EUR/USD Bullish Setup: Anticipating a Bounce from Key SupportHello traders! Today, I’m analyzing the EUR/USD pair on the 1-hour time frame.
We’ve seen some strong movement recently, but right now, the price is approaching a critical support level. This level has held strong in the past, and based on my analysis, I believe we could see a bullish bounce from this zone.
Here’s what I’m looking at:
Support Level: The price is nearing support level, a key area where it has previously bounced. If the price retests this level and holds, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
Price Action Patterns: I’ll be watching closely for bullish reversal candlestick patterns, like a hammer or bullish engulfing pattern, to confirm the strength of the support. This would suggest buyers are stepping in, and the price could start to rise.
Momentum Check: I’ll keep an eye on the overall market momentum by observing the price movement around the support zone. A slowing down of the sell-off or a shift in momentum could further support the idea of a bounce.
Risk Management Strategy: To manage my risk, I’ll set a stop loss slightly below the support level to safeguard against any potential breakdown. For profit targets, I’m eyeing as the first goal, with room for more gains if the bullish momentum continues.
Euro
EURO - Price can little grow and then continue fall in channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to wedge, where it at once bounced from resistance line and fell to support line.
Then price bounced up from this line and rose higher than $1.0900 level, after which reached resistance line of wedge.
Next, EUR corrected, after which continued to move up inside wedge and later price exited from this pattern.
After this, price entered to falling channel, where it at once rose higher than $1.1155 level, but soon broke it again.
Euro continued to decline inside falling channel until it reached support line, after which it recently bounced up.
Now, I think price can make a small movement up and then continue to decline to $1.0975 support line of channel.
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HelenP. I Euro will make small move up and drop to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago, the price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow and later rose to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Soon, EUR broke this level, made a retest and even little declined than the 1.1000 level, after which continued to move up to the resistance level. When the Euro rose to this level, which coincided with the resistance zone, the price broke it and some time traded higher than the resistance zone. After this, the price turned around and quickly declined to the trend line, breaking the 1.1135 level. Next, the price rebounded from the trend line and rose back to the 1.1135 resistance level, but when it reached this level it turned around and dropped to the support level, breaking the trend line. Not long time ago EUR turned around and in a short time rose back to the trend line, where it continues to trades very close. I expect that the EURUSD will make small movement up and then drop to the support level. That's why I set my goal at 1.1000 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD Rallies Amid Weakening Dollar, Approaching Key SupplyOn Thursday, the EUR/USD saw a rally as the US Dollar (Greenback) weakened, providing support to the euro's upward momentum. However, despite this rally, the pair now enters a critical phase of rejection as it approaches a key supply area, which has previously acted as resistance. This supply zone could trigger a potential pullback in the coming sessions, especially as market participants weigh technical factors against broader economic conditions.
The release of US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data failed to significantly impact market movement, offering little fuel for volatility. Despite the softer inflation data, the overall market remains focused on the Federal Reserve's future policy direction. Speculation over potential rate cuts continues to dominate market sentiment, with traders looking for clearer signals as the central bank navigates its next steps in light of ongoing economic conditions.
From a technical perspective, nothing has fundamentally shifted in terms of the broader outlook for EUR/USD. The euro continues to benefit from dollar weakness, but key resistance levels—such as the approaching supply area—remain intact. A pullback at this level could signal the market’s hesitation to push higher without more significant changes in either economic data or Fed policy.
As the pair nears this important technical zone, traders should remain cautious. The fundamentals underpinning the current market environment haven't changed dramatically, and until there is a clearer shift in the macroeconomic landscape or central bank policy, the euro's recent gains may face hurdles. Nevertheless, with ongoing dollar softness and a Fed-centric market focus, the EUR/USD remains a pair to watch for further developments.
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Euro can rebound up from wedge to 1.1120 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price rose inside the upward channel, where it reached the buyer zone, which coincided with the support level and some time traded in this area. Then, the price broke the 1.0830 level and soon reached the resistance line of the upward channel, after which turned around and in a short time declined to the support line of the channel and at once made impulse up, making a fake breakout of the 1.0830 support level. Next, the price continued to move up and later reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. After this, the price exited from the channel and broke even 1.1120 level, and then rose a little higher seller zone, but soon turned around and started to decline inside the wedge. In this pattern price broke the resistance level and declined to the support line, after which at once rebounded up to the 1.1120 level and then continued to decline. Now Euro trades near the support line of the wedge and in my opinion, it can rebound up from this line to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. That's why my TP is located at the 1.1120 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Pre ECB Rates Decision Analysis12th September (ECB Rates Pending)
DXY: Climbing towards 102 resistance, could push higher if EUR weakens, needs to break 102.20 for further upside to 102.70
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6135 SL 20 TP 60 (Hesitation at 0.6110)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6685 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3030 SL 25 TP 60
EURUSD: Rates decision pending, straddle opportunity, Sell 1.0985 SL 20 TP 45
USDJPY: Sell 143.50 SL 50 TP 150
USDCHF: Buy 0.8585 SL 40 TP 80
USDCAD: Sell 1.3580 SL 30 TP 70
Gold: Needs to stay below 2520 for downside to 2500
EURCAD Sell continuation signalThe EURCAD pair is trading on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) within the 10-month Channel Up. The previous time we had a peak rejection like this, the pair declined by at least -3.88%. The similarities even between the 1D RSI fractals are obvious. Our Target is 1.46550.
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EURO - Price can break support level and fall to $1.0980 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to falling channel, where it at once rose to resistance line and then continued to fall.
In a short time, price declined to $1.1135 level, broke it, and then fell to support line, which coincided with $1.1040 level.
Next, price bounced and tried to grow, but soon fell to support area, after which continued to move up.
EUR rose to resistance level, which coincided with resistance line of channel, and made downward impulse.
Price fell lower than $1.1040 level, breaking it and some time traded in support area, but recently EUR broke it again.
Now, I think price can make small movement up and then fall to $1.0980 support line of channel, breaking support level.
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EURUSD: Channel Down expected to bottom & give a buy opportunityEURUSD is bearish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 33.975, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 38.295) as the 2 week Channel Down is on a bearish wave under the 4H MA50 and just over the 4H MA200. Technically this is already LL region but the bottom might take a while to form, as August 29th - Sep 3rd did, grinding inside a Rectangle. Testing the 1D MA50 inside a new Rectangle potentially, could make an ideal technical bottom. We will target the 0.618 Fibonacci level following that (TP = 1.10850), same as the September 6th LH.
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EUR/AUD H4 | Falling to overlap supportEUR/AUD is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.6516 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.6383 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 1.6706 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
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EURO - Price can make small move up and then bounce down in flatHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price traded between $1.1120 level, which coincided with resistance area and later made upward impulse.
After this, EUR started to decline inside falling channel, where it fell lower $1.1120 level, breaking it.
Next, price exited from channel and started to trades in flat, where it fell to bottom part and even made a fake breakout.
Then Euro turned around and in a short time rose to the top part of flat, which coincided with resistance level.
But a not long time ago price bounced down and I think that EUR can make a small move up and then fall to $1.1045 level.
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Bearish Momentum on EUR/USD (1H) Analysis: On the EUR/USD 1-hour time frame, we can observe bearish momentum. Price has been steadily declining, forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating that sellers are currently in control.
We are approaching a potential support zone , which has acted as support in the past. If the price holds at this level, we could see a bounce or consolidation. However, if this level is broken, we may be looking at further downside targets .
EURAUD: Confirmed CHoCH & Bullish Outlook 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
I see a confirmed Change of Character on EURAUD on a daily.
Trading in a global bullish trend, the market successfully violated
a minor bearish trend, breaking a significant horizontal resistance.
The market will most likely go higher.
Next resistance - 1.669
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Euro will rise almost to resistance line and then continue fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, where it at once made a first gap and then broke the 1.0780 level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then price rose to the resistance line of the channel, making a second gap, after which turned around and in a short time declined to the support level, which coincided with the support line of the channel. After this movement, the Euro rebounded and continued to move up inside the channel, until it reached a resistance level. Price broke this level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then exited from the channel also, but when it reached the resistance line, EUR turned around and started to decline. Soon, the price broke the 1.1135 level and continued to decline, but recently price rose to this level, after which rebounded and continued to fall. Now, I think that the Euro can little rise, maybe almost to the resistance line, and then continue to decline next. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0920 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD - 4H Bearish PhaseEUR/USD recently reached a key daily resistance zone, facing a strong rejection from that level, signaling potential further downside. The pair also lost the critical support zone below 1.11, consolidating under it for the past week. After this consolidation, EUR/USD has completed a pullback to the critical zone, making it technically ready to fall further. This structure offers a solid opportunity for short positions, with a clear rejection from both the daily resistance and the pullback to the previous support-turned-resistance.
Fundamentally, the U.S. Dollar has been gaining strength due to rising expectations of continued rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. In contrast, the Euro has weakened amid concerning Eurozone data, reflecting slowing growth and economic challenges. The divergence between the two currencies supports further bearish movement for EUR/USD, especially as the Dollar Index continues to rise.
As you can see in the chart, we previously shared a sell position at the 1.1117–1.1122 range. Now, with the technical and fundamental backdrop confirming further downside, this is a good opportunity to sell EUR/USD again, targeting further drops as market conditions remain favorable for the U.S. Dollar.
EURUSD Sell signal confirmed.Last week (September 03, see chart below), we called for a major sell on the EURUSD pair as it closed a strong 1W red candle, almost at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 11-month Channel Up:
On Friday we got a strong confirmation of this sell signal as it closed in deep red and large wick on top, indicating a reversal of the short-term bounce. Naturally, today's opening to the week is equally bearish and we still expect that to be the first stage of the new Bearish Leg of the Channel Up.
We already have set a 1.0900 Target last week, which would make an ideal test of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), but this week we establish a 2nd one as well at 1.08000. That would be just above Support 1 and the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up, almost a -3.95% decline, which since July 2023 and the pair's two major Bearish Legs, has been the minimum % decline we've had.
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EUR/USD: Bearish Bias Amid Dollar Strength and ECB Rate Cut Ex..EUR/USD: Bearish Bias Amid Dollar Strength and ECB Rate Cut Expectations
Last Friday, the EUR/USD pair attempted to recover some of its losses from the previous week, following an initial decline in the US Dollar. The greenback weakened after the release of the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Claims, which delivered less-than-encouraging economic signals. However, the dollar quickly regained ground thanks to positive results from the Final Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, and Crude Oil Inventories, all of which helped to boost investor confidence in the US economy.
Despite this brief rebound in EUR/USD, the pair's upside potential seems limited. Recent inflation data from the eurozone has heightened market expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will implement a rate cut at its upcoming policy meeting on Thursday. This looming policy shift has created a bearish outlook for the euro, as lower interest rates typically reduce the attractiveness of a currency in global markets.
From a technical perspective, our bearish stance on EUR/USD remains unchanged. Over the past two weeks, the pair has struggled to maintain its rally after hitting a major supply area, which has now turned into a formidable resistance zone. Adding further to this bearish sentiment is the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals that retail traders are predominantly bullish on the euro, while institutional players, often referred to as "smart money," maintain a bearish position. This divergence suggests that the euro's recent attempts to rally may lack the institutional support needed for sustained upward momentum.
Seasonality also favors a bearish trend for the euro at this time of the year. Historical data shows that the EUR/USD pair tends to weaken during this period, aligning with our current forecast. The combination of technical resistance, COT positioning, and seasonal trends points to further downside risks for the euro.
On the chart, I have highlighted a key demand area where the price could potentially drop. This zone may act as a magnet, pulling the pair lower before triggering a possible retracement. If the price reaches this level, we may see a short-term bounce, but the overall bias remains bearish unless there is a significant shift in fundamentals or technical indicators.
In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair faces several headwinds, including dollar strength, expectations of an ECB rate cut, and bearish technical and seasonal factors. Traders should remain cautious as the pair approaches key demand levels, and any short-term rallies may be limited by broader market forces.
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Watch out as EURGBP net short positioning is reversing quicklyLeveraged money net positioning is reversing from extreme short levels in EURGBP futures.
We do acknowledge the UK's recent positive political momentum amid political turbulence in the EU, however we believe the effect is in the price.
On top of that, our fundamental macro model is slightly bullish EURGBP, certainly not indicating a further drop from these levels.
This might indicate a rally in EURGBP towards 0.86 after a recent 2 standard deviation selloff.