6E1! Futures Ideas for the next daysSome ideas of possible operations on Future FX 6E for the next few days. I intend to apply them as intraday hedging positions, as an alternative to my usual scalping.
Specifically, before carrying out my possible operations, I will need to have volumetric confirmation and volatility indications that reflect the previous conditions to determine a real interest in those price areas
Let's see how the situation will evolve.
Please do not take any of these ideas as a possible operational invitation.
These are personal impressions, and do not want to give rise to any kind of investment
Eurfx
EUR is setting for declineSome time ago we have talked about EUR COT reports. Swing traders should focus on taking sell signals. Commercials are short this market, while retailers are heavily buying. We saw almost the same in 2018 before a big decline in EUR. I believe the story repeats. However, we don’t have a good entry yet. I have a feeling price will make false breakup before the trend starts. But the market doesn’t have to follow my feelings )) Besides, the evaluation index shows EUR is overvalued. Short-term traders can continue to trade in the range with tight stop loss. But our main focus is on taking sell signals, like swing failure, etc. Many data will be released the coming week, including retail sales, Empire State, Philadelphia Fed, and June University of Michigan consumer sentiment reports scheduled along with the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book. Possibly it will be driving power to break out of the range. We have to monitor COVID cases in the USA and government response to it. At the moment it is one of the most important fundamental factors for the American dollar and it will have an impact on EUR.
Euro future will go upThe price is approaching an important area of support, it has created a triangle, and price will easily bounce up towards the highest trendline at about 1.0980. Volume of trading is low because price is in a consolidation phase, during next weeks we will see higher amount of volume and stronger movements. Keep in your mind that the long term trend is bearish, so use a stop loss to protect your money.
Enjoy your trading!!!
Francesco
Euro In Trouble For Continued Downside Against The Dollar We saw a strong bounce off of the 61.8% fibonacci zone, but we're coming up on a strong resistance that was previously a strong support.
I like to play these Support/resistance flips the first time they test it as the supply usually keeps the price from moving through the level and they are nice shorts with a strong RR for less risk.
I have a relatively tight stop as I could also see a potential push through the resistance to the top diagonal resistance level that we've seen hold back the price several times now.
I don't foresee that happening though, but it's important to weigh all the angles when looking at a trade.
If I get stopped out, I may take another go at it from that level also as it has confluence with both diagonal and horizontal resistances.
On the daily, the 20MA is lining up with our short zone nicely for a possible retest.
On the 240 (4 hour), we are also seeing a possible retest of the 30MA, that has been very pivotal for the FX:EURUSD chart as you can see it used it as support on it's most recent rally.
Looking at the macro picture, we can see we've got a gap way down below around the 78.6% level as well as a bearish picture that is being painted for a full retrace back to the bottom for a potential double bottom.
Listening to Chairman Powell's comments on the US Economy from 60 minutes aligns with my trade thesis as he stated that the US economy looks healthy on every metric and we should see continued growth into 2019 without any rake heights from the Fed.
As always, manage your risk and try and maintain at least a 2:1 or 3:1 RR on all of your trades to maintain profitability in the long run.
This is a small swing trade position on the smaller time frame, but if we do break that 61.8% level and the blue line from previous support doesn't hold, next supports are a ways down based on the VPVR as well as the fibonacci level.
Cheers and happy trading!