EURGBP | 14.11.2024SELL 0.83150 | STOP 0.83600 | TAKE 0.82700 | Technical data suggests that the EURGBP pair will continue to move in a downward trend with possible slowdown dynamics. The pound shows more stable dynamics, supported by neutral macroeconomic indicators and a smoother decline in interest rates.
EURGBP
EURGBP Channel Down but short-term rebound expected.The EURGBP pair is trading within a 1-year Channel Down pattern since the November 16 2023 High. Three days ago the price made a Lower Low at the bottom of the pattern and rebounded. This was also on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, which based on the previous Bearish Leg, has high probabilities of sustaining a Bullish Leg.
Assuming the symmetry with January - April 2024 holds, we turn bullish now on this pair, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 0.84375.
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Potential bullish bounce?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8303
1st Support: 0.8268
1st Resistance: 0.8341
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.8268 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8320
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.8242
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/GBP at Critical Support: Is a Move Higher on the Horizon?The EUR/GBP pair has been in a persistent downtrend since February 2023, reflecting the strengthening of the Pound against the Euro. However, after more than 1.5 years of decline, the pair is beginning to show potential signs of exhaustion on the daily chart. Recently, an “Engulfing” candlestick pattern has formed, suggesting a possible reversal or at least a significant correction before any further continuation of the downtrend. This brings forth two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: Immediate Upside
One possible scenario is that EUR/GBP begins to rise from its current position near 0.8330, without a significant pullback. The bullish engulfing pattern formed over the past two days may indicate buyer interest, suggesting that the pair has found critical support.
Possible Buy Entry:
An immediate buy entry could target the resistance level at 0.8440 as the final objective.
Stop Loss:
A suitable stop loss could be placed just below the support level on the daily chart.
Scenario 2: Retracement Before the Rally
Another possibility is that EUR/GBP retraces to the 0.8297 region, which corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent upward movement, before continuing higher. This type of retracement is common and can significantly enhance the risk/reward ratio of the trade when managed effectively.
Possible Buy Entry:
A buy entry could be initiated if the price reaches the 0.8297 level, targeting the previous resistance at 0.8440.
Stop Loss:
A stop loss positioned below the support level on the daily chart would be prudent to guard against an unexpected break of support.
Combining the two possibilities.
Given the uncertainty around which entry point will yield the best results (immediate or after a retracement), a strategic approach could be to enter with a smaller lot at the current price and follow up with additional entries if the price retraces to the 50% Fibonacci level.
By doing so, if the price begins to rise immediately, you can take advantage of the uptrend with a smaller position. Conversely, if the price does retrace, you would already have the full-sized position ready to take advantage of a better risk/reward scenario.
Alternative Scenario: Breaking Support
It is crucial to acknowledge that, despite the pair being at a significant support level on the daily chart, there remains a risk of a breakdown below this level. If the support at 0.8263 is breached, the bullish scenario would be invalidated, and we could see a continuation of the downtrend consistent with the prevailing movement since February 2023.
Possible Short Entry:
Traders might consider entering short following a confirmed break below 0.8263, targeting the 0.8100 region, which represents the next important support level on the daily chart.
The EUR/GBP pair is at a pivotal juncture, displaying signs of exhaustion after an extended downward trend. The forthcoming price movements—particularly around the current support zone—will be crucial in determining whether we witness a significant correction or a continuation of the decline. Traders should remain alert for confirmation signals before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
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EURGBP Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.833.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.828 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/GBP has reacted off the resistance level which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.8336
1st Support: 0.8301
1st Resistance: 0.8354
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/GBP has reacted off the resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8336
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8369
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8320
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Join My Bullish EUR/GBP Journey!Hey Traders! Today, I'm excited to share my bullish trade idea on the EUR/GBP currency pair. As we navigate through the current market dynamics, I believe there are several key fundamentals supporting this upward bias.
Current Market Fundamentals
- Economic Indicators: The upcoming release of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) retail sales data is anticipated to show positive trends, which could strengthen the GBP. A robust consumer spending report can create a favorable environment for the Euro to gain against the Pound.
- Market Sentiment: Recent bullish candlestick patterns on the H4 chart suggest a potential reversal in the EUR/GBP pair. The price is currently hovering near the middle Bollinger Band, indicating a possible breakout.
- Technical Setup: The pair is trading between the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting consolidation with potential for upward movement. This technical setup aligns with my bullish sentiment.
Utilizing Probabilities for Positioning
In my trading strategy, I emphasize the importance of probabilities to make informed decisions. Here’s why:
- Statistical Edge: By analyzing historical price movements and current market conditions, I can identify patterns that have a higher likelihood of repeating. This statistical approach helps me gauge potential outcomes more effectively.
- Risk Management: Using probabilities allows me to set realistic targets and stop-loss levels, ensuring that I manage risk while maximizing potential gains. For instance, if historical data shows a 70% success rate for bullish movements after similar setups, I can confidently position myself for long trades.
- Adaptability: Markets are dynamic; therefore, employing a probabilistic mindset enables me to adapt my strategy based on real-time data and changing conditions. This flexibility is crucial in maintaining an edge in trading.
Conclusion
With a bullish bias on EUR/GBP backed by solid fundamentals and a robust technical setup, I am ready to position myself for long trades using probabilities as my guiding principle.
Let’s keep an eye on the upcoming economic data releases and market movements that could further validate this trade idea.
Feel free to share your thoughts or any questions you may have! Happy trading!
1M:
2W:
2H:
P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out.
EURGBP possible 250pips Currently near lows last time seen almost 3 years ago. Opening here a small position just in case we dont see a pull back from this possible break out.
Will be adding more as price falls below .8350
Expecting the next economic data from GBP to be the main driver of this price action..
This analysis its invalidated if price makes a new low
EURGBP Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURGBP is below:
The market is trading on 0.8394 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.8363
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.8411
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/GBP Support ZoneEUR/GBP is currently trading at a strong weekly support level. This area has historically acted as a key turning point, providing solid buying opportunities. The pair shows signs of potential reversal, with buyers stepping in to defend this level. Target the next resistance level for profit, with a stop-loss set just below the support to manage risk.
EUR/GBP Support ZoneEUR/GBP is currently trading at a strong weekly support level. This area has historically acted as a key turning point, providing solid buying opportunities. The pair shows signs of potential reversal, with buyers stepping in to defend this level. Target the next resistance level for profit, with a stop-loss set just below the support to manage risk.
EURGBP to find sellers at previous resistance?EURGBP - Intraday
Previous resistance located at 0.8350.
The lack of interest is a concern for bulls.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
We look to Sell at 0.8345 (stop at 0.8367)
Our profit targets will be 0.8290 and 0.8275
Resistance: 0.8325 / 0.8350 / 0.8375
Support: 0.8306 / 0.8295 / 0.8280
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EURGBP: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
EURGBP
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURGBP
Entry Level - 0.8319
Sl - 0.8300
Tp - 0.8358
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURGBP Will Grow! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.833.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.838 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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