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EURGBP

EUR/GBP: Ready to reach the level 0.83!The EUR/GBP exchange rate is currently in a bearish phase, trading near 0.8440 as of January 15, 2025. The key resistance level at 0.8445, which has been a significant barrier since September, has once again hindered upward attempts. The recent downward pressure has been influenced by the halt in the rally of UK gilt yields, following weaker-than-expected inflation data. This factor, combined with growing concerns about stagflation in the UK, creates an unfavorable environment for the Pound, increasing the likelihood of a dovish stance from the Bank of England. On the European side, the stabilization of inflation in the Eurozone provides relative support for the Euro, further reinforcing the bearish sentiment on the EUR/GBP pair. Key upcoming events in the short term include the BoE rate decision on January 25, 2025, which could significantly impact the Pound: a more accommodative stance would further weaken the British currency, favoring an upward movement in the pair. This will be followed by the Eurozone GDP data release on February 2, 2025, and the PMI results for both the UK and the Eurozone in early February, with the potential to influence market dynamics depending on the relative strength of their economies. Market sentiment remains oriented toward short-term stability, with limited movements expected until new significant signals emerge from economic data or central bank decisions.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
3
EURGBP Potential correctionThe EURGBP market recently tested the November high, creating a false breakout on the 4-hour timeframe after sweeping liquidity above the 0.84500 level. Following five consecutive bullish days, a retracement may be on the horizon. Despite the price continuing to register higher highs, a bearish divergence has emerged, signaling a potential loss of upward momentum. With the market now testing the monthly high alongside this bearish divergence, a downward move from the resistance level and channel border appears likely. The key focus is on the support zone around 0.83710
Short
by RTED_Investing
1
EURGBP Massive Short! SELL! My dear subscribers, EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.8399 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 0.8424 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.8350 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
3
EURGBP - Potential Sell From Key Resistance ZoneThe EURGBP pair is approaching a significant supply zone, marked by historical price reactions and strong resistance levels. The current market structure suggests the potential for a reversal from this area if sellers regain control. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection from this supply zone, the market is likely to move downward toward the 0.83611 level. This setup aligns with the idea of trend exhaustion near resistance. If you have additional insights or an alternative perspective, feel free to share your thoughts!
Short
by DanieIM
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 0.8361 1st Support: 0.8263 1st Resistance: 0.8490 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
EURGBP - Look for a long position !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on EURGBP. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish OB + level 0.83000. Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Wednesday (GMT+2) we will see results of yearly CPI on GBP, news with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
EURGBP Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURGBP below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8378 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.8330 Safe Stop Loss - 0. 8403 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURGBP - Will the pound continue to fall?The EURGBP currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. The continued rise of this currency pair towards the supply zone will provide a position to sell it with a suitable risk reward. In case of downward correction, we can buy within the demand zone. Yesterday, Reeves, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, faced questions from Members of Parliament following a significant increase in the sale of UK government bonds. Sir Lindsay Hoyle, the Speaker of the House of Commons, accepted an urgent query raised by Conservative opposition members. This compelled Reeves to appear in Parliament on Thursday morning, as the yield on 10-year UK government bonds surged to 4.93%, the highest level since 2008. The pound also dropped during this market turmoil, reaching $1.224, its weakest level since November 2023. The rising yields on UK government debt have posed a serious challenge to Reeves’ fiscal plans, constraining the government’s borrowing capacity under its budgetary rules. Borrowing costs have spiked as investors grow increasingly concerned about the government’s heavy borrowing needs and the mounting risk of stagflation. Jones, a senior official at the UK Treasury, stated that only the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) could predict the impact of bond market movements on the fiscal outlook. He emphasized that the government remains committed to strict fiscal rules, ensuring public spending stays within budget limits. He also noted that public services must operate within their allocated resources, dismissing the need for any emergency intervention by the Treasury. Meanwhile, Breeden, a member of the Bank of England, commented that recent data suggest it may be time to ease restrictive policies.She expressed the need to understand the causes behind the slowdown in economic activity and how employers are coping with higher hiring costs. While economic activity appears somewhat subdued, Breeden added that it is expected to rebound. According to a Citi/YouGov survey, UK households’ one-year inflation expectations have risen to 3.7%, while their long-term inflation expectations have climbed to 3.9%. Concurrently, the UK Debt Management Office plans to syndicate and reissue the 4.375% 2040 bonds in the week starting January 20. This move aims to finance the government and manage public debt. Separately, Cipollone of the European Central Bank remarked that monetary policy should enable the Eurozone economy to operate at full capacity while avoiding demand reductions that could trigger inflationary shocks. He highlighted structural issues in Europe’s industrial sector, including declining productivity relative to the US and excessive reliance on foreign technological solutions. Cipollone further noted that Europe has lost its edge in innovation and scalability due to fragmented markets and a defensive, nationalist approach.
Long
by Ali_PSND
EURGBP intraday rallies to continue attract sellers?EURGBP - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bearish. Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment. 50 1day EMA is at 0.8310. We look to Sell at 0.8309 (stop at 0.8329) Our profit targets will be 0.8259 and 0.8249 Resistance: 0.8300 / 0.8315 / 0.8328 Support: 0.8285 / 0.8263 / 0.8250 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
ANALYSIS OF EURGBP TRENDS WITH DOWN The chart represents the EUR/GBP currency pair on the 4-hour timeframe using Heikin Ashi candles. Here’s the analysis: Observations: 1. Resistance Zone: A strong resistance level is marked around 0.8327, indicating repeated price rejection at this zone (highlighted by orange circles). 2. Support Levels: Two prominent blue lines represent key support levels: First Support: 0.8260 Second Support: 0.8223 (Diamond Zone), which is the significant area of interest. 3. Diamond Pattern: A "diamond zone" is identified as a potential key breakout/breakdown area. This structure often indicates an upcoming price move. 4. Trendlines: A yellow trendline shows the recent downward momentum. The price action suggests the possibility of lower highs and lower lows, implying bearish sentiment. 5. Projected Movement: Blue arrows indicate a bearish outlook: The first downward move targets the first support level. If breached, the price may head toward the diamond zone (second support level). Conclusion: Bearish Bias: The chart suggests EUR/GBP may continue its bearish movement, especially if the resistance at 0.8327 holds strong. Trading Strategy: Entry: Look for confirmations (e.g., rejection candles or strong bearish momentum) near resistance for potential short positions. Targets: TP1: 0.8260 TP2: 0.8223 (diamond zone) Stop Loss: Place it above 0.8330 to protect against invalidation of the bearish setup. Monitor price action at key levels for confirmation.
Short
by Forex_Vip_Signals
EUR/GBP Starts ConsolidationEUR/GBP Starts Consolidation EUR/GBP is consolidating and might aim for a fresh increase above 0.8320. Important Takeaways for EUR/GBP Analysis Today - EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8330 pivot level. - There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 0.8305 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. EUR/GBP Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP at FXOpen, the pair started a consolidation phase after it failed to surpass 0.8330. The Euro traded below the 0.8320 and 0.8300 support levels against the British Pound. The EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair even declined below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8275 swing low to the 0.8317 high. It is now consolidating losses and trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. The pair is now facing resistance near the 0.8305 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 0.8305. The next major resistance could be 0.8320. The main resistance is near the 0.8330 zone. A close above the 0.8330 level might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8380. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.8400 level. Immediate support sits near 0.8290. The next major support is near 0.8285 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8275 swing low to the 0.8317 high. A downside break below the 0.8285 support might call for more downsides. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward the 0.8265 support level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURGBP - Europe will pass this winter safely!?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. If the resistance range is broken, we can witness the upward movement of this currency pair. A valid break of the drawn upward trend line will provide us with the downward path of this currency pair to the level of 0.82400. Bloomberg has reported that the cessation of Russian natural gas flow to Europe via Ukraine is likely to heighten competition with Asia and drive up the cost of alternatives. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on Wednesday that Ukraine hopes increased gas supplies from the U.S. and other producers to Europe will make prices more acceptable. The flow of gas from Russia to Europe through Ukraine stopped on Wednesday, marking the end of over five decades of this route being the primary channel for gas to the Eurozone. While this move was anticipated after months of political tension, Europe still needs to replace about 5% of its gas supply and may increasingly rely on storage levels that have now dropped below average. The European Commission noted that the suspension of gas flow via Ukraine on January 1st was a foreseen scenario, and the EU is prepared for it. Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), expressed optimism that the ECB could achieve a 2% inflation rate by 2025. She stated, “We have made significant progress in reducing inflation in 2024 and hope that 2025 will be the year we reach our target as expected and planned in our strategy. However, we will continue our efforts to ensure inflation stabilizes at the 2% medium-term target.” Meanwhile, UBS has noted that the value of the U.S. dollar has increased, suggesting that investors can sell dollars more robustly and convert them to currencies such as the British pound or the Australian dollar. Despite the recent rise in the dollar’s value, driven by shifts in expectations around Federal Reserve policies and U.S. government actions, the bank believes the dollar remains overvalued. While UBS does not anticipate a sharp decline in the dollar’s value in the short term, it sees opportunities for investors to pivot toward more attractive currencies. The British pound (GBP) and Australian dollar (AUD) are among its top picks due to their potential to perform well amidst evolving global monetary conditions. Additionally, according to data from Nationwide, house prices in the UK reached near-record levels at the end of last year. This indicates that the real estate market continues to gain momentum. Nationwide reported that house prices rose by 0.7% on a monthly basis, reaching an average of £269,426 (equivalent to $337,500). This figure is only slightly below the record high of £273,751 recorded in the summer of 2022.
Long
by Ali_PSND