EURJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Eurjpysignals
EURJPY This will determine the trend for the next 3 monthsThe EURJPY pair hit this week the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and seems to be holding it as a Higher Lows Support within the Channel Up that started in April. We first looked into this Fibonacci Channel approach in September and gave us an excellent dump and pump trade:
At the moment, as long as this week's low holds, we are expecting the Channel Up to make a Higher High within the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci and 4.5 horizontal (151.000 - 152.550) in the next 3 months. However, with the RSI on the 1W time-frame on Lower Highs while the price has been on Higher Highs, indicating a huge Bearish Divergence, we will turn bearish if the price breaks below this week's low and target the 132.000. The 1W MA200 (red trend-line) is the long-term Support.
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EURJPY Huge bullish break-out!The EURJPY pair emphatically broke above the June Resistance Zone confirming our view of the market since early August. This continues to repeat the fractal of 2020 as we pointed out in our last analysis:
This helped us make this accurate projection as the price got rejected initially on the Resistance Zone and after pulling-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) it rebounded again emphatically above the Resistance Zone this time and even hit the 4.0 Fibonacci extension, which was our Target. If the fractal continues to play out, then we should see an extension of this rise to the next Fib 4.5 which is at 152.550.
Basically based on the RSI on the 1W time-frame, we are in a spot similar to late February 2021, after the RSI broke above its Lower Highs trend-line. Only a closing below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) can reverse this long-term bullish trend and drop the price as low as the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) and the bottom of the 2021 Fibonacci Channel.
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EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is slightly on the DOWN SIDE. The main reason for that is the NEGATIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. And we can mention the BOE intervention. The reason for NEGATIVE SENTIMENT in EUR is USD BUY. Due to this reason, all MARKETS including STOCKS can be seen UP due to MARKET RISK OFF. It affects the EUR in a big way.
- EURGBP can definitely go up to the SUPPORT LEVEL below. EUR may be slightly WEAK due to USD STRONG at the moment. Accordingly, EURGBP can go up slightly until the 0.9200 LEVEL. And before that EURGBP can be SELL to 0.8565 LEVEL.
EURJPY Buy opportunity upon a pull-back.The EURJPY pair is pulling back currently after marginally breaking above the June Resistance Zone. This continues to repeat the fractal of 2020 as we pointed out in our last analysis:
As you see the projection was correct as the price rebounded exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) just like on November 02 2020 and hit the Resistance Zone. If the fractal continues to play out, then it was on January 15 2021 when the price pulled-back and hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and extended the rise. The 1D MA50 is now at 138.710 and rising rapidly. Most likely contact will be made once the MACD on the 1W time-frame completes that Bullish Cross that is emerging. Our long-term target is 147.500, just below the 4.0 Fibonacci extension.
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EURJPY - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURJPY
- EURJPY has a short-term UPSIDE BIAS at the moment. XXXJPY CURRENCIES BUYED VERY FAST WITH JPY WEAKNESS. Maybe it can reach 140.234 LEVEL. 142.295 is a very good resistance limit.
- Some NEWS coming for the USD will help to weaken or strengthen the EURO. But if the RATE HIKE SENTIMENT is PRICED by the ECB, the EURO can be BUY more.
- Anyway, the price can move to the area I mentioned and after that the EURJPY price can move back to the 132.975 LEVEL. For that VIX should be UP and JPY should be STRONG.
EURJPY keeps following our plan. Strong buy ahead.The EURJPY pair has been trading exactly as the plan we first posted here a month ago:
As you see, the break below the Channel Up, along with the 1W MACD Bearish Cross, kick-started a sell sequence that eventually found Support and rebounded exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This continues to be a similar pattern with that of May - October 2020. As a result, when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks, our target will be the Resistance Zone (144.00) with a long-term extension 150.00.
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EURJPY Sell opportunity medium-termThe EURJPY pair has been on a long-term bullish trend since the May 2020 bottom, best illustrated with the help of the Fibonacci Channel on this 1D time-frame. The price broke yesterday below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 25, ringing the first bearish bell. The second could come from the MACD indicator, which on the 1W time-frame is close to a Bearish Cross formation. This pattern above the 1.000 mark has signaled sell-off sequences at least on the medium-term towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
In fact the price action leading to today is quite similar to September 2020. After a break below of the 1D MA50 and a re-test as a Resistance resulting in a rejection, the price dropped near the 1D MA200. Same to June 22 2021. As a result we are bearish targeting 134.100 and then turning bullish towards 144.00. However, a 1D candle close below the 1D MA200 will be a bearish signal, so be ready to reverse to a sell towards the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
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EURJPY | Perspective for the new weekAfter testing its lowest point in the last two weeks as bears appear to be expressing their strength on the back of possible EU inflation data.
From a technical perspective, the last couple of weeks have been a challenge for the bulls, price has been unable to break above 144.300 hereby creating a scenario that looks like a reversal setup in the form of a double Top structure. This video illustrates how to take advantage of either a bullish or bearish bias in the coming week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EUR/JPY-SELL STOP ENTRY 141.200 - Risk Ratio 2.1LIVE TRADE SIGNAL:
SELL STOP: 141.200
RISK RATIO: 2.1
HOLD PERIOD: 4HRS - 3DAYS
TRADE TYPE: DAY
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Technical Analysis detailed from Chart price action, overlays and indicators.
*leave comments or message me about how I can improve information I provide. Safe trading.
CHART: Price formed a respectable downtrend ( consistent lower high and lows ) Previous breakout of support level and during the price retest around 141.600 (previous support/new resistance) price crossed above immediate downtrend line.
MOVING AVERAGES : Both short and long term meets ( indecision ), price above moving averages but closing gap.
VOLUME: More selling than buying volume in the most recent days.
Stoch RSI: Sloped downward, short crossed below mid level, long is at mid level. There is a nice amount of room for price to fall to/slightly below trend line and slightly above support level.
VI: Bullish; moving averages indicates price is deciding which way price should go ( indecision; confirming trading range and supports range levels to eye for breakouts )
SENTIMENT: S/T short, seeing price reach just below trend line or current support level )
Entry: Sell limit 141.200
Risk Ratio: 2:1
EURJPY | New perspectiveWith my key level at 143.000 area, I have a strong feeling that the tendency for a bullish continuation is going to happen as long as we do not have a breakdown/retest of the bearish trendline identified on the 1H time frame.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
AUDJPY and EURJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURJPY Key trading levelsThe EURJPY pair is trading around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) being within a Channel Down pattern since the April 21 High. Coming off a Bearish Megaphone, this is similar to the Channel Down of September - November 2020, which was nothing more than a big Bull Flag on its way to a strong uptrend.
If the pattern continues to be repeated, then the price should post one last Lower Low near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and then rebound towards the 140.000 High of April. If however the 137.00 Resistance breaks first, this Lower Low is invalidated. Notice also that the MACD is currently on a Bullish Cross.
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EURJPY - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW- EUR FEATURE is currently trading at 1.0611 LEVEL. It's just below the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Also the JPY FEATURE is UP. It stays at 0.0078 LEVEL. The EURJPY PRICE is above the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. So most of the time the PRICE can be UP again in the form of a STRUCTURE. Then there will be DOWN.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is moving towards the RISK ON side. Also the EQUITIES have become a bit GREEN. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES is showing a UP SIDE BIAS right now. MARKETS currently have a NEUTRAL SENTIMENT, but the RISK ON SENTIMENT is too heavy. HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES are also UP going very well.
- EURJPY PRICE can be DOWN to 132.65 LEVEL before UP. After that you can UP up to 140.500 LEVEL. The PRICE will move according to this week's ECONOMIC INDICATOR DATA and MARKET SENTIMENT. The next few days can be a bit important.
EURJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsA follow-up detail on the EURJPY that was published earlier today (see link below for reference purposes) where we expected the price to come down into the key level area at 137 area. At current structure is supporting a reversal pattern right above this key level where we want to be looking for an opportunity to buy the Euro.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURJPY | New perspectiveA breakout of the key level of the JPY137 area on the 19th of April 2022 appears to be a bullish signal. In this regard a bullish momentum shall be anticipated as we go into the new week should we witness a significant retest of key level.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURJPY Bull Flag done. Targeting $139.00.The EURJPY pair has broken above its Bull Flag this week. That was a pattern coming off the incredible 10% rise since the March 07 bottom that broke above its Bearish Megaphone pattern. The 1D MACD topped and made a Bearish Cross.
The last time we saw the very same set of conditions was during the strong rise of May 2020 that led to the June 2020 Bull Flag. That was in the aftermath of the COVID market crash 2020. This time it another set of strong macro events that led to this rise, the Ukraine - Russia war and inflation. Also in both fractals, a 1D Golden Cross was formed (when the MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
In September 2020, the price action following the Bull Flag topped on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. This time, the next available Fib extension is the 3.0 at 139.845. We are targeting just below that at $139.00.
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EURJPY Break Major Trendline Technical indicators remain bearish. However, oversold oscillators raises scope for some pullbacks
EUR/JPY has formed a Spinning Top on the daily candle, suggesting indecision among traders.
The pair is set to remains choppy at current levels as we head into the ECB meeting. Geopolitical developments are set to remain in the driving force.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision ))
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EURJPY | Perspective for the new weekIt has been a choppy situation for EURJPY since mid last year as the price keeps juxtaposing between JY128 and 132.5 zones to emphasize the indecision in this market. With a very simple set-up floating on my screen right now on the 4H time frame, my expectation going into the new week remains bullish considering the rejection of the JY128 level which has a strong memory for buying power (see daily and weekly time frame).
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Breakout)
Observation: i. A visual representation of a trend after connecting a series of prices with a line drawn over pivots highs shows the prevailing direction and speed of price in the last 2 weeks.
ii. Price action came back to the JY128 level during last week's trading session and was immediately rejected resulting in the appearance of bullish engulfing candles that broke out of key level on Friday to set the tone for another possible bullish wave in the coming week(s).
iii. I look forward to the breakout of the bearish trend line to confirm the buyer's strength.
iv. The early hours/days of the new week might see a drop in price into the key level or new demand level identified around the JY129 area to incite a Trend continuation.
v. Hence, above the key level at JY129.350 remains a comfortable level to take a long position on this pair... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 3 to 8days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURJPY Buy opportunity on Higher LowsEURJPY has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the June 01 2021 market top. Since January 05 2022 it has seen a strong downfall within this wide pattern but this week could have found Support on this internal Higher Lows trend-line (dashed) as it turned sideways. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is acting as the Resistance.
Last time we saw a similar Higher Lows structure within the long-term Channel Down, was on September 22 to October 06 2021 and that was the Low that initiated a massive rally towards the top of the Channel Down. As a result, as long as the Higher Lows trend-line holds and breaks above the 1D MA50, we should be expecting a similar rally towards the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level as part of the Lower Highs pricing.
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