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EUR/USD Reversal After Strong US Data: Bearish Momentum Ahead?After yesterday's pullback, the EUR/USD pair has formed a rejection candle on the daily chart after touching the 1.1112 mark. The pair's gains against the USD were quickly reversed, as surprisingly strong US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for August offered significant support to the US Dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, has recovered most of its intraday losses after finding buying interest near the day's low around the 101.00 level. From a technical perspective, we have already closed 50% of our position after the price bounced back from a key supply area. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a high level of retail traders accumulating long positions in EUR/USD, marking the highest accumulation since the last significant price peak in December. This accumulation hints at potential exhaustion of the bullish sentiment among retail traders, which may lead to further bearish pressure. The ISM Services PMI report revealed that activity in the US services sector expanded slightly more than anticipated, with a reading of 51.5, compared to July's 51.4. Economists had projected a modest slowdown to 51.1, but the unexpected uptick in service activity adds another layer of support for the USD. This strong economic performance suggests that the US economy remains resilient, increasing the chances of sustained strength in the USD. Given this scenario, we anticipate a continuation of bearish pressure on the EUR/USD and other currency pairs against the USD. With retail traders heavily positioned long and the fundamentals favoring the USD, the market may continue to see the US Dollar strengthen in the coming days, offering potential opportunities for those seeking to short the EUR/USD or other USD pairs. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
HelenP. I Euro can fall almost to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A few moments ago price reached support 2, which coincided with the support zone, making a gap as well. Next, the price broke this level and rose a little more, making a second gap, but soon turned around and dropped to support 2, which coincided with the trend line. Then price rebounded from the trend line and rose to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone and later broke this level too. After this movement, it rose to 1.1200 points, and then turned around and fell to the support zone. Then Euro some time traded in this area, until it reached the trend line. after which the price rebounded and started to grow. At the moment, I expect that EURUSD will make a correction movement to almost the trend line, after which turn around and continue to move up. Therefore I set my goal at 1.1230 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
1
EURCHF Sell signal on the 1D MA200 rejection.The EURCHF pair gave us a great buy-low-sell-high double trading opportunity last time we gave a call on it (June 28, see chart below) as not only did it initially rise to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, but straight after it dropped to the 0.618, reaching our 0.95500 Target: The sell-off was in fact that aggressive that it reached as low as the bottom of the 2-year Channel Down, making a new Lower Low. The instant rise and rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) confirms bearish extension bias similar to the June 22 2023 rejection. We remain bearish on this pair, targeting 0.926500 and then after a new bounce, make a final sell for a new Lower Low. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
Euro can rise a little more and then start to decline Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago started to grow inside the upward channel, where it soon grew to resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. After this, the EUR turned around and made a correction movement to support line of the channel and then rebounded up. Price made a fake breakout of the resistance line of the channel and also the 1.1160 level, after which started to fall. In a short time, the EUR left the channel and continued to decline inside the wedge, where it at once dropped from the resistance line to the support line, which coincided with the support level and buyer zone. Soon, EUR broke the support level and fell to the support line of the wedge, but later it turned around and made a strong impulse up, thereby breaking the 1.1055 level one more time and exiting from the wedge pattern. To this day, the price continues to move up, so, I think EUR can rise a little more and then make a correction movement to the 1.1055 support level, where is located my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
1
EURJPY Buy opportunity only if the 1D MA50 breaks.The EURJPY pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the March 07 2022 bottom. The start of July saw it experience a strong correction, technically the latest Bearish Leg of the pattern that broke below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 20 2023 and hit the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since March 07 2022! The 1W MA100 held, which confirmed its status as the multi-year Support but the rebound was short-lived as, even though it marginally broke above the 1W MA50, it failed to close a candle above it. As a result, this will be our signal to buy, a 1W candle closing above the 1W MA50. Once the bullish break-out takes place, our Target will be 182.000, which represents a +19.50% rise from the Higher Low, which is the % growth of both previous Bullish Legs within the Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Is the EUR/USD Recovery a Pullback Before a Bearish Move?The EUR/USD pair rebounded following the release of the weaker-than-expected US JOLTS Job Openings data, prompting questions about whether this is a potential opportunity to enter short positions. After an initial rebound from the Supply area, the EUR/USD pair recovered some ground on Wednesday, likely driven by the US labor data. However, this recovery could present a pullback, offering investors a chance to add to their positions in anticipation of a possible bearish scenario. Investors are now eagerly awaiting the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August, scheduled for release on Friday. This official labor market data will be critical in shaping the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) path for interest rate cuts in September. While many investors believe that the Fed will begin reducing its key borrowing rates this month, there is still uncertainty regarding the size of the potential rate cut. From a Commitment of Traders (COT) perspective, we can observe that retail traders are heavily positioned on the long side of the EUR/USD, which often serves as a contrarian indicator. Additionally, seasonality data points to a likely drop in the EUR in the near term. Given this COT scenario and the broader market sentiment, we are maintaining our bearish outlook on the EUR/USD and see this pullback as an opportunity to consider short positions. With key data releases on the horizon, such as the NFP, traders should remain cautious but be prepared for further downside in the EUR/USD pair as market conditions evolve. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
5
EURO - Price can bounce down from pennant to $1.0950Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price entered to pennant, where it at once bounced from support line to resistance line, breaking $1.0800 level. In this pattern, price made a gap, and later it bounced from resistance line and fell to support area, exiting from pennant. Next, EUR entered another pennant, where it at once started to grow to $1.1035 level, and exited from support area. When price reached this level, it broke it and rose to resistance line of pennant, but recently turned around and fell. Euro declined to resistance area, where continues to trades near support line of pennant, so, I think it can little grow. Then price can bounce down to $1.0950, exiting from pennant and breaking support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
1
EUR/USD Faces Renewed Pressure as USD StrengthensThe EUR/USD pair has recently faced renewed downward pressure after reaching year-to-date (YTD) peaks beyond the 1.1200 level. This shift in momentum comes amid a resurgence in buying interest for the US Dollar (USD), which has dampened the pair's ability to sustain its upward trajectory. Several factors have contributed to the recent rebound in the US Dollar. Mixed data from advanced Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) in the euro area have weighed against the continuation of the EUR/USD pair's march northward. This economic data suggested that the eurozone's recovery may not be as robust as previously anticipated, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the EUR. Additionally, the European Central Bank (ECB) recently released its Accounts, revealing that policymakers saw no immediate need to lower interest rates last month. However, they warned that a new discussion on the matter could take place in September as high rates continue to impact economic growth in the region. From a technical perspective, the Euro has reached a strong supply area, as indicated by the EUR futures chart. This zone has acted as a significant barrier to further gains, and the pair’s inability to break above this level suggests the presence of substantial selling pressure. You can observe this technical resistance in the EUR futures chart on TradingView EUR Futures Chart Should the price manage to break through this supply zone, the next potential area for a reversal could be around the 1.3800 mark. However, this is contingent on several factors, including the broader economic landscape and the relative strength of the US Dollar. Looking ahead, the US economy is expected to outperform Europe in the long term, suggesting that any prolonged weakness in the Dollar might be temporary. The stronger economic fundamentals in the US, coupled with potential policy adjustments from the Federal Reserve, could provide additional support for the USD, thereby exerting further pressure on the EUR/USD pair. In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair has shown some bullish tendencies in recent weeks, the combination of mixed economic data, technical resistance, and the potential for a stronger US Dollar suggests that the path forward could be challenging. Traders should keep a close eye on upcoming economic releases and central bank communications for further clues on the pair's direction. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
Euro can bounce of support level, leave wedge and rise to 1.1130Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price rebounded down from the buyer zone and dropped, but soon turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, the price reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and broke it, and then it continued o to move up. When EUR reached the resistance line of the channel, which coincided with the resistance level and seller zone, the price turned around and started to decline. Euro exited from the channel and later entered to wedge, where it rebounded from the support line and rose higher than the 1.1160 level, breaking it. Price some time traded near and after reaching the resistance line started to decline. In a short time, the EUR broke the 1.1160 level one more time and fell to the 1.1050 support level. But recently it bounced up and now trades very close to the resistance line of the wedge. In my opinion, the Euro can rebound up from the support level and exit from the wedge, breaking the resistance line. Then it will continue to move up, therefore I set my TP at 1.1130 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
3
EURGBP Will the Support hold?Great signal out of the EURGBP pair last time we analyzed it (June 25, see chart below), as the price hit and even surpassed our 0.8550 Target: Following that High, the pair collapsed and is about to test Support 1, which technically is Lower Lows region for the long-term Channel Down. As long as the 1D RSI Higher Lows trend-line holds, we will look for a buy on Support 1 and target the 0.618 Fibonacci extension at 0.8530. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURUSD Long-term Sell Signal confirmed.The EURUSD pair confirmed with last week's closing the start of a new bearish sequence as it closed the 1W candle in deep red below even the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). This established not only the previous High as the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 11-month Channel Up but also posted an identical long-term Top sequence as the July 17 2023 weekly candle. As you can see on both tops a long-term series of red weeks was initiated, both of then stopping on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up. As a result, our 1.0900 medium-term bearish Target appears to be a modest one as it is where we anticipate the first wave of buyers (Support) on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) 1W MA100 (green trend-line) cluster. This may provide a bounce similar to February 12 2024. As a side-note, notice how the 1W RSI posted a similar rejection - reversal top on the 70.00 overbought barrier, same as July 10 2023. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
EURO - Price can exit from pennant and then start to move upHi guys, this is my update on a different timeframe for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price entered to falling channel, where it at once made a gap and then reached resistance line. Next, price fell to support line, breaking $1.0880 level, but soon EUR made upward impulse from this line. Price broke $1.0880 level and exited from falling channel, and continued to move up inside pennant. In pennant, price later reached $1.1075 level, broke it, and even rose a little higher than resistance area. But a not long time ago EUR fell to support line, breaking $1.10750 level again, and now continues trades close. In my mind, Euro can exit from pennant and then bounce up to $1.1150, breaking resistance level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
3
DXY - Looking to Big PictureWhen we look back, when Trump first came, Dxy showed a 5.5% increase, Dxy goes to 103.5. And Trump Dxy is too expensive, the dollar is too expensive, it should fall, the statements started. Then Dxy's 14% decrease went to 88.5. Now Dxy is around 102. I bought it directly as a fractal from August 15, 2016. If Dxy comes to around 104 until the election, the rapid increase with Trump's arrival corresponds to 110s. It has been an expected area for a long time and when Trump Dxy is at 110s, similarly, if the decrease starts with him saying the dollar is too expensive, it goes to 94s, fractal. Here, my hopes begin and I say that it is still expensive at those levels, we will go down to 86s. This means a 4-year never-ending mega bull. I applied the same fractal to the euro, and the much-anticipated 1.02s are here again. If I can get a fund, I will look for swing shorts at 1.12s. The fractal and events looked pretty good to me. It also fit the channel nicely. FX:EURUSD
TVC:DXY
by mooniron
EURO - Price can leave wedge and fall to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price rose higher than $1.1000 level but soon declined back, after which turned around and started to grow in channel. Inside channel, price broke $1.1000 level and reached later $1.1105 level, which broke soon too. After this, price reached resistance line of channel and then corrected $1.1105 level, exiting from rising channel. Next Euro bounced up to $1.12015 points and started to decline inside wedge, where it in a short time fell. Also, price broke $1.1105 level one more time and a not long time ago it EUR started to grow near support line. So, I think that Euro can reach resistance level and then bounce down to $1.1000 level, exiting from wedge. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
2
HelenP. I Euro will continue to decline, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price declined to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, and some time traded near until it broke this level and fell to the trend line. Then EUR started to trades inside a wedge, where it rebounded from the trend line, which is the support line of this pattern, and rose to the resistance line, breaking support 2 one more time. Next, the price corrected the trend line, after which rose to the resistance line and then repeated this movement. Later Euro made an impulse up from the trend line and exited from the wedge pattern, broke support 1, and even rose a little higher than the resistance zone, but soon backed up. A not long time ago price rose from the resistance zone, after which at once turned around and dropped back. Now, I expect that EURUSD will make a small movement up and then continue to decline, breaking the trend line with the support level. Therefore I set my goal at 1.1015 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
1
EUR/USD on the Move - Eyes on the 1.17 Target!💶📈 EUR/USD on the Move - Eyes on the 1.17 Target! 🚀💥 Hey traders, it's time to look at one of the most traded pairs in the forex world: EUR/USD. This pair has been a fascinating ride, and now we are entering a pivotal moment once again. Since I shifted focus towards crypto and volatility, my forex trading has become more selective. Trading fewer times but with more patience has brought great results, and this approach has worked exceptionally well in recent months. 🔍 Key Insights: We had a perfect short at 1.232, riding it all the way down to parity. Not many believed we’d see EUR/USD drop to 1.00 or lower, but we anticipated it, and it played out as expected. The next major move was the reversal at parity, and we've been long since. With EUR/USD now reclaiming the 1.11 level, the charts are pointing towards a possible further move upwards. While there is a 35% chance of EUR/USD retesting 1.10, the majority of the indicators suggest continued support, and I’m looking at a target of 1.17. I had great success focusing on USD/JPY shorts, but now it’s time to re-enter EUR/USD, which has been a phenomenal trade from 0.97 to 1.12. I’m considering increasing my positions, with eyes on that 1.17 target. Don’t forget to check my recent DXY (Dollar Index) post, as these markets are closely connected and tell a similar story. Also, keep an eye on Bitcoin—I believe it’s going to make headline news soon! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
1
Euro can drop to 1.1100 points, thereby exiting from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a few moments ago entered to range and dropped from the support level, which coincided with the support area to the buyer zone. When the EUR fell to this area, it some time traded very close to the bottom part of the range and later rebounded up to the support level. Also, inside the range, the price formed three gaps, and on the third gap, the Euro exited from range, entered to wedge, and dropped to support line of this pattern. Later price turned around and started to grow, after which in a short time rose higher than the 1.0900 level, breaking it finally and then made a retest. After this price rebounded from the support line of the wedge and rose to the resistance line, but a not long time ago EUR rolled down from this line. At the moment, I think that the price can rise almost to the resistance line of the wedge and then drop, thereby exiting from the wedge. For this case, I set my TP at 1.1100 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
EURO - Price can little fall and then continue rise in channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price broke $1.0785 level and entered a flat, where it soon made a gap and reached the top part. Next, price turned around and declined to $1.0785 level, after which bounced and started to grow in rising channel. Also, EUR left flat, and in channel, it soon reached $1.0980 level, but at once made correction movement. Then price bounced up from support line of channel, breaking $1.0980 level, and rose almost to resistance line. But price made little correction and now continues to move up inside rising channel, so, I think it can little decline. After this, Euro can turn around and continue to move up to $1.1290 inside rising channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
3