EURUSD first 1D MA50 test since March 03. Bearish?Last time we had a look at the EURUSD pair (April 28, see chart below), we gave a bearish continuation signal, which not only did it hit its 1.12500 Target but also broke below the 3-month Channel Down:
This has brought us to the almost the first 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test since the March 03 break-out. As long as this holds, it keeps the trend bullish but the 1D RSI is on a Bearish Divergence, indicating a potential long-term trend change.
Technically it is similar with the December 28 2023 High, which at the time of the 1D MA50 test was also on Higher Lows but its RSI on Lower Lows (Bearish Div). The 1D MA50 eventually broke, leading to a sell continuation that hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the bottom.
As a result, if the D MA50 breaks, we will turn bearish, targeting 1.07000 (the 0.618 Fib).
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Euro
EURO - Price can break support level and continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price traded near $1.0835 level and then it made strong upward impulse, breaking this level.
Then it continued to move up inside an upward pennant, where it reached the next support level, which broke soon too.
After this movement, it reached the resistance line of the pennant and then corrected the support line.
Euro tried to grow more, but failed and started to decline inside falling channel, exiting from pennant pattern.
In falling channel, price declined to $1.1200 support level and then turn around and start to move up.
I think that Euro can grow a little and then fall to $1.1065 support line of channel, breaking support level.
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Euro may exit from wedge and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After a strong impulse to the upside and a retest of the 1.1265 resistance area, the Euro started to consolidate inside a downward wedge. Despite repeated attempts to hold above the 1.1265 - 1.1300 zone, price action gradually shifted lower, creating lower highs within the wedge formation. This pattern often signals continuation or deeper correction, especially when formed after a large bullish move. The recent breakout below both the support area and the lower wedge boundary confirms that bearish pressure is taking control. The rejection from the seller zone and the sharp decline reinforce this shift in sentiment. Now the price is trading near the support line of the wedge and showing weak attempts to recover, forming a potential retest of the broken structure. Given the break of support, I expect the Euro may continue its decline toward the 1.0925 level, which coincides with both the buyer zone and a well-defined support level, thereby exiting from wedge pattern. This zone serves as my current TP 1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURGBP: Shifting to long term bearish.EURGBP is heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.165, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 36.508), and most likely will close the day under its 1D MA50. At the moment it is crossing below the 2025 Channel Up and if it closes under it, we will have a validated trend shift to bearish long term. It will be similar to the August 2024 decline that made a new Low after a 1D MA50 rejection. We first aim for the S1 level (TP1 = 0.83500) and as long as it remains under the 1D MA50, resell on the bounce to the S1 level (TP2 = 0.82500).
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Digital Euro: Separating Fact from Conspiracy TheoriesIn today’s fast-paced digital landscape, misinformation can spread rapidly and mislead even those well-intentioned readers. With the Digital Euro project circulating online, numerous pieces of fake news have surfaced—not just criticism or differing opinions, but outright falsehoods that may convince citizens, especially those less familiar with financial innovations, that the project is something it is not. In this article, we delve into the most common misconceptions and explain with clarity and factual context why these claims do not correspond with reality.
1. Myth: "The Digital Euro Will Replace Cash"
❌ False. Despite alarming headlines, cash will not vanish. The Digital Euro is poised to become an additional payment option alongside physical money. The Eurosystem is committed to ensuring that banknotes and coins remain accessible. In fact, plans are already underway to introduce new series of euro banknotes, reaffirming the continued value of cash in our daily transactions.
2. Myth: "The ECB Will Be Able to Control and Block Your Payments"
❌ False. Privacy is a cornerstone of the Digital Euro. Similar to the way cash transactions operate, offline payments would be possible without any tracking by the Eurosystem. This means that your personal transactions remain private and free from arbitrary interference. The design of the digital euro ensures that your financial autonomy is preserved.
3. Myth: "There Will Be Arbitrary Limits on How Much Digital Euro Can Be Held"
❌ False. Any limits imposed on holding digital euros would not be arbitrary measures of control but rather tools to safeguard financial stability. Such thresholds are considered from the perspective of systemic security—not the curtailment of individual freedom. The focus is on ensuring that the financial ecosystem remains resilient rather than monitoring or constraining individual spending.
4. Myth: "The Digital Euro Is a Way to Introduce Negative Interest Rates on Deposits"
❌ False. The digital euro is designed to mirror cash in its fundamental properties—namely, being interest-free. It is not a mechanism for financial authorities to impose negative interest rates on personal funds. The purpose is to complement traditional cash by offering a modern payment solution without altering the neutrality of money.
5. Myth: "It Will Be Mandatory to Use the Digital Euro"
❌ False. Use of the digital euro is entirely optional, serving as one out of many available payment instruments. Just as consumers choose between cash, credit cards, or other digital means, the digital euro is simply an additional tool. No regulation compels you to adopt this innovation if you prefer your existing methods.
6. Myth: "Banks Will Lose All Their Role"
❌ False. The introduction of the digital euro will not render banks obsolete. Banks will continue to provide essential financial services, acting as intermediaries and offering the digital euro alongside other products. The evolution of the payment system enhances consumer choice without dismantling the traditional banking framework.
7. Myth: "The Digital Euro Will Be Programmable, So They Will Tell You How to Spend Your Money"
❌ False. The concept of programmability—that is, dictating how funds are spent—has been explicitly ruled out by the ECB. Both proposals from the European Commission and the legislative frameworks confirm that the digital euro will not be programmable. The goal is to maintain financial freedom and user discretion, similar to how cash operates.
8. Myth: "It's a Project to Eliminate Cryptocurrencies"
❌ False. Rather than extinguishing cryptoassets, the Digital Euro is designed to coexist alongside them. While cryptocurrencies are often speculative and volatile, the digital euro aims to offer a more stable and secure means of payment. The two are intended to serve different purposes: cryptoassets are generally considered investment or speculative instruments, whereas the Digital Euro would fulfill everyday transactional needs.
9. Myth: "There Will Be No More Privacy in Payments"
❌ False. Privacy in the digital age remains a top priority. Offline transactions with the Digital Euro will mirror the privacy features of cash, shielding your personal data. For online transactions, robust privacy regimes are in place. Importantly, the issuer—the Eurosystem—will not have the ability to directly connect transactions to specific individuals, ensuring that your financial privacy is maintained.
Conclusion
The Digital Euro is not the harbinger of a new era of financial surveillance or control. Instead, it represents an additional, modern means of payment designed to coexist with traditional cash and current banking services . By dispelling these myths, we hope to foster a clearer understanding of the Digital Euro project and promote informed discussions based on official facts.
Embracing accurate information is crucial to navigating the ever-changing world of digital finance, ensuring that choices are made based on facts rather than fictions.
FX_IDC:EURUSD TVC:DXY TVC:EXY INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD TVC:SPX EUREX:FESX1! EURONEXT:N100 AMEX:FXE TVC:GOLD FX_IDC:XAUUSD
HelenP. I Euro may break resistance level and rise to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price a long period of slow decline, finally showing early signs of potential reversal. The price has been moving inside a falling wedge pattern, consistently testing lower highs and lower lows. But now, after touching the lower boundary of the structure and reacting near the 1.1200 zone, buyers have stepped in with notable strength. This level aligns not only with the wedge’s base but also with a previous support zone, which adds weight to the current move. The first reaction was sharp, the price rebounded confidently, and started forming higher local lows. That suggests the bearish momentum is weakening, while the structure itself points toward a possible breakout. If the Euro continues to build this upward momentum, it could break through the 1.1285 - 1.1300 resistance zone, which has already acted as a ceiling multiple times. That zone now becomes the key pivot for the next phase of the movement. Given the wedge structure, price behavior near support, and the current momentum, I expect EURUSD may reach the trend line, breaking the resistance level, and continue to grow to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 1.1320 points, which coincides with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: QM + Breakout Play Targeting Demand Zone!Hello guys!
I think eurusd is bearish! why?
A Range: Market consolidated in a tight horizontal range before breaking out.
QM Pattern: A lower high and lower low structure indicates potential for a trend reversal.
Neckline Break: Bearish confirmation with a strong break and close below neckline support.
Retest Zone: Price is now revisiting the QM supply zone, offering a high-probability short setup.
Bearish Projection: The next expected move is a drop toward the S&D (Support & Demand) zone between 1.12640 and 1.11900, which aligns with historical demand and previous accumulation.
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🎯 Bearish Target Zone:
First TP: 1.12640
Final TP: 1.11900 - 1.12080 (Demand Zone)
Euro may correct to support area and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how price has been confidently trending within an upward channel, supported by strong impulses and consistent demand from the lower boundary. The price initially rebounded from the buyer zone, which later became the launchpad for a major upward move. After breaking the resistance line of the channel, the Euro made a clean breakout and confirmed its strength with a retest from above, a clear sign of bullish continuation. This upward momentum carried price directly into the support area, which has since served as a key zone for consolidations. The market then shifted into a horizontal range, trading within well-defined boundaries, with repeated rejections near the top and steady rebounds from the bottom support. What’s crucial now is that the Euro is again testing the lower border of this range while holding above the current support level at 1.1270. Given this structure, a strong preceding trend, clean reaction at the bottom of the range, and ongoing consolidation without deeper breakdowns, I expect the price to rebound from this zone and continue higher. My TP1 is set at 1.1575, the upper boundary of the current range, which remains a logical magnet for price in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can start fall to support line of pennant patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside triangle, where it declined below $1.1310 level, but then made upward umpulse.
Price exited from triangle pattern and broke the $1.1425 level, after which it entered to pennant pattern.
In pennant, Euro reached the resistance line, after which it turned around and in a short time declined to the $1.1310 level, breaking $1.1425
Then the price some time traded between these two levels and later dropped to the support line of the pennant.
But recently it backed up and now traded very close to resistance line of pennant, so, I think it can rise a little.
After this movement, in my opinion, Euro can start to decline to $1.1300 support line of pennant.
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Euro will exit from pennant and grow to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how the price, after a strong upward impulse, the price entered into a consolidation phase, forming a classic upward pennant pattern. Throughout this structure, the price repeatedly respected both the support line and resistance line, tightening inside the pennant while still holding above the support level at 1.1300. This zone, between 1.1280 and 1.1300, marked as the buyer zone, has acted as a strong floor multiple times. Every touch to this area sparked bullish reactions, and most recently, we can see the rice once again starting to grow after dipping into this zone. On the upper side, the resistance level at 1.1430 coincides with the breakout target of the pennant, and also lies just below the seller zone, making it a logical TP 1 area for bulls. The current price action suggests that after a minor pull-back, the price may test the lower pennant edge and then rebound, potentially initiating an impulsive breakout toward 1.1430. Given this structure and the strong base forming around 1.1300, I expect Euro will grow upward toward my TP 1 at the 1.1430 level, thereby exiting from the pennant. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1426 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1583 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1274 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURO - Price can rise to top part of flat from support areaHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price entered to wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $1.0860 level, breaking $1.0470 level.
Then price broke $1.0860 level too, but then it made correction to support line of wedge and then made upward impulse.
Euro exited from wedge and continued to grow to $1.1260 level, after which broke this level and started to trades in flat.
Inside flat, price rose to top part of flat and then made correction to support area, where it some time traded close.
At the moment, Euro trades inside support area, near support level, so, I think that price can correct to $1.1260 level.
After this movement, in my mind, EUR can start to grow to $1.1570 top part of the flat.
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EURUSD Channel Up favors buying but keep an eye on this.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the February 28 Low and its current Bearish Leg almost reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. That is where the previous Bearish Leg made a Higher Low (March 27) and rebounded.
This keeps for now the bullish trend intact and it will remain so for as long as the price remains within the Channel Up. The short-term Target is the -0.236 Fib extension at 1.17500. If on the other hand it breaks below the Channel Up, be ready to take the small loss and sell towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.08500, which is the level that supported the market on that previous March 27 Low.
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HelenP. I Euro may correct to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a sharp, impulsive rise, price entered a broad consolidation phase between 1.1575 and 1.1270 levels, creating a horizontal channel where price oscillated for several sessions. This type of structure often serves as a re-accumulation zone during a trending market. What's particularly notable is the recent touch of the lower boundary of the range, which coincided with a retest of both the ascending trend line and the support zone around 1.1270 points. This confluence of technical factors makes the current area critical for further price development. Following the bounce from the support zone, the pair is showing early signs of recovery. The trend line has held firmly, and buyers stepped in with a reaction candle confirming demand interest. While EUR is not yet out of the consolidation, the structure suggests strength and potential continuation. Given the alignment of the upward trend line, support zone validation, and stabilization after the drop, I expect that EURUSD may climb almost toward the upper boundary of the consolidation. That's why my current goal lies at 1.1500. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro can continue to move up inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price has been moving confidently within the boundaries of a well-formed upward channel. After an extended period of consolidation inside the buyer zone, the market began forming higher lows and eventually broke out with strong bullish momentum. That breakout was followed by a smooth trend-building phase, where each correction found support at higher levels, a clear signal of growing buyer interest. As the price moved higher, it respected both the support line and the support level at 1.0910, reinforcing the structure of the channel. When the market reached the support area, it consolidated for a while before launching another impulse up, confirming the breakout and creating a new higher support zone. Now, the market has pulled back into the support zone, which aligns with the 1.1285 current support level and the lower boundary of the channel. Given the strength of the overall trend, the clear structure of the upward channel, and the reaction from a key support zone, I expect the pair to continue moving higher toward TP1 at 1.1600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can drop to support level and then start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price started to decline inside falling channel, where it reached support line firslty and then bounced up.
Price grew to the resistance line of the channel, which coincided with $1.0950 level, and then in a short time fell back to support line.
Next, Euro made an upward impulse, thereby exiting from channel, and also soon broke $1.0950 level.
After this, price rose a little and then made correction, after which coincided to move up inside pennant.
In the pennant pattern, the price broke $1.1320 level and later reached the resistance line, after which corrected.
Now, I think that the Euro can exit from pennant, fall to the support level, and then bounce up to $1.1510
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
head and shoulders pattern EURUSD has formed a head and shoulders pattern and is now approaching the blue support zone. If the price breaks below this support level, it could signal a bearish move with the target set at the green line level.
📈 Technical Overview:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Support Zone: Blue area currently being approached.
🎯 Breakdown Target: Green line level upon confirmation of the breakdown