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EURJPY H4 | Bullish momentum to extend?EUR/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 159.764 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 159.281 which is a level that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 160.847 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EURJPY WildCardThere have been some choppy waters flowing for the EURJPY in the recent short term. This main scenario is considering a test of the resistance zone near the orange rectangle, and in case the red curved support is broken and preferably retested there could be some room for a bearish wave towards the green rectangle where another opportunity might present itself in case the price meets a powerful support there. Price action dictates the present and the potential future so have a lookout for any weakness or turnaround patterns that might occur in the projected support/resistance zones.
by nen
USD/JPY: Anticipating Downward Movement at Strong ResistanceUSD/JPY is one of the most traded currency pairs in the world. The value of the USD/JPY pair is quoted in Japanese yen per one U.S. dollar. For traders, it is important to note that the pair is currently at a strong resistance level and is expected to move downwards. Outlook According to, the USD/JPY pair is expected to face resistance at the 151.70 area, which is its highest level since October 2022. The YTD peak could also offer some resistance to the USD/JPY pair ahead of the multi-decade top. The Bank of Japan's policy of patience sent the yen to an all-time low, and the Japanese authorities are always in close communication with U.S. counterparts on currencies and share a mutual understanding that excessive moves in the currency should be avoided. Therefore, traders should keep an eye on the pace of the decline in the Japanese yen. Fundamental Analysis The unwavering stance on negative rates by the Bank of Japan puts a spotlight on USD/JPY movements, amid whispers of potential interventions. The interest rate differential between the policy rates of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is an important influence on the USD/JPY exchange rate. Higher interest rates make a currency relatively more attractive because they allow for higher returns on investment. Technical Analysis The USD/JPY pair is currently at a key resistance level of 151.93. A firm break above this level will target 100% projection of 129.62 to 145.06 from 137.22 at 152.66. However, for the shift to lead to a bullish trend, the price must start making higher highs and lows. That means a break above the 150.75 resistance level. Otherwise, the price might start a period of consolidation near the 150.00 key level. Conclusion In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair is currently at a strong resistance level and is expected to move downwards. Traders should keep an eye on the pace of the decline in the Japanese yen. The interest rate differential between the policy rates of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is an important influence on the USD/JPY exchange rate.
Short
by fardycurry
3
EURJPY H4 | Bullish reversal off 61.8% fibo?Price is falling to our buy entry at 158.92, which is a pullback support level, aligning with the 61.8% fibo retracement level and slightly below the 78.6% fibo projection. Our stop loss is at 157.59, which is below the multi-swing low support level. Take profit is at 160.4, which is a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EURJPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceEURJPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target. Entry: 159.763 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci level Stop Loss: 158.883 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level Take Profit: 160.837 Why we like it: There is a swing-high resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
1
EURJPY Sell on the next rebound.The EURJPY pair is on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), trading within a Channel Up since the June 28 High. It appears that smaller Megaphones within the Channel are the patterns that tend to lead the pair to its new Higher Low, that technically reaches as low as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. That is our short target (156.500) but sell as high on the next rebound as possible. You may also pay attention to the 1D RSI, which rebounds on its 39.50 and is where the price has rebounded aggressively every time it hit it, inside 2023. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
Trading the BoJ meeting – it’s all about YCCTiming – 31 Oct (no set time – likely between 1 pm to 3 pm AEDT) The tide is turning in Japan and while BoJ policy change is glacial - especially when we consider the intense pace at which other G10 central banks have acted – we’re now hearing that Japanese pension funds are looking are re-weighting of domestic JGBs, with yields on long-end bonds more attractive than holding foreign bonds on a currency-hedged basis. These future re-weightings will involve huge amounts of capital and increase the perception of JPY inflows, and a lasting process of capital moving back to Japan. On the inflation front, we’ve seen Tokyo core CPI coming in line, or beating expectations, in all but 2 of the last 24 readings. With core CPI running at 3.8% and well above the bank's target of 2%, we’ll see some lumpy inflation upgrades tomorrow from the BoJ. So why not start to tighten policy? The simple reason is they haven’t prepped the market fully, and they want to garner real confidence from the Spring Shunto wage negotiations – we should start to hear the outcome of these negotiations in the weeks ahead. All eyes on changes to the YCC band While no one is expecting a move in interest rates away from NIRP (Negative Interest Rate Policy) – that is an early 2024 story - Where we could see some policy change through the widening of the YCC (Yield Curve Control) band. At present, the BoJ cap 10yr JGB (Japan govt bonds) yields at 100bp (or 1%). If we were to see a test of the 1% cap in the near-term the BoJ would buy unlimited amounts of JGBs to confine yields to 1%. Currently, we see the 10-year JGB at 89bp, with yields up 14bp since 16 October. So, sellers have pushed JGB yields towards the cap, with the more freely moving JP 10yr swap sitting above 1% at 1.10% - it’s, therefore, clear that some in the market has positioned for the BoJ to lift the cap to 1.50%, some may even be thinking it's removed altogether. The market’s base case is for no change While 34/45 economists expect no change, given the recent flow and positioning in the JGB market, if the YCC cap remains at 1% then we could see a spike higher in USDJPY and the JPY crosses – I would guess to the tune of 30-50 pips. I would be a buyer on that JPY weakness. This fits in with the reaction we’ve seen in prior BoJ meetings, where since Jan 2022 the JPY has weakened in all but 2 meetings. Could we see the cap lifted to 1.5%? If the BoJ lifts the cap to 1.5%, one suspects this action will be accompanied by supportive rhetoric that they will continue to intervene intraday and buy JGBs to smooth out any overly violent moves. This action would see a more pronounced downside move in USDJPY, perhaps 50-70 pips (at a guess), although the likely accompanying language should limit the reaction. As always, positioning will play a part – where we currently see leveraged funds short of JPY, while real money is modestly long, and retail aggressively long JPY and seeing greater downside risk in USDJPY. One does question why the BoJ doesn’t just get rid of the YCC cap altogether. A scenario which isn't entirely impossible, but would likely send shockwaves through global bond markets, and by extension FX markets too. One could argue that YCC lacks credibility anyhow, given the BoJ seems to move the cap every time the market tests the limit. It simply results in them having to buy greater quantities of outstanding debt and cornering the market. The trade? Over the coming week or so, I see further upside risk in the JPY - My preference for the BoJ meeting though is to stand aside, but place limit sell orders above the market into the meeting. If the BoJ leaves YCC unchanged then positioning should be unwound and I get a fill - I suspect the move will be short-lived and the flow should reverse. CHFJPY is looking like one of the weaker crosses at this point, so selling spikes in CHFJPY looks compelling – and should we get closer to MOF verbal intervention I am on the right side of that too.
Short
by Pepperstone
1
TradePlus-Fx|EURUSD: seller liquidation💬 Description: The currency pair stood at the level of 1.06745 , which is resistance at the moment. In addition, a lot of interest has recently accumulated at this level, which has been distributed downward. The significance of this current price area is great. I assume that the instrument will come into balance at this level to accumulate positions and "eating" away volumes in the past. Thus, we calculate a rollback to the level of 1.06350 . You can enter from this level, but be prepared to re-enter if your stop-loss is triggered. It's best to build up the pose gradually. The purpose of growth will be to eliminate sellers who now want to trade in the direction of the trend. The level that buyers will strive to reach is 1.07500. 🔔 FX CALENDAR TODAY 🔔 🇬🇧Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI 🇪🇺ECB President Lagarde Speaks 🇺🇸Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI 🇺🇸Richmond Manufacturing Index 🛢API Weekly Crude Oil Stock ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 🚀Thank for your BOOSTS 🚀 👇Share your views and FOLLOW US 👇
Long
by TradePlus-Fx
11
EURJPY: BoJ continues to buy bonds irregularly to restrain the rOn October 24, the Bank of Japan announced its fifth extraordinary purchase of government bonds since adjusting its yield curve control program at the end of July. Despite these efforts, Japan`s 10-year bond yield continued to hit new highs this month, adding to the global stock market decline. "However, there is still speculation about the Bank of Japan's policy adjustments, making it difficult to recommend bond purchases. " The Bank of Japan's ultra-easy policy also contributed to the yen's depreciation, making it the weakest G10 currency this year.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro