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Eurcadshort

Could 1.50 Resistance Spark Another 1,000 Pip Drop?The EURCAD pair has been steadily rising since the beginning of the year. After a brief stall at the 1.48 weekly resistance, which was broken last month, we have seen a drop and retest of this level, now acting as support. Price has already surpassed last month’s high this week. So, what’s next? The most logical next target for bulls is the 1.50 resistance, a historically tough level to break over the past four years. Each attempt to move past it resulted in the weekly candle closing below the level. If you read a previous idea I posted last year on this pair we sold at the exact same level In fact if you zoom into the daily charts we can see that price is actually stuck in a near 1,000 pip daily range between 1.51 and 1.42 (see image below) I expect price to move up into the top of the range between 1.50 and 1.51. At this point, I will look for sell signals using my TRFX indicator or signs of slowing momentum on lower time frames. To identify slowing momentum, I examine lower time frame charts (4-hour to daily) for price transitioning into a sideways movement pattern as it approaches the sell zone. Divergence signals on the MACD are particularly useful for spotting this momentum shift. My first target for this position is the previous resistance, now support, slightly below 1.48. Price may see a short bounce at this level and possibly retest 1.50, where we can enter another sell signal. Next, I target a move down to February’s weekly swing low at 1.45, followed by a move to the bottom of the range at 1.42. The likely path is charted below. For this trade to be invalidated, we would need to see a weekly or monthly close well above 1.50, indicating buyers aiming for mid-1.50 levels. Given past reactions at 1.50 and the significance of this high time frame (HTF) level, a sell position is the most realistic approach for now. Let me know your thoughts below.
Short
by TheFxAce
9
EURCAD | Short D1 | Market Exec |Oil Over EuroTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frame. D1 is also entering Overbought Conditions. - Price action is at last month's Resistance Trendline - Price action is in a Consolidation zone - Targeting the 38.2% Fibo retracement Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - ECB plans to cut interest rate next month would weaken the EUR - Oil price should sustain with all the ongoing geopolitical risks; supporting CAD economy Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.4760 - 1.4790 SL @ 1.4820 TP 1 @ 1.4709 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.4664 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.34 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
SELL STOP SHORT EUR/CAD at 1.4713EUR/CAD has been carving out a sideways channel since Friday and the bottom of this channel coincides with the 200 EMA on 15M time frame which is also the 50EMA on H1. A break out of this channel and a break of the supporting EMA's would suggest we are headed lower. If we look at the H4 time frame we can see where the 200 EMA has supported the price and this looks a natural target for EUR/CAD BEARS should the 1.4716 support break. Price ALWAYS returns to the 200 EMA eventually and of course this happens more frequently on the lower time frames. On H1 we last saw the 200 EMA hit last Friday so we can expect to see the price gravitate to this key support level before long and a break of 1.4716 could see the start of a move south. There is no scheduled news expected from the EURO zone and the next CAD news is Fridays CAD Unemployment Change and Unemployment Rate so the the price should drift lower over the next few days as long as the channel is broken.
Short
by forextraplaces
Sell EURCAD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level of the channel, ideally around 1.4730 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones: 1.4677: This represents the first level of support within the channel. 1.4645: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 1.4745. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
4
EURCAD - Potential long ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on EURCAD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block. Fundamental news: Next week on Friday we will see results of Unemployment Rate on CAD, news with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
Sell EURCAD Ascending TriangleThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of an ascending triangle pattern. Potential Short Trade : Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the triangle after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.4710 or lower if the price continues to decline. Target Levels: 1.4655: This represents the height of the triangle, measured from the apex (highest point) to the base (horizontal line), projected downwards from the breakout point. 1.4630: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the triangle, ideally with some buffer around 1.4732. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
24
Sell EURCAD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level of the channel, ideally around 1.4660 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones: 1.4616: This represents the first level of support within the channel. 1.4588: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 1.4682. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
7
EURCAD Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #euroloonie (#EURCAD) #trading chart 📉. This is indicated by the #bearish inverted pin bar candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 1.47313 horizontal resistance level. This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward ⬇️ direction (#sell). Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 1.46000 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 1.45782 horizontal support level. As always, please apply appropriate risk management. Happy trading! #crosspair
Short
by charles-okoukoni
3
I'll tell you the exact rebound spot for #EURCADHello friends nice to meet you all hope you have a good day #EURCAD When you look at the big picture, It is moving sideways, drawing a BOX pattern. By looking at the important tail zone in the past wave and calculating the angle of the short-term trend line, a RED short-term trend line was created. With the current decline, There will be a rebound near the bottom of the red short-term downtrend line or BOX, and candles will go towards touching the top of the BOX.
Long
by EAGLE_S_S
4
FX Wars Episode 2 - Attack of the CAD clones!Round 2, Fight! Result Round 1 see here: After my first EURCAD short hit the target and the EURCAD made a nice retracement to the upper edge of the range, I basically enter the same trade again: I split the trade into 2 positions: I short the EURCAD once here directly and at the same time place a limit order at the current range high of 1.51000. I place the take profit at 1.41000. A tasty 1000 pips profit awaits me :) I have already explained the reasons for this in detail in the 1st episode. A summary: Once upon a time, a long, long time ago, there was a confused rebellion by the European Central Bank (ECB). It erred in almost all important matters and plunged the European economy into a severe crisis. The beneficiaries are the renegade followers of the CAD empire, including myself. They are (once again) profiting from the sheer ignorance and short-sightedness of the ignorant ECB Council by shorting the EURCAD. - As predicted back in July, inflation in the eurozone fell far faster than the ECB and the market had expected. - At the same time, eurozone GDP was also far worse than expected (as I had predicted, see commentary of 6 September. - The ECB is (once again) wrong on all counts and is reluctant to utter the forbidden words "interest rate cuts". The most important ECB members do not see the possibility of considering interest rate cuts until the end of 2024 at the earliest -> This is a fallacy and the market will already be discussing interest rate cuts with the ECB at length in Q1 -> I see a high probability that we will be very close to the ECB's first rate cut as early as April 2024. More will of course follow in 2024. To be continued...
Short
by PrimeTrading
10
You will short the EUR ... and you will be happy - WEFThe ECB is (once again) on the wrong track: It is stubbornly sticking to its hawkish view and justifying this with the fact that inflation in the euro area will remain stubbornly "sticky" and will probably not reach the target range of 2% until 2025. The ECB is wrong (once again), as inflation will hover around 3% as early as December 2023 and reach the 2% target mark in the first half of 2024 at the latest (bullseye!). The hawks of the ECB are thus adorning themselves with borrowed plumes and will soon (have to) reveal their dovish face. However, since the strong negative disinflation effects will only take full effect from September onwards and core inflation will definitely remain stable in July and August, the ECB will not abandon its planned interest rate hike in July and the European Central Bank could (unfortunately) also be expected to implement a final rate hike in September. However, these would not be necessary; on the contrary, they will weigh heavily on the already struggling eurozone economy and force the ECB to revise its GDP growth forecasts downwards soon. -> Germany is a cautionary, recessionary example here! -> All these points (stronger than expected falling inflation + ailing economy) will hurt the euro, which makes me see a promising short opportunity in the EURCAD. I have given a detailed insight into the strength of the Canadian economy in my CADCHF trade idea. Translated with www.DeepL.com (free version)
Short
by PrimeTrading
13
EURCAD possible shortPotential short opportunity from this supply zone on EURCAD if price were to pullback and fulfil the imbalance it has left behind. We are in an overall downtrend on the hourly timeframe, so for me, I'm on the lookout for selling opportunities. I like this supply zone because it has created a break of market structure to the downside which tells me it is a strong high which institutions may fight to hold. If price does retrace and mitigate said supply zone, I myself will be awaiting a further confirmation before entering a sell position to the low of the leg.
Short
by I0996
1
EURCAD H1 / POTENTIAL SHORT TRADE EXECUTION Hello Traders! This is my forecast for EURCAD H1. I expect the price to take the OB level after that, I will wait for a short trade confirmation as I see the structure continuously bearish. Wait for confirmation! Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also, share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ____________________________________ www.tradingview.com
Short
by GoodTradeST
EURCAD I It will keep dropping and bounce from channel support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** EURCAD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
by BKTradingAcademy
1
EUR/CAD SHORT from 1.4769The shocking CAD CPI news released an hour ago (CPI missed by .3%) has seen a sustained period of CAD SELLING and now this BULLISH EUR/CAD strength is faltering as it is across all CAD pairs and we look to be entering a period of SELLING in order to unwind overbought RSI readings. On the H1 time frame we have a potential double top at WR1 though the second candle has not yet completed and there's every possibility that EUR/CAD BULLS haven't finished with this market and may attempt to send the price higher. We do have a confirmed SELL signal on the Andean Oscillator and the current H1 candle seems certian to be a doji so there are confirming signs that this pair may be headed south. With a STOP above the recent high at 1.4774 we can get this trade on with a tight 13 pip STOP and hope that we can get a breakeven stop in the next hour if the price does indeed head south. This is a soft STOP however and it will be adjusted if we get a burst of buying that threatens the STOP but as this buying would be sending the RSI back into o.b. then I expect SELLERS to eventually push the price back south. Its by no means a done deal this trade and its always risky trading against the news with CAD being overwhelming BEARISH but buyers are certain to enter this market, its just a question of when. Hopefully its now.
Short
by forextraplaces