EURGBP - Short from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURGBP.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. I wait price to continue the retracement and then to reject from trendline + FIBO 0.5 level.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+3) we will see results of CPI on GBP and on Thursday (GMT+3) we have Interest Rate on EUR, news with high impact on currency.
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Eurgbpanalysis
DeGRAM | EURGBP is looking to close the gapEURGBP is moving under an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price has touched the dynamic support and is now testing the support level, which has already acted as a pivot point.
The chart has formed a pattern AB=CD.
We expect the price to rise after the support retest.
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DeGRAM | EURGBP bounce from the channel boundaryEURGBP is moving in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is testing the lower boundary of the channel.
We expect a rebound after the channel retest.
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EUR/GBP Exchange Rate Analysis: Key Insights and ProjectionsThe EUR/GBP exchange rate is a crucial indicator of economic dynamics between the Eurozone and the UK. Current fluctuations are driven by economic data, monetary policy expectations, and political events, with significant implications as the UK heads into a general election.
Eurozone Economic Indicators and ECB Policy
Persistent disinflationary pressures in the Eurozone, with the PPI falling by 0.2% in May.
ECB may cut interest rates in Q3 2024 if producer prices continue to decline, potentially weakening the euro.
Services sector growth slowing, with the final services PMI for June revised down to 52.8.
UK's Pre-Election Economic Environment
Cautious market sentiment towards the pound due to the upcoming general election.
Hopes for a stable Labour victory supporting the pound.
UK's services PMI for June eased to 52.1, reflecting a slowdown influenced by election-related uncertainty.
Political Impact on Exchange Rates
UK election could cause short-term volatility in the GBP/EUR exchange rate.
A Labour victory might boost investor confidence and support the pound, while unexpected outcomes could increase uncertainty.
Political stability in France supports the euro, despite broader economic challenges.
Exchange Rate Forecast
The EUR/GBP exchange rate will be influenced by the UK election outcome and ongoing Eurozone economic challenges.
Current trading at around 0.8465, with political and economic developments being key drivers.
Conclusion
The EUR/GBP exchange rate reflects economic health and political stability in both regions. The imminent UK election and Eurozone economic indicators will shape its future direction, with potential volatility expected in the short term.
EURGBP - Bearish continuation !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURGBP.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so as I mentioned in my previous analysis, price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.85000.
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Will EURGBP fill the gap?It's been 7 trading days already and the gap created on 10 June remains unfilled. It's not often that we see such PA in the forex market. After trying to 'runaway' I think that this market is now inching towards filling the gap. If/when that happens I will be looking for a bearish continuation.
This is not a trade recommendation.
Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Anything can happen in the markets at any time. Please use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
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EURGBP, Time for LONG ?Hello traders, hope you doing great.
for upcoming week, I think we'll probably see an upward trend to the specified level.
so with a proper trigger, we can open a long position.
and finally tell me what do you think? UP or DOWN? leave your comment below .
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BUY EUR/GBP at market .8460 (again!!!)Ever since this pair opened with a gap (see chart) on the 24th June, I've been BUYING this pair in anticipation of the gap closing.
Markets hate gaps and will try to close them.
Usually when a pair open with a gap when the markets open, the gap is closed and then price will continue in the same direction as the gap.
Examples of this can be seen on EUR/USD and EUR/CAD, both of whom opened with a gap.
With both these pairs, the gapwas closed and price then dropped.
I expected EUR/GBP to follow this pattern but it has yet to close the gap after 3 weeks of trading.
As can be seen by the channel drawn, EUR/GBP remain in an uptrend.
WR1 (weekly Resistance 1) at .8471 remains an obstacle to EUR/GBP BULLS.
This level has been reached 3x this week and each time the price has reversed.
I've closed my LONGS whenever the price hit WR1 and opened a position SHORT once it was confirmed that WR1 was holding.
I'm back in LONG on this pair with STOP under the lows and under the 200 EMA on H1.
Target is the closing the gap at .8490.
It seems unlikey we will get anywhere near .8490 today and news at 13:30 is unlikely to move this pair much (US Core PCE Price Index).
DeGRAM | EURGBP decline in the channelEURGBP is moving in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The chart is under the 50% retracement level of the bearish momentum.
We expect a pullback after retesting the resistance level and reaching the upper boundary of the channel.
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EURGBP - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURGBP.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. My point of interest is if price continue the retracement and fills the imbalance higher, then rejects from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.85000.
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EUR/GBP Technical Analysis## EUR/GBP Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
### Chart Overview:
The EUR/GBP pair on the 15-minute timeframe exhibits detailed recent price action, incorporating several technical elements that suggest potential future movements.
### Key Elements:
1. Downtrend Channel:
- The chart initially indicates a downtrend channel, with the price respecting the upper trendline as resistance and the lower trendline as support.
- This channel suggests a bearish trend with lower highs and lower lows up to a certain point.
2. Breaking Out of the Channel:
- Recently, the price appears to have broken out of the downtrend channel to the upside, indicating a potential reversal or at least a short-term bullish correction.
- The breakout is accompanied by a consolidation phase just above the previous upper trendline.
3. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance levels are noted at 0.84603, 0.85181, and above these, at the previous high around 0.8535.
- Support Levels: Key support levels include 0.84571, 0.84578, 0.84206, and further below at 0.84042 and 0.8400. These levels have provided significant support in the past and could act as potential bounce points if the price declines.
### Conclusion:
The EUR/GBP pair is currently in a critical phase, having recently broken out of a downtrend channel. The price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial in determining the next move. Volume analysis supports the recent bullish breakout, suggesting potential for further upside if key resistance levels are breached. Always manage your risk with appropriate stop losses and position sizing.
EUR/GBP BUY at market (.8450)2 weeks ago the EUR/GBP opened with a market gap.
Those of you who read my previous posts on this subject will know that I believe gaps in the market are ALWAYS filled.
True, this can be weeks or even months but most commonly gaps are filled within 48 hours.
Last week downward pressure prevented the EUR gaining on the GBP and the gap remained.
I was moderately confident that the gap would be filled this week and I've had muliple LONG positions on EUR/GBP but every trade hit headwinds and were closed (at a profit).
This morning we saw the EUR decline with the weak German and French manufacturing and Services PMI but this was followed by weak GBP Flash Manufacturing and Servicing PMI and a look at the H1 chart will reveal that this has left this pair in a definitive northerly direction.
I've markeed the approximate path of the 200 EMA on the chart as, as can be seen, this was falling, then turned level and is now poised to head north.
At 14:45 (45 minutes) we have trhe USD Flash manufacturing and Services PMI.
I don't expect the release to have much impact on this pair.
I'm happy to be LONG on this pair in anticipation of the gap being closed sometime next week.
EURGBP
EUR/GBP is showing a bullish trend on the daily timeframe, as it follows a descending channel and has completed the Elliott Wave 12345 pattern. Currently, the price is in the ABC correction phase. A buying opportunity arises after a breakout above the descending trendline, targeting the key resistance level and the descending channel's resistance trendline.
Forextraplaces - the week ahead - EUR/GBPIt's a well know market phenomenon that gaps in the market are inevitably always filled.
The market hates gaps.
No-one seems to know why but its simply a fact.
When the markets opened last Sunday (UK time) EUR gapped open across many pairs.
EUR/USD 25 pip gap - filled.
EUR/JPY 28 pip gap - filled.
EUR/CAD 26 pip gap - filled
EUR/CHF - no gap
EUR/AUD 37 pip NOT filled.
EUR/NZD 42 pip gap NOT filled.
These last 2 trading pairs have been in a steep decline since the end of April and show no signs of reversing so the gaps in these markets may not bve filled for some time but EUR/GBP is the pair to look at.
I expected this gap to have been filled last week particulalrly as GBP was largely BEARISH but this did not happen.
I expect that this gap WILL be filled this week.
Key is .8842.
If we see the price of EUR/GBP break .8842 (where I have a SELL STOP) , I expect the price to close the gap and then reverse sharply.
This will need to be done before Friday as the EURO PMI numbers will most likely set the direction of the EUR and these are due on Friday.
So look to get LONG on this pair and see if the gap is filled but be mindful that the overall picture for is pair is BEARISH.
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EurGbp could drop hard and test 0.8From a fundamental standpoint, given the political problems in the EU, the GBP is expected to outperform the Euro, regardless of what happens with the major pairs (EUR/USD and GBP/USD).
This, combined with the technical outlook, could create a promising selling opportunity for EUR/GBP.
As shown in the chart, the pair broke a major support level this week. Considering the descending triangle pattern that has contained EUR/GBP since late January, we could see an acceleration to the downside, potentially leading to a 400-pip drop to test the 0.80 psychological support.
My strategy is to sell on rallies.
EUR/GBP - Epic Comeback!! That liquidity zone is so heavy !!
A long the time accumulate all the liquidity..
Remember this pair is the most powerful, because there are two strength currencies ..
If you understand long term, you have a money gun..
Obviously with the perfect strategy !!
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The Euro: Navigating Politics, Geopolitics, and SocietyThe euro, as the second most traded currency globally, is heavily influenced by the political stability of the European Union (EU) and global geopolitical dynamics. The stability of the euro is linked to the political environment within the EU, where recent events like the rise of EU-skeptic parties and political turbulence in key member states, such as France and Italy, have introduced uncertainty.
Geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict in Ukraine and economic policies from major economies like the US and China, also significantly impact the euro. Additionally, the rise of Islam in Europe, due to immigration and higher birth rates among Muslim communities, has influenced elections and political discourse, contributing to the success of far-right parties. These sociopolitical shifts further complicate the euro's stability by introducing political instability and policy uncertainty.
Currently, the pound-to-euro exchange rate has surged, driven by EU political instability and the cautious approach of the European Central Bank (ECB) towards inflation and interest rates. The euro's future will be shaped by a complex interplay of internal political cohesion, global geopolitical tensions, and sociocultural dynamics.
DeGRAM | EURGBP rebound from supportEURGBP is moving in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The price has reached the support level, which was the reversal point last time.
We think that after the support is retested, the price will continue to grow within the channel.
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