EUR/GBP Weekly Forecast: Double Bottom Pattern, Bullish ReversalOverview of the Chart
This is a EUR/GBP daily chart, showcasing a Double Bottom Pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal formation in technical analysis. The pair has been in a downtrend for several months, but recent price action indicates a potential shift in momentum.
The double bottom pattern consists of two distinct lows (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2) at nearly the same level, forming a W-shaped structure. This suggests that sellers attempted to push the price lower twice but failed both times due to strong buying pressure at the support zone.
As the price starts to rise from the second bottom, the neckline resistance becomes a crucial level to watch. A confirmed breakout above this neckline would validate the pattern and signal a potential bullish rally.
Chart Breakdown & Key Components
1. Double Bottom Pattern Explanation
The first bottom formed in December 2024, marking the lowest price point where buyers stepped in.
The second bottom formed in March 2025, confirming strong demand in the support zone.
The pattern suggests bearish exhaustion, as sellers were unable to push the price lower.
The neckline at ~0.84778 acts as a key breakout level. Once price moves above it, the bullish reversal is confirmed.
🔹 Why is this pattern important?
It signals a trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
It attracts buying interest as traders recognize the formation.
The measured move suggests a potential target of 0.87307, aligning with previous resistance levels.
2. Key Support & Resistance Zones
✅ Support Zone (0.82249 - 0.82458)
This level has been tested twice, making it a strong demand area.
Buyers aggressively defended this zone, preventing further downside.
A break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
✅ Neckline Resistance (~0.84778)
This is the breakout level that confirms the double bottom pattern.
A strong bullish daily candle closing above 0.84778 would indicate a trend shift.
The price may retest this level after breaking out, offering a second entry opportunity.
✅ Major Resistance & Target Areas
0.86251 → The first major resistance zone, where price may face some selling pressure.
0.87307 → The final target based on the pattern projection, aligning with historical resistance.
3. Trading Setup & Execution Plan
🔹 Entry Strategy (Breakout Confirmation)
Enter a buy position after the price breaks and closes above the neckline (~0.84778).
A retest of the neckline provides a second chance to enter at a better price.
Look for high volume confirmation on the breakout for additional confidence.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement (Risk Management)
Place the stop-loss below 0.82249, just under the support zone.
This ensures protection against false breakouts.
Avoid placing the stop too tight, as price fluctuations can trigger early exits.
🔹 Take Profit Levels (Reward Calculation)
First Target: 0.86251 (Intermediate Resistance Level)
Final Target: 0.87307 (Measured Move Projection)
Partial profits can be taken at 0.86251, while runners target 0.87307.
🔹 Risk-Reward Analysis
Entry near 0.84778, stop loss below 0.82249, target at 0.87307.
This setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio (R:R) of over 3:1, making it a highly favorable trade.
4. Market Sentiment & Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (High Probability) ✅
Price successfully breaks above the neckline at 0.84778.
Retests the neckline and holds as new support, leading to strong bullish momentum.
Moves toward 0.86251 first, then extends to 0.87307.
This scenario aligns with technical confirmation & volume breakout strategy.
Bearish Scenario (Low Probability) ❌
Price fails to break the neckline and faces rejection.
The pair revisits the support zone (0.82249 - 0.82458) for a third test.
If the support breaks, it could invalidate the bullish setup, leading to continued downtrend.
5. Final Thoughts & Summary 🎯
✅ Pattern Identified → Double Bottom, signaling bullish reversal.
✅ Breakout Level → Watch for confirmation above 0.84778.
✅ Risk Management → Stop loss below 0.82249.
✅ Profit Target → 0.86251 (Partial Profit), 0.87307 (Final Target).
✅ Trade Plan → Buy on breakout, retest entry for better positioning.
🔥 This is a high-probability bullish setup! Watch for breakout confirmation before entering a trade.
