EUR/GBP (1H) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Short Trade Setup1. Overview of Market Structure
The EUR/GBP pair is forming a Rising Wedge Pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation, which suggests that the current uptrend may soon reverse into a downtrend. The price has been moving within a tightening range, making higher highs and higher lows, but the upward momentum appears to be weakening.
A breakdown from this wedge is a strong bearish signal, indicating that sellers are gaining control, and a significant price drop is expected.
2. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge – Bearish Reversal
A Rising Wedge is a pattern that occurs when price moves upward within a contracting range. This pattern typically forms after an uptrend and suggests that bullish momentum is slowing down.
Characteristics of the Rising Wedge in This Chart:
The price has tested the upper resistance zone multiple times, but each attempt has resulted in a rejection.
The lower support trendline has been tested frequently, showing that buyers are losing strength.
The breakdown of the wedge signals a strong bearish move, with price expected to drop toward key support levels.
This pattern becomes valid once the price breaks below the lower trendline, confirming the bearish outlook.
3. Key Technical Levels & Zones
A. Resistance Zone (0.84853) – Strong Supply Area
Marked as a Resistance Zone, where price has struggled to break through.
Sellers have stepped in around this level multiple times, preventing any further bullish movement.
Acts as a major stop-loss level for bearish trades, as a breakout above this zone could invalidate the setup.
B. Support Zones (Potential Take-Profit Targets)
1st Support Level (TP1) – 0.82539
This level has previously acted as strong support, where buyers have entered the market before.
A short-term pullback or consolidation may occur here.
2nd Support Level (TP2) – 0.81332
This is the final bearish target, marking a key demand zone from where price has bounced in the past.
If bearish momentum continues, price could reach this level, making it an ideal take-profit zone for swing traders.
4. Trading Strategy & Execution
A. Entry Strategy
A short trade is ideal after the price breaks below the rising wedge pattern. There are two possible entries:
Aggressive Entry:
Enter immediately after the breakout of the lower trendline, anticipating strong downside momentum.
Higher risk as price might retest the trendline before moving down.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering short.
This confirms the breakdown, reducing false breakout risks.
B. Stop-Loss Placement
Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance zone (0.84853).
This prevents being stopped out by minor pullbacks before the actual move happens.
C. Take-Profit Targets
TP1: 0.82539 (First major support level – potential profit booking area)
TP2: 0.81332 (Final bearish target – strong demand zone)
5. Risk Management & Trade Management
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
This trade offers a high RRR, making it an attractive setup.
The stop-loss is small compared to the potential downside move.
Trailing Stop Strategy
A trailing stop can be used to lock in profits as price moves lower.
If price reaches TP1, move stop-loss to breakeven to secure capital.
If price reaches TP2, close the trade for maximum profit.
Exit Strategy
Exit early if price fails to break key support zones.
Monitor price action around TP1 & TP2 for signs of reversal.
6. Sentiment Analysis & Market Context
Bearish Confirmation:
Breakdown from the wedge signals bearish sentiment in the market.
If price fails to sustain above support zones, further downside is likely.
News & Fundamentals:
Major economic events or interest rate decisions could impact EUR/GBP volatility.
Traders should check for UK & Eurozone news before entering the trade.
7. Conclusion – Bearish Outlook
The Rising Wedge breakdown is a strong short-selling opportunity.
Confirmation is key: Enter short after the breakdown, use proper risk management, and aim for TP1 & TP2.
If price invalidates the pattern by breaking above 0.84853, the trade setup should be reconsidered.
This setup provides a high-probability bearish trade with a well-defined stop-loss and risk-to-reward ratio.
Eurgbpanalysis
EUR/GBP Triangle Pattern - Bearish Breakdown SetupProfessional Analysis of the EUR/GBP Chart
This EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound) daily chart from OANDA, published on April 3, 2025, highlights a key technical setup based on price action analysis, chart patterns, and support/resistance levels.
1. Market Context: Accumulation & Transition to a Triangle Pattern
Curve Zone Formation (Rounded Bottom):
The market initially exhibited a rounded bottom structure (curve zone) from July 2024 to February 2025, indicating a gradual accumulation phase.
This phase often signals a shift in market sentiment, where sellers lose dominance, and buyers start stepping in.
Breakout from Accumulation:
After reaching the support zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300), price rebounded sharply in March 2025, confirming strong buyer interest.
However, it failed to sustain upward momentum near the resistance zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500), leading to consolidation.
2. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Lower Highs & Higher Lows:
Price action began forming a symmetrical triangle, a classic consolidation pattern that typically precedes a strong breakout.
The market is currently trading near the apex of the triangle, indicating that a breakout is imminent.
Potential Breakout Direction:
Symmetrical triangles are neutral patterns, meaning they can break either upward or downward.
However, the price structure and resistance rejection suggest a higher probability of a bearish breakdown.
3. Key Levels & Trading Setup
Resistance & Support Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500):
This area has repeatedly acted as strong resistance, where sellers have consistently pushed prices lower.
A breakout above this zone would indicate a bullish invalidation of the current bearish bias.
🟢 Support Zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300):
This level has held price multiple times, acting as key support.
A break below this zone would confirm bearish momentum, targeting lower price levels.
4. Bearish Trade Setup
📉 Entry Strategy (Short Position):
Wait for a confirmed breakout below the triangle’s lower trendline (~0.8320 - 0.8350).
A retest of the broken support turning into resistance would provide the best short entry.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement (~0.84764):
Positioned above recent highs and the resistance zone to minimize risk.
This ensures the trade is protected against potential false breakouts.
🎯 Profit Target (~0.81190 - 0.81134):
The projected move aligns with historical support levels, making it a logical target.
This level represents a previous market structure where buyers stepped in.
5. Conclusion & Trade Considerations
✅ Bearish Bias: The price action and pattern suggest a higher probability of a downside breakout.
✅ Defined Risk & Reward: A well-structured stop-loss and target level ensures a solid risk management strategy.
✅ Watch for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout before entering a trade to avoid false moves.
📊 Overall Verdict: A high-probability short setup is forming, with a clear entry, stop-loss, and take-profit strategy. If the market respects the triangle breakdown scenario, this could lead to a significant bearish move toward the 0.81190 target.
EUR/GBP: Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview
Asset: Euro / British Pound (EUR/GBP)
Timeframe: 1-hour (1H)
Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 19:21 UTC
Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView
Current Price (at the time of the chart):
Open: 0.83668
High: 0.83670
Low: 0.83260
Close: 0.83635
Change: -0.00035 (-0.04%)
Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 0.83100 to 0.84447, with the current price around 0.83642 (ask) and 0.83635 (bid).
Chart Elements and Technical Analysis
1. Candlestick Price Action
The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of EUR/GBP, showing price movements from mid-March to early April 2025.
Trend Context:
Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a downtrend, declining from around 0.84200 (March 12) to a low of 0.83260 (March 25). This indicates a bearish trend leading into the pattern formation.
Following this decline, the price began to consolidate, forming the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
Recent Price Action:
On April 2, the price appears to have broken out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, closing above the resistance level with a bullish candle. The current price of 0.83642 is above the breakout level, supporting the bullish thesis.
2. Chart Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders
Pattern Identification:
The chart highlights an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It consists of three troughs:
Left Shoulder: A low around 0.83400 (March 20), followed by a bounce.
Head: A deeper low at 0.83260 (March 25), marking the lowest point of the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A higher low around 0.83400 (March 30), indicating diminishing selling pressure.
The neckline is drawn by connecting the highs between the shoulders (around 0.83600–0.83700), sloping slightly downward in this case.
Pattern Dynamics:
The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. The left shoulder and head represent selling pressure, while the higher right shoulder indicates buyers stepping in at a higher level, showing increased demand.
The breakout occurs when the price closes above the neckline, confirming the reversal. In this chart, the breakout is confirmed around April 2, with the price closing above the neckline at approximately 0.83600–0.83700.
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke above the neckline on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 0.83635. The current price of 0.83642 is holding above the breakout level, which is a positive sign for bulls.
The breakout level aligns with the resistance zone, making the move significant as it also clears this key barrier.
3. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level:
A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.83425 (approximately 0.8340–0.8345).
This level corresponds to the lows of the left and right shoulders, where buyers stepped in to defend the price. It also aligns with the lower boundary of the pattern, reinforcing its importance.
Resistance Level:
A resistance zone is marked around 0.83700 (approximately 0.8365–0.8375).
This level corresponds to the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and a previous high from March 19. It acted as a barrier during the pattern formation but has now been broken, turning it into potential support on a retest.
Target Level:
The target for the breakout is projected at 0.84447.
This target is calculated using the standard method for Head and Shoulders patterns: measuring the height of the pattern (from the head at 0.83260 to the neckline at 0.83700, which is 0.00440) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point (0.83700 + 0.00440 = 0.84140). The target of 0.84447 is slightly higher, possibly adjusted for the next significant resistance.
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the target (0.84447).
4. Stop Loss and Risk Management
Stop Loss:
The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 0.83425.
Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back below the neckline and the right shoulder, the trade is exited with a controlled loss.
The distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, representing the risk on the trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%) to the target.
The risk is 0.00275 (from 0.83700 to 0.83425), and the reward is 0.00627 (from 0.83700 to 0.84447), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.28:1 (0.00627 / 0.00275). This is a favorable ratio for a trading setup.
5. Additional Annotations
Pattern Components:
The chart labels the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder, clearly identifying the structure of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
A blue arrow labeled “Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern” points to the formation, making it easy to recognize.
Arrows and Labels:
A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 0.83425 zone, indicating where buyers have defended the price.
A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 0.83700 zone, highlighting the neckline and the breakout area.
A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 0.84447, showing the projected price objective.
A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 0.83425, indicating the risk management level.
Price Labels on the Right Axis:
The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 0.83642 (red) and bid price at 0.83635 (black), reflecting the live market spread.
Trading Setup Breakdown
Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup:
Entry:
Position: Long (buy) EUR/GBP.
Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025, at approximately 0.83700.
Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the neckline, with the current price at 0.83642, slightly below the high of 0.83670 but still above the breakout level. Traders might wait for a retest of the neckline (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart.
Stop Loss:
Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 0.83425.
Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the neckline and breaches the right shoulder, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited.
Risk: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, or approximately 0.33% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Level: The target is set at 0.84447.
Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the pattern projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension toward the next significant resistance.
Reward: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the target (0.84447) is 0.00627, or approximately 0.75% of the entry price.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.28:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.00275), the potential reward is over 2 units (0.00627).
Trade Management:
Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the target at 0.84447, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling.
Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at a minor resistance level (e.g., 0.84000) and let the remaining position run toward the target.
Broader Market Context
Trend Analysis:
The broader trend before the pattern was bearish, as evidenced by the decline from 0.84200 to 0.83260. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern suggests a potential reversal to the upside, with the breakout confirming this shift.
The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 0.84000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout includes:
Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover).
Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength.
Market Factors:
EUR/GBP is influenced by factors like Eurozone and UK economic data, interest rate differentials, and Brexit-related developments. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider:
Economic Data: Key releases like UK GDP, Eurozone inflation, or central bank statements around this time could impact the pair.
Geopolitical Events: Any developments related to UK-EU relations or global risk sentiment could drive volatility in EUR/GBP.
Potential Risks and Considerations
False Breakout:
If the price fails to hold above the neckline (0.83700) and falls back below the right shoulder, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 0.83425 mitigates this risk.
Resistance at 0.84000:
The price may encounter resistance around 0.84000, a psychological level and a previous high. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near this level.
Market Volatility:
EUR/GBP can be volatile on a 1-hour timeframe, especially around economic data releases. Unexpected news could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely.
Timeframe Limitations:
This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management.
Conclusion
The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for EUR/GBP based on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. The price has broken out above the neckline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 0.84447. Key levels include support at 0.83425 (where the stop loss is placed) and the neckline resistance at 0.83700, which the price must hold above to maintain the bullish thesis. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.28:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders.
However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on EUR/GBP or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
DeGRAM | EURGBP broke through the trend lineEURGBP is in a descending channel above the trend lines.
The price is moving from the support level and the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart formed a harmonic pattern, broke the upper trend line and reached the 50% retracement level.
The indicators indicate that a bullish divergence is now being worked out on the 4H Timeframe.
We expect the growth to continue after consolidation above the correction level.
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DeGRAM | EURGBP decline in the channelEURGBP is in a descending channel.
The price is moving from the resistance level and the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart maintains a downward structure and has already formed a harmonic pattern.
We expect that the pair will continue to decline after consolidating under the support level, which coincides with the 38.2% retracement level.
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EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge – Buy Setup!Introduction
This EUR/GBP 4-hour chart analysis presents a high-probability bullish trading setup based on a falling wedge breakout. A falling wedge is a reliable bullish reversal pattern, signaling that selling pressure is fading, and buyers are regaining control. The price has now broken out of the wedge, confirming potential upside momentum.
This setup provides a well-defined entry, stop-loss, and target level, allowing traders to capitalize on the bullish breakout while maintaining a proper risk management strategy.
1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
The primary pattern on the chart is a falling wedge, which is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating that sellers are gradually losing momentum.
🔹 Key Characteristics of the Falling Wedge Pattern:
Lower highs & lower lows within a narrowing price range.
Decreasing selling pressure, indicating a potential shift in trend.
A bullish breakout above the upper trendline confirms a reversal.
Typically followed by a strong price surge, aiming for previous resistance levels.
The price action confirms this pattern as it broke above the wedge's upper boundary, signaling the start of a bullish trend.
2. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level (Target) – 0.84183
This level marks a previous strong resistance zone, where the price faced rejection multiple times.
It serves as the primary profit-taking area for this setup.
A successful breakout and close above this level could lead to further upside movement.
🔹 Support Level – 0.83154
This is the major demand zone where price previously bounced.
Strong buying pressure emerged at this level, leading to the recent breakout.
It serves as an important level to define risk and set stop-loss orders.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement – Below 0.83154
A stop-loss is placed slightly below the support zone, ensuring a logical exit if the market reverses.
This prevents unnecessary losses while allowing room for normal price fluctuations.
🔹 Entry Point Consideration
Ideal entry: Around 0.83700, just after the breakout confirmation.
Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closing above the wedge.
3. Trade Execution Plan: Long Setup
📌 Trade Idea – Bullish Setup
📈 Buy Entry: 0.83600 – 0.83700 (After wedge breakout)
🎯 Target: 0.84183 (Major resistance level)
❌ Stop-Loss: 0.83154 (Below support level)
🔄 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:1
📊 Risk Management Strategy
Trade with discipline: Never risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Adjust position size: Based on risk tolerance and account balance.
Use trailing stops: To secure profits if price continues upward.
4. Market Sentiment & Price Action Analysis
Prior Uptrend: The price previously had a strong bullish rally, indicating overall bullish strength.
Corrective Move: The market entered a falling wedge correction, allowing for a healthy pullback before resuming the trend.
Breakout Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge's upper trendline confirms bullish momentum.
📊 Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
✅ Breakout confirmation above the wedge pattern.
✅ Higher buying volume supporting the move.
✅ Support level holds strong, preventing further downside.
5. Trading Psychology & Risk Considerations
⚠️ Key Considerations Before Entering the Trade:
✔ Wait for confirmation – Ensure a strong breakout candle before entering.
✔ Avoid chasing the price – Enter at a reasonable pullback level post-breakout.
✔ Monitor economic events – Watch for news that could impact EUR/GBP volatility.
✔ Follow a strict risk-reward ratio – Stick to your predefined stop-loss and target.
6. Conclusion – Bullish Outlook
This falling wedge breakout on EUR/GBP suggests a bullish reversal, offering a high-probability long trade setup. The price is expected to move towards the 0.84183 resistance level, with 0.83154 as the key stop-loss level.
✅ Bias: Bullish
🎯 Target: 0.84183
❌ Stop Loss: 0.83154
📊 Risk-to-Reward: ~1:1
📌 TradingView Idea Title & Description
Title:
🚀 EUR/GBP Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Move Incoming!
Description:
📈 Bullish breakout confirmed! EUR/GBP has broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a trend reversal. A long position above 0.83600 targets the 0.84183 resistance level with a stop-loss at 0.83154. Watch for strong bullish momentum! 📊💹
💡 Risk Management: Stick to your stop-loss, and don’t chase price action. Manage your trade wisely! 🔥
EUR/GBP Weekly Forecast: Double Bottom Pattern, Bullish ReversalOverview of the Chart
This is a EUR/GBP daily chart, showcasing a Double Bottom Pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal formation in technical analysis. The pair has been in a downtrend for several months, but recent price action indicates a potential shift in momentum.
The double bottom pattern consists of two distinct lows (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2) at nearly the same level, forming a W-shaped structure. This suggests that sellers attempted to push the price lower twice but failed both times due to strong buying pressure at the support zone.
As the price starts to rise from the second bottom, the neckline resistance becomes a crucial level to watch. A confirmed breakout above this neckline would validate the pattern and signal a potential bullish rally.
Chart Breakdown & Key Components
1. Double Bottom Pattern Explanation
The first bottom formed in December 2024, marking the lowest price point where buyers stepped in.
The second bottom formed in March 2025, confirming strong demand in the support zone.
The pattern suggests bearish exhaustion, as sellers were unable to push the price lower.
The neckline at ~0.84778 acts as a key breakout level. Once price moves above it, the bullish reversal is confirmed.
🔹 Why is this pattern important?
It signals a trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
It attracts buying interest as traders recognize the formation.
The measured move suggests a potential target of 0.87307, aligning with previous resistance levels.
2. Key Support & Resistance Zones
✅ Support Zone (0.82249 - 0.82458)
This level has been tested twice, making it a strong demand area.
Buyers aggressively defended this zone, preventing further downside.
A break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
✅ Neckline Resistance (~0.84778)
This is the breakout level that confirms the double bottom pattern.
A strong bullish daily candle closing above 0.84778 would indicate a trend shift.
The price may retest this level after breaking out, offering a second entry opportunity.
✅ Major Resistance & Target Areas
0.86251 → The first major resistance zone, where price may face some selling pressure.
0.87307 → The final target based on the pattern projection, aligning with historical resistance.
3. Trading Setup & Execution Plan
🔹 Entry Strategy (Breakout Confirmation)
Enter a buy position after the price breaks and closes above the neckline (~0.84778).
A retest of the neckline provides a second chance to enter at a better price.
Look for high volume confirmation on the breakout for additional confidence.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement (Risk Management)
Place the stop-loss below 0.82249, just under the support zone.
This ensures protection against false breakouts.
Avoid placing the stop too tight, as price fluctuations can trigger early exits.
🔹 Take Profit Levels (Reward Calculation)
First Target: 0.86251 (Intermediate Resistance Level)
Final Target: 0.87307 (Measured Move Projection)
Partial profits can be taken at 0.86251, while runners target 0.87307.
🔹 Risk-Reward Analysis
Entry near 0.84778, stop loss below 0.82249, target at 0.87307.
This setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio (R:R) of over 3:1, making it a highly favorable trade.
4. Market Sentiment & Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (High Probability) ✅
Price successfully breaks above the neckline at 0.84778.
Retests the neckline and holds as new support, leading to strong bullish momentum.
Moves toward 0.86251 first, then extends to 0.87307.
This scenario aligns with technical confirmation & volume breakout strategy.
Bearish Scenario (Low Probability) ❌
Price fails to break the neckline and faces rejection.
The pair revisits the support zone (0.82249 - 0.82458) for a third test.
If the support breaks, it could invalidate the bullish setup, leading to continued downtrend.
5. Final Thoughts & Summary 🎯
✅ Pattern Identified → Double Bottom, signaling bullish reversal.
✅ Breakout Level → Watch for confirmation above 0.84778.
✅ Risk Management → Stop loss below 0.82249.
✅ Profit Target → 0.86251 (Partial Profit), 0.87307 (Final Target).
✅ Trade Plan → Buy on breakout, retest entry for better positioning.
🔥 This is a high-probability bullish setup! Watch for breakout confirmation before entering a trade.
DeGRAM | EURGBP rebound in the channelEURGBP is in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and the support level.
The chart holds the support level, which has already acted as a rebound point.
We expect a rise after consolidation above the nearest retracement level.
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DeGRAM | EURGBP rebound from the lower boundary of the channelEURGBP is in a descending channel above the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart has consolidated above the dynamic resistance and the 50% correction level.
We expect the rebound to continue.
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EUR/GBP Chart Analysis – Double Bottom Reversal & Breakout Setup1. Market Structure & Context
The EUR/GBP daily chart presents a well-defined double bottom reversal pattern, indicating a potential trend shift from a prolonged downtrend to an uptrend.
The pair has been in a bearish phase, as reflected by the descending trendline.
However, price action suggests a possible trend reversal, as buyers are stepping in near a key demand zone.
A successful neckline breakout would confirm the bullish reversal, potentially leading to significant upside movement.
2. Key Chart Patterns & Technical Levels
A. Double Bottom Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
The double bottom is a powerful reversal pattern, often signaling the end of a downtrend. It consists of two similar low points, forming a "W" shape.
Bottom 1: The first low was established around 0.8200 - 0.8250, where buyers initially stepped in to push prices higher.
Bottom 2: Price retested this demand zone, but sellers failed to push it lower, confirming a strong support level.
Bullish Significance: The inability of sellers to break below the support zone suggests the exhaustion of selling pressure and increasing buy-side interest.
B. Neckline Resistance & Potential Breakout Zone
The neckline resistance is drawn around 0.8450 - 0.8500, a key level where previous price rallies were rejected.
A breakout above this zone, ideally with strong bullish volume, would validate the double bottom pattern and trigger a bullish breakout trade.
C. Descending Trendline Breakout Attempt
The long-term downtrend resistance (trendline) has been holding since mid-2024.
Price is currently testing this trendline; a clear breakout and retest would add further confidence to the bullish bias.
3. Trade Setup & Execution Plan
A. Entry Strategy
There are two possible entry strategies, depending on risk appetite:
Aggressive Entry: Buy immediately upon a breakout above 0.8500, anticipating a strong rally.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout + retest of the neckline before entering, ensuring confirmation.
B. Stop Loss & Risk Management
Stop Loss (SL): Placed below the recent swing low at 0.82029.
This level acts as the last line of defense for bulls; if price drops below it, the bullish thesis is invalidated.
C. Take Profit (TP) Targets
TP1: 0.86122 (first resistance zone, a previous swing high).
TP2: 0.87284 (higher resistance level, next supply zone).
These levels serve as potential profit-taking areas where sellers may re-enter the market.
4. Additional Technical Confluences Supporting Bullish Bias
✔ Key Support Zone Holding Strong – The price has bounced twice from the demand zone (0.8200 - 0.8250), confirming strong buyer interest.
✔ Volume Confirmation Needed – A breakout with high volume increases the probability of sustained bullish momentum.
✔ RSI & Momentum Indicators – If RSI crosses above 50, it would further confirm bullish momentum, supporting the breakout trade.
✔ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – A well-defined stop loss & take profit strategy ensures an optimal trade setup.
5. Summary & Final Trading Plan
Current Market Bias: Bullish if neckline breaks (Double Bottom Confirmation).
Entry Confirmation: Look for a breakout above 0.8500 with strong volume.
Profit Targets:
TP1: 0.8612
TP2: 0.8728
Stop-Loss Level: Below 0.8202 to protect against fake breakouts.
🚀 Final Tip for Traders:
Monitor price action & volume closely. A breakout without volume may lead to a false move. Confirmation with bullish momentum is essential for a high-probability trade setup.
EUR/GBP 4H | Sell Opportunity After Resistance Rejection The EUR/GBP pair has been in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows forming. Recently, price rejected a key resistance zone and is now continuing its bearish momentum.
🔎 Key Observations:
✅ Resistance Levels: 0.83598 - 0.83910 acted as a strong rejection zone.
✅ Sell Confirmation: Price has broken below minor support and is now moving downward.
✅ Bearish Expectation: The next major support target is 0.82618.
📌 Trading Plan:
🔻 Sell on pullbacks near resistance levels (0.83598 - 0.83676).
🔻 Target: 0.82618 as the next key support.
🔻 Stop-loss: Above 0.83827 to minimize risk.
🚨 Risk Management Tip: Always maintain a good risk-reward ratio and wait for confirmations.
💬 What’s your take on this setup? Are you looking to sell or waiting for a better entry?
EUR/GBP (1H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – Trade SetupThe EUR/GBP 1-hour chart presents a symmetrical triangle formation that has now broken to the downside, signaling a bearish continuation. This pattern is widely recognized in technical analysis and often acts as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the price has breached the lower support boundary, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market.
In this detailed analysis, we will explore the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies to navigate this move efficiently.
1️⃣ Understanding the Symmetrical Triangle Formation
A symmetrical triangle occurs when price action creates lower highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. This reflects a period of market indecision, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched until a breakout occurs.
📌 Key characteristics of this triangle:
✅ Converging Trendlines – Representing lower highs and higher lows, suggesting market compression.
✅ Price Consolidation – The pair traded within this structure, awaiting a catalyst for breakout.
✅ Breakout Direction – A breakdown from the support level confirms a bearish move.
Pattern Psychology:
A symmetrical triangle often precedes a significant price move. Traders and investors monitor the breakout direction to determine the next trend. Here, the breakdown below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Chart Structure
🔹 Resistance Zone (Upper Boundary) – 0.84227
The upper trendline acted as a strong resistance level, preventing price from breaking higher multiple times.
The yellow-highlighted area represents a supply zone, where selling pressure was dominant.
Price attempted to break above this region but failed, confirming bearish dominance.
🔹 Support Level (Lower Boundary) – 0.83500
The lower boundary of the triangle previously held as support, where buyers attempted to push the price higher.
However, once price broke below this support, it confirmed a bearish trend continuation.
The blue horizontal support line represents a potential retest area, where sellers may step in again.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action
The chart clearly shows a bearish breakout, as price broke through the lower trendline.
Retest Probability: Many breakouts experience a pullback to the broken support (now resistance) before resuming the downtrend.
The dashed black lines illustrate the expected bearish move, with a potential decline towards 0.82815.
3️⃣ Trading Plan & Entry Strategy
Based on this setup, traders can capitalize on the bearish move using a structured trading plan:
📌 Bearish Trading Setup (Short Position)
✔ Entry Strategy:
Traders can enter a short position either immediately after the breakout or after a retest of the broken support at 0.83500 - 0.83700.
The ideal confirmation would be bearish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing candle or pin bar rejection on the retest.
✔ Stop-Loss Placement:
To mitigate risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the previous resistance level (0.84227).
This ensures protection against fake breakouts or sudden reversals.
✔ Target Price (Take Profit Level):
The measured move of a symmetrical triangle breakout is typically equal to the height of the triangle.
Based on this projection, the expected target is around 0.82815, a significant support level.
Traders may also scale out at intermediate levels (0.83000) to lock in profits.
✔ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
A well-structured trade here presents an attractive RRR of approximately 1:3, meaning the potential reward is three times the risk.
A higher RRR enhances the probability of profitability over multiple trades.
4️⃣ Market Context & Fundamental Analysis
🔍 Why Is EUR/GBP Dropping?
While technical patterns are valuable, traders must also consider fundamental factors that drive currency pairs.
🟢 Possible Bearish Catalysts for EUR/GBP:
GBP Strength: If the British Pound (GBP) strengthens due to strong economic data or hawkish Bank of England (BoE) policy, EUR/GBP may continue declining.
EUR Weakness: The Euro (EUR) may be under pressure due to weak GDP growth, higher inflation, or dovish European Central Bank (ECB) statements.
Geopolitical Events: Any negative news impacting the Eurozone (e.g., political instability) could trigger further selling pressure on EUR/GBP.
5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios
While the current outlook favors a bearish move, traders must remain prepared for alternative scenarios.
⚠ Alternative Scenarios: 📌 False Breakdown:
If price closes back above the support level (0.83500 - 0.83700), it could indicate a failed breakout, potentially leading to a bullish reversal.
In this case, a breakout above 0.84227 would invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Sideways Consolidation:
If the price stalls around 0.83300 - 0.83500, the market may range before the next move.
Traders should wait for clear confirmation before entering new trades.
6️⃣ Summary & Key Takeaways
✅ Pattern Identified: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Bearish).
✅ Breakout Direction: Price has broken below support, confirming a downtrend.
✅ Trade Setup:
Sell below 0.83500 (or on retest at 0.83700).
Stop Loss: Above 0.84227 (previous resistance).
Take Profit: Targeting 0.82815 based on the pattern’s measured move.
✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable, offering 1:3 or higher RRR.
✅ Fundamental Drivers: GBP strength or EUR weakness could accelerate the downtrend.
📢 Final Thoughts
This symmetrical triangle breakdown offers a high-probability trading opportunity for short sellers, with a clear technical structure supporting the bearish move. However, traders should remain cautious of false breakouts and adjust stop-loss levels accordingly.
For best results:
✔ Wait for price action confirmation (retest rejection or bearish candle formations).
✔ Follow proper risk management (stop-loss placement and profit-taking levels).
✔ Monitor key economic events impacting EUR and GBP movements.
By combining technical analysis, fundamental insights, and sound risk management, traders can enhance their profitability and navigate the markets with confidence. 🚀📉
DeGRAM | EURGBP retest of supportEURGBP is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and now has fallen back to the support level.
The volatility of the chart has decreased.
On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators have formed a bullish convergence, which has not yet worked out.
We expect a rebound from the support.
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EUR/GBP Chart Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders Bullish SetupThis EUR/GBP 1-hour chart showcases a classic Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. This pattern is considered one of the most reliable technical formations for spotting upcoming upward momentum, particularly after a prolonged downtrend.
🔎 Market Overview
Currency Pair: EUR/GBP
Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
Current Price: 0.83720
Trend: Transitioning from a downtrend to a potential bullish breakout
Key Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders
Trading Bias: Bullish (Pending breakout confirmation)
📊 Chart Breakdown & Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Before the formation of the Inverse Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows. However, buyers started stepping in near the 0.8350 level, preventing further decline. This rejection at key support has set the stage for a potential trend reversal.
Left Shoulder: Price formed a minor low around 0.8370, followed by a small bounce.
Head: Price made a deeper low around 0.8351, confirming strong support and buyer interest.
Right Shoulder: Price attempted another dip but failed to break below the previous low, forming a higher low near 0.8370, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
Neckline Resistance: 0.8385 - 0.8390 zone – a crucial level that price needs to break for confirmation of an uptrend.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level: 0.83513 (Major demand zone)
Resistance Levels:
Neckline: 0.8385 - 0.8390 (Breakout confirmation zone)
Major Resistance: 0.84308 (Target level)
Curve Zone: A dynamic resistance trendline that has been containing price action. A breakout above this curve signals a potential shift in trend.
📈 Trading Strategy – Bullish Breakout Plan
✅ Entry Strategy:
A long trade should be considered only after a confirmed breakout above the neckline (0.8385 - 0.8390). The confirmation comes when:
A strong bullish candle closes above the neckline.
Increased trading volume supports the breakout.
A possible retest of the neckline as new support (0.8385) before continuation.
🎯 Target Price & Stop Loss:
Take Profit (TP): 0.84308 (Projected move based on pattern size).
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.83513 (Right Shoulder low).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 or higher, making this a high-probability trade setup.
🛑 Risk Management & Trade Confirmation:
Volume Confirmation: A breakout should be accompanied by a volume spike, confirming strong buyer interest.
Fakeout Warning: If price briefly breaks above the neckline but then falls back below, it could be a false breakout. In this case, waiting for a retest would be a safer approach.
Trailing Stop: Once price moves toward 0.8410, a trailing stop can help secure profits in case of market reversals.
🧐 Summary – Key Takeaways
✅ Inverse Head & Shoulders Identified – A reliable bullish reversal pattern.
✅ Breakout Zone: 0.8385 - 0.8390 (Watch for confirmation).
✅ Target Price: 0.84308 (Potential profit zone).
✅ Stop Loss: Below 0.83513 (Protect against downside risk).
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable (1:2 or better).
✅ Trading Plan: Buy above the neckline, aim for 0.8430, and manage risk properly.
📌 Final Thought: If the neckline is broken with strong momentum, expect a bullish move toward 0.8430+. However, traders should remain cautious of potential fakeouts and manage risk accordingly.
📢 Share your thoughts in the comments! Are you bullish on EUR/GBP? 🚀📊
#EURGBP #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #InverseHeadAndShoulders
EUR/GBP - Double Bottom Reversal Setup | Trendline BreakoutThis EUR/GBP (Euro to British Pound) daily chart presents a textbook double bottom reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Additionally, a trendline breakout further strengthens the bullish outlook.
The market structure suggests that buyers are regaining control, and a breakout above the neckline resistance zone (0.84500 - 0.85000) could trigger a significant upward move. Let's break down this setup in detail.
📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Strong Reversal Signal
🔹 The double bottom is a powerful bullish reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend, indicating that selling pressure is fading and buyers are stepping in.
🔹 First Bottom: Established in December 2024, where the price reached a key support level (~0.82453) before bouncing back.
🔹 Second Bottom: Formed in March 2025, confirming the validity of the support level and creating a solid demand zone.
🔹 The neckline resistance (0.84500 - 0.85000) is the key level that price must break to confirm the reversal.
2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Sentiment
🔹 The market has been in a downtrend, as shown by the descending trendline acting as resistance for several months.
🔹 Recently, the price broke above this trendline, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening and a potential trend reversal is underway.
🔹 This breakout adds confluence to the double bottom pattern, reinforcing the bullish bias.
3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels to Watch
📌 Support Zone (Bottom Area) – 0.82453:
✅ This level has been tested twice (December & March), confirming it as a strong demand zone.
✅ Price consistently rebounded from this level, showing buyers’ dominance.
✅ This is the ideal stop-loss level to protect against downside risks.
📌 Resistance Zone (Neckline) – 0.84500 - 0.85000:
✅ A breakout above this neckline resistance is necessary for a bullish continuation.
✅ If price breaks and retests this level as support, it will confirm a high-probability buy setup.
📌 Target Level – 0.87394 (Projected Move)
✅ This is calculated using the measured move technique, where the distance from the bottom to the neckline is projected upwards.
✅ This level coincides with a previous resistance zone, making it a realistic target.
📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup
🎯 Entry Plan for Long Position (Buy Setup)
1️⃣ Breakout Entry:
Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above 0.85000.
Watch for strong bullish candles with volume confirmation.
2️⃣ Retest Entry (Safer Option):
If price breaks above resistance, wait for a pullback and retest of the 0.84500 - 0.85000 level.
If price holds this zone as new support, it strengthens the bullish confirmation.
📉 Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management)
✅ Place a stop-loss just below the support zone (0.82453) to protect capital.
✅ This level is strong because price has bounced off it twice, confirming buyer strength.
🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit)
✅ The projected target is 0.87394, aligning with previous resistance.
✅ This offers a high reward-to-risk ratio (RRR), making the trade worth taking.
⚠️ Risk Management & Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Bias – Price action suggests uptrend continuation after breaking out of the trendline.
✅ Confirmation is Crucial! – Enter only after a clear breakout and retest.
✅ Watch for Fakeouts – If price fails to hold above the neckline, it could be a false breakout.
✅ Fundamental Factors – Keep an eye on economic data and central bank policies (ECB & BoE) that may impact the GBP & EUR.
📢 Final Thoughts – Why This Trade is High-Probability
🚀 Double Bottom + Trendline Breakout = Strong Bullish Signal
🚀 Neckline Breakout Above 0.85000 = Confirmation of Trend Reversal
🚀 Targeting 0.87394 with a Favorable Risk-Reward Setup
If price successfully breaks and holds above resistance, we could see a strong rally toward 0.87394 in the coming weeks.
📌 Monitor price action carefully and wait for confirmation before entering the trade.
🔔 Like & Follow for More Trading Setups! 🚀📈
DeGRAM | EURGBP correction in the channelEURGBP is in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and dynamic support.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern and is now holding above the 38.2% retracement level.
We expect the growth to the level of 0.84075.
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EUR/GBP Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveThis EUR/GBP chart on the 1-hour timeframe showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle formation, a widely recognized pattern in technical analysis that signals potential breakout opportunities. The price action has respected the converging trendlines, indicating consolidation before a decisive move. Recently, the market has broken below the support zone, confirming a bearish breakdown and providing a strong signal for potential downside movement.
This analysis will cover pattern formation, key technical levels, trading strategy, risk management, and future market outlook to provide a comprehensive professional breakdown of this setup.
1. Chart Pattern Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Formation
A symmetrical triangle consists of two converging trendlines that squeeze price action into a narrowing range, reflecting market indecision. This pattern is considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the price is likely to continue in the direction of the prevailing trend after the breakout.
Pattern Characteristics in This Chart:
✅ Lower Highs: Price fails to break previous peaks, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
✅ Higher Lows: Buyers step in at higher points, preventing aggressive declines.
✅ Volume Decrease: Typical of consolidation within a symmetrical triangle.
✅ Breakout Confirmation: A strong bearish candle broke below the support level, signaling further downside potential.
2. Key Technical Levels & Zones
📌 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) – 0.8421
This level represents the highest point in the pattern, where price faced repeated rejections.
It aligns with a historical resistance zone, indicating a strong supply area.
A breakout above this level would shift the market to a bullish bias.
📌 Support Level – 0.8379 (Now Acting as Resistance)
Previously a key demand zone where buyers defended the price.
Price has now broken below this level, confirming it as new resistance in a bearish scenario.
A successful retest followed by rejection increases downside confirmation.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement – 0.8421
Located above the upper trendline and recent highs to avoid false breakouts.
If price regains this level, the bearish scenario will be invalidated.
📌 Target Zone – 0.82926 (Major Support Area)
This is the next strong support level, acting as a potential take-profit zone for short positions.
It aligns with a previous price reaction area, making it a logical target for sellers.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy – Bearish Trade Plan
The breakdown from the symmetrical triangle structure presents an opportunity to short the pair with a defined risk-to-reward setup.
📌 Entry Strategy:
Enter short positions after price breaks and retests the 0.8379 support level as resistance.
Confirmation should come from bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing candles or pin bars.
📌 Stop Loss:
Placed above 0.8421, above the last swing high, to protect against potential false breakouts.
📌 Take Profit (TP) Target:
First TP: 0.8325 (Intermediate support)
Final TP: 0.82926 (Major support and key structure level)
Alternative Scenario – Bullish Reversal Possibility
If price reclaims 0.8379 and closes above it consistently, the bearish breakdown might be a false move.
A move above 0.8421 would invalidate the bearish setup, leading to potential bullish momentum.
4. Risk Management & Trade Confirmation
✅ Volume Analysis
A significant increase in volume on the breakdown strengthens the bearish outlook.
Low volume retests may indicate a weak reversal attempt, favoring continuation downward.
✅ Bearish Price Action Confirmation
Lower highs and consistent lower lows reinforce a bearish sentiment.
Rejections from the broken support (now resistance) validate the trade setup.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
The Stop-Loss (SL) is tight, and the profit target is significantly larger, making this a high RRR trade.
Ideally, a RRR of at least 2:1 or 3:1 should be maintained for proper risk control.
5. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook
Bearish Bias Strengths:
Trendline break indicates strong downside pressure.
Failed attempts to break resistance suggest weakening bulls.
Global macroeconomic factors and fundamental catalysts may favor GBP strength over EUR in the near term.
Reversal Risks:
A strong bullish breakout above 0.8421 would shift momentum to the upside.
Fundamental news events (e.g., ECB or BoE statements) can impact market direction unexpectedly.
6. Summary & Conclusion
🔹 The EUR/GBP 1-hour chart has broken below a symmetrical triangle pattern, confirming a bearish breakout.
🔹 Key levels to watch: Resistance at 0.8421, support at 0.82926.
🔹 Trading strategy favors short positions, with a target at 0.82926 and a stop loss at 0.8421.
🔹 Confirmation comes from trendline breaks, volume analysis, and lower highs/lows structure.
📌 Final Verdict:
The setup is bearish unless price reclaims 0.8379 and invalidates the structure.
Traders should monitor price action, volume, and news events for further confirmations.
🔥 Potential Profit Target: 80-90 Pips 📉
⚠️ Risk Management is Crucial – Always Use Stop Loss & Proper Position Sizing
EUR/GBP Analysis – Bearish Momentum Gaining StrengthThe EUR/GBP pair has shown a significant shift in market structure, breaking below a critical support level and signaling further downside potential. After facing strong resistance near the 0.84400 region, the price struggled to maintain bullish momentum and started forming lower highs, indicating selling pressure.
Technical Breakdown:
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary near 0.84400 acted as a supply area where sellers gained control. Multiple rejection candles at this level confirmed that buyers were losing strength.
Support Breakdown: The price recently broke below a key support zone, which had previously acted as a demand area. This breakdown suggests a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Bearish Continuation Pattern: The chart displays a clear lower high and lower low formation, reinforcing the bearish trend. The price is now retesting the breakdown zone, which could serve as a new resistance level before further declines.
Target Projection: The next major support lies at 0.82508, which aligns with a previous consolidation zone. If the bearish momentum persists, we may see a test of this level in the coming sessions.
Trading Considerations:
📌 Bearish Bias: Traders may look for sell opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance levels.
📌 Confirmation: A retest of the breakdown level with rejection signals could provide a strong entry point.
📌 Risk Management: Stop-loss placements above 0.83800 could help manage risk in case of an unexpected bullish reversal.
💡 Final Thoughts:
With the prevailing bearish momentum, EUR/GBP is likely to continue downward unless buyers regain control at key levels. Traders should watch for price action signals near support and resistance zones to confirm trade setups.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveChart Overview
This EUR/GBP 1-hour chart highlights a symmetrical triangle pattern that has recently broken to the downside, signaling a potential bearish move. The chart includes key technical levels such as resistance, support, trendlines, and a projected price target. Let’s analyze each component in detail.
1. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern, meaning it typically precedes a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend. In this case:
The pair initially rallied sharply, forming a strong uptrend.
A consolidation phase followed, where price started forming lower highs and higher lows, creating a contracting triangle.
The triangle’s resistance and support levels were tested multiple times, confirming their significance.
Key takeaway: The more times price tests support and resistance without breaking through, the stronger the eventual breakout.
2. Breakdown from the Triangle – Bearish Signal
The price broke below the support level, triggering a breakdown from the symmetrical triangle.
This breakdown was accompanied by a strong bearish candlestick, indicating a decisive move to the downside.
The previous support is now acting as resistance, meaning any pullback to this zone could provide a shorting opportunity.
Why is this important?
A breakdown from a triangle often results in a sharp directional move, especially if it aligns with the broader market trend.
3. Trendline Analysis – Uptrend Reversal
The rising trendline that supported the price action has been broken, further confirming trend exhaustion and a shift to bearish momentum.
Before the breakdown, the price had been respecting the trendline as support.
After the breakdown, the trendline is invalidated, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Technical Insight:
Trendlines act as dynamic support/resistance, and once broken, they often lead to strong directional movements.
4. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Level (Former Support Zone):
This level was previously a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in.
Now that price has fallen below it, this area could act as a resistance if price retests it.
Traders should watch for bearish rejections or reversal patterns (such as shooting stars or bearish engulfing candlesticks) before entering short positions.
Support Level & Bearish Target (0.829):
The chart highlights 0.829 as the next significant support area.
This level aligns with historical price action and provides a logical take-profit zone for short traders.
5. Expected Price Action – Bearish Continuation Scenario
Given the breakdown from the triangle, the expected movement is as follows:
A short-term pullback to the broken support (now resistance).
Rejection from this zone, leading to further downside momentum.
Price reaching the projected target near 0.829, where traders may look to take profits or reassess market conditions.
6. Trading Strategy & Risk Management
✅ Bearish Trade Setup
Entry: On a pullback to the broken support level (preferably with bearish confirmation signals).
Stop-Loss: Above the previous resistance level to avoid false breakouts.
Take-Profit: Around the 0.829 target or lower if momentum continues.
⚠ Risk Considerations
If price closes back above the broken support, it may indicate a false breakout, invalidating the bearish trade setup.
Fundamental news events (such as central bank decisions or economic data) could impact price movement unexpectedly.
Conclusion – Bearish Outlook with Defined Target
This chart presents a textbook triangle breakdown, reinforcing the bearish bias for EUR/GBP. The structure suggests that price will continue lower toward the 0.829 target, unless invalidated by a strong reversal. Traders should watch for pullbacks and rejection signals before entering short positions.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: 0.835 - 0.837 (Former Support Zone, Now Resistance)
✅ Target: 0.829 (Projected Price Target)
📉 Bias: Bearish
Final Thought
This setup provides a high-probability trade idea for traders looking to capitalize on momentum. As always, implementing proper risk management is crucial to navigate market uncertainties. 🚀
EUR/GBP Bearish Trading Setup | Resistance Rejection & BreakdownMarket Context & Overview
The EUR/GBP currency pair is currently showing signs of bearish momentum, as illustrated in this 1-hour trading chart. The price is facing a strong resistance zone while forming a descending trendline, indicating that sellers are gaining control over the market. Given this technical setup, traders can anticipate a potential breakdown leading to further downside movement.
This analysis highlights key price levels, technical indicators, and potential trade opportunities based on current price action. The bearish outlook is supported by the market structure, which is displaying signs of a potential trend reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
1️⃣ Resistance Zone (0.84200 - 0.84300)
This area has acted as a strong selling zone in previous price action.
Multiple rejection points indicate that buyers are struggling to push beyond this level.
This resistance aligns with the descending trendline, further strengthening the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Support Level (0.84000)
The current support level has provided temporary demand, preventing immediate downside movement.
If the price breaks below this support, it will confirm a bearish continuation.
3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (0.84495)
This is the all-time high resistance zone in the short-term structure.
A break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to bullish momentum.
4️⃣ Target Level (0.83735)
If the price successfully breaks below 0.84000, the next target would be 0.83735.
This level aligns with previous swing lows, making it a realistic downside target for short positions.
5️⃣ Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.84201)
A stop-loss above 0.84201 ensures protection against false breakouts.
If price breaks above this level, it could signal a shift in market structure.
🔹 Technical Insights & Market Sentiment
1️⃣ Descending Trendline: The price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating a bearish bias.
2️⃣ Multiple Resistance Rejections: Price has tested the resistance zone multiple times without breaking through.
3️⃣ Bearish Price Action: The recent candles show lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend.
4️⃣ Volume Analysis: A drop in buying pressure at resistance signals potential weakness among buyers.
5️⃣ Fundamental Factors : GBP strength due to macroeconomic factors could add further pressure on EUR/GBP.
🔹 Trade Plan & Strategy
📌 Entry Criteria
Ideal entry near 0.84150 - 0.84200 if price shows rejection at resistance.
Alternatively, enter after a confirmed breakdown below 0.84000 for safer confirmation.
🎯 Profit Target
First target: 0.83735
If bearish momentum continues, price could extend towards 0.83600 as an extended target.
🛑 Stop Loss Placement
Above 0.84201 to minimize risk.
This ensures the trade remains valid while avoiding market noise.
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Management
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 2:1, making this a favorable setup.
✅ Trade Management:
If price starts reversing before hitting the target, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits.
If price consolidates around support, watch for breakout confirmations before entering.
🔹 Final Thoughts & Market Sentiment
This trading setup suggests a strong bearish opportunity based on price action, resistance rejection, and trendline confluence. The break below 0.84000 will be the key trigger for further downside movement. If price remains below resistance, a sell position with a stop-loss above 0.84201 and a target of 0.83735 offers a high-probability trade setup.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis - 4H Chart
📌 Pair: EUR/GBP
📈 Current Price: 0.84092
Key Levels:
🔹 Support Zone: 0.83766 - A key area where price has previously bounced.
🔹 Resistance Zone: 0.84400 - A strong resistance level where price has faced rejection.
🔹 Target Level: 0.85004 - Potential bullish target if price breaks above resistance.
Market Structure & Trade Idea:
EUR/GBP has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above the support zone (0.83766).
Currently, price is testing the resistance level. A slight pullback toward support could provide a new buying opportunity.
A break above resistance would confirm bullish continuation toward 0.85004.
Trading Plan:
✅ Bullish Scenario: Wait for a pullback to 0.83766 before entering long, targeting 0.85004.
✅ Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below 0.83766, a deeper retracement to 0.82652 may follow.
🔍 Watch for:
Breakout confirmation above resistance.
Strong rejection from support before entering a trade.