A Market Torn in Two Parts ... Are We Bullish or Bearish...?This pair has witnessed a great deal of back forth in the preceding days and weeks. In todays anaylsis, we see how the market on the 1 hour has once again flipped from a bullish perspective (PB) right into a bearish perspecrive with a new PB to the downside.
We will look to hold this bearishness with the ultimate goal of targeting our Daily liquidity target all the way down below.
Euro-dollar
A Bullish U-Turn in SightSo finally, we have come to the end of the 1-hour bearish trend that was based on the 4-hour bearish swing.
Remember that our trading Bearish was a counter trade in light of the 1 hour. Even though we were stopped out on that trade, I am sure we have all learned a very important lesson: always listen to the trend and go in its direction. Recall that the 1-hour was screaming bullish while the 4-hour was bearish. The 1-hour chart definitely chose to hold strong and move the market in its direction.
So let us now look at the market in the direction of the trend.
On the 1-hour chart, we can see that the market has made three bullish swings. It is currently making 3 PBs to the top. On the 4-hour chart, the market is equally bullish, with 1 PB to the up side. On the daily, we still have the market in a bearish PB.
The bullishness of the 1 hour and the 4-hour charts are likely to be retracements on the daily charts. Be that as it may, we will still expect the bullishness to hold sway and look for trading opportunities in that direction.
We would expect the market to remain bullish until the daily zone. The zone is our refinement of our bearish PB. When the market gets there, we will be more attentive to see a reversal play out.
We have established that the market is currently bullish on the 1 hour and 4 hour charts. So let's consider some trading opportunities. On the 1-hour chart, we have 3 PBs to the top side. We expect to see a bearish market pullback to give us an opportunity to get in on the LONG trade. The market is expected to retrace to our zone, as marked on the chart. From there, we would look to trade bullish using one of the trade entry methods taught at Panzy Pips Forex.
There is also the likelihood of the market reversing without getting to our marked reversal zone. Where that happens, we will apply the rules taught by Panzy Pips to catching such trades, and we will look to catch that wave all the way up to the top.
Long story short, we are out of this trade, and the trend is bullish on the 1-hour chart.
✅EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT🔥
✅EUR_USD is about to retest a key structure level of 1.0655
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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EURUSD: Daily Price Action Suggests A Move UpLooking at this pair it's been trading in a descending dynamic channel since mid-July, it makes up nearly 58% of the DXY index and so is in close negative correlation to this index.
We can see the on the daily a pinbar followed by a long-wick doji, which could mean reversal, the opposite can be seen in DXY:
We can now see a breakout of the channel, and the pinbar was formed on the restest, and now the long wick doji.
We have a lot of news this week affecting the Euro (Mon / Tues), and then the USD (Wed).
Overall I think that the price action is determining a weaker dollar which means stronger crosses for the next short period of time, dollar needs a rest and has failed to form a new HH yet despite economic news that would normally entice the bulls.
There will be volatility this week so being conservative with initial target, however depending on the news we could well see us back over 1.08 this month.
Can the Bulls Hold this Up Move...?We are currently seeing some bullishness on this pair with regards to the 1-hour timeframe.
We have marked out our zone, as we would expect the market to retrace before moving further to create higher highs.
We have the market on the 1 hour timeframe currently making a Bullish PB, and we have done a bit of trade setup, looking and waiting to catch the longs trade when it comes with a retracement into our zone.
But there is one thing, and it seems to beg the question. Though our analysis are in order, there is a concern about looking to take the bullish run. The question is this: "Can the Bulls Hold this up move?"
As much as I would like to hold on to the already established 1-hour bullish analysis, I am afraid I might have to think otherwise. Here is our reasoning: The market has made a bullish push, an upmove, and an impulse on the 1 hour, but this entire bullish swing on the 1 hour timeframe forms what we can call a retracement on the 4 hour timeframe. With the market already touching the 4-hour zone marked out, we can see two reasons why the market will turn bearish: the first reason is the 1-hour retracement, and the second reason is the 4-hour extension building up. Because we know that the lower timeframes move in the direction of the higher timeframes, we are expecting the 1 hour to give way to the 4 hour.
And so we would hope to see prices melt as a retracement on the 1 hour towards the 1 hour zone. But in truth, that zone has only a 20% chance of holding. I its expected to be tested to put up some support , perhaps about 2 to 3 tries max before it gives way for the bears to take control of the market.
If that zone holds, we might see the bulls push the market higher for a bit. This up move will either be cut short by the current 4-hour zone to go bearish, or it might clear the 4-hour zone to make a higher zone before it reverses.
On the whole, we look at the market in the lower timeframes without forgetting the direction of the trend in the daily timeframe, which is still bearish.
We are Still BearishAs promised, we are here with the 4-hour chart analysis.
If you have been following our analysis for a while, it would be absolutely clear to you from our charts that we are in a 4-hour bearish swing. The harmet is heading for the daily liquidity target below.
We are currently experiencing a bullish retracement on the 4-hour. This is necessary as the market never moves in a straight line. With 1 PB down, the 4-hour chart has retraced to gather momentum for the next dip towards the daily liquidity target.
We have refined our PB to a zone. The zone is as marked out on the chart, We expect to see some bearish reversal at this point. Where that is the case, this pair is expected to resume it bearish run towards the daily liquidity target.
A little Bit of Bullishness in a Bearish MarketWe have seen this pair progress Bearish over the past few days. On the 4 hour and the 1 hour charts, which would be our primary focus for this analysis, the market has been Bearish.
But today we have seen a trend shift on the 1 hour. the 1 hour chart has turned Bullish today.
Taking a close look at the 4 hour (using the multi time frame analysis taught by Panzy Pips fx), we see that the 4 hour has completed 1 down PB and is not retracing Bullish. That is the bulishness we are witnessing on the 1 hour. We are expecting this bullishness to hold monentarily to help give us the needed retracement on the 4 hour bearish swing.
In another analysis, we will look at the 4 hour from the retracement perspective, marking out our PB and refining it to our reversal zone.
And in yet another analysis, we will look at the market from the current bullish perspective as played out on the 1 hour. The essence of the 1 hour bullish analysis is to see how far we would expect the retracement to go, comparing it with our refined reversal zone of the 4 hour.
With these pieces of information, we should be able to have a clear direction of market movement, with an added advantage of narrowing it down to actual reversal zones.
DXY- The start of a new journey?DXY has broken a previous high and has escaped this range scenario from 01/01/22, Price has now formed a flag or consolidation above this high. If we take the length of the flag pole and extend it above the flag itself we can see this price ends up in this area of previous value, in my opinion USD is likely to make a move here. We can look for tell tale signs of selling of in risk assets to add fuel to the fire here. You can also check my EURUSD Idea on how to potentially make some profits in the upcoming moves.
EURUSDEURUSD on the Daily chart has broken the June 2023 Low and we have returned to the price and have started to build value under it, with this consolidation/flag forming, we can wait for a breakout of this flag to look for downside momentum with the dashed lines forming potential take profits on the way down. SPX is also looking weak currently, we could see the DXY gain some momentum.
BTC/EUR vs BTC/USD: Discover the Crucial DifferencesBTC/EUR vs BTC/USD present significant technical distinctions. Since May 2022, both BTC/EUR and BTC/USD appear to have formed an ascending wedge pattern on a linear scale, which typically breaks downward, signaling a bearish pattern.
What's intriguing is that the asymmetry of this pattern for BTC/EUR is more intriguing than for BTC/USD. Over time, BTC/EUR has tested the uptrend lines (UTL) seven times, while BTC/USD has tested them only four times, leaving three different gaps compared to BTC/EUR.
This illustrates the importance of analyzing Bitcoin beyond the USD context, as it can influence both classic patterns and more modern indicators. It's worth closely monitoring BTC/EUR, especially since in the Forex market, the EUR is an asset with a high trading volume.
EURUSD: Structure Analysis & Important Key Levels 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD.
Horizontal Key Levels
Resistance 1: 1.0620 - 1.0640 area
Resistance 2: 1.0690 - 1.0740 area
Support 1: 1.0495 - 1.0510 area
Support 2: 1.0450 - 1.0467 area
Vertical Key Levels
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading next week.
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EURUSD: Expecting a drop with continued hawkish FEDThe data coming out of the US continues to support an additional hike this year, with all FED speakers continuing their hawkish stance to return inflation to the 2% target, so getting more likely there'll be a hike in November IMO.
Seeing stagflation in the EUROZONE, also real bond yields are positive in the US which makes the USD mo5re attractive, this all makes me bearish on this pair.
We saw a drop from highs in the DXY last week which suggests profit taking to me as we entered into the weekend with a US national holiday tomorrow.
I expect this pair to drop to channel bottom, will be watching the open price tomorrow and waiting for an entry in LTF's.
EURUSD will Go Down to my 🎯Targets🎯⏰(1-Hour)⏰🏃 EURUSD is moving in the 🔴Resistance zone()🔴and near the Resistance line and 200_EMA (4-hour) and 🟣Monthly Pivot Point🟣 .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD has managed to complete a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Peaks .
🔔I expect EURUSD to move towards the 🎯 Targets 🎯 I specified on the chart after breaking the Uptrend line .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EUR-USD Will Keep Falling! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Broke the key horizontal
Level of 1.0509 which
Reinforces our bearish
Bias so I will be expecting
A bearish continuation
Sell!
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EURUSD: UT CURVE ANALYSIS (12H)TP5 @ 1.1200
TP4 @ 1.1120
TP3 @ 1.0985
TP2 @ 1.0895
TP1 @ 1.0766
BSO2 @ 1.0635 ⏳
BSO1 @ 1.0555 ⏳
— This is our 2nd attempt at catching the beginning of EURUSD returning to it's Big Picture uptrend.
— Although there was no HIGH IMPACT News for the EUR or the USD, the "bears" continued to push Price Action so far down that it reached our Pivot Low, which was also our SL @ 1.0516.
— Since I'm still seeing the possibility of the Big Picture uptrend starting from here, I'm going to restart this pair with the same coordinates.
— We have two options: (1) Market Order Long or (2) wait for one of the above Buy Stop Orders to trigger and use that as confirmation of the uptrend.
🙏🏾 I'm still holding my long positions, so let's really hope this works
EURUSD: CURVE ANALYSIS (3D/12H)SLO @ 1.1235 ⏳
TP5 @ 1.1200
TP4 @ 1.1120
TP3 @ 1.0985
TP2 @ 1.0895
TP1 @ 1.0766
BLO1 @ 1.0635 📈
BLO2 @ 1.0550 ⏳
1️⃣ PA is currently pulling back from our BLO1
2️⃣ PA is currently within a Resistance Range (3D)
3️⃣ If it respects the Resistance Range, I'm anticipating PA will continue the DT down to our BLO2 @ 1.0555