Eurgbpshort
GBP/JPY - Pound Bullish on BoE Rate Hike Expectations
Fundamentals
Key Points:
1. Markets are expecting UK Inflation to overshoot the central banks' 2% target and reach 3.35% in the coming years.
2. UK 10 Year Bond yields have been rising as a result of high inflation expectations.
3. Against countries like Japan, Switzerland & Germany the UK 10 Year Government Bond Yield is more attractive for investors causing money to move into the UK from these countries and the pound has been getting stronger against all three currencies as a result of the UK's Bond Yield rising.
4. The Bank of England said on May 27th that if people are moved off furlough back into work at a faster pace than previously expected, The Bank of England may be forced to withdraw some of its monetary stimulus and potentially raise interest rates as inflation will rise as the demand for goods and services rise from employment and the re-opening of the economy.
5. High levels of employment will boost price pressures at a time when inflation is already expected to be high from supply shortages caused by the pandemic.
6. This scenario means the central bank will be forced to act and withdraw its monetary support to curb inflation by reducing its bond-buying program, causing the price of bonds to decline and pushing up the Yield due to their inverse correlation.
7. A rate hike would also cause UK short-term rates to move into a profitable carry trade against currencies like the Japanese Yen & CHF & EUR.
What To Watch
Employment Data
Rate Hike Expectations
UK Bond Yield’s
Trade Idea’s
EUR/GBP - SELL
GBP/JPY - BUY
GBP/CHF - BUY
Technicals
GBP/JPY - Key Resistance ¥160.00
GBP/CHF - Key Resistance 131.000
EUR/GBP - Key Support €183.500
ATR Volatility
GBP/JPY - 4.76%
GBP/CHF - 4.06%
EUR/GBP - 3.72%
EURGBP sell has presented overnight 📉👍Morning traders.
Our script says it's time for a sell on EURGBP.
Entry details are shown on the chart.
We are only looking for TP3.
Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
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The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
EURGBO: very profitable short on 4hHi Traders,
This is my view on this pair for the next few days
#EURGBP
SELL 0.868
SL 0.8711
TP 0.851
I remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are.
Therefore the following signal will be activated only if specific rules are strictly respected.
If you follow my strategy you will be able to identify the right filters and triggers to enter correctly the market and avoid fake signals.
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Thank You
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Pietro from Trading Kitchen
EUR/GBP: BEARISH TREND and FLAG PATTERN FORMATION - SHORT 🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
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