EURNZD: Steep Channel continuation setupEURNZD continues to rise within a steep ascending channel, maintaining a well-structured sequence. No signs of exhaustion are evident yet, as bullish momentum remains strong and price action continues to respect both the midline and lower boundary of the channel.
This ongoing strength suggests that buyers remain in control, and unless we see a clear shift in structure, such as a break below channel support or loss of momentum, the trend remains intact.
🟢 Trend Bias: I remain bullish on EURNZD while price stays within this channel. Any pullbacks toward the lower channel boundary or previous breakout zones may offer continuation opportunities.
🎯 Target: My upside target is 1.983 , which aligns with the projected upper boundary of the ascending channel and makes a good technical target if the structure continues to hold.
🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown below the channel with follow-through would challenge this bias and signal the possibility of a deeper corrective move.
For now, the structure favors trend continuation over reversal.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURNZD
EURNZD – Bearish Reversal Expected from Channel Top ResistanceEURNZD has reached the upper boundary of a well-defined ascending channel on the 2H chart and printed a rejection wick, suggesting exhaustion and potential for a pullback. The pair is likely to retrace toward the channel midline or base, with downside targets near 1.9423 and 1.9264, assuming confirmation follows.
🧠 Fundamentals:
EUR Drivers:
ECB remains cautious with weak Eurozone inflation and rising recession risks.
Recent German and Eurozone data (retail sales, factory orders) disappointed.
Political instability in France and ECB’s dovish tone are capping upside momentum in the euro.
NZD Drivers:
RBNZ remains one of the more hawkish central banks, reiterating restrictive stance despite slowing inflation.
Dairy auctions improved recently, adding strength to NZD fundamentals.
China exposure is a double-edged sword — optimism helps, but slowdown risk remains.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Clear ascending channel from mid-June remains intact.
Price rejected perfectly at the upper trendline near 1.9585.
Strong bearish divergence may form if rejection persists.
Bearish scenario targets the 1.9423 zone first (support + midline), then 1.9264 (bottom of channel).
Invalid if price breaks and closes above 1.9600 on strong volume.
⚠️ Risk Factors:
A sudden euro bid from safe-haven demand or ECB surprise could break the channel.
NZD weakness could emerge if China disappoints or RBNZ shifts tone unexpectedly.
🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics:
EURNZD often lags risk-sensitive NZD pairs (like NZDJPY, NZDCAD), especially during Asia session moves. However, during European hours, EUR’s tone can dominate due to ECB speeches or EU data.
✅ Trade Bias: Bearish
TP1: 1.9423
TP2: 1.9264
SL: Above 1.9600
Event to Watch:
ECB speakers this week
China CPI/PPI (affects NZD)
US CPI (indirect cross-pressure on both currencies)
📌 Look for bearish confirmation on the 2H/4H candle close below 1.9540. Risk-reward favors a tactical short if the channel structure holds.
#EURNZD:Price accumulated now time for distribution! Price completed accumulated and now we expecting a strong bullish price distribution. Next week we can see price going and crossing our target with strong bullish volume kicking in the market. Price may go beyond 2.20 region; let's see how it goes.
Good luck and trade safe!
Team Setupsfx_
EURNZD Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.944.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.965.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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"Euro vs Kiwi Heist - Bullish Loot Opportunity!🔥 EURNZD BULL HEIST! Euro vs Kiwi Raid Plan (Swing/Day) 🚨💰
🌟 Attention, Market Bandits! 🌟
"The vault is cracked—time to grab the loot!"
🔮 Thief’s Intel (TA + FA):
EURNZD is flashing BULLISH signals, but beware—overbought traps & police (bears) lurk near resistance!
🎯 ENTRY POINTS (Where to Strike!)
🟢 LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves):
"Swipe the loot on pullbacks!"
Buy limit orders (15-30min TF) near swing lows/highs.
Aggressive heist? Enter any price—but watch for traps!
🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Plan)
📍 SL at recent swing low (2H TF) = 1.93500 (Adjust based on risk!)
💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out Before Cops Arrive!)
🎯 TP = 1.98500 (Or escape early near red zones!)
⚠️ WARNING: Police (Bears) Ahead!
Overbought + Consolidation = Reversal risk!
News = High alert! Avoid new trades during volatility.
Trailing SL = Your getaway car!
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Bullish momentum from COT data, macro trends & sentiment.
Check full analysis for targets & intermarket clues!
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🚨 Next raid coming soon… Stay tuned, thieves! 🚨
EUR-NZD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD made a retest
Of the local horizontal resistance
Of 1.9485 so despite the uptrend
We are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
On Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/NZD – Macro Outlook & Why It’s a Conviction LongMacro Thesis:
EUR/NZD presents one of the clearest long opportunities this week, supported by a sharp divergence in macro fundamentals, a favorable positioning landscape, and confirmation across sentiment and structural models.
🔍 Key Drivers:
1. Macro Fundamentals (ENDO):
The euro area maintains a relatively stable inflationary outlook with moderate growth, while the ECB remains cautious but not overly dovish.
In contrast, New Zealand is showing consistent deflationary pressure – inflation data is softening, M2 growth is stagnant, and real activity (PMI, Retail Sales, NFP) continues to cool. This creates a clean fundamental divergence in favor of the euro.
2. COT Positioning:
There is no excessive long build-up on the EUR side, and NZD remains weak across institutional positioning metrics. This opens the door for further upside without the risk of crowded positioning.
3. Z-Score (Positioning Extremes):
Z-Score data highlights NZD as sitting at an extreme negative reading (Z_Long < –1.7), suggesting it is fundamentally oversold and under institutional pressure. EUR, by contrast, is neutral.
This imbalance further validates the long EUR/NZD setup, particularly from a flow and momentum continuation standpoint.
4. EXO Models (Score, RR_w, Interest Rate Bias):
The pair scores well in weekly RR analysis, supported by strong ENDO/EXO bias convergence. NZD continues to lose monetary support (dovish IR & Overnight trends), while EUR stays relatively neutral.
From a structural model perspective, the bias is clearly long.
5. Sentiment Environment:
The global risk-on tone continues, but it’s paired with relative softness in commodity currencies like NZD. That dynamic adds additional fuel to the long side of EUR/NZD, especially while EUR remains resilient and stable.
✅ Summary & Trading Plan:
Bias: Long EUR/NZD
Conviction Level: High (9/10 – multi-layer confirmation)
Holding Horizon: 1–3 weeks
Invalidation: Exit on reversal of NZD macro tone or shift to risk-off globally
Why This Pair?
EUR/NZD offers one of the clearest expressions of fundamental divergence in the current macro environment.
You have stable inflation and steady growth in Europe versus a weakening macro pulse in New Zealand.
There are no major positioning risks, sentiment supports the setup, and structurally the pair aligns with the broader market tone.
Clean macro. Clean structure. No crosswinds.
EURNZD: Bears Will Push Lower
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURNZD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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EUR_NZD LOCAL SHORT|
✅EUR_NZD is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 1.9488
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 1.9420
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURNZD SELL Signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EUR/NZD Robbery Blueprint – Targeting Pink Zone Profits💰EUR/NZD Robbery Setup: The Bullish Breakout Blueprint for Euro vs Kiwi Heist! 🚨📈
(Targeting High-Risk Zones With Dynamic Entry & Exit Tactics – Long Setup Explained)
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Ready to rob the Kiwi vaults with precision? Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Strategy🔥 (technical + fundamental), here’s the grand blueprint for the EUR/NZD Long Heist. We’ve scoped the market, sniffed out consolidation traps, and locked eyes on that Pink Zone of high-risk, high-reward. The bulls are regrouping. This is our moment. 📍
🎯 ENTRY PLAN – “The Breakout Is The Lock Pick”
📈 Strike Price: 1.93900
Wait for a clean candle close above the Major Dynamic Resistance (MA level).
Once breached, place buy stop orders above the MA line — entry must align with breakout rules.
🔁 Optional: For early robbers, place buy limits on the nearest swing low within the 15M or 30M timeframe (confirmation from wick rejections).
📌 Set alerts (📳) at breakout zones. Stay sharp. Opportunity doesn't knock—it smashes doors.
🛑 STOP LOSS – “Protection Is Power”
Set your SL near the previous swing High/Low wick (4H chart zone), aligning it with your personal lot size, risk %, and number of trades.
📍“SL is your vault lock. Set it smart, not soft. You’re not gambling — you’re robbing with logic.”
🔥 Reminder: No premature SL on pending orders—wait for breakout validation.
🧨 TARGET – “Escape Plan”
🎯 Profit Target: 1.97500
Or dip out early if resistance alarms start ringing. 🏃♂️💨
⚖️ OVERVIEW – “The Scoreboard”
The EUR/NZD is currently in a neutral chop, but multiple trend reversal signs are emerging.
🔥 Oversold zones, squeeze structure, and a potential bull charge all support this heist-worthy long setup.
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Unlock the deeper story:
🧠 Sentiment Analysis
💼 COT Report Data
🌍 Macro Insights
🔍 Intermarket Correlations
📊 Quant Metrics
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🚨 NEWS ALERTS & POSITION MANAGEMENT
🗞 Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Use trailing SL to protect and lock in gains as the plan moves. Stay adaptive — markets shift fast.
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🧠 Stay tuned for the next operation. Till then — rob smart, rob safe. 🐱👤🤑📈
EURNZD analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EUR/NZD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/NZD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 17H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.915 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR-NZD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Is printing higher highs and
Higher lows while breaking
Important key levels such
As 1.9270 which is now
A support and the pair
Is consolidating above the
New support so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further move
Further up on Monday
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURNZD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
EURNZD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURNZD
Entry - 1.9350
Sl - 1.9422
Tp - 1.9206
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Potential bullish rise?EUR/NZD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.92267
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.91362
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.94477
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EURNZD Eyes 1.99 — Technical & Fundamental Bulls AlignedToday, I want to analyze EURNZD ( OANDA:EURNZD ) for you, which is in good shape both technically and fundamentally .
Please stay with me.
EURNZD is moving close to the Support zone(1.88750 NZD-1.7970 NZD) and 100_SMA(Daily) and has managed to form a Double Bottom Pattern .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , EURNZD seems to have completed the main wave 4 , and we should wait for the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 could complete at the Heavy Resistance zone(2.120 NZD-1.9927 NZD) .
-----------------------------------
EURNZD – Fundamental Analysis:
The EURNZD pair currently reflects a divergence between two very different economic outlooks.
Eurozone (EUR):
The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently begun cutting interest rates to support slowing economic activity, especially in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Despite this dovish shift, inflation remains relatively under control, and the euro has held up well against riskier currencies thanks to global uncertainty and safe-haven flows.
New Zealand (NZD):
New Zealand's economy is under pressure. The latest GDP figures confirmed a weak growth outlook, and signs of a technical recession are mounting. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish tone, it faces a dilemma: inflation is sticky, but domestic demand and housing remain fragile. The RBNZ may be forced to soften its stance sooner than expected.
Outlook:
This fundamental backdrop supports a bullish bias for EURNZD. The euro’s relative stability versus the increasingly vulnerable New Zealand dollar makes this pair attractive for long positions — especially if upcoming NZ data disappoints or global risk sentiment weakens further.
-----------------------------------
Based on the above explanation, I expect EURNZD to rise to at least 1.9917 NZD .
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.8779 NZD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (EURNZD), Daily time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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The Trap Has Been Set. Will Price Take the Bait?EURNZD just broke structure on the 4H chart and is now pulling back into a zone where things could get interesting. After the initial drop, price is retracing into an area filled with imbalance and liquidity.
This looks like a setup where the market may lure in buyers before making its next move lower. If sellers step in where expected, we could see a clean continuation to the downside.
As long as price remains beneath that reaction zone, the bearish narrative stays intact. One to keep an eye on in the coming sessions.
Just a word of caution : Always wait for a clear change of character on the 15-minute timeframe before considering any entry. If that confirmation doesn’t show up, price can easily break through the zone and continue climbing.
EURNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.922.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.930 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EUR/NZD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 250 Pips !Here is my EUR/NZD 4H Chart and my opinion is we have now a very good breakout after a lot of time in sideway so we can buy this pair if the price go back to retest the broken res and new support , so we should wait the price to go back to retest it and if we have a good bullish price action then we will enter a buy trade and targeting a new high .
EUR_NZD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅EUR_NZD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.9250 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up on Monday
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.