EURNOK
EURNOK : Norges Bank is most likely raise rates in JuneScandinavia’s richest corner breaks global central banking mold - Bloomberg -
As much of the world’s central banking community goes into a defensive crouch, Norway is signalling it’s ready to deliver multiple interest rate hikes.
Governor says March forecast may imply 2-3 rate hikes in 2019
Norway’s oil wealth is allowing it to buck the global trend
Near-term Levels As described on the chart.
I will share the detailed report later.
Waiting sell signal on EURNOKThe EURNOK shows that is it on a downtrend on daily timeframe
Therefore I am expecting it to touch the outer trendlin since the inner trendline has been broken meaning it is going to re-test on the resistance
zone at 1.74046 and should make a touch on the outer trendline.
forexTrdr EURNOK- NOK THAT PAIR BACK DOWN FROM EXTREME LEVELSMorning traders,
This morning we have had the Swedish central bank come out and delay interest rate rises with market now pricing no rise until early 2020 (from mid 2019). This has had a secondary effect on the Norwegian Krona leading to a 700 pips drop versus the Euro. We are looking to capitalise on this move into extreme overbought territory and looking for a pull back into the previous trading range of 9.55 to 9.60.
The spike bounced off of resistance levels dating back to early 2019 and forming a descending trendline from previous high levels in April and early February as shown in our Trading View charts.
Simple clean trade on event driven news.
As always this is not a trade recommendation and simply technical observation.
Good luck trading
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EURNOK - short on economic surprise differentialFundamentals:
-EU: eco slowdown continues, underpinned by ECB
-NOR: inflation picking up, central bank will further hike this year -> carry trade
-NOK gained even under risk-off sentiment
-CitiBank Eco Surprise Index (1mo) differential: -53.9 vs +53.6 in favor of NOK
a micro analysis on eursekfollowing our last analysis on eursek where we expect a big drop, we expect eursek to behave the very same way it did the last two peaks before drop last months. to target the exact point of reversal during those endless ascending move (generally heralding an important reversal) we want to see two things :
1) the upper bollinger band on 4h time frame must draw an upper parabolic maximum
2)the price curve must in a last attempt (typical stop loss hunting) impulsively touch this point and reverse immediately
regarding how eursek is near of such a situation this should take place this monday or at the latest thursday with a flat monday to bring confusion first.
we shall do nothing before seeing that, if it crosses badly this upper bollinger band we won't be caught, if it falls even without doing so we won't believe in the reality of the fall, experience on eursek tells us to be cautious and act if and only if those two conditions are met before
eursek, all or nothingeursek has been perfectly bouncing on a support 3 times with a bounce losing intensity each time it hit the support, then it broke and started confidently a down move inside a new channel below. of course now we have through a perfect alignment a retest by below of this previous support, exactly at this point the DMI reaches an extreme value, we do not see how eursek can do anything else than dropping sharply now, this move is also supported by what we see on noksek, usdsek, eurnok and eurusd. this is very simple, if eursek surprisingly cross confidently the 1.53 1.54 area, we will see it coming very soon and then we freeze everything, the loss will be minimal, otherwise we can short eursek massively from where it stands
short EURNOK on continued poor EUR growth Trade we have had on for a while- continue to like short EURNOK on poor EUR growth and interest rate differentiation vs Norway. Highlighted two declining trendlines as well as Fibonacci support areas that we are currently trading around.
Head and shoulder pattern with right, declining leaning shoulder highlighted by the trendline.