EURJPY - Will The Bullish Rally Hold?Analysis:
Strong upwards trend (bullish confluence factor)
50% fib retracement touch (bullish confluence factor)
Upwards trendline touch (bullish confluence factor)
EUR strongest major currency (bullish confluence factor)
JPY weakest major currency (bullish confluence factor)
40K long position increase for the EUR (bullish confluence factor)
27K short position decrease for the JPY (bearish confluence factor)
Comment:
Price has been heading higher and higher for ages and now we finally have a chance to enter. Lets see if this bullish rally will continue.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you!
Stay Safe - The JPI Team
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Eurjpylong
Monetary Policy Bonanza: Central Bank Decisions to WatchThis week, three of the world's most watched central banks are scheduled to announce their monetary policy decisions. The Federal Reserve will be the first to make its announcement on Wednesday at 2:00 pm, followed by the ECB on Thursday at 8:15 am, and the Bank of Japan later on Thursday at 11:00 pm (NY time). This convergence of central bank activities may lead to potential trading opportunities.
The consensus among analysts is that the Federal Reserve will raise borrowing costs by 25 basis points, bringing the interest rate to 5.25%-5.50%. This rate hike is widely expected, so traders will be more focused on the policy outlook of the Bank. How hawkish or dovish the Bank's stance is perceived to be will likely influence the EUR/USD pair. Because inflation gauges in the US have eased recently, the Fed may hint at potential pauses in future rate hikes.
About 18 hours later, the ECB is also anticipated to deliver a 25bps rate increase. Once again, traders will be closely watching the Bank's outlook. While there is a possibility that the ECB may hold back from committing to further tightening, the absence of similar inflation softening in the Euro Area as seen in the US makes this less likely.
Looking at the EUR/USD chart, the pair has already slipped below a technical support level at 1.10700, and the psychological level of 1.10500 is now in clear view.
Among the three central banks, traders believe that the Bank of Japan is the most likely to surprise the markets. There's speculation that the Bank may make adjustments to its yield curve control policy. If this scenario unfolds, the Japanese yen could attempt a comeback in the currency markets, reversing some of its previous losses against the US dollar and the euro.
EURJPY: JAPANESE YEN PRICEDuring the Asian session on Friday, the GBP/USD pair slightly increases and distances itself from the lowest point it reached in the past week and a half, which was around the 1.2840-1.2835 range. However, there isn't much momentum in terms of buying or a strong belief in an upward trend, and currently, the pair is trading around the 1.2880 range, with a modest increase of just over 0.10% for the day.
EURJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURJPY: Uptrend is formed!The EUR/JPY has experienced a significant bounce from a critical support level, which includes the upper boundary of a slightly upward-trending channel that has been in place since last year, as well as an ascending trend line that dates back to March 2023. This rebound has created an opportunity for the currency pair to potentially reach the previous high at 158.00, which was recorded in early July.
Bullish Opportunity on EURJPYBullish Opportunity on EURJPY - Inverted Hammer Pattern Indicates Potential Upside Move
Greetings, traders!
Today, I want to share an exciting trading opportunity on the EURJPY currency pair, which appears to be trading bullish on the 1-hour chart. After conducting a thorough analysis, I have identified a compelling bullish inverted hammer candlestick pattern, suggesting the continuation of the upward trend. Let's delve into the details of this trade plan.
Trade Plan:
Entry Point 1 (Market Execution): 155.878
Entry Point 2 (Market Execution): 155.874
Stop Loss (SL): 155.124
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 156.604
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 157.344
Reasoning:
Bullish Inverted Hammer Candlestick Pattern: The recent candlestick formation on the 1-hour chart has revealed a bullish inverted hammer pattern. This indicates a strong rejection of lower prices and potential buying interest in the market, validating the bullish sentiment.
Confirmed Bullish Trend: The presence of the bullish inverted hammer pattern further reinforces the bullish outlook on EURJPY. The pattern signifies a possible continuation of the existing uptrend, providing traders with an opportunity to capitalize on potential upward movement.
Trade Execution:
To take advantage of this bullish setup, I have executed a market order with two entry points. The first entry is at 155.878, and the second entry is at 155.874. This approach allows for a staggered entry strategy, which may result in a better average price and risk management.
Risk Management:
In order to protect our capital from potential adverse market movements, I have placed a stop loss (SL) at 155.124. This level represents the maximum acceptable loss for this trade setup, and it is essential to adhere to proper risk management principles.
Profit Targets:
For potential profit-taking, I have set two take profit levels. The first take profit (TP1) is at 156.604, aiming for a moderate resistance level. The second take profit (TP2) is set at 157.344, targeting a stronger resistance level. Traders are advised to consider adjusting their positions or securing profits at these levels.
Please be aware that trading involves risk, and it is vital to perform your own analysis and risk assessment before making any trading decisions. This post serves as educational content and should not be considered as financial advice.
Happy trading, and may the markets be in your favor!
Disclaimer: The information provided here is based on my analysis as a technical analyst and may not be accurate or suitable for everyone. Trading involves substantial risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
EURJPY Analysis. Update!Hello Everyone. I want share my idea about EURJPY.
Last week I share my idea about this pair and also open my long position which is going well.
THE REASON WHY I OPEN LONG.
On high timeframe we (1D,1W) we have big bullish trend, i was waiting correction for find right spot for open long position, in this week i see price lost movement when it came at Fibonacci 50 % LVL, it stopped little time and at 1h timeframe we saw reversal movement, it broke trendline and last hour, Friday, market closed when candle came little bit strong down for retest.
my signal, for next week is still bullish, i would like to see retest at support zone at 155.3 see pullback from that area and brake resistance at 156.9.
Here is my 2 scene.
1 Bullish - price show us new low of uptrend at support, going strongly up and brake resistance and going to show us ne month high.
2 Bearish - Price downtrend is strong, support cant catch price movement, and its coming down strong.
EURJPY AnalysisHello Everyone. I want share my idea about EURJPY.
After pretty bullish trend now we see price correction.
Daily Fibonacci gave us good LVL for open long position with good 1:3 reward.
My price prediction will be long, but here we have one thing what we need to pay attention, JPY index which started strong reversal price movement after touch weekly support (I will link in the idea my last price prediction about that index)
Overall trend is bullish which is strong and in my opinion it will continue until it touch to 2008 high ( in this year was collapse of market )
Here is my 2 price prediction.
1 Bullish - price pull back from Fibonacci 50 LVL and continue moving up, with it we will see new good low of uptrend.
2 Bearish - price brake support which is at 154-152.8 same as Fibonacci levels then it will make retest and continue moving down.
BE PATIENT!!
LONG - EURJPY (D) (28 May 2023)Position Trade - EURJPY
In longer term outlook, I am looking for BUY since price breaks historical high in the Monthly Chart
In the Monthly Chart,
- Strong up-trending candles are formed
In the Weekly Chart,
- If price exhausts before rallying up again, I am expecting to buy from the Weekly zone (CP)
For smaller risks, I am also looking for BUYS in the Daily chart.
- There are 2 Daily Demand zones to buy from.
However, if price breaks the price and goes higher again, then we will re-evaluate and find BUY zones once a new Demand zone is formed.
EURJPY: Despite the alarming inflation figures from Germany and.The EUR/JPY pair extended its losses for the second consecutive day, sliding to 157.40. Strong retail sales data from Japan contributed to the strengthening of the Japanese Yen. Despite hot inflation figures reported in Germany, with CPI rising to 6.4% (compared to the expected 6.3%), and in Spain, with CPI reaching 1.9% (compared to the expected 1.7%), the EUR/JPY pair still faced pressure. However, the increased interest rates in Germany limited the potential depreciation of the Euro.
EURJPY Analysis. Where it will end?Hello Everyone, I Want share my idea about EURJPY.
On that pair EUR is so Strong, its going up with little swing lows, but soon price will be at monthly resistance, which I think will be stop EUR Strong movement but also matter what Japan will do for stop their inflation. if we will look at JPYX we are at important LVL which is weekly support, but it's not strong.
for me EURJPY is in pretty strong uptrend which can easy brake monthly resistance and continue moving up. next week I think we will see brake 156.85 resistance and after retest it will give us long entry signal.
Here is me 2 scene of EURJPY.
Bullish scene 1 - Price will brake 4H resistance which is 156.850 retest it and will go to retest monthly resistance at 159.500.
Bearish scene 2 - price will pull back from 4H resistance and will brake 154.1 support, then will continue bearish trend.
BE PATIENT!!!!
EURJPY: New events!Asian stock markets could fall in Monday's trade as investors await to see if the recent sell-off in long-dated bonds will last and could ease pressure on the dong. Dollar.
The MSCI index of Asia-Pacific shares (excluding Japan), was down 0.02% at 562, but still near the January high of 574.52.
Japan's Nikkei (N225) fell 0.4% after hitting a six-month high on Friday, as Japan recorded a record economic contraction in the second quarter.
E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 were up 0.25%, well below a record-high close of 3,386.15.
US second-quarter earnings season will end with major retailers reporting this week, including Walmart Inc (N: WMT), Home Depot Inc (N: HD) and Kohls Corp (N: KSS).
Politics will be in the spotlight as the Democratic National Convention kicks off the 2020 presidential election season.
The Samurai Draghi's Joust: A "Don't-Go-Broke" Thesis for GoingBehold, brave knights and fair dames of Tradingview, here's a daring foray into the cryptic labyrinth of forex markets. A quest as enticing as the Siren's song, but fear not, for this tale is not as perilous as those charted by unfortunate souls who dared short GameStop. Pull out your noble steeds (or, in this case, your trading platforms), and let's gallop into the thrilling landscape of the EURJPY.
Now, many of you might be wondering, "Why in Satoshi Nakamoto's name would we be trading the Euro against the Yen?" Well, my dear diamond hands, that's because we're staring at a potential Lambo party - the kind where you might just get to turn a crisp profit without squeezing shorts tighter than your gym shorts after the quarantine.
Macro-level Contextual Tapestries
Firstly, let's get this out there - Europe has been flexing its economic biceps recently. With significant green recovery plans and an infrastructure investment program that makes the Eiffel Tower look like a Lego project, the Eurozone is poised to rise like a phoenix (not the Fawkes type for Harry Potter fans, the growth type). The ECB has been playing the monetary policy game better than a seasoned Dungeons & Dragons master, maintaining an inflation target as finely balanced as a ballet dancer on a tightrope.
Meanwhile, over in the Land of the Rising Sun, Japan has been facing economic headwinds that'd make even a typhoon blanch. An aging demographic that's graying faster than George Clooney, coupled with a stubbornly stagnant inflation rate, has made the Bank of Japan's quest to stimulate growth as challenging as finding a Charizard in your first Pokémon pack.
The Fundamentals Don't Lie, Except When They Do (But Not Here)
The fundamentals are in our favor, too, more than a double cheeseburger at 2 a.m. after a long night out.
The Eurozone's inflation is starting to tick up, fueled by increased consumer spending, recovering tourism, and a global commodity price rally. These factors are likely to nudge the ECB towards a more hawkish stance, potentially leading to an interest rate hike. Higher interest rates? Stronger currency. That's Investing 101, right up there with "Don't buy high and sell low."
On the flip side, Japan’s CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) has been flatter than a pancake on Shrove Tuesday. This chronic deflation scenario has kept the BOJ’s hands tied, forcing them to keep their interest rates lower than a limbo stick at a beach party. With little sign of this changing, the Yen's about as likely to strengthen as a stick of butter in a hot frying pan.
A Meme Dream Team
To put it simply, we're looking at a potential "Stonks go up" situation here for EURJPY. If the Euro strengthens (courtesy of our friend Inflation making a long-awaited comeback tour) and the Yen weakens (thanks to Japan's ongoing economic Netflix drama), we might be on track to see the EURJPY go to the moon.
Of course, the forex market can be as unpredictable as a cat on catnip. So remember, while the macro and fundamental stars seem to be aligning in our favor, always do your own research, and never bet more than you can afford to lose. Keep those hands diamond-strong, and may the forex odds be ever in your favor!
(Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. It's a whimsical, humor-filled take on the potential future of the EURJPY. Always do your due diligence before investing. The market can move in mysterious ways.)