Yen Nears Record Low Versus Euro on Divergent Monetary PoliciesThe Japanese yen (JPY) is nearing its all-time low against the euro (EUR), driven by differing monetary policies between the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the European Central Bank (ECB). While the BOJ's interest rates remain significantly lower than those in the Eurozone, the ECB's cautious approach to rate cuts supports the euro.
Key Points:
- Interest Rate Divergence: The BOJ ended its negative interest rate policy in March, but its rates are still much lower than those in Europe. This gap weakens the yen against the euro.
- Carry Trade Dynamics: Low yen volatility boosts carry trades, where investors borrow in yen to invest in higher-yielding euro assets.
- ECB's Rate Cut Outlook: Internal debates within the ECB about the pace of rate cuts add uncertainty but overall support the euro.
- Yen Intervention Risks: Potential interventions by Japanese authorities to support the yen could moderate its decline.
- Economic Assessments: Mixed economic data from Japan and strong wage growth in Europe provide additional support for the euro.
Market sentiment is bullish on the euro against the yen, with positions indicating expectations of further euro strength. The EUR/JPY pair remains firm at around 170.00, benefiting from both fundamental and speculative support.
Eurjpysignal
EURJPYEUR/JPY is showing strong bullish momentum with potential for further gains, and a strong uptrend, with moving averages indicating a continuation of this bullish momentum.
Key support levels are noted at 169.05 and 167.31. On the upside, resistance is likely at 170.62 and 171.58. A break above these resistance levels could signal further upside potential towards 172.00 and possibly 175.00 in the longer term.
The euro has been strengthening against the yen due to the interest rate differential between the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan. The latter's dovish stance continues to exert downward pressure on the yen, making the euro more attractive to investors. Short-term pullbacks in the pair are viewed as buying opportunities.
EURJPY Bullish Move**Monthly Chart (Bullish)**
Last month's candle closed bullish suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend at least to break the monthly high of Oct 1998 at 164.536 and move ahead towards testing the high of July 2008 at 169.96.
**Weekly Chart (Bullish)**
Last week's candle closed bullish. However, it is still within the range of the previous week’s candle after slightly testing the high of Oct 1998 at 164.536 and rejecting the price from it. This week we are going to see if the price breaks the high again and moves towards the first target at 166 and then 168 levels. There is also a high probability chance that break the July 2008 high at around 170 level (round number).
**Daily Chart (Bullish)**
Tuesday - 2nd April 2024 The candle closed as a key reversal creating a swing low that bounced after grabbing the liquidity and swiping the price higher, this indicates the high momentum for EURJPY to continue moving higher. This week, I will be looking for an entry to go long if the price gives a corrective structure with good risk-to-reward parameters.
DeGRAM | EURJPY breakout of the channelEURJPY broke through the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
The price reached the resistance level and then corrected to the 38.2% retracement level of the last bullish impulse.
The chart maintains the ascending structure.
We expect the growth to continue.
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EURJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisThe price has recently reached a strong resistance zone, noting previous sell-offs in that area. It appears that we may see more sideways movement
EURJPY is near the resistance, where price dropped before.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
LONDON OPEN SIGNAL: EURJPY LONG - 14 May 2024Like, comment and share with your peers!
Hi Friends,
Price was able to close outside our recent range (see 30 minutes time frame), so i'd expect that momentum to continue but not without multiple retest of this recent range. With that said, find the following focal points;
Entry - 168.646 to 168.728 area
Textbook SL 168.396 (means flexible - put SL as occasion serves you and give the trade a second chance if SL is hit)
Final TP 169.500 (TP 1 - 169.000)
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
EURJPY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Upon comprehensive analysis of the EURJPY pair, we are currently observing a robust uptrend, particularly evident in the broader timeframes such as the monthly and weekly charts. Despite a transient retracement observed on the daily chart, indicative of bearish sentiment, the market trajectory has resumed its upward course. Notably, a decisive breach in market structure on the 4-hour chart suggests a potential shift in the short-term trend to bullish. Our latest video elucidates this trend progression, delves into the nuances of price dynamics, market structure, and fundamental principles of technical analysis. Concluding the video, we present a strategic trade proposition. Please note, the content provided herein serves solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as investment advice.
EURJPY: Asian foreign exchange decline, dollar stable; The Yen cJapanese Yen weakened after intervention, USDJPY increased
Markets are now looking for more information on Japan's inflation and wage growth to gauge whether the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further this year, which is expected to bring some relief for the Japanese currency.
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EurJpy- Test of 170 once more?
For over two years, OANDA:EURJPY has been experiencing an upward trend. The pair is ascending within a clearly defined rising channel.
Despite a drop at the end of last year, triggered by JPY repatriation, the overall trend remained intact, and EURJPY resumed its upward trajectory at the beginning of this year.
The end of April saw the pair reach a new all-time high, followed by a rapid and aggressive decline induced by the BoJ intervention.
Currently, 164 stands as a strong floor. As long as this level holds, further gains towards 170 can be anticipated.
DeGRAM | EURJPY channel testingEURJPY is moving in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
Volatility has increased.
The chart has fallen under a strong resistance level.
We expect a decline after the resistance retest.
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LONG EUR/JPY from 166.87It may have escaped some traders notice that the JPY has been hammered in the last few months.
So much so that GBP/JPY hit 200.49 earlier today, USD/JPY hit 160.00 and EUR/JPY hit 171.65.
Some of these are historic highs, in fact USD/JPY is a 30 year high.
I'm unaware of any intervention by the BOJ that would cause the 570 pip fall in USD/JPY (mirrored EUR and GBP) but all the signs are that JPY SELLERS are steaming back into this market and we may see a return to the recent highs.
Getting LONG here looks a no brainer as we could see this pair go from WS1 at 166.00 all the way back to WR1 at 171.00 and maybe even higher.
The major concern would be if the BOJ DOES intervene which would see the JPY rise sharply.
So get LONG this pair with breakeven stops and with luck we could see a shed load of pips on offer.
I'll show you the EURJPY where the buying force is holding down Hi friends, I brought the FOREX interesting charts
The buying force is making adjustments by beating the sell-off and rising.
If the Fibonacci 0.618 section is set as the primary target and breaks upward, the AB=CD pattern can reach the 1 value D
EURJPY - Bearish Crab Pattern Indicates Potential ReversalEURJPY is currently showing signs of a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential reversal in trend. Additionally, the price is approaching a significant trendline, further supporting the bearish bias.
Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern (XABCD):
The formation of a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern suggests that the price is likely to reverse downwards from Point D. This pattern typically indicates a high probability of a trend reversal.
4-Hour Trendline:
The price is currently at a 4-hour trendline, adding confluence to the potential bearish scenario. A breach below this trendline could signal further downside momentum.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit Levels:
Entry: 165.900
Stop Loss: 167.060
Take Profit Levels:
TP-1: 164.720
TP-2: 163.600
TP-3: 162.450
Risk Management:
It's essential to adhere to proper risk management practices when executing this trade. Position sizing should be adjusted to ensure that potential losses are within acceptable limits relative to account size and risk tolerance.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests a bearish outlook for EURJPY, with the formation of a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern and the price approaching a 4-hour trendline. Traders may consider selling at 165.900 with a stop loss at 167.060 and targeting take profit levels at 164.720, 163.600, and 162.450.
EURJPY: Asian foreign exchange increased thanks to the decline oYen falls as USDJPY heads in the direction of a hundred and fifty five
However, the Japanese Yen did little to enhance in opposition to the weaker dollar, with USDJPY buying and selling close to a 34-12 months excessive and close to the a hundred and fifty five level.
The yen weakened whilst a sequence of Japanese officers warned of presidency intervention to help the currency. Traders see USDJPY at a hundred and fifty five as in all likelihood to draw authorities intervention.
Yen weakens beforehand of this Friday`s Bank of Japan Meeting, wherein the important financial institution is predicted to go away hobby prices unchanged after a anciental hike in March. However, the outlook for inflation and boom stays uncertain. The financial system could be carefully watched.
DeGRAM | EURJPY pullback after AB=CD patternEURJPY formed a rounded top near dynamic resistance and returned to the ascending channel.
The chart has formed a pattern AB=CD.
The past touch of the dynamic resistance ended in a reversal of the move.
We are expecting a pullback.
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SHORT EUR/JPY 165.59Trading FX is a risk/reward exercise.
And the greatest reward for the least risk is taking trades that relying on experience.
I've traded Fx for over 20 years so I recognize chart patterns and price movements without really thinking about hem.
If I was teaching how to trade FX I would be advising novice or inexpereinced tarderes NOT to take a trade like this but I'm shorting this pair for the following reasons.
a). Risk/reward is massively in my favour. I can get a SHORT trade on with a 20 pip STOP.
b). We are at WR1 Pivot area and this is a universally known area where SELLERS MAY enter the market.
c). The last 4 15m candles have been doji indecision candles.
d). RSI on multiple time frames is high (70 on H4 and high 60's H1, 30M, 15M).
e). 15M Andean Oscillator sees the red SELL line lifting away from zero.
Put these together and this "looks" a SHORT trade but there's always the chance EUR/JPY BULLS hace not finsihed with this pair.
f). we have a nice candle tweezer pattern on H1 right at resistance.
It should be noted that it's 24 years since this pair was at 165.60 so its highly likely that we are looking at a short term retracement but this could be back to the 200 EMA on M15 which would be 164.91 (+68 pips).
If this trade does take off and there is strong selling momentum then 164.50 is posssible.
DeGRAM | EURJPY pullback from resistanceEURJPY is moving in an ascending channel.
The volatility continues to decline, which means that a new impulse is about to emerge.
The price is approaching the psychological resistance level of 165.
The chart has already reacted twice with a sharp decline after reaching the dynamic resistance.
We expect a pullback to the 50% retracement level after the resistance retest.
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DeGRAM | EURJPY pullback from the channel boundaryEURJPY is moving in a descending channel.
The chart has reached a strong resistance at 164.500
We think that after retesting the resistance, the price will fall back to the 38% retracement level.
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