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Eurgbpforecast

EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP - Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is slightly on the UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the POSITIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. Also, even if BOE RATE HIKE, we were not able to see BOE's intervention.. The reason for EUR to have a POSITIVE SENTIMENT is that USD has been quite WEAK in recent weeks. But a good UP SIDE BIAS is coming for EUR now with the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to this reason, all MARKETS including STOCKS can be seen to be UP due to MARKET RISK being ON. It affects the EUR in a big way. The ECB did a RATE HIKE. BOE also did a RATE HIKE last week. - EURGBP can definitely go up to the RESISTANCE LEVEL above. Due to USD WEAK, EUR may be quite STRONG. Accordingly, EURGBP can go up slightly until the 0.8860 LEVEL. And after that EURGBP can be SELL to 0.8450 LEVEL. The given STRUCTURES should be BREAKED for that...
by benny_marshall
ECB vs BoE: What's next for EUR/GBP?The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) both raised interest rates by 50 basis points at their final meetings of the year. The Eurozone's policy rate was hiked to 2.5%, the highest in fourteen years, and the UK's to 3.5%, the highest since late 2008. In contrast to the relatively dovish BoE meeting, the ECB meeting was substantially more hawkish than the market had anticipated, prompting the EUR/GBP cross to surge. In a divided vote, the BoE decided to raise rates by 50bps, with one member (Mann) pressing for 75bps and two members (Tenreyro and Dhingra) preferring to maintain current rates. According to the BoE statement, more increases in the Bank Rate may be necessary due to ongoing inflationary pressures fueled by a tight labour market. In the first quarter of 2023, UK CPI inflation is expected to fall as household spending and property market indicators weaken. Even if the ECB lowered its speed of rate rises from 75bps to 50bps, it made it clear that interest rates will still have to climb consistently and by a steady pace to reach restrictive levels to get inflation back to 2% quickly. The ECB also indicated that quantitative tightening will begin in March 2023. The ECB will not reinvest all expiring securities' principal payments in the Asset Purchase Programme (APP), meaning its asset portfolio of eurozone bonds will fall at an average pace of €15 billion per month until Q2 2023, with the subsequent rate established over time. During the press conference, ECB President Lagarde reiterated that the ECB will rise with tenacity and that 50bps may be the right rate hike for the next meeting and the two after that. She also hinted that once the peak is achieved, "it won't be enough to hit and withdraw," and that high interest rates will be in place for a longer period of time. Historically, the interest-rate gap between the Euro Area and the UK has been one of the key driver behind the EUR/GBP exchange rate. Market reactions to the BoE and ECB meetings: Yields differential matter Before today's meeting, the market was highly dovish on the ECB, pricing in a peak of 2.8% next year, while it had already built in hawkish expectations on the BoE, pricing in a peak of 4.6% in the Bank Rate in August 2023. German bond yields soared by 15 basis points after the ECB rate announcement and during Lagarde's press conference, but UK gilt yields stayed nearly unchanged from pre-BoE meeting levels. The negative yield spread between German and UK sovereign bonds shrank throughout the curve today as investors repriced ECB rise expectations. The 2-year German-UK yield gap narrowed to -1% and the 10-year one to -1.2%.  In the coming weeks/days, market expectations for the ECB rate may continue to rise as ECB hawks are likely to reiterate their aggressive stance. The Bank of England's market pricing may stay broadly stable, given it has already incorporated heightened expectations ahead to the meeting. This may indicate that the negative yield disparity between German and British bonds will continue to narrow, exerting upward pressure on the euro-pound exchange rate. A further 30 basis point reduction in the negative yield spread between 2-year German bonds and UK gilts, lowering it from -1% to -0.70%, might drive EUR/GBP to 0.89 or near to the psychologically important level of 0.90.
by Capitalcom
EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP - Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is slightly on the DOWN SIDE. The main reason for that is the NEGATIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. And we can mention BOE intervention. The reason for positive sentiment in EUR is USD SELL. But a good UP SIDE BIAS is coming for GBP now with the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to this reason, all MARKETS including STOCKS can be seen to be UP due to MARKET RISK being ON. It affects the EUR in a big way. - EURGBP can definitely go up to the RESISTANCE LEVEL above. Due to USD WEAK, EUR may be quite STRONG. Accordingly, EURGBP can go up slightly until the 0.8671 LEVEL. And after that EURGBP can be SELL to 0.8450 LEVEL. The given STRUCTURES should be BREAKED for that.. eurgbp
by benny_marshall
EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP - Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is slightly on the DOWN SIDE. The main reason for that is the NEGATIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. And we can mention BOE intervention. The reason for positive sentiment in EUR is USD SELL. But a good UP SIDE BIAS is coming for GBP now with the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to this reason, all MARKETS including STOCKS can be seen to be UP due to MARKET RISK being ON. It affects the EUR in a big way. - EURGBP can definitely go up to the RESISTANCE LEVEL above. Due to USD WEAK, EUR may be quite STRONG. Accordingly, EURGBP can go up slightly until the 0.8630 LEVEL. And after that EURGBP can be SELL to 0.8450 LEVEL. The given STRUCTURES should be BREAKED for that.. eurgbp
by benny_marshall
EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP - Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is slightly on the DOWN SIDE. The main reason for that is the NEGATIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. And we can mention BOE intervention. The reason for positive sentiment in EUR is USD SELL. But a good UP SIDE BIAS is coming for GBP now with the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to this reason, all MARKETS including STOCKS can be seen to be UP due to MARKET RISK being ON. It affects the EUR in a big way. - EURGBP can definitely go up to the RESISTANCE LEVEL above. Due to USD WEAK, EUR may be quite STRONG. Accordingly, EURGBP can go up slightly until the 0.8812 LEVEL. And after that EURGBP can be SELL to 0.8500 LEVEL. The given STRUCTURES should be BREAKED for that.
by benny_marshall
1
EUR / GBP bullish short term outlookEUR / GBP: Bullish outlook despite the pullback on November 10th and the fact that price found support above the 40 week (200 day) moving average which also intersects at 0.8686 (the 50% retracement from 4 week high / low) indicates the pair may have strong buyer support, this can be further supported by the fact that current price remains above its 4 week moving average, as well as the fact that both 4 and 13 week rate of change indicators are above their respective signal lines ( above zero), this technical conclusion supports the prospects for a bullish outlook over the short term (5-25 days) with upside potential targets near 0.8870 (Oct 12 high) and 0.8930 (38.2% retracement from the 13 week high low).
Long
by Skilling
EURGBP LongWhen we move onto the weekly time frame. We can see a sharp moved took place around the week of the 29th of August. This resulted the price breaking a weekly structural level which has been holding steady since around May of 2021. This combined with the breakout on a falling wedge pattern on the daily time frame add to our narrative of looking to go long on the EURGBP pair. We expect a return of between 13 %to 17% depending on how much you are willing to risk per trade.
Long
by NDOBObanks
EURGBP: WAIT !!! DON'T BUY TOO EARLY!!!. we still have a sellside inefficiency and price still need to rebalance it before finally going bullish on EURGBP. It is of no doubt that we're currently bullish on EURGBP, price is currently looking to fade into a large TF premium Arrays before finally displacing lower. Confluences : 1. we previously had a bullish displacement on the weekly TF leaving a bullish order block behind, price has been trading lower to of recent to mitigate the weekly propulsion block and that is a trend already on the daily TF. 2. On the daily TF, we had a displacement lower showing the interest of the smart money to sell into the weekly propulsion block (IPDA). 3. The banks sell at premium and buy at discount. We're currently in a discount level of the bearish displacement price swing, and before we can expect the banks to sell we must see price trade into the premium P.D-Array of the bearish displacement price swing. 4. I'm looking for price to trade into the equal highs above after the fvg, as it is going to be a draw on liquidity for the smart money to offload the buy stops they've accumulated trading higher. 5. we also have an order block above the fair value gap, we're also likely to see price trade into that before we start building a bearish bias. Conclusion: On the one hour TF, you don't want to buy too early, price is still having a sellside inefficiency to fill in and it could even go all the way down to sweep the previous week low before finally trading for higher prices. Bullish opportunities are likely to be more profitable this week than shorts on EURGBP. StefanFX
Long
by stefan143
EURGBP | Steep Downtrend. Go Short!When it comes to the technical analysis of  EURGBP , considering the current market structure, this currency pair is still in downtrend. On chart, we can clearly see the steep downtrend and price also managed to break the previous support area S1. That means price is likely to continue moving downwards. So the best approach would be to wait until the price tests the S1trend line. If you find a strong rejection with bear candles, go short. Targets T1 & T2 are marked on the chart. What do you think is more likely to happen? Please share your thoughts in comment section. And also give a thumbs up if you find this idea helpful. Any feedback & suggestions would help in further improving the analysis. If you find this technical analysis useful, please like & share our ideas with the community. Good Luck! Disclaimer! This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
Short
by FX-Storm2022