EURUSD sellAs we have seen previously EUR vs US dollar is in a bearish Trend as my anylisis goes from Daily to H4 which is all bearish we have a bearish trendline from Daily TF which is being followed continuesoly
Euro
Euro H1 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.0794 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.0816 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.0762 which is a swing-low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Euro and Yen Weakness Stands OutWe continue to see broad-based demand for the US dollar, though it's clear that most of the dollar strength of late has been against the Euro and the Yen. A new report has been making headlines, discussing a growing group of ECB members who think the central bank has fallen behind the curve on monetary easing.
We've also been hearing plenty of dovish talk from a number of ECB officials. Meanwhile, in Japan, the Yen has been accelerating to the downside, partially due to this dollar demand and partially because of uncertainty heading into the weekend election in Japan.
Looking ahead, we have the Bank of Canada policy decision, ECB President Lagarde's speech, Eurozone consumer confidence readings, existing home sales, Fed speak, and the Fed Beige Book.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
EURUSD on the 1 year Support!EURUSD hit today the Rising Support trend line that is in effect for 1 full year.
The 1day RSI is vastly oversold, which was the case both on the April 16th 2024 and October 3rd 2023 contacts with the Rising Support.
The last bottom rebounded to the 0.618 Fib before pulling back again.
This is a standard low risk bullish signal. Buy and target 1.10250 (Fib 0.618).
Previous chart:
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EUR/AUD H1 | Swing-high resistance at 61.8% Fibo retracementEUR/AUD is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.6216 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.6275 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.6145 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
eurusd h8 buy/hold bounce setup +200 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 8hour chart for EURUSD today. Bears maintain control since we cracked the heavy psych level at 1.10 currently trading near 1.09 and expecting further losses before a potential bounce.
🔸Based on recent data from 2024 we had multiple 3.6% corrections before
the bounces for 150-300 pips in EURUSD. specifically we had a 4% correction,
3.8% correction, 3.6% correction, 3.2% correction, 2.2% correction before
strong bounces off the lows. Current correction projected to complete near
0800, this is a 3.6% correction which is typical for eurusd.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders: focus on buying low near
0800. SL fixed at 0750 TP1 +150 pips TP2 +200 pips final. good luck traders!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
EURUSD: On the 1 year HL support. Rebound expected.EURUSD turned oversold oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 28.128, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 71.753) as the price even crossed under the 0.618 Fibonacci level and is approaching the HL Zone, the lower level of which started 1 year ago (on the October 3rd 2023 low). The 1D RSI is oversold for the 3rd time since then, which is alone a huge bullish signal. We expect at least a short term rebound to test the 1D MA50 (TP = 1.09800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Best Level to Short USDCAD TP +260 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 8hour chart for USDCAD today. Strong
V-shape recovery in progress off the lows, however sentiment getting
extremely overbought and also we are closing in on heavy overhead supply.
🔸Key mirror S/R detected at 3620, bears will target this level on the
re-test so it's a logical target for the short sellers from overhead resistance.
🔸Recommended strategy for USDCAD traders: focus on short selling high near 3880 price cluster SL fixed at 60 pips TP1 +140 pips TP2 +260 pips final exit at 3620. Expecting rejection from overhead resistance and re-test of
the mirror S/R level at 3620. good luck traders.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Euro will make move down and then rebound up from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price declined to mirror line and then started to grow. In a short time, the price broke the 1.1000 level, made a correction to the resistance area, and then continued to move up to the seller zone. When it reached this area, the price soon turned around and dropped to the mirror line. Euro some time traded near this line and then fell to the 1.1000 level, breaking the mirror line. Also then, the price started to trades inside the wedge, where it first rose between the mirror line to the seller zone again. When the Euro reached this area, it turned around and made a downward impulse, thereby breaking 1.1175 and 1.1000 levels, after which made retest and continued to fall to the support line of the wedge. At the moment, the price trades very close to the resistance line of the wedge, so, for this case, I think that the Euro can little decline and then rebound up, thereby exiting from the wedge. For this case, I set my TP at 1.095 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD - Short Trade Idea (In-depth analysis)Here is a trade idea on EURUSD in the short direction. Let's see how it goes!
All the analysis is in the vid, but TLDW; Price traded into a 3D iFVG with a bearish bias, looking to take out the low (ERL).
Happy Trading!
- R2F
EURUSD expected to rebound on an oversold 1D RSI.The EURUSD pair made a straight hit on our 1.08350 Target (September 23 idea, see chart below) following the 1.12000 Double Top rejection:
Right now the price sits below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), having failed to recover it in the past 2 days. This is however the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the last Low, which is where the February 14 2024 correction reversed.
At the same time, the 1D RSI turned oversold last Thursday, which is an even bigger bullish indication. For the past 2 years (since September 27 2022), every time the RSI got oversold (below 30.00), it was a very strong buy signal as the price reversed.
On the February 14 Low it reversed to the 0.618 Fib (blue), so currently our minimum target on this buy opportunity is 1.10550.
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EUR/USD Pauses After Four-Day Slide as USD Rally EasesThe EUR/USD pair takes a breather on Friday, following a prolonged four-day losing streak, as the US Dollar's (USD) strong rally shows signs of slowing. The Euro attempts to stabilize after a tough week, with the pair hovering slightly higher, supported by a momentary pause in the USD’s upward momentum. Despite this pause, the outlook for the Greenback remains positive, particularly after Thursday’s encouraging US economic data, which continues to reinforce the idea of a resilient American economy.
USD Momentum Eases After Strong Economic Data
The US Dollar has experienced a robust run in recent weeks, driven by a strong economy and expectations of higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve. However, the rally took a pause on Friday, despite the release of better-than-expected US economic data. September’s Retail Sales increased by 0.4%, surpassing market forecasts, while the Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 11 came in lower than anticipated at 241,000, compared to an expected 260,000. These figures underscored the strength of the US labor market and consumer spending, further bolstering the Federal Reserve’s stance on maintaining elevated interest rates.
Even though the positive data continues to favor the USD, the currency’s upward trajectory has temporarily slowed, allowing the EUR/USD pair to consolidate after a sharp decline earlier in the week. This pause in the Greenback's rally offers the Euro some relief, though the broader trend remains USD-favorable in the near term.
Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Prepares for a Potential Rebound
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD pair is showing early signs of a potential bullish rebound. The pair has bounced from a critical demand area, suggesting that buying interest is emerging at these lower price levels. Furthermore, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a significant divergence between retail and institutional sentiment. While retail traders remain predominantly bearish, large institutional investors—commonly referred to as "smart money"—have begun to increase their long positions on the Euro. This discrepancy in positioning could signal a reversal in market direction, potentially favoring the Euro in the near term.
Seasonality patterns also support a possible recovery in the EUR/USD, as historical data suggests that the Euro tends to perform well during this period of the year. Taken together, the technical indicators and seasonal trends point toward a possible bullish setup, where traders might look to enter long positions, anticipating further upside movement.
Conclusion: EUR/USD Seeks Stability as USD Rally Temporarily Stalls
The EUR/USD pair has found some much-needed support after several days of losses, as the relentless USD rally slows down following strong US economic data. Despite the positive fundamentals supporting the Greenback, technical indicators hint that the Euro may be on the verge of a recovery. The rebound from key demand levels, coupled with institutional long positioning and supportive seasonality, suggests that the EUR/USD could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders should remain vigilant, as the pair’s next move will depend on evolving market conditions and the upcoming data releases that could further influence the direction of both currencies.
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EURO - Price can make retest, after exiting, and continue growHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to rising channel, where it reached $1.1080 level and broke it.
Then price some time rising in channel, until it reached resistance line, after which price started to decline.
In a short time, EUR exited from rising channel and continued to decline inside wedge, where it soo broke $1.1080 level.
Later, price fell to support line of wedge and then tried to grow, but failed and continued to decline.
After this, Euro broke $1.0905 level and fell to support line, but recently price bounced up, thereby exiting from wedge.
Now, I think that price can make a retest and then bounce up to $1.0940, thereby breaking resistance level.
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Getting Started with Forex Prop Trading: Intro Guide🔸Forex prop trading (short for foreign exchange proprietary trading) refers to a trading model where traders use capital provided by a proprietary trading firm to trade in the Forex (foreign exchange) market. Unlike traditional retail trading, where traders use their own funds, prop traders operate with the firm's capital, typically after passing a series of evaluations to prove their trading skills and risk management abilities. In return, the firm takes a percentage of the profits generated by the trader.
🆕 Here’s a more detailed look at how forex prop trading works and why it's appealing:
🔸 Access to Capital
Prop firms offer substantial capital to skilled traders, allowing them to trade with much larger account sizes than they might be able to on their own. For example, a trader might be funded with anywhere from $10,000 to $1,000,000 or more, depending on their experience and the firm's offerings.
🔸 Evaluation Process
Most prop firms require traders to pass an evaluation or assessment phase before providing access to live capital. This involves trading on a demo account and meeting specific performance metrics like profit targets, drawdown limits, and risk management rules. If the trader successfully passes this phase, they are then given access to a live account with the firm's capital.
🔸 Profit Sharing
Once a trader is funded, they enter into a profit-sharing agreement with the firm. Typically, the trader receives a percentage of the profits, often around 70-90%, while the firm keeps the rest as compensation for providing the capital and infrastructure. For example, if a trader makes $10,000 in profits and their profit split is 80/20, they would keep $8,000 while the firm takes $2,000.
🔸 Risk Management
Prop firms are very strict about risk management because they are providing their own capital. They impose limits on the maximum drawdown (the amount a trader can lose), daily loss limits, and leverage. If these rules are violated, traders risk losing their funded status.
🔸 Advantages for Traders
Low Financial Risk: Traders do not need to risk their own capital, reducing personal financial exposure.
No Pressure to Invest Large Sums: With access to firm capital, traders don’t need to save up large amounts to trade at higher levels.
Support and Resources: Many prop firms provide educational resources, trading platforms, and tools to help their traders succeed.
🔸Types of Prop Firms
Prop firms can generally be categorized into two types:
🔸Traditional Prop Firms: These firms often require traders to work in-office and provide access to a wide range of markets beyond Forex, including stocks, commodities, and derivatives. Online Prop Firms: The more popular model today, these firms operate remotely, allowing traders from around the world to participate.
🔸 Fees
Most prop firms charge traders an initial fee to cover the evaluation process. This fee can range from a few hundred to a couple of thousand dollars, depending on the account size. In many cases, this fee is refundable if the trader successfully completes the evaluation.
🔸 Challenges
Strict Rules: If traders fail to adhere to the firm's rules (such as daily loss limits or maximum drawdown), they can lose their funded account.
Pressure to Perform: Trading with someone else’s capital can create pressure, which can affect trading decisions and lead to mistakes if not handled well.
🔸Bot Algo Trading in Forex
Algorithmic trading (algo trading) involves using pre-programmed instructions (algorithms) that can automatically execute trades in the Forex market based on specific conditions. These conditions can be price, volume, time, or other market indicators. Algo trading has become increasingly popular in the Forex market due to its ability to:
▪️Execute trades at high speed without the need for human intervention.
▪️Remove emotional biases, which can often lead to poor decision-making in trading.
▪️Test and optimize strategies through backtesting on historical data to ensure effectiveness.
▪️Implement complex strategies that would be difficult for a human to execute manually.
🔸what is a Bot Algo Expert?
A bot algo expert is typically a professional who specializes in developing and optimizing trading algorithms (bots) for Forex markets. They possess skills in coding, often using languages like Python, MQL4/5 (MetaQuotes Language), and other programming languages tailored to financial markets.
🔸The expert focuses on building bots that can:
▪️Identify trading signals based on technical indicators (like moving averages, RSI, Bollinger Bands).
▪️Automatically execute trades when certain criteria are met (such as entering or exiting positions).
▪️Manage risk by setting stop-loss and take-profit orders to minimize potential losses.
▪️Optimize performance by regularly updating the algorithm based on market conditions.
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Replace a 100 000 USD salary with income from trading🔸 Develop a Strong Foundation in Forex Trading
Before considering Forex as a full-time source of income, it’s essential to build a solid foundation in trading.
▪️Learn the Basics: Understand Forex fundamentals such as how currency pairs work, how to read charts, how the market operates, and how global economic events affect price movements.
▪️Master Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Study technical analysis (price action, indicators, chart patterns) and fundamental analysis (macroeconomic data, interest rates, geopolitical events). This allows you to make informed trading decisions.
▪️Study Risk Management: Managing risk is crucial to avoid catastrophic losses. Learn how to calculate position sizes, set stop-losses, and limit leverage. Most professional traders risk no more than 1-2% of their capital per trade.
▪️Backtest and Paper Trade: Test your trading strategies on historical data and in demo accounts to ensure they are profitable over time. This will help you refine your approach without risking real money.
🔸 Create and Test a Trading Strategy
A successful trading career requires a well-defined trading strategy. This is critical for consistency and profitability.
▪️Define Your Trading Style: Determine whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or position trader, based on your risk tolerance, time availability, and financial goals.
▪️Build a Strategy Based on Time Frames and Setups: Whether you focus on scalping, trend trading, or breakout strategies, you need a strategy that works for your trading style. Be sure to incorporate indicators (moving averages, Fibonacci retracement, RSI) and a risk-reward ratio.
▪️Test the Strategy: Test your strategy on demo accounts or paper trade until you have confidence in its profitability over the long run. A good strategy should consistently deliver positive results over several months and market conditions.
🔸 Accumulate Enough Capital
Forex trading requires sufficient capital to replace a salary and generate consistent income.
▪️Set Realistic Capital Requirements: The amount of capital you need will depend on how much monthly income you need and how much risk you are willing to take. Generally, to replace a full-time salary with Forex income, you will need significant capital (likely in the range of $50,000–$100,000 or more). This amount allows you to generate enough returns without taking excessive risks.
▪️Calculate Your Required Return on Investment (ROI): Let’s say you need $3,000 per month to replace your salary. If you have a $100,000 account, you would need a 3% return per month. If your account is smaller (e.g., $10,000), you would need a much higher (and riskier) 30% return, which is unrealistic in the long run.
▪️Use Leverage Cautiously: Leverage can magnify both profits and losses. While Forex brokers often offer high leverage (e.g., 50:1, 100:1), it’s essential to use leverage cautiously, as it can lead to significant losses if a trade goes against you.
HelenP. I Euro can break trend line and then continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price some days ago rebounded from the resistance zone, which coincided with resistance 1 and started to grow. In a short time, EUR rose to resistance 2, which coincided with one more resistance zone (1.1170 - 1.1140), and even rose a little higher, but soon turned around and declined below. Next, the price some time traded below resistance 2, after which it later turned around and rose back to the resistance zone (1.1170 - 1.1140). Price some time traded in this area, until it reached the trend line, after which price started to decline. In a short time, the EUR broke the resistance level (1.1140) and continued to decline near the trend line. Later price reached the resistance zone (1.0925 - 1.0900) and soon broke resistance 1, after which made a retest and then continued to move down. At the moment price trying to break the trend line, and I expect that EURUSD will break this line, reach the resistance level, and then continue to fall to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 1.075 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside rising channel, where it soon broke 2-nd ($1.1090) resistance level.
After this movement, price some time traded between resistance line of channel and with resistance area.
And last time it bounced from resistance line and broke $1.1090 level, thereby exiting from rising channel too.
Next, price continued to move down inside falling channel, where it broke 1-st ($1.0950) resistance level recently.
Now price continues to fall near resistance line of channel, and I think Euro can rise a little higher resistance line.
Then price will turn around and continue to fall to $1.0760 support line of falling channel.
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EUR/JPY: Tight range when other EUR-pairs are weak. HmmmDo you trade
A) Before the breakout for a better price OR
B) After the breakout for confirmation ?
We usually prefer B)
But it helps to think through some scenarios that could happen beforehand
Looking at EUR/JPY - see how it is trading in a tight range?
Well other EUR pairs like EUR/USD have been falling. That shows relative strength .
Or put another way - the yen is relatively weak.
The price could just break straight to the topside - or it could first try to break lower in a fakeout - before breaking to the topisde.
If the latter does happen - it will be one of those occations we could trade before the =breakout ;)
What do you think happens?
Maybe the trend turns lower - and neither scenario above is right - could easily be.
Eurozone CPI falls below 2%, and ECB cuts further by 25bp
The Eurozone CPI significantly undershot market expectations, prompting the ECB to implement additional rate cuts. In Sep, Eurozone CPI stood at 1.7%, falling short of the projected 1.8% and decelerating by 0.5% from the previous month's 2.2%. This marks the first instance in 40 months that Eurozone CPI has dipped below 2% since Jun 2021.
The ECB has implemented an additional 0.25% rate cut due to slowing economic growth and falling inflation. The ECB stated that the deflation process is proceeding smoothly and anticipates gradually easing labor cost pressures. ECB President Lagarde emphasized that future rate direction in December will be contingent on upcoming economic data.
EURUSD is still in a downtrend, falling to 1.0830. The gap between both EMAs widened, and the price broke the 1.0830 threshold, sending out a bearish signal. If EURUSD continues its downtrend within the descending channel and breaks the support at 1.0780, the price may fall further to 1.0670. Conversely, if EURUSD breaches both EMAs and the channel’s upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum to 1.0940.
EURUSD short term relief rebound is expected.EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Down on the (1h) time frame.
The price hit its bottom and is consolidating, being oversold on the RSI (1h).
This consolidation usually leads to a short term rebound to the 0.5 Fib and MA50 (1h).
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.08550 (the 0.5 Fib and potential contact with the MA50 (1h)).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) has formed the exact same sequence it did on October 10th. That was also a bottom that led to a 0.5 Fib/ MA50 (1d) test.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
EURCAD: Near the bottom of its Channel Down. Bullish.EURCAD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.446, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 21.257) as it is trading on the 3rd straight red 1D candle and is approaching the bottom of the 10 week Channel Down. The are more probabilities now to see a bullish reversal aimed at the top, so we turn bullish (TP = 1.51.300).
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EURUSD - Bearish Double TOPHello Traders !
The EURUSD failed to create a new higher high,
The price formed a double top pattern.
Currently, The neckline is broken🔥
______________
TARGET: 1.08180🎯
Euro can reach resistance line of channel and then continue fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to downward channel, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline. In a short time price reached the 1.1030 level and some time traded inside the seller zone, after which broke this level. Next, the price fell to the support line of the channel and then tried to grow, but later failed and fell to the current resistance level, which is located inside the resistance area. Euro some time traded near this area and later continued to decline, thereby breaking the 1.0900 level. Then the price some time traded below this level and not long time ago continued to move down. Now EUR fell more and continues to decline inside the downward channel, so, I think that the price can rise to the resistance line of the channel and then rebound. After this, the price can continue to decline to support line of the channel, for this case, I set my TP at 1.0750 points, which coincides with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
