Euro
Xauusd for a selling opportunity from the H1According to the lower timeframe, I'm personally looking for a selling opportunity from the H1 resistance area because it's a major zone for sellers.
Now the price consolidating between the parallel channel, but we can expect, it will break the resistance and move towards the major resistance area.
But if the price successfully breaks our channel downside, then we will start placing our stop orders.
Target:- 2588.00 / 2558.53
Let's see how the price will move. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a sellAccording to the 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a selling opportunity from the resistance area near 2653.00 & 2656.00
Targets:- 2625.00 / 2614.00 / 2605.00
Don't place any advance orders for now. Use good bearish confirmation for the entry.
Remember one thing if the price successfully closes above 2665.00, then stay away from selling. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
SHORT EUR/USDEURUSD is bearish and in a downtrend on the weekly timeframe.
EURUSD confirmed its down movement after breaking 1.05 area and the double top forming at that neckline at that timeframe.
The next target is below parity to previous year low 0.9535 and at the lower of the down channel & next big demand support zone at area 0.84-0.85.
EUR/USD Stagnates Near 1.0500: All Eyes on the Federal ReserveThe EUR/USD currency pair is currently consolidating within a narrow range, lingering around the 1.0500 to 1.0490 levels. As investors turn their attention to the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting, market sentiment remains cautious yet focused. Today's scheduled announcement regarding the US Federal Funds Rate, along with the subsequent FOMC statement and press conference, could further bolster the US dollar.
Expectations are leaning toward a 25 basis point reduction in interest rates by the Fed. However, it is anticipated that the central bank will accompany this cut with somewhat hawkish commentary regarding future policy guidance. Such remarks could indicate that despite the rate cut, the Fed remains vigilant about economic conditions and inflation pressures.
This meeting represents a crucial moment for market participants, as it could usher in significant volatility, particularly ahead of tomorrow's Unemployment Claims report. As traders assess these economic indicators, they are likely to position themselves accordingly, especially if the data reflects a robust labor market.
Given the current landscape, our outlook for the euro remains bearish as the dollar shows a tendency to strengthen. The pressure on the eurozone continues to mount amid various economic challenges, making it difficult for the euro to gain traction against its US counterpart.
As we navigate this period of uncertainty, traders are advised to keep a close eye on the developments from the Federal Reserve, as well as any shifting dynamics in the broader economic context. The next few sessions could prove pivotal for both currencies, influencing the short-term trading strategies of many market participants. We expect the dollar to maintain its upward trajectory, while the euro may struggle to hold its ground.
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EUR/USD: Euro Under Pressure, the Impact of Future Rate cutsThe EUR/USD currency pair began its London session with a promising bullish impulse. Initially, it appeared that the euro was gaining traction as investors showed renewed interest. However, this optimism was short-lived as the European Central Bank (ECB) officials signaled support for further interest rate cuts, leading to a swift reversal of intraday gains.
Market analysts expect the ECB to implement a substantial interest rate reduction of around 100 basis points in the upcoming year. This prospective easing of monetary policy has raised concerns among investors, prompting them to reevaluate their positions in the euro. As the sentiment shifts, market participants are paying close attention to the ECB’s next moves and how they will impact the euro's valuation.
In addition to developments from the ECB, investors are also focused on the Federal Reserve's dot plot, which will provide insights into future interest rate projections in the United States. As the Fed navigates its monetary policy landscape, any signals of tightening could play a significant role in influencing global currency movements, particularly with the euro in the spotlight.
The Current State of the Euro
As I write this article, the euro has surrendered its intraday gains and is trading around the critical psychological level of 1.0490. This decline reflects strong bearish pressure currently weighing on the currency. From a technical analysis perspective, the trends suggest a sustained downturn, raising questions about the euro's ability to regain its footing.
Looking back over the past decade, seasonality data reveals a generally bullish trend for the euro during this period. However, the recent political climate, particularly the election of President Trump, has fortified the DXY’s (U.S. Dollar Index) upward momentum. This unexpected resilience of the dollar adds another layer of complexity to the euro’s outlook.
With a target price established at 1.0350 for the euro, market analysts see potential for further declines. If the euro approaches this level, it could prompt a reaction from traders. However, at this juncture, the sentiment indicates little chance for a significant reversal in direction. The coming weeks will be critical as both European and U.S. economic data continue to unfold, shaping the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair.
In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair started on a bullish note, the recent signals from the ECB and the prevailing market sentiment point toward a challenging environment for the euro in the short term. Traders will need to navigate carefully as they weigh the implications of interest rate cuts and geopolitical developments in their strategies.
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EURUSD: Best opportunity to buy for the long term.EURUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.973, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 14.482) but almost still oversold on 1W (RSI = 35.674). This is because after the November 18th 1W candle bottom on the LL trendline of the 2 year Channel Down, it has completed 2 red weeks in a row. Still, having rebounded on oversold 1W RSI territory, those low levels present an excellent buy opportunity for those who missed the bottom. Every bounce on the Channel Down bottom has made at least a +5.42% rally, and that is what we're aiming for (TP = 1.0900). This may coincide with a 1W MA200 test.
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EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke $1.0560 level and fell to support line, after which rose to resistance line and continued to fall.
Then price made a gap and fell to support level, after which some time traded near and then made upward impulse.
Price broke resistance line with resistance level, and rose to $1.0630 points, but then it started to fall.
In falling channel, price broke $1.0560 level again and fell to support area, after which bounced up, making a fake breakout.
Next, Euro started to grow and now it continues to move up, therefore I think it can almost reach resistance line.
After this, price can turn around and start to fall to $1.0470 support level inside falling channel.
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EURO - Price can bounce up from support level to $1.0650Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price declined inside falling channel, where it fell from resistance line to $1.0765 level.
Then price rose to resistance line of channel, making first gap and then making a downward impulse, exiting from channel.
Also then, EUR continued to decline inside a downward pennant, where it broke $1.0765 level and later fell to $1.0470 level.
Next, price declined to support line of pennant, after which made a second gap and rose to resistance line of pennant,
After this, Euro declined to $1.0470 level and some time traded near, but now it trades close support line.
Possible, price can fall to support level, exiting from pennant and then bounce up to $1.0650
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Short-Term Targets for Gold After Breaching $2,650 Short-Term Targets for Gold After Breaching $2,650
1. Immediate Downside Targets:
$2,600: Minor support level; likely to be tested soon.
$2,575–$2,550: Stronger support zone; potential area for profit-taking or reversal.
$2,500: If momentum remains bearish, this could be the extended target.
1. Entry Point:
Enter a sell position $2,650
2. Profit Targets:
First Target (T1): $2,600 (close part of the position).
Second Target (T2): $2,575.
Final Target (T3): $2,550 (full exit unless trend remains strong).
3. Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss just above $2,660–$2,670 to protect against a false breakout or rebound.
Risk Management
Avoid over-leveraging; short-term gold movements can be volatile. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
EURUSD: Short-term trade Before Retail SalesHello Traders,
Due to longer term Bearish Trend in the pair I'm more with the Red Path, However, we have to follow the market!
Any Breaks below the channel and 1.0500, may head the price to 1.0468.
Any Breaks over the zone, could make us see the 1.0577.
We should close our trader before Retail Sales release on Tuesday.
Gold is indeed showing a bullish trend, Gold is indeed showing a short-term bullish trend, supported by both technical and macroeconomic factors. Here’s an overview:
Current Market Dynamics
1. Price Levels:
Gold is trading around $2,658 per ounce, near its recent highs. This sustained price indicates strong market demand.
2. Technical Indicators:
Support Levels: Gold has held above key support at $2,650, reinforcing bullish momentum.
Resistance Levels: If this trend continues, gold is likely to test resistance around $2,700 and move higher.
3. Market Drivers:
A weaker U.S. dollar and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties are key factors driving gold’s demand as a safe-haven asset.
Central banks' continued gold purchases are providing strong underlying support.
Short-Term Projections
If the bullish trend persists, analysts project:
A move toward $2,700–$2,800 in the coming weeks.
Potential new highs if macroeconomic conditions remain favorable.
Key Risks
A break below $2,650 could lead to a pullback.
External factors, such as Federal Reserve policy announcements, may influence short-term volatility.
In summary, gold’s short-term outlook remains positive, with strong indicators pointing toward further gains. However, traders should watch for potential reversals if key support levels are breached. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
EURUSD Bottom formation in progress. Strong Buy.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a nearly 2-year Channel Down. Being below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since October 02 2024, this is technically still the pattern's Bearish Leg.
However, having bottomed on November 22 and transitioned into a (dotted) Channel Up, this is the technical bottom formation of the long-term Channel Down and the rise following a 1D MACD Bullish Cross from such a low level (the lowest in 2 years), confirms that.
The similarities with both previous bottom formations (September - October 2023 and February - March 2023) are obvious, all of them triple bottomed before rebounding above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, buying now and targeting 1.08765 (Fib 0.618) is an excellent long-term trade in terms of R/R.
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eurusd short/long +180/+180 swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today.
We are currently stuck in 180 pips high/low range, so it's best
to focus on selling high and buying low in current market conditions.
🔸Key levels for eurusd traders: 0420 s/r bulls, 0600s/r bears,
0600 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for eurusd traders: the sequence
is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 0600 SL 40
TP 0420 pips, this is the the reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls
at 0420 then flip long at/near 0420+-20 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +90
TP2 +180 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 0600. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
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Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 50% Fiboancci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.0537 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.0604 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.0401 which is a swing-low support.
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Weekly Forex Forecast: EURUSD Is Bearish. Wait For SELLS!This forecast is for the week of Dec. 16 - 20th.
EURUSD has formed a bearish breakout of the consolidation. Clearly the momentum is to the downside. WIll we see this continue into next week? Yessir!
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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HelenP. I Euro can reach trend line, break it, and continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price traded between resistance 2, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then rose until to trend line, making a first gap. After this, EUR turned around and dropped below resistance 2, breaking it and then made a retest, after which dropped to resistance 1, which coincided with one more resistance zone. Next, the price broke this level and started to trades inside consolidation, where it soon fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and even made a movement down to 1.0330 points. Then in a short time, the EUR backed up to consolidation, making a second gap, and then rose to the trend line inside the range. After this movement, the price turned around and declined to the support level, where trades are near now. In my mind, EURUSD will rise to the trend line, and then make little correction movement. Then price can break this line and continue to move up to the 1.0630 resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro can start to fall, thereby exiting from pennant patternHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price declined inside the downward channel, where it fell to the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level. Then price fell to this level and then rebounded and in a short time rose to 1.0935 points, exiting from the channel and making a first gap. Then Euro turned around and started to decline inside a downward pennant, where it soon broke the 1.0760 level and then tried to back up, but failed and continued to decline. In a short time, the Euro dropped to the 1.0485 level, which coincided with the buyer zone, broke it, and fell to the support line of the pennant. Then it turned around and quickly rose to the resistance line of the pennant pattern, making a second gap and breaking the 1.0485 level one more time. After this, the price turned around and fell from the resistance line to the support level, where it continues to trade very close to this day. In my mind, the Euro can rise to the resistance line of the pennant and then rebound down, thereby exiting from this pattern and breaking the support level. After this movement, I think that the price will continue to decline, so, I set my TP at 1.0350 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can break resistance level and continue to riseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside flat, where it declined to resistance area and then rose to top part of flat.
Also, when price rose to top part of flat, EUR made a first gap and then made downward impulse.
Price exited from flat and continued to decline inside falling channel, where it broke $1.0760 level and continued to fall.
Later price reached $1.0520 level, some time traded near, and then declined to $1.0335 points, exiting of falling channel.
Euro started to grow inside rising channel, where it made a second gap and some time traded between $1.0520 level.
Now price trying to break $1.0520 level, and I think it can break it and continue to grow to $1.0720 in channel.
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EURO - Price can bounce up from support line of pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price bounced from $1.0810 level and rose to $1.0935 points, making a first gap.
After this, price turned around and started to decline inside pennant, where it first broke $1.0810 level.
Then price tried to grow, but failed and soon fell to $1.0515 level, which later broke too and fell to $1.0330 points.
But then, Euro turned around and bounced up, making a second gap, and started to trades inside resistance area.
Also, the price rose to resistance line of the pennant, but recently it fell back and now EUR continues to trades near support line.
I think that price can bounce up from support line to $1.0680, breaking resistance level, and leaving pennant.
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EUR - LONG - Swing Trading*This is a risky trade since if it breaks support it can take us to very low levels, which is why an appropriate stop loss must be used.
We are in a support between 1.042 and 1.045 that is holding up very well until now. Now that time has passed, it seems we are close to breaking 1.05 and will remain there in the following days. It is necessary to give the trade time of around 6 to 14 days to reach the targets.
Targets:
T1: 1.059 - 1.060 (protect or take partial)
T2: 1.065 (close - 6 days)
T3: 1.080 (close - 14 days)