EURGBP - BREWING$EURGBP - BREWING
These past months even though its a summer, there have been so many great opportunities and here is another one - EURGBP
C&H brewing, if we break above and out of this channel - bulls are firmly in control and expect this C&H pattern to brew nicely to key resistance zones.
Enjoy 🌞
TJ
Eurgbpanalysis
EURGBP SHORT EURGBP is moving in a descending channel on the Daily time frame, in the other view, the pair is retesting the neckline of the hand and shoulder pattern in the daily time frame.
We expecting the pair to re-test the key support levels listed on the chart,
We taking this trade based on technical analysis and candlestick patterns.
Please use proper risk management depending on your account size, Use lot sizes based on these calculations.
Here is a break down of your pip value in ZAR and Dollars
0, 01 = R1,43 / $0,10c
0. 05 = R 7,15 / $ 0.50
0.10 = R 14,3 / $1.00
1 Lot size = R 146,26
How to calculate Margin = (Lot Size * Contract Size)/Leverage, Lets say your broker gives you 1:500, and you open 0,2 size, How much are you exposing ? calculations : (0.2 * 10 000) / 500 = $4 (R58) also (1 Lot * 100 000) / 500 = $200 (R2 960)
So, each time I open (1 Lot size, am exposing R2960 (Down payment)
Remember, These are long term trades, It is advisable to have enough margin to handle the fluctuation of the markets.
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DeGRAM | EURGBP retracementEURGBP is in a bearish trend.
Price action is decelerating while approaching a resistance level, indicating bearish pressure.
We expect the price to retest the support levels.
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⁉️ EURGBP - Market AnalysisHello traders!
⁉️This is my analysis on EURGBP.
Here I expect to continue the retracement, as price filled one imbalance, but there is another one above and if price rejects from bearish orderblock I will open a short position.
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Selling EURGBP 02 Aug.The pair is bearish on W1, D1, H4.
Broke below support at 0.837 twice. Previous break below did not succeed but the bulls had no momentum either.
Broke again today and now pulling back to 0.837.
This time the bears may succeed and provide an opportunity to target 0.8245 area.
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Always use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades.
Euro vs Pound (EURGBP) analysis: Who is the least bad?EUR/GBP fundamental analysis
The Bank of England (BoE) raised its Bank rate by half a percentage point to 1.75 percent at its August meeting, the highest rate hike in 27 years, owing to elevated inflationary pressures exacerbated by Europe's recent gas crisis.
However, the pound did not surge following the rate announcement since the Bank of England's policy statement painted a bleak economic picture for the coming years, due to a sluggish growth and persistently high inflation outlook. "GDP growth is slowing," and the UK is now expected to enter recession in the fourth quarter of this year, while inflation is forecasted to peak at 13.3% in October.
As the BoE will now take a data-dependent approach, the pound cannot rely on its rate divergence advantage against the euro any longer. Markets will be less concerned about the BoE-ECB policy divergence and more focused on economic indicators in the coming months.
Given that the two economies are exposed to similar shocks and negative effects real incomes and consumption, a sideways phase, characterised by fairly tight trading ranges, could therefore come forward for EUR/GBP in the near term, pending more information on the length and size of the upcoming recessions.
EUR/GBP technical analysis
On a technical level, 0.849-0.85 already represents an area where the euro could see selling pressure. Downwards, 0.834 has shown solid support over the past weeks, despite the market pricing in the BoE’s 50 basis point hike in advance.
Rising RSI and MACD attempting a bullish crossover can provide the EUR with a very slight tailwind in the very short term. However, the single currency lacks the catalysts that could lead to a material appreciation against the pound.
The 5-year yield spread between Germany and the United Kingdom, which has been strongly correlated with the EUR/GBP exchange rate, should be constantly monitored, to keep track of the relative growth outlook between the Euro Area and the UK economy.
DeGRAM | EURGBP consolidatingEURGBP is trading sideways near a major support level.
On the higher timeframe, we can see some divergence.
The price action is not making new lows, which indicates the price is coiling up.
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EURGBP is in sell zone!!EURGBP moving is in long term downtrend. After a monthly close as a bearish engulfing, EURGBP has resumed its downtrend. As per 4H price action, EURGBP has formed another bearish price action for a possible drop with daily bearish engulfer.
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EURGBP Probability short for 0.831014th & 15th June daily bar formed two bar reversal indication for weakness ahead. 21st July formed key reversal bar made a new high closed towards the low. 16th July down bar like a coiled bar added clue for short. may sell it cmp 0.8412 with stop loss 0.8430 just risk of 18 pips. if stop loss hit then put sell limit as 0.8480 that is supply area with stop loss of 0.8505 for target 0.8310.
EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is on the UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the POSITIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. The reason for NEGATIVE SENTIMENT in EUR is USD SELL. All MARKETS including STOCKS are UP due to MARKET RISK being ON. It affects the EUR in a big way.
- EURGBP can definitely go up to the SUPPORT LEVEL below. The reason for that is that there is a good DOWN SIDE BIAS in the MARKET for USD, so there is a POSITIVE SENTIMENT for EUR at the moment. Accordingly, EURGBP may be slightly down until the 0.8443 level. And after that EURGBP can go up to 0.8711 LEVEL.
EURGBP: Ascending channel breakdown leading to a trend reversal?The UK July PMIs show a slowing in the rate of expansion in both the service and manufacturing sectors. The UK Services PMI Business Activity Index fell to 53.3 in July, down from 54.3 in June, hitting a 17-month low. The manufacturing PMI in the United Kingdom fell to 52.2 from 54.3 in June, reaching a 25-month low.
Capacity constraints due to a lack of materials and employees were the factors behind the slowdown in output growth. However, input cost inflation moderated, new order volumes increased, and private sector employment rose.
The UK PMIs prints in July are also broadly in line with what analysts predicted, and they outperformed peers (such as the EU).
The pound against the dollar ( GBP/USD ) is flat today. The pound, on the other hand, is gaining ground against the euro ( EUR/GBP ), as preliminary PMIs readings for the Euro Area already reveal that economic activity contracted in July. This means that the Eurozone may enter a recession before the United Kingdom.
On the EUR/GBP 1-hour chart, a breakdown below the short-term ascending channel is now visible. If confirmed by today's close, this could lead to a short-term bearish reversal for EUR/GBP , with a target of 0.84 (July 13 lows).