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EURUSD Crucial test on the 4H MA200. Bullish if broken.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone since the September 30 High, which is technically the Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Down pattern, which we saw on our previous analysis. Having found support on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), the pair appears to be attempting another test on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which rejected the last Lower High (November 05) and has been intact since October 01, making it practically the basic long-term Resistance. As a result, if the 4H MA200 breaks, the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Bearish Megaphone should follow too, which will cause a technical medium-term break-out. Our Target is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.08765. You may use the Higher Lows trend-line as an additional tool to determine if the break-out will be successful as last time (November 05) the failed to hold and caused the new Bearish Low of the Megaphone. Similar analogy with the 4H RSI Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
EURO - Price can enter to resistance area and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price declined inside falling channel, where it bounced from $1.0580 level and fell to $1.0460 level. Then price broke this level and fell to $1.0330 points, thereby exiting from channel, but then it made upward impulse. Also, Euro made a first gap, after which started to trades inside flat, where it at once made retest and started to grow. Price rose to $1.0580 level, some time traded near, and then dropped to support level, making a second gap. Next, price in a short time rose back to resistance level, made a fake breakout, and now trades below in flat. Possibly, Euro can enter to resistance area again and then start to decline to $1.0500 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
2
HelenP. I Euro will drop below support level, breaking itHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price some time ago rose to the trend line, after which started to decline. In a short time, the price dropped to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and later broke this level, after which it declined and little more and then tried to back up. Also, the Euro made a first gap, after which reached the trend line in the resistance zone and then dropped, breaking the 1.0900 level again. Next, the price continued to decline inside the triangle form, where it fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Later Euro broke this level and declined to 1.0325 points, but at once turned around, made a second gap, and broke the 1.0520 level again. After this, the price some time traded between this level, but now it rising higher than it. For this case, I expect that EURUSD will rise more and then drop below a support level, breaking it one more time. That's why I set my goal at 1.0420 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
7
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) currently reflects a bearish trend The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) currently reflects a bearish trend on the 4-hour chart. The immediate resistance is around 106.620, while the current price gravitates towards the support level at 105.250. This downtrend aligns with technical indicators signaling potential bearish momentum. Recent trading data confirms a drop to around 105.93 during the last session, reinforcing expectations of further downward movement, possibly testing the 105.250 level soon.
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
EUR/USD Remains Cautious: Traders Await US Payrolls DataThe EUR/USD currency pair remains cautious as it trades below the 1.0600 level during the European session on Friday, just shy of a previous resistance zone. The US Dollar is maintaining its stability, supported by profit-taking and a subdued risk appetite among investors. Market participants are hesitant to commit to new positions ahead of the pivotal US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which includes key indicators such as Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate. The day's events are significant and will likely influence the direction of the DXY index as we approach the new week. From a technical perspective, the price remains under the 1.0600 resistance level. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates a shift in retailer positioning towards a bullish sentiment, while non-commercial traders continue to display a bearish outlook. Currently, we are refraining from taking any positions. However, we maintain a bearish bias and anticipate a potential decline that could retest the 1.0400 zone or even extend lower. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 06, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD is declining to 1.0575 at the start of the European session on Friday. Concerns over US tariffs on European goods and rising bets on interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) are weighing on the Euro against the US Dollar. This Friday, the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data will take center stage. The single currency remains on the defensive as traders are concerned about potential tariff policies on all goods imported into the US, which could undermine the Eurozone economy. In addition, the ECB is widely expected to cut the interest rate at its last monetary policy meeting of the year. All but two of the 75 economists surveyed believe the ECB will cut the deposit rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Dec. 12. On Thursday, French President Emmanuel Macron said he would appoint a new prime minister in the coming days, with the top priority being parliament's passage of the 2025 budget. Any signs of political uncertainty in France could contribute to the euro's decline. Abroad, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce borrowing costs at its December meeting could put pressure on the dollar and limit EUR/USD's decline. Markets now estimate the probability that the central bank will cut rates by a quarter point at its December 17-18 meeting at 70.1%. Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0570, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
gold currently at 2646 and the 1-hour trend showing bearishWith gold currently at **2646** and the **1-hour trend showing bearish momentum**, this aligns well with your sell entry at **2647** targeting **2622**. Here's OANDA:XAUUSD how the setup looks: Current Position Analysis: *Price**: 2646 -Trend**: 1-hour timeframe bearish (indicates downward pressure). Strategy Insights: 1. **Entry Timing**: - Since the price is hovering around your intended entry (2647), you could open the position soon, provided the bearish trend is confirmed by indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD. 2. **Target**: - Aim for 2622, which is 24 points below the current price, offering a potential profit depending on your lot size. 3. **Risk Management**: - Set a **stop-loss** to guard against reversal. A level around **2655-2660** could be reasonable, depending on volatility and resistance zones. 4. **Confirming the Bearish Trend**: - Look for additional confirmation like: - **Candlestick patterns**: E.g., a bearish engulfing pattern. - **Volume**: Decreasing on pullbacks and increasing on sell-offs. - **Support levels**: Ensure 2622 aligns with a key support zone. Would you like help analyzing charts or identifying technical levels?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Euro can make retest of support line and then continue move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago started to decline inside the range, where it in a short time fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone with the bottom part of the range. Next, the price turned around and quickly rose to the top part of the range, making a first gap, after which turned around and made impulse down, thereby exiting from the range and breaking the 1.0760 level. Then the price tried to back up, but it made a fake breakout of 1.0760 level and then continued to fall inside the downward pennant. Later, the Euro fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and broke it too, after which declined to support line of the pennant. Then the price made an upward impulse, thereby making a second gap, after which broke the 1.0480 level one more time and continued to move up. Some time later Euro reached the resistance line of the pennant, after which made a correction to the support level, but a not long time ago it rebounded up, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern. Now I think that the Euro can make a retest, after exiting from the pennant and then continue to move up. For this reason, I set my TP at 1.0680 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
2
GOLD BUY ZONE AROUND 2650 TARGET 26701. Support Zone Confirmation: $2,650 is a critical level near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, which has acted as support in recent sessions10 12. A bounce from this area would validate the entry point. 2. Resistance at $2,670: This level coincides with minor resistance on intraday charts and is a modest profit target within the current consolidation zone. It also lies below the next significant resistance near $2,690, reducing the risk of a reversal before profit-taking. 3. Risk-Reward Ratio: To maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio, ensure a proper stop-loss, ideally below $2,640. Breakout Potential: If gold breaks above $2,670 with strong volume, consider trailing your stop-loss to capture additional upside. FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT US
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
GOLD TOW SENARIO1. Spot Price Around $2630: Gold is fluctuating near the $2630 support zone. This level is critical as it could determine the direction of the next move. 2. Scenario if $2630 Breaks: If the price breaks decisively below $2630 with strong volume, it could extend the bearish trend towards $2600 or even lower. The next support levels to watch are $2600 and $2580. 3. Scenario if $2630 Holds: If gold fails to break below $2630 and rebounds, it could move upward towards its immediate resistances at $2650, $2663, and potentially $2670. A break above $2670 could trigger a bullish rally targeting $2700. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TRADE_CENTER_1
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance area to $1.0385Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few days ago price bounced from $1.1000 level and rose to $1.1205 points, after which turned around. Then price started to decline inside falling channel, where it at once reached and broke $1.1000 level. After this, EUR fell to support line of falling channel, and then bounced and rose to resisatnce line, making a first gap. Price made downward impulse, thereby exiting from channel and starting to trades inside flat, breaking $1.0585 level too. In flat, Euro fell to bottom part but then turned around, made a second gap, and now trades close to $1.0585 level. In my mind, Euro can enter to resistance area and then start to decline to $1.0385, which coincides with bottom part of flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
10
EURUSD Inverse Head and Shoulders to 1.08500EURUSD has formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, confirming the bottom of the long term bearish sequence. The right shoulders is about to be completed and there is no better time to buy than now. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.08500 (marginally under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension) Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) crossed above its MA on Nov 25th, confirming the transition from long term bearish to a bullish trend. This supports our 2.0 Fib target. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Long
by TradingBrokersView
4
EUR/USD – Weak Start to the WeekEUR/USD – Weak Start to the Week The EUR/USD pair began the week with declines, driven by macroeconomic data releases and political tensions within the eurozone. --- Macroeconomic Data Impact On Monday, the final reading of the **HCOB Manufacturing PMI** for the eurozone in November was released, showing a figure of **45.2**, in line with expectations. This continues to signal weakness in the industrial sector, contributing to euro depreciation. --- Political Issues in France Political turbulence in France further weighed on the euro. Key developments included: - Budget Dispute: Prime Minister Michel Barnier faced potential no-confidence votes as the far-right National Rally (RN) party, led by Marine Le Pen, threatened to oppose the government’s budget proposal. - Concessions: The French government dropped plans to reduce medication reimbursements to secure RN support. - Market Reaction: French bond yields rose, with the 10-year yield briefly surpassing Greece’s. The CAC 40 stock index fell 1.1% in early trading. --- ECB Comments Statements from European Central Bank members also hinted at potential monetary easing: - Olli Rehn** and **Yannis Stournaras suggested further rate cuts are likely in December due to persistent inflation concerns. - Martin Kazaks mentioned the possibility of discussing larger rate cuts, though he acknowledged significant uncertainty. --- Seasonality and EUR/USD Historically, December has been a favorable month for the euro against the dollar, driven by reduced market liquidity and year-end position adjustments. However, under the current market conditions, with weak eurozone data and robust U.S. performance, seasonality may not be sufficient to reverse the prevailing bearish trend for EUR/USD. --- USD Stability The U.S. dollar remains relatively stable, supported by strong macroeconomic fundamentals and comments from Federal Reserve officials. - Fed Officials’ Remarks : - John Williams: The NY Fed President noted that monetary policy remains restrictive and emphasized data dependence. He expects inflation to gradually decline to 2% and forecasts U.S. GDP growth of around 2.5% in 2024. - Christopher Waller: The Fed Governor expressed support for a December rate cut, citing a balanced labor market and concerns about inflation stagnating above 2%. - Raphael Bostic: The Atlanta Fed President stated that inflation is on track to reach the 2% target and emphasized the strong footing of the U.S. economy while remaining open to future policy adjustments. - U.S. Economic Data : - ISM Manufacturing PMI (November): Increased to 48.4, above expectations but still indicating contraction. - Construction Spending (October): Rose by 0.4%. --- Outlook for EUR/USD Despite last week’s gains, the long-term trend for EUR/USD remains bearish. The eurozone's economic data continues to underperform, adding pressure on the ECB to accelerate rate cuts. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy is on a stable path toward a "soft landing," supported by strong labor markets and steady growth. While seasonal factors might provide temporary support for the euro, the current market dynamics suggest limited potential for sustained EUR/USD appreciation.
Short
by InvestMate
2
EURUSD: Inverse Head and Shoulders buy signal.EURUSD is bearish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 38.974, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 37.510) as it continues to trade near the bottom of the long term Channel Down. At the same time its low made contact with the bottom of the Bearish Megaphone. Technically that formed the Head of an Inverse Head and Shoulders. The standard target for this pattern is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is our target (TP = 1.08630). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
Euro will start to grow to resistance line of upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a few moments ago price started to decline inside the downward channel, where it at once broke the 1.0600 level and fell to the support line. Then EUR turned around and rebounded back to the resistance level and even entered to seller zone, where it reached the resistance line of the channel, after which turned around and dropped back to the support line. Soon, the price broke the 1.0465 support level and dropped to 1.0330 points, but soon it made impulse up, making a first gap, after which broke the 1.0465 support level one more time. Also, the price started to grow inside the upward channel, where it declined to the buyer zone, after which bounced and rose to the resistance line. Next, EUR almost reached the resistance level, and then turned around and in a short time declined to support line of the upward channel, making a second gap. So, now I think that the price can start to grow to the resistance level, and when it reaches this level, the price will break it. Then Euro can make a retest and continue to move up to the resistance line of the upward channel. That's why I set two TP: 1st at the 1.0600 level and 2nd at the 1.0700 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
3
EURUSD Once in a year buy opportunity about to run out.Last week (November 25, see chart below) we gave an ultimate buy call on the EURUSD pair as the price pierced through the 1.5 year Channel Down and immediately rebounded: As you can see, that was the absolute bottom of the pattern, its technical Lower Low, which happened last time more than 1 year ago, on October 03 2023. The 1-week rally that followed is on a pull-back today as the new week opened and based on the previous two Lower Lows, this might be the final one, i.e. the last buy opportunity we will get before multi-week rally. More specifically and as far as the October 2023 bottom is concerned, we are on the 1W RSI rebound similar to the week of October 23 2023. At the same time, this matches being on the 1W MACD's 2nd straight pink histogram bar. This indicates that this could be the last red week before the rally. Our Target remains intact at 1.08765, exactly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (similar to the November 2023 Fib test). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
EUR/USD Under Pressure Amid Key Economic EventsThe EUR/USD pair began the week with notable selling pressure, trading near the 1.0500 level at the time of writing. The Asian session opened with a bearish gap that remains uncovered, with the pair declining by nearly 75 pips so far. Market participants are closely watching upcoming events, including a speech by European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and the release of the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) later today. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, the pair’s downward momentum aligns with earlier forecasts, suggesting a potential move toward the next demand zone around 1.0100 in the coming sessions. Commitment of Traders (COT) Analysis Recent COT reports reveal that retail traders have increased long positions in the pair, while non-commercial entities remain bearish. This divergence highlights contrasting market expectations. A strong ISM Manufacturing PMI reading could amplify the pair’s downward trajectory, further pressuring the euro. As the market digests these developments, traders should remain cautious and adapt strategies based on upcoming economic data and central bank commentary. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
EUR/USD Gains 1.55% This Week Amid Weak US DataEUR/USD Gains 1.55% This Week Amid Weak US Data The EUR/USD pair strengthened by approximately 1.55% this week, driven by better-than-expected data from the eurozone and disappointing economic reports from the US. Despite this recovery, the long-term outlook remains uncertain, especially as the economic divergence between the two regions continues to weigh on market sentiment. US Data Falls Short of Expectations A series of weaker-than-expected US economic indicators pressured the dollar this week: - **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2. - **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4. - **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M. - **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10. - **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast. - **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market. - **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing. These data points fueled concerns about slower economic activity in the US, prompting a sell-off in the dollar and supporting EUR/USD gains. Eurozone Data Provides Modest Support The eurozone provided some relief for EUR/USD with slightly better-than-expected results: - **Economic Sentiment (Nov):** Rose to 95.8, exceeding the forecast of 95.1, signaling marginal improvement in business and consumer confidence. While the euro benefitted from these figures, the broader macroeconomic picture in the eurozone remains weak. Comparative Economic Outlook The US economy continues to outshine the eurozone across several key metrics: | Metric | US | Eurozone | |-----------------------|----------------------|---------------------| | **GDP Growth Rate** | 2.70% | 0.90% | | **Unemployment Rate** | 4.10% | 6.30% | | **Inflation Rate** | 2.60% | 2.30% | | **Interest Rate** | 4.75% | 3.40% | | **Manufacturing PMI** | 56.00 | 45.20 | | **Services PMI** | 57.00 | 49.20 | While the eurozone showed some resilience this week, its lower growth rate, higher unemployment, and weaker PMIs highlight the underlying economic challenges. Outlook for EUR/USD Despite this week’s gains, the outlook for EUR/USD remains bearish in the long term. If eurozone economic data continues to underperform, the European Central Bank (ECB) may face pressure to implement faster and deeper rate cuts. Conversely, the US appears to be on a stable path toward a "soft landing," supported by strong labor markets and robust economic growth. Conclusion While EUR/USD benefitted from weaker US data this week, the pair's long-term direction depends on the relative strength of economic fundamentals between the eurozone and the US. The euro remains vulnerable, especially if eurozone data disappoints further and the ECB accelerates its monetary easing. Will EUR/USD sustain its gains, or is a reversal imminent? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by InvestMate
7
HelenP. I Euro will decline to support level and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price reached the trend line, and then turned around and started to decline. In a short time, EUR fell to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level, and soon price broke this level. After this, the price some time traded below the 1.0900 resistance level, and later it tried to grow. But when the price entered to resistance zone and reached the trend line, the EUR turned around and made a strong impulse down, after which continued to decline next. Price in a short time fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and then some time traded near this level. Later, the Euro declined below this level, breaking it, but then it turned around and made a gap, after which rose back, breaking the 1.0515 support level one more time. At the moment, the EUR continues to move up and in my opinion, it will decline to the support level and then start to grow to the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 1.0730 points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
3
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Education
by ProjectSyndicate
16