EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D9 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D9 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Eurgbpforecast
EUR/GBP DESCENDING TRIANGLE BEARISH PETTERNCurrent Price Action: The pair is hovering around 0.8300, with support near 0.8280.
Bearish Confirmation: A sustained break below 0.8478 could target the 55-day EMA at 0.8455, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Market Sentiment: The broader trend suggests that the rise from 0.8221 may have completed, meaning further downside movement is possible.
Technical Indicators: Volume contraction within the triangle indicates weakening bullish momentum, increasing the likelihood of a bearish breakout.
Target Levels: If the breakdown occurs, the next major support lies near 0.8221, which was a previous low.
Trading Strategy
Entry Point: Consider short positions if EUR/GBP breaks below 0.8478 with strong volume confirmation.
Stop Loss: Place stops above 0.8527, which is a key resistance level.
Profit Target: Initial target at 0.8450, with extended downside potential toward
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk YELLOW MA Zone. It's a Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (0.85400) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.84000
💰💵💸EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets and Overall outlook score..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅5' order blockS
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅4 Hour order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure to be created
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
Summary
- Weekly Orderblock
- 15' Orderblock
Requirements
- Setup A) Await 15' breaks of structure - Pull back short from created 15' order block
- Setup B) Lowertime frame break of structure via current available 15' order block
FRGNT X
IG - JCFRGNT
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday !
SUMMARY
- Trading areas identified
- Long position via 4H order block + weekly wick imbalance fill alignment. 15' breaks of structure required prior. 15' order block to be created post 15' break of structure. B set up.
- Short position via weekly order block 15' order block identified.15' breaks of structure required prior & lower time frame break of structure + turn around in price actions. A Set up
FRGNT X
Market Analysis: EUR/GBP SlipsMarket Analysis: EUR/GBP Slips
EUR/GBP declined and is now consolidating losses above the 0.8500 region.
Important Takeaways for EUR/GBP Analysis Today
- EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8630 pivot level.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.8570 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above 0.8700. The Euro traded below the 0.8630 support level against the British Pound.
The EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair even declined below the 0.8600 level and tested 0.8520. It is now consolidating losses and trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. Recently, there was a minor increase above the 0.8540 level.
The pair is now facing resistance near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8738 swing high to the 0.8518 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.8570.
The next major resistance could be 0.8630 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8738 swing high to the 0.8518 low.
A close above the 0.8630 level might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8685. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.8740 level.
Immediate support sits near 0.8520. The next major support is near 0.8500. A downside break below the 0.8500 support might call for more downsides. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward the 0.8360 support level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURGBP Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 10th I shared this idea "EURGBP Short Term Buy Idea"
I expected bullish continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first key support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
“ EUR/GBP Buy Setup – Demand Zone to the Moon? ”Key Zones & Levels
🟦 Demand Zone:
Between 0.85555 – 0.85200
Buyers previously pushed price up here — now acting as a strong support base!
🎯 Target Point:
0.87406
Potential upside of +179 pips / +2.09%
🟢 Entry Point:
Around 0.85555, just above the demand zone
Ideal spot for a Buy Entry if confirmation shows.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Set at 0.85200
Smart risk protection below the zone.
Indicators
📉 Downtrend Line:
A break above this could signal the start of a bullish Reversal.
📈 EMA (7-period):
Currently around 0.85796
Reclaiming above this line strengthens the buy signal.
Trade Plan Summary
✅ Buy on bounce from demand zone
🔓 Breakout of the trend line = confirmation
🎯 TP: 0.87406
🛡️ SL: 0.85200
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Excellent (about 1:6)
Final Thoughts
Wait for bullish candles near the entry point
Watch fundamentals too — EUR & GBP news could impact direction
Stay alert for false breakouts below the demand zone
EURGBP Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish momentum
No opposite signs
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURGBP: A Potential Short Opportunity Amidst ConsolidationEUR/GBP daily chart reveals a compelling narrative of consolidation followed by a potential bearish reversal. The pair has been trading within a defined range, bounded by key horizontal support and resistance zones (highlighted in blue). The recent price action suggests a rejection from the upper resistance zone, setting the stage for a possible short trade.
Key Observations:
Range-Bound Consolidation: The chart clearly shows EUR/GBP oscillating within a well-defined range. This pattern indicates a period of indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers have established a clear dominant trend.
Resistance Zone Test and Rejection: The price recently revisited the upper resistance zone. The subsequent price action, characterized by a sharp downward move, suggests a strong rejection from this level. This rejection is a critical signal that sellers are stepping in, potentially reversing the recent upward momentum.
Bearish Engulfing/Pin Bar Formation (Possible): While the chart doesn't explicitly highlight a candlestick pattern, the sharp rejection from the resistance zone suggests the formation of a bearish engulfing or a pin bar on a lower timeframe. This pattern reinforces the bearish bias.
Retracement and Entry Opportunity: The price has retraced a portion of the recent decline. This retracement presents a potential opportunity to enter a short position, capitalizing on the anticipated continuation of the bearish move.
Support Zones as Targets: The lower support zone serves as a primary target for the potential short trade. The intermediate support level (around 0.83727) can act as a partial profit-taking zone or a point to trail the stop loss.
Pattern Identification:
The dominant pattern observed is a range-bound consolidation followed by a potential bearish reversal triggered by a rejection from a key resistance zone. Trade Setup:
Entry: A short entry can be considered at the current price level (around 0.85021-0.85129) or on a break below the immediate support level (0.84772). A more conservative approach would be to wait for a clear bearish candlestick pattern confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., H4 or H1).
Stop Loss: The stop loss should be placed above the recent swing high (around 0.85867) to protect the trade from unexpected price reversals.
Take Profit: The primary target is the lower support zone (around 0.82537-0.82218). An intermediate target can be set at the 0.83727 level.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The potential trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, with a relatively small stop loss and a significant profit target.
EUR/GBP - Bearish Rejection from Resistance
This 4-hour chart of EUR/GBP indicates a potential sell opportunity following a rejection from a key resistance level.
Key Observations:
Resistance Level: Price is struggling to break above 0.84200, suggesting strong selling pressure.
Bearish Structure: The price action shows a rejection at resistance, forming a potential lower high.
Target Support: The next major support level is around 0.83448, followed by 0.82562 for further downside.
Trading Plan:
📉 Sell Entry: After price confirmation below 0.84000
🎯 Take Profit: First target at 0.83448, second target at 0.82562
🔴 Stop-Loss: Above 0.84300 to minimize risk
Technical Indicators to Watch:
✅ Bearish Candlestick Patterns confirming resistance rejection
✅ RSI Divergence or overbought conditions
✅ Break & Retest Confirmation before entering a short trade
EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/GBP "The Chunnel"Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (0.83400) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low or high level Using the 4H timeframe (0.83000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 0.84200 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 0.85000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔱Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained its interest rates at 3.50%, while the Bank of England (BoE) has kept its rates at 4.50%. The interest rate differential is slightly in favor of the GBP.
Inflation: Eurozone inflation is at 5.3% (Jan 2025), while UK inflation is at 3.2% (Jan 2025). The higher inflation in the Eurozone might lead to a rate hike by the ECB.
GDP Growth: Eurozone GDP growth is expected to be around 1.2% in 2025, while the UK's GDP growth is expected to be around 1.5% in 2025.
Trade Balance: The Eurozone has a trade surplus, while the UK has a trade deficit.
🔱Macroeconomic Factors
Unemployment Rates: Eurozone unemployment is at 6.4% (Jan 2025), while UK unemployment is at 3.7% (Jan 2025).
Manufacturing PMI: Eurozone Manufacturing PMI is at 48.5 (Feb 2025), while UK Manufacturing PMI is at 49.3 (Feb 2025).
Services PMI: Eurozone Services PMI is at 52.3 (Feb 2025), while UK Services PMI is at 50.2 (Feb 2025).
🔱Global Market Analysis
Risk Appetite: Global risk appetite is moderate, with investors seeking safe-haven assets amid concerns over inflation and economic growth.
Commodity Prices: Oil prices are stable, while gold prices are rising due to safe-haven demand.
🔱COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Large Speculators)
Net Positions: EUR/GBP net positions are slightly bearish, with 55% of traders holding short positions.
Long Positions: Long positions are moderate, with 45% of traders holding long positions.
Short Positions: Short positions are slightly higher, with 55% of traders holding short positions.
Commercial Traders (Hedgers)
Net Positions: EUR/GBP net positions are slightly bullish, with 52% of traders holding long positions.
Long Positions: Long positions are moderate, with 52% of traders holding long positions.
Short Positions: Short positions are slightly lower, with 48% of traders holding short positions.
🔱Intermarket Analysis
Correlation: EUR/GBP is negatively correlated with EUR/USD and positively correlated with GBP/JPY.
Cross-Rates: EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY are trading in a range, indicating a balanced market.
🔱Quantitative Analysis
Trend Analysis: The EUR/GBP is trading in a downtrend, with a bearish bias.
Momentum Indicators: RSI (14) is at 40, indicating a neutral market. MACD (12, 26) is bearish, with a signal line crossover.
🔱Market Sentimental Analysis
Trader Sentiment: Trader sentiment is slightly bearish, with 55% of traders expecting a price decline.
Market Positioning: Market positioning is neutral, with a balanced ratio of long to short positions.
🔱Positioning
Long Positions: Long positions are moderate, with traders holding 45% of long positions.
Short Positions: Short positions are slightly higher, with traders holding 55% of short positions.
🔱Overall Summary Outlook
The EUR/GBP is expected to trade lower, driven by a stronger GBP and a weaker EUR. The bearish bias is supported by fundamental, technical, and sentimental analysis. However, traders should be cautious of potential reversals and use proper risk management techniques.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (0.82650) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell stop below the support line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest.
I highly recommend to use alert in your trading platform.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.83000 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.81950 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
⚖️Fundamental Analysis
- The European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decisions significantly impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate. The ECB's interest rate decisions influence the euro's value relative to the pound.
- The UK's economic performance, including GDP growth, inflation, and employment rates, also affects the exchange rate.
- Political developments, such as Brexit negotiations and EU-UK trade agreements, can create market volatility and impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate.
⚖️Macro Economics
- Inflation Rates: The ECB's inflation target is below, but close to, 2%. The UK's inflation rate has been above the Bank of England's 2% target. These differences can influence the exchange rate.
- Interest Rates: The ECB's interest rates are currently lower than the Bank of England's rates. This difference can impact the exchange rate.
- GDP Growth: The EU's GDP growth has been slower than the UK's in recent years. This difference can influence the exchange rate.
⚖️COT Data
- Commitment of Traders (COT): The COT report shows that large speculators, such as hedge funds and institutional investors, are currently net short on the euro. This suggests that they expect the euro to weaken against the pound.
- Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as individual investors and hedge funds, are currently net long on the euro. This suggests that they expect the euro to strengthen against the pound.
⚖️Market Sentimental Analysis
- Market Sentiment: The market sentiment for EUR/GBP is currently bearish, with many analysts expecting the euro to weaken against the pound.
- Positioning: Many traders and investors are currently short on the euro, expecting it to weaken against the pound.
⚖️Trader Positions
- Institutional Traders: 55% short, 45% long
- Retail Traders: 58% short, 42% long
- Hedge Funds: 60% short, 40% long
- Commercial Traders: 52% short, 48% long
- Banks: 50% short, 50% long
⚖️Next Trend Move
- Based on the current market sentiment and positioning, the next trend move for EUR/GBP is likely to be downward, with the euro weakening against the pound.
- However, it's essential to keep in mind that market trends can change rapidly, and unexpected events can impact the exchange rate.
⚖️Quantitative Analysis
- Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is currently above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend. However, the short-term moving averages (10-day and 20-day) are below the longer-term moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 40, indicating that the market is oversold and due for a bounce.
- Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands are currently widening, indicating increased volatility.
⚖️Intermarket Analysis
- Correlation with Other Markets: EUR/GBP is currently positively correlated with the EUR/USD and negatively correlated with the GBP/USD.
- Impact of Other Markets: The EUR/GBP exchange rate is likely to be impacted by the performance of the US dollar, as well as the relative economic performance of the EU and UK.
- Commodity Prices: Changes in commodity prices, such as oil and gold, can also impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate.
⚖️Overall Summary Outlook
The EUR/GBP exchange rate is expected to decline in the short-term, driven by the bearish market sentiment and positioning. The euro's weakness against the pound is likely to continue, with a potential target of 0.8200. However, any unexpected positive developments in the EU or negative developments in the UK could lead to a reversal of the trend. Traders and investors should remain cautious and monitor market developments closely.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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