EURNZD - Low might be in - Awsome Long oppotunity with >1:6 R/R!We are in a larger red ((abc)) correction and currently in wave ((b)) of 2/B.
Price is unfolding as a complex (wxy) correction and we have reasons to believe the low is in.
We should therefore see price go up in impulsive fashion (5 waves up) for red wave ((c)).
Why the low might be in :
* Wave (y) turned around at the 61.8% projection of wave (w) to (x)
* We can count an (abc) move in wave (y) and 5 waves for each of those sub-waves and the Fib proportions are also met.
* We can also count 5 waves to the upside for brown wave i.
Ideally, it's best to wait for a clear upside confirmation, turquoise wave (i) and (ii), but I don't want to give up much of this move and am willing to have a small risk therefore.
Will start with a rank 3 position and scale up when possible.
Trade Setup :
Entry: 2 possibilities - We enter on the brown wave ii, which should find support around 1.6600
- We wait for price to turn higher and make an entry once price goes above brown wave i high.
Stop: - Entry 1: 1.6528
- Entry 2: below brown wave ii.
Targets: 1) 1.7125
2) 1.7310
(those will be updated if necessary).
!!! If price moves lower and takes us out of this trade, does not mean the count gets fully invalidated.
We will have to look to buy again at a lower price.
EURNZD-LONG
Which is stronger? Euro or NzdEurnzd is a tough one but i think we could atleast see a small retracement before furtherdownside, either look for a sharp breakdown to continue the short or wait for some further rejection of downside to go long, my bias is more long than short but with nzd strength we will see what happens. Trade what you see and react
EURNZD STRUCTURE LONG TRADEAs always, patience pays the bills. I personally don't like taking trades for the sake of it. I wait until I have a very high probability of being right and I make sure I win more when I'm right than I lose when I'm wrong.
Here is a lovely little set up on the EURNZD.
Daily timeframe showing massively oversold at a Major structure level being tested. Loss of momentum shown by the descending channel and divergence on the RSI indicating a relief is due.
Thesis is that we should see some buy orders filled here and a small rally up to at least the start of the channel formation before locking in some profits. Secondary targets at the next previous structure level.
Great couple of weeks in the market especially thanks to the GBPJPY. Up 7%. Lets finish on a good one!.
See you guys in the platform.
Have a great day.
Jason G
Long EURNZD in the longer termThis pair has broken out of a several months long megaphone pattern, and is now proceeding upwards.
We can look for price to move towards the 1.845 area within the next several months or so. Likely not by the end of the year, but perhaps within 6 months.
NZD remains weak and we have yet to see if it will recover or fall further. It's my belief that the NZD will fall even further though, while the euro remains neutral to bearish.
I'm bearish on the Euro, but I don't think it is quite as bearish as the Kiwi.
Do your due diligence before trading.
–Osbetel
Long on EURNZDA Bullish pennant pattern spotted on OANDA:EURNZD , along with a Hidden Bullish Divergence found at the .618 Fib level of the June 28 bull run which started the pennant following an even stronger bull run started June 14. Stoch also on under sold territory.
Measuring the distance from the previous high of the move that started the bull run on June 14 up to the bottom of the pennant which is also the high of the move started June 28th we have a range which we will carry over to look for a target.
Our target will be measured from the high (1.71608) of the bear run into the .618 fib level (Using this high as a conservative measure)
We have our main target is at 1.74334
My entry 1.71414
SL 1.70653 ( Fib level .786 )
Entry 1,71414
SL 1,70653
Pip count
Pips Lost 761
Profit Target 1 1,72319 905
Profit Target 2 1,72968 1554
Profit Target 3 1,74334 2920
EUR/NZD - BARRIER TRIANGLEThe possibility exists that the pair could take off without forming the E leg of the formation.
For risk and money management purposes, always determine a max. of 2% risk on every trade.
For example on a $50,000 account, this would be equivalent to 1,25 Lots with an 80 pip stop loss.
Entries, targets and closure of positions may be subject to alteration throughout the course of the trade. This is due to the ever-changing and unpredictable nature of the market.
This post is set to be used and serve as an example and in an educational manner and is not to be taken as direct investment advice.