mark that priced the March 08 (Lower) High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot