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Eurchfsell

0.92 In Focus: Imminent Reversal or New Lows Ahead?Are we about to see a double bottom reversal, or will price break down again? Going back to my idea posted in December 2023 (see related post), we had a great buying opportunity on the dip below 0.94, followed by a strong rally towards parity, falling just 80 pips short. That upward move ended in May, and since then, the price has broken down again, with last month taking out last year's low, hitting a new all-time low at 0.921. So, what’s next? Will the price continue to break down, or are we seeing signs of a double bottom reversal on the weekly charts? Let’s break it down. On the weekly charts, after hitting the new low last month, we saw a strong reaction with a nearly 360-pip rally before the price broke down again. Zooming into the daily charts (image below), it looks like we could see a move back down under 0.93 into the marked buy zone. Looking more closely at the daily chart with the MACD indicator, there are signs of a double bottom pattern forming, along with bullish divergence, signaling a potential buying opportunity on dips below 0.93. Supporting this further, divergence signals are also forming on the 4-hour charts (see image below), with the price slowly grinding down while the MACD moves higher. This is clear evidence that momentum is slowing as we approach a key higher-timeframe area of interest. Given these signals, I expect one final breakdown under 0.93, followed by a strong rally. However, I won’t be blindly entering buy trades here. Instead, I’ll wait for the final push down and look for BUY signals on my TRFX indicator from the 4-hour to daily timeframes, with the strongest signal likely appearing on the daily. If this setup plays out, I fully expect a move back up to test parity, with my first target being last month’s high at 0.958, where we could encounter some resistance. The second target will be the 2024 high at 0.992. For this setup to be invalidated, we would need to see a clear weekly break and close below 0.925. Let me know your thoughts below! :)
Long
by TheFxAce
6
7 Dimension Sell Setup for EURCHFCORE Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: H1 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish with CHoCH 🟢 Structure Behavior: After a proper CHoCH, price reaches its extreme POI and previous high level, sweeping swing liquidity. Given the already bearish character, there is a high chance of further downside movement. 🟢 Internal Structure: Shows weakness with consolidation formation. 🟢 POI: Since liquidity is always swept at the extreme high, this is a high-probability sell area. 2️⃣ Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Reversal: Rounding Patterns, Double top. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Momentum: BUY Side FOMO appeared, followed by strong bearish candles at this point. 3️⃣ Volume 🟢 Volume on Breakout: Indicates no significant volume on the bullish side; bears are more in control at this point. 🟢 Volume: Increases whenever bearish candles are observed. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI 🟢 Range Shift: From bullish to sideways, with a preceding divergence and a loud move indicating loss of momentum. 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands 🟢 Squeeze Breakout: With walking on the band, forming on the bearish side. 6️⃣ Strength: Bears are taking control. 7️⃣ Sentiment: Highly bearish. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish, with liquidity sweep at extreme POI. 💡 Decision: Sell at opening. 🚀 Entry: 0.9749 ✋ Stop Loss: 0.9762 🎯 Take Profit: 0.9604 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 11RR 🕛 Expected Duration: 5 days SUMMARY The analysis identifies a bearish swing structure on the H1 time frame, marked by a Change of Character (CHoCH) and a move towards an extreme Point of Interest (POI). The price has swept swing liquidity, and with an already bearish character, there's a high probability of continued downside. Internal structure shows weakness with consolidation, indicating bearish control. Reversal chart patterns such as rounding patterns and double tops are noted, along with significant bearish candle patterns following initial BUY side FOMO. Volume analysis indicates increased bearish volume compared to bullish, suggesting bears are gaining control. Momentum indicators, including RSI, show a range shift from bullish to sideways with preceding divergence and loss of momentum. Bollinger Bands indicate a bearish squeeze breakout, with strength favoring the bears. Sentiment is highly bearish, leading to a decision to sell at opening. Entry is planned at 0.9749 with a stop loss at 0.9762 and a take profit target at 0.9604, providing an 11:1 risk to reward ratio. The expected duration for this trade setup is 5 days, contingent on continued bearish momentum and price behavior as outlined.
Short
by Optimum369
EUR/CHF - Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern Signals Bearish TrendThe EUR/CHF currency pair is currently exhibiting a Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour chart. Point D, identified as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), aligns with a critical Key Resistance area and intersects with a significant 4-hour Trend Line. This confluence of factors strengthens our bearish bias and suggests a potential bullish trend reversal from Point D. Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern: The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern is a reliable technical indicator that signals potential reversal points in the market. In this case, the pattern's completion at Point D indicates a high probability of a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. This is supported by the alignment of Point D with a Key Resistance area and a 4-hour Trend Line, providing additional validation for this setup. Confluence Factors: Key Resistance Area: Point D coincides with a significant resistance level that has historically impeded upward price movement. 4-hour Trend Line: The intersection of Point D with the 4-hour Trend Line further confirms the likelihood of a bearish-to-bullish reversal. Trade Setup: Entry Point: 0.98030 Stop Loss: 0.98400 Take Profit Levels TP-1: 0.97655 TP-2: 0.97280 TP-3: 0.96900 Conclusion: The confluence of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern, Key Resistance area, and 4-hour Trend Line suggests a high probability of a bullish trend reversal from Point D. Traders should consider entering at 0.98030, with a stop loss at 0.98400, and aim for the specified take profit levels. This setup offers a strategic opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated market reversal.
Short
by trading_jupiter
EUR/CHF Harmonic Pattern Analysis: Anticipating Bearish Reversal___________________ Technical Analysis of EUR/CHF __________________________ Harmonic Pattern Analysis: EUR/CHF has recently formed an XABCD harmonic pattern, indicating a potential reversal in the current trend. This pattern has manifested itself alongside the key resistance area, suggesting a significant level where bearish pressure may intensify. Entry Strategy: Considering the formation of the harmonic pattern and the positioning of the price at the key resistance area, it is advisable to initiate a short position near 0.98010. This entry point aligns with the anticipated bearish move from point D of the harmonic pattern. Risk Management: To effectively manage risk, a stop-loss order should be placed near 0.98370. This level is strategically chosen to mitigate potential losses in case of adverse price movements beyond our anticipated entry point. Profit Targets: Profit-taking objectives are set as follows: - TP-1: 0.97650 - TP-2: 0.97295 - TP-3: 0.96918 These profit targets are based on technical analysis and aim to capitalize on potential downward price movements in EUR/CHF. Conclusion: In conclusion, the technical analysis of EUR/CHF suggests a bearish outlook, with the formation of a harmonic pattern and price action near a key resistance area. By adhering to the outlined entry, risk management, and profit-taking strategies, traders can position themselves to potentially capitalize on the anticipated bearish move in the currency pair.
Short
by trading_jupiter
7
EUR/CHF SELL from .9617 Looking at the last 12 candles on H1 we can see a triple top at a line of resistance at .9228/30 and the last 3 candles all have long wicks forming another triple top and if the current candle continues south, this will be a quadruple top. Its clear that there is an almighty struggle for domination of this pair between the BULLS and the BEARS and with the fast MA moving down over the slow MA on H1 MACD and RSI now reading 55 whereas it was over 70, the suggestion is that EUR/CHF BEARS are taking control. Adding to this analysis is The Andean Oscillator that now has the green BUY line under the signal line and the red SELL line climbing off zero and starting to head north. All the technicals suggest we are headed lower so I'm SHORT with a hard STOP above the high at .9630 (13 pips). Target for this trade is the 200 EMA at .9592 which is just below the WPP mid pivot. As ever though , the target may change depending on momentum.
Short
by forextraplaces
EURCHF Analysis (➡️RR=2.05)🏃‍♂️ EURCHF is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone(0.970 CHF_0.940 CHF) 🔴, 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡, 🟡 Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) 🟡and near the Resistance line and Upper line of Ascending Channel . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks . 🔔I expect EURCHF to start going down at least to the 🎯 Target 🎯 I have marked on the chart. Euro/Swiss Franc Analyze (EURCHF), 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe
Short
by pejman_zwin
1
Just closed buys at EURCHFWhat's up folks, Just closed my buy on EURCHF Let me explain These are my confirmations\questions > Question 1 - Was EURCHF in momentum (bullish or bearish)? Yes, EURCHF is in bullish Momentum currently Question 2 - Who is interested (at this time)? Buyers are interested at this time Question 3 - Where are their stop losses? Stop losses would have been right below the highlighted levels (orange circle) Question 4 - Have those stop losses been taken out? Yes I believe Stop losses have been taken out already on EURCHF (orange zig zag line) Question 5 - Does the set up make sense for me to pursue? Yes I believe it makes sense for me to pursue this trade given the information I have The trade was closed at 1:1.52, not the biggest or best trade but after almost 2 days, it isn't doing much so I will take what I have and run with it I have many more confirmations I look for, this is just to simplify it so that I can quickly explain to you the reader Downvote if you didn't read this post and didn't try to understand OR Upvote if you did read this post and did try to understand
Long
by Brandon_evo4
EUR/CHF SELL tradeWe've seen the Swissy under pressure across all pairs since the start of the year. I'm out of position SHORT GBP/CHF but still believing we're going to see alarge move south on this and other CHF pairs. EUR/CHF is now signalling a SELL trade on Pivot Point SuperTrend and although the Andean Oscillator is still waiting to catvh up, its no longer BULLISH and I expect the red SELL line of the A.O. to start heading north as the price declines. The EMA's are lloking BEARISH with the 25 crossoing the 50 and both these pointing south. There are headwinds coming from the 100 EMA at .9436 which I don't expect to hold up SHORT trades but the 200 EMA at .9408 may well do so. Thats 36 pips away so the position wil have to be re-evaluated should price make it down there.
Short
by forextraplaces
7 Dimensions Bearish Analysis for EURCHF 🕛 TOPDOWN Analysis Yearly: Super bearish Monthly: Just broke the bearish structure Weekly: Also just broke bearish structure 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: H4 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish 🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS) 🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive move is fully intact 🟢 Inducement: Not done yet, but a bearish buildup suggests more bearish momentum may occur. 🟢 Internal Structure: Totally sideways 🟢 Decisional and Ext OB: Both unmitigated. 🟢 Support Breakout: Awaiting; at CIP, a re-entry opportunity may arise. Buildup and prebreak qualities indicate strong bearish momentum. 🟢 Traps: fakeout at the bottom support; in this situation, a rebreakout is expected for continuation. 🟢 Time Frame Confluence: H4 2️⃣ Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Continuation - Fall and Base, Symmetric triangle at the base. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: In a sideways market, candlestick patterns might gain importance at the support or triangle breakout. 3️⃣ Volume 🟢 Fixed Range: Very high volume structure breakout. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI 🟢 Zone: Currently in a bearish to correction zone, technically indicating a bearish trend. 🟢 Divergence: Hidden bearish at the last two internal swings. 🟢 Grandfather Father Son Entries: A 7-star setup is present for bearish. 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands 🟢 Full Tight Contraction: Squeeze breakout awaited. 🟢 Walking on the Band: Highly expected. 6️⃣ Strength According to ROC 🟢 Values: EUR 2.72 vs CHF 6.55 7️⃣ Sentiment ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4 ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish ☑️ Current Move: Sideways ✔ Support Resistance Base: Triangle ☑️ Candles Behavior: Bears appear stronger. 💡 Decision: Sell 🚀 Entry: 0.9261 ✋ Stop Loss: 0.9366 🎯 Take Profit: 0.91060, 2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO. 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3 🕛 Expected Duration: 15 days SUMMARY: The market is exhibiting a bearish bias, with a clear breakdown of yearly, monthly, and weekly structures. The H4 timeframe reveals a robust bearish setup, awaiting confirmation of a support breakout for potential sell entries. Various indicators, including volume and momentum, support the bearish sentiment. The analysis recommends selling with a defined risk-to-reward ratio and a 15-day expected duration.
Short
by Optimum369
2
EURCHF Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn the recent times, EURCHF has demonstrated a strong downtrend, indicating significant potential opportunities. This video presents an analysis of this trend, looking at price movements on both the weekly and daily charts. Get ready for a quick exploration of price fluctuations, market trends, trend analysis techniques, and crucial technical aspects. This evaluation aims to provide insights into potential trading prospects within this trend. Please note, the content presented here is purely educational. It's crucial to emphasize that while the analysis provides valuable information, it should not be interpreted as financial advice or guidance.
Short
by fxtraderanthony