EURNOK Bearish short-term.The EURNOK pair is currently testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), being at the same time supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This ranged trade is the Higher High after the pair bottomed on December 27 2023 and started rising within a Channel Up.
Based on the similar bottom rebound after the July 25 2023 Low, we expect the pair to reach the 0.5 Fibonacci level and then reverse downwards. If that happens we will sell there and target 11.3200 (Fib 0.236).
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EURNOK
EURNOK - Catch The Final Wave!EURNOK is currently in wave 4, which appears to be a flat correction. Flat corrections consist of 3(A) 3(B) 5(C) subwaves. We are currently in wave C = 5 subwaves. We are anticipating one final move down to complete wave C.
Trade Idea:
- Enter on break of trendline or signs of reversal
- stops above blue structure or above price once entry trendline breaks
- Targets: 11.2 (3000pips), Taper thereafter
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
EURNOK - An Elliott Wave Masterpiece! (+17,000pip Target!) ✨EURNOK is currently giving us a masterclass on Elliott Wave.
We have the perfect impulse schematic, which follows every rule of Elliott Wave Theory.
IMPULSE ELLIOTT WAVE SCHEMATIC
Wave 1 = 5 waves (Impulse)
Wave 2 = 3 waves (Correction)
Wave 3 = 5 waves (Impulse)
Wave 4 = 3 waves (Correction)
Wave 5 = 5 waves (Impulse OR Correction in the form of a diagonal)
We can see that wave 2 was a simple correction and when that happens, it is often expected that wave 4 will be a complex correction. In this scenario, we have wave 4 appearing as a complex Flat correction (3-3-5).
We are currently in the wave C of the flat correction = 5 subwaves. We are seeing subwave 4 now and expecting one final subwave lower to complete wave C.
SHORT Trade Idea:
- Watch for subwave 4 to breakdown and enter with stops above subwave 4
- It's anticipated that we stay below 11.577 so having stops above that level will be fine for a risk entry
- Target: 11 (5000pips)
LONG Trade Idea:
- Once we reach the buy zone, watch for reversal signs such as BOS or trendline break
- Enter with stops below the lows once reversal signs appear
- Targets: 11.5 (5,500pips), 12 (10,000pips), 12.5 (15,000pips), 12.8 (18,000pips)
We do hope you learnt a thing or two from this post. Let us know your thoughts below!
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
EURNOK One of the best long-term sellsThe EURNOK pair has topped on the long-term having made a Cycle peak on the week of May 29 2023. So far however, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has (nearly) held twice as Support, but both rebounds failed to cross above the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
This price action is very similar to the previous Cycle peak of March 2020, leading to a 1W MA50 rebound that again failed to break above the 0.618 Fibonacci. The direct consequence was a Channel Down to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and the -0.382 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we will sell as long as the price is below the 0.618 Fib and target 10.9000, a projected contact with the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
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EUR/NOK can the trend hold? Commentary
EUR/NOK multi-week higher tops and higher bottoms on price indicate a dow pattern uptrend; provided price can hold above the 10.9 key support the potential for a continuation of the prevailing uptrend remains for a move towards 11.05 in the short term (5-13 days), otherwise if price fails to hold above the 10.9 key support then scope for a price correction lower can not be ruled out.
Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
EURNOK - To valhalla!First things first: all hail the vikings!
Why I like this trade:
- NOK with the MUCH better fundamentals
- NOK clearly undervalued on a longterm timeframe
- Norges Bank quite dovish in their last meeting but could get hawkish again in march as
-> inflation has massively surprised to the upside
- inflation expectations on thursday will be key for NB
- NB could reduce NOK selling
- oil and nat gas with upward potential
- EUR optimism is overpriced
Short EURNOK - the vikings will win!First things first: all hail valhalla!
Why I like this trade:
- NOK with the MUCH better fundamentals
- NOK clearly undervalued on a longterm timeframe
- Norges Bank quite dovish in their last meeting but could get hawkish again in march as
-> inflation has massively surprised to the upside
- inflation expectations on thursday will be key for NB
- NB could reduce NOK selling
- oil and nat gas with upward potential
- EUR optimism is overpriced
EURNOK short the double top EURNOK has formed a nice double top close to the 38.2% fib. Unfortunately I missed the entry to go short, I will try to get into the trade once price retraces to the upside. The target of the short would be another touch of the bottom trendline. We also have a slight bearish convergence on MACD.