EUR/JPY Technical AnalysisTrendline Breakout:
EUR/JPY has broken a long-standing descending trendline, which previously acted as dynamic resistance, pushing the price lower. The breakout indicates a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Retesting Support Zone:
After the breakout, the price has retraced back to a key support zone around 156.000, highlighted in purple. This area has previously acted as a strong demand zone, where buyers have stepped in multiple times. Retesting this zone is a natural price action movement before confirming further upside momentum.
Bullish Projection:
If the support at 156.000 holds, EUR/JPY is expected to resume its bullish movement towards key resistance levels at 158.000 and ultimately 160.000. These levels align with previous price reaction zones, making them crucial take-profit areas for buyers.
EURJPY
Mid Term Short on EURJPYIn the short term, I predict a bounce back to the trendline as we sweep some liquidity around this current location. If/When we break the 155 support, we will hit a minimum of 140 and even lower.
This is an idea. If you agree with the fundamentals of the chart you can follow my trade.
Short-term target with price reversal from 1.55
Target 1 - 159
Target 2 - 161.500 (I will look for a reversal and short from this location)
Price target with price breaking below 1.55 support zone
Short Term Target - 140
Mid Term Target - 135
EURJPY: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
EURJPY
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURJPY
Entry Point - 159.79
Stop Loss - 160.94
Take Profit - 157.84
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURJPY INTRADAY Breakout retest ahead of ECB decision? Bullish Scenario:
The EURJPY currency pair appears bullish, supported by the recent bullish breakout of the longer-term trend. The recent intraday price action indicates a bullish breakout above a period of sideways consolidation. The key level to watch is 158.50, which marks the breakout zone and aligns with the previous falling resistance trendline , now newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback that finds support at 158.50, followed by a bullish rebound, could trigger further upside movement towards 160.00, with extended targets at 161.33 and 162.00 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below the 158.50 level, particularly with a daily close beneath this support, would negate the bullish outlook. This would expose the index to a deeper retracement, with immediate support at 157.35, followed by 156.00 indicating a potential shift towards a corrective phase.
Conclusion:
The broader trend remains bullish, but 158.50 is a pivotal level. Holding above this zone reinforces upside potential, while a decisive break below it could lead to increased selling pressure. Traders should monitor price action around this key level to confirm the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | EURJPY growth in the channelEURJPY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and support level, and the 38.2% retracement level is the nearest obstacle to growth.
The chart retains a descending structure, but it has already formed a harmonic pattern.
On the 4H Timeframe, the indicators are pointing to a bullish convergence.
We expect growth in the channel after consolidation above the 38.2% retracement level.
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EURJPY Approaching Major Support – Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:EURJPY is approaching a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 160.000 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and structural confluence.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EURJPY - Bullish Continuation Toward 160.850OANDA:EURJPY is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bounce off support suggests buyers are maintaining control, supporting a potential continuation of the uptrend.
As long as the price remains above the support level and the channel's lower boundary holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
A potential upside target is 160.850, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. A break and close above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
However, a breakdown below the support zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and may open the door for a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EURJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 159.58 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 160.34
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 158.15
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURJPY IS GETTING STRONGE OR WEAK ? DETAILED ANALYSISEURJPY has successfully broken out of the falling wedge pattern, hitting the projected target of 160.000 and delivering significant profits. This breakout confirmed a strong bullish reversal, allowing traders to capitalize on a deep profit opportunity. The falling wedge is a classic bullish pattern, and its breakout was accompanied by increasing momentum, pushing the pair higher in a sustained rally. With price action playing out as expected, traders who entered early have already locked in substantial gains.
From a technical perspective, EURJPY’s bullish structure remains intact, with strong support now forming around the 158.000–159.000 range. If the price consolidates above this level, we could see further upside potential beyond 160.000. However, traders should watch for any retracements or potential resistance at key psychological levels. If bullish momentum continues, the next targets could extend toward 162.000 or higher, depending on market conditions.
Fundamentally, EURJPY’s movement is heavily influenced by central bank policies. The European Central Bank’s (ECB) stance on interest rates, coupled with the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) continued monetary easing, has contributed to yen weakness and euro strength. Additionally, risk sentiment in the market plays a crucial role—any shift toward a more risk-on environment will likely support further bullish moves in EURJPY. As the pair remains in an uptrend, traders should monitor key economic events and price action signals to maximize their profit potential.
EUR/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/JPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 157.265 area.
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EURJPY counter trend breakout at 158.50 level. Bullish Scenario:
The EURJPY currency pair appears bullish, supported by the recent bullish breakout of the longer-term trend. The recent intraday price action indicates a bullish breakout above a period of sideways consolidation. The key level to watch is 158.50, which marks the breakout zone and aligns with the previous falling resistance trendline , now newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback that finds support at 158.50, followed by a bullish rebound, could trigger further upside movement towards 160.00, with extended targets at 161.15 and 161.54 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below the 158.50 level, particularly with a daily close beneath this support, would negate the bullish outlook. This would expose the index to a deeper retracement, with immediate support at 157.45, followed by 156.00 and 154.90, indicating a potential shift towards a corrective phase.
Conclusion:
The broader trend remains bullish, but 158.50 is a pivotal level. Holding above this zone reinforces upside potential, while a decisive break below it could lead to increased selling pressure. Traders should monitor price action around this key level to confirm the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 160.068.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 163.150.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Bearish drop?EUR/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 157.09
1st Support: 155.00
1st Resistance: 158.35
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/JPY Weekly Forecast – Liquidity Grab Before Bullish Move 🔍 Market Overview:
EUR/JPY is currently approaching a key weekly sell-side liquidity zone. We anticipate that institutions will sweep this liquidity before driving price higher for a long-term bullish trend.
🎯 Trade Plan:
✅ Wait for Liquidity Grab: Look for price to take out the weekly sell-side liquidity (SSL) before considering long positions.
✅ Confirmation Zone: Watch for a strong reversal signal near demand zones after the liquidity sweep.
✅ Bullish Targets:
Target 1: First supply zone after BOS (Break of Structure).
Target 2: Higher timeframe order block for extended bullish move.
📊 Key Market Confluences:
🔹 Liquidity Sweep: Institutions may clear weak buy-side traders before reversing.
🔹 Smart Money Concept (SMC): We need a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) for bullish confirmation.
🔹 Institutional Order Flow: Watch for high-volume rejections & price absorption signs.
🚀 Best Trading Sessions to Monitor:
📌 London & New York Overlap – High volatility expected for entry confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Patience is key! Wait for the liquidity grab and a strong bullish reaction before entering long positions. No FOMO!
💬 Do you see EUR/JPY flipping bullish after liquidity sweep? Comment below! 👇🔥
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation
EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance
The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse.
Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area.
If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected.
Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias
📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March.
🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return
🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%)
🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation.
💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias.
4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge
🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade.
🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data.
🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning.
🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside.
5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators
✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart.
✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe.
✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone.
💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position.
6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY
🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection)
Stop Loss: Above 157.26
Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00
🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short.
🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup.
📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
EURJPY INTRADAY bearish below 158.50 The EURJPY price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 158.50, the 03rd February swing low level and falling resistance trendline zone. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 158.50 level could target the downside support at 155.73 followed by 154.74 and 153.25 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 158.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 161.28 resistance followed by 162.74 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURJPY Strong oversold buy opportunity.The EURJPY pair broke again below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of its Rectangle pattern and is consolidating. Every time this break-out occurred, the price was a buy opportunity.
This time, the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, i.e. a Bullish Divergence, which makes the opportunity even stronger. We are expecting a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test below the Lower Highs trend-line at 162.250.
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EUR/JPY Tests Key Support at 156.00 – Breakdown or Bounce?📉 EUR/JPY edges lower to 156.38 (-0.22%) as sellers pressure key support.
🔎 Technical Setup:
156.00 major horizontal support holding for now.
Bearish bias intact below 50-day EMA (160.08) & 200-day EMA (161.87).
Break below 156.00 could open downside toward 152.50-153.00.
📊 Momentum Indicators:
RSI at 36.62 → Not oversold yet, but approaching key levels.
MACD remains bearish, confirming ongoing downside pressure.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
Bulls must defend 156.00 or risk further selling pressure.
A break & close below 156.00 could accelerate losses toward 152.50.
Bulls need a reclaim of 158.50-160.00 for trend reversal.
🚀 Decision point for EUR/JPY – will 156.00 hold?
📌 Watching daily close for confirmation.
- MW
EURJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 156.763.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 158.582 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Potential bullish rebound?EUR/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: `155.94
1st Support: 153.99
1st Resistance: 158.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.