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Euraudanalysis

EURAUD Breakdown: Bearish Continuation Ahead of ECBEURAUD is showing signs of renewed downside pressure as fundamental and technical forces align in favor of Australian dollar strength. With the European Central Bank expected to hold rates steady and provide a cautious growth outlook, the euro remains vulnerable. Meanwhile, upside surprises in Australian inflation and supportive commodity dynamics continue to boost AUD sentiment. Technically, the pair has broken down from a rising wedge, confirming bearish momentum and setting the stage for further declines toward key support near 1.7648 and potentially 1.7500. 🟢 Current Bias: Bearish 🔑 Key Fundamentals: ECB: Markets expect the ECB to hold rates steady this week. While this ends a 7-year streak of cuts, the bank has turned cautiously neutral, with no clear signal of future tightening. Core inflation remains subdued, and growth momentum across Germany and the euro area is weak. RBA & Australia: The RBA faces persistent inflation risks after the June CPI surprised to the upside, putting rate hikes back on the table. The Aussie dollar is drawing strength from this, especially with rising commodity prices and China's potential fiscal stimulus aiding demand-side confidence. Macro Divergence: Australia’s macro picture is improving vs. the eurozone. AUD has tailwinds; EUR is under pressure from stagnant growth and tepid inflation outlook. ⚠️ Risks to Bias: ECB Surprise: A sudden hawkish tone from the ECB (e.g., lifting forecasts or emphasizing wage-driven inflation risk) could spark short-term EUR upside. RBA Softness: A dovish RBA pivot or weak Aussie data could weaken AUD strength and slow EURAUD downside. Geopolitical Risk: Broader global volatility (e.g., US-China, oil disruptions) could cause flows into euro as a semi-safe haven. 📅 Key News/Events to Watch: ECB Rate Decision & Press Conference – July 25 Eurozone Flash GDP + CPI – Next week China industrial data (AUD-sensitive) RBA August Meeting Statement (early Aug) 📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart): Price broke bearish from a wedge consolidation. Minor bullish pullbacks are being sold into, confirming a distribution phase. Targets: 1st Target: 1.76480 (support & fib confluence) 2nd Target: 1.7500–1.7460 zone (major swing low) Resistance: 1.7855–1.7975 zone is key invalidation area. Structure favors lower highs & continuation patterns until support zones break. 🧭 Leader/Lagger Behavior: AUD is leading the move. Strong CPI and China demand backdrop are fueling bullish AUD momentum. EUR is lagging, tracking broader USD risk tone and internal Eurozone data weakness. EURAUD is currently reactive to external forces rather than setting direction for other pairs. ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints Bias: Bearish Fundamentals: Weak Eurozone growth vs. hotter Aussie inflation and hawkish RBA tone. Risk: ECB hawkish tilt or a dovish shift from the RBA. Event to Watch: ECB press conference and Aussie CPI commentary from policymakers. Leader/Lagger: Lagger — following AUD strength rather than leading.
Short
by ultreosforex
20
EURAUD Ready to Bounce? Key Support & Fundamentals Aligned!Today I want to share a Long position idea on EURAUD ( OANDA:EURAUD ) with you. From a fundamental perspective , both the Euro (EUR) and Australian Dollar (AUD) are currently under pressure. However, the Aussie appears fundamentally weaker in the short term, making the EURAUD Long setup more favorable at this stage. AUD Weakness : The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has held rates steady at 3.85%, but recent inflation data has dropped to 2.7%, the lowest in over 3 years. Most economists now expect the RBA to cut rates in its next meeting in August, possibly by 25 basis points. Slowing economic growth and dovish forward guidance from the central bank are weighing heavily on AUD sentiment. EUR Outlook : The European Central Bank (ECB) is also facing weak economic data, but is taking a more cautious approach toward cutting rates. Despite softer PMIs and sluggish growth in countries like Germany and France, the ECB has not confirmed a near-term rate cut, keeping EUR relatively stable. This divergence between the RBA’s dovish stance and the ECB’s pause is supportive of EUR strength against AUD. Summary : With the RBA likely to ease policy soon and the ECB holding ground for now, the interest rate differential favors EURAUD upside. Fundamentals point toward further weakness in AUD, making the EURAUD Long a strategically sound trade idea for the coming days. ------------------------------------------- Now let's analyze the conditions of the EURAUD chart on the 4-hour time frame . EURAUD is currently trading near the Support zone(1.772 AUD-1.763 AUD) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and near the lower line of the descending channel . According to Elliott Wave theory , EURAUD appears to have completed a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect EURAUD to rise to at least 1.784 AUD . Second Target: 1.792 AUD Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.762 AUD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/Australian Dollar Analyze (EURAUD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
16
EURAUD | One Kiss from 1.7906 and I’m In – TP 140 Pips!The big picture of EURAUD is SELL possible up to 1.7750 Spot that H1 BUY range? Inside it, there is conflict. A sneaky SELL range form inside it after rejection H4 BLUE LINE. See that top blue line at 1.7916? It got a gentle kiss from the H4 candle (REJECTION). Then H1 already whispered, "a sweet breakout"! 📌LONG STORY SHORT, I'M SELL AROUND 1.7888 - 7906 If H4 comes and kisses one of the line (just a touch and wick), I’m SELLING — no more playing hard to get. 😘 Other wise, I’ll quietly cry in the corner TP? 1.7750 — that’s a sweet 140-candlelit dinner! WISH ME LUCK...!!!
Short
by tanzaniaforexsignalstanzania
EURAUD – Planning Ahead, Not PredictingAs usual, I have marked my level. 🎯 I’m waiting for the price to reach it and if a valid sell signal appears, I will enter a short position. If the level is broken cleanly, I’ll wait for a pullback and enter a buy trade. We are just traders, not predictors. We have no impact on the market — we are just a tiny part of a huge system. 🧠 So I never say: “Price will come here, then must fall.” That’s not my mindset. My belief is simple: Manage risk, be prepared for everything. One trade won’t make me rich, and I won’t let one trade destroy me. 📌 Stop-loss is the first and last rule. Trading without a stop-loss is just gambling.
Short
by ForexCSP
EURAUD Buy Setup – Advanced Analysis Entry: As marked on chart 🎯 TP1: As highlighted on chart 🎯 TP2: As highlighted on chart 🛑 SL: As defined on chart 📊 Technical Insight: Price has completed a higher low formation, indicating the potential start of a new uptrend phase. The market has shown an accumulation phase followed by a breakout above minor resistance, suggesting strong demand at current levels. Volume analysis supports the breakout, with increased participation on bullish pushes and decreasing volume on retracements, confirming healthy trend dynamics. 📍 As long as price holds above the stop loss zone, we expect continuation towards TP1 and TP2 in line with the primary trend.
Long
by coolbouy
1
EURUAD is in the Buy directionHello Traders In This Chart EUR/AUD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EUR/AUD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EUR/AUD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EUR/AUD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
1
EURAUD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
EURAUD Flag Forming Below 1.80 – Time to Sell the Rally?📈 The Big Picture In mid-February, EURAUD exploded to the upside, gaining over 2000 pips in just two weeks. After peaking near 1.85, the pair corrected sharply, returning to more balanced levels around 1.72. 🕰️ What’s happened since? The market has resumed its climb and just recently made a new local high at 1.81. On the surface, it looks like bulls are still in control – but a closer look reveals warning signs. 🔍 Key structure observations: • The current rally appears to be a measured move, topping out near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous drop • Price structure is overlapping, suggesting weak momentum • A large flag pattern is developing – typically bearish in this context • The pair still trades above the ascending trendline, but a breakdown is looming 📍 Current price: 1.7805 🎯 Swing Trade Plan From a swing trading perspective, I’m looking to sell rallies near the 1.80 zone, with: • Negation: if the price breaks clearly above the recent high • Target: the recent low around 1.7250 – where the last correction ended ________________________________________ 📌 Conclusion: EURAUD may have exhausted its bullish energy. The technical picture suggests we are in the late stage of the rally, with bearish patterns stacking up. Unless bulls manage a clean breakout above 1.80, this looks like a great place to position for a medium-term reversal. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
6
EURUAD is in the Buy direction from the Third TouchHello Traders In This Chart EUR/AUD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EUR/AUD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EUR/AUD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EUR/AUD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EURAUD confirms the continuation of the bearish correction trendEURAUD has just broken the rising channel to start a downtrend. The confirmation is there with the h4 candle closing completely below the support zone of the Price Channel. This corrective downtrend can now extend to the support of 1.766. The support zone is a Break point at the moment 1.778 is a positive DCA point with a SELL Entry above. Support: 1.778-1.766 Resistance: 1.790-1.797 Sell now: Resistance zone 1.79000 Target: 1.778 Support zone, followed by 1.766 lower zone Sell Trigger: Break below 1.778 BUY Trigger: rejection 1.778 Support zone Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Short
by VHT_Trader
EURUAD is in the Buy direction from the Third Touch Hello Traders In This Chart EUR/AUD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EUR/AUD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EUR/AUD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EUR/AUD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EUR/AUD Made Perfect Breakout , Long Setup Valid To Get 150 PipsHere is My 2H T.F Chart and if we have a look we will see that we have a very good breakout after this ascending triangle , the price finally closed above neckline for this pattern and we have a good confirmation so i`m waiting the price to go back to retest this broken neckline and then we can enter a buy trade . and if the price closed below my neckline with daily candle then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Long
by FX_Elite_Club
3
EURAUDBullish Continuation from a Bull Flag Pattern + Break of Structure Bull Flag Pattern Formed After a strong impulsive bullish move, the price forms a consolidation channel (flag), sloping slightly downward. This is a classic bull flag pattern, indicating bullish continuation. Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed The price broke above the flag, showing a BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside. This confirms a potential continuation of the uptrend. Fibonacci Confluence Price retraced to the 61.8–78.6% Fibonacci zone (golden zone), which often acts as a strong reversal area in trending markets. This gives a good risk-to-reward (R:R) opportunity. Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Market Structure) The market is forming HHs (Higher Highs) and HLs (Higher Lows) – typical of a healthy uptrend. Demand Zones Below Several demand zones (blue boxes) support price if it retraces. The strong low marked adds structure-based support beneath the trade entry. Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Setup You’ve set a tight stop loss below structure and a larger take profit aiming at the -61.8% and 100% Fib extensions – a favorable R:R ratio
Long
by AzdrenBytyqi
EUR/AUD 1H – Decision Point Ahead Breakout or Fakeout? Eyes on Confirmation Zone 👁️ EUR/AUD has finally tapped into a critical resistance at 1.79900, a level previously rejected with high volatility. The current price action is testing this ceiling, with signs of strength — but smart money waits for confirmation. What We’re Seeing: 🔹 Uptrend Intact: All EMAs are aligned in bullish order. 🔹 Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed below — a potential area of demand. 🔹 Price now hovering inside the Confirmation Zone — marked by previous highs and psychological resistance. 🔹 Volume building gradually — but breakout volume not confirmed yet. ⚖️ Summary: Trend: Upward Structure: Breakout under test Momentum: Bullish Market Phase: Confirmation / decision point Key Behavior: Watch for commitment or rejection without predicting it
by SLPHOBIA
#EURAUD: Two Swing Bullish Entry Worth Thousands Pips! EURAUD is currently at a critical level, and the price isn’t yet decided for the next move. However, the current price behaviour suggests strong bullish volume presence in the market. There are two areas to buy from. The first is activated, and we think price could just be starting the next bull run from this point. The second entry is a safe point if price does decide to drop further and fill up the daily Fair Value Gap. We wish you the best in trading. If you want to support us, you can do the following: - Like the idea - Comment on the idea - Share the idea If you have any questions or concerns about the analysis or trading in general, please let us know in the comment box. Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
26
EURAUD: Possible Swing Movement of 660 pips expected! FX:EURAUD on daily candles of last few days breakthrough and now dropping back to demand zone where we expect price to bounce strongly and at least we expect target one to accomplished by end of January. While target two and three remain a long away from our current price area. Stop Loss should be below the strong wick of daily candle. From fundamentals side AUD will be weaken and EURO can be bullish for next few months, taking entry will require a strict risk management as this is a swing trade, do not expect to achieve the target in couple of hours or days. Good luck and trade safe.
Long
by Setupsfx_
18