HelenP. I Euro will break support level and continue to decline Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago declined to the trend line and then at once rebounded up. Then the price reached the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and even made a fake breakout, after which declined below. Next, the price broke this level, made a retest, and then continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Euro entered to resistance zone, but soon turned around and dropped to the trend line, making a fake breakout of the 1.1150 level. Some time later price rebounded from the trend line and quickly backed up to the resistance zone, breaking the 1.1150 level one more time. Euro some time traded near this level and a few moments ago dropped to almost the support level, thereby breaking the resistance level with trend line. For this case, I expect that the Euro will fall to the support level, then make a small move up, after which break this level and continue to move down. Or, it can break the support level at once and continue to decline, without movement up. That's why I set my goal at 1.0800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro
Euro can exit from range and continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to wedge and at once started to decline to the support line from the resistance line. After this, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge and then at once made a correction movement. Next, EUR continued to move up and soon reached the 1.1030 support level, but at once made a correction to the support line of the wedge and then rebounded up, breaking this level. After this, in a short time, the price rose to the seller zone, where it turned around and started to decline. Euro exited from the wedge and started to trades inside range, where it fell to the buyer zone. Soon, the price turned around and rose to the 1.1180 resistance level, which coincided with the top part of the range, making a fake breakout of the 1.1030 level. Also then, the EUR tried to break the resistance level, but failed and a not long time ago dropped to the support level. Just now, the price trades very close to this level inside range. For this reason, I think the price can break the support level, thereby exiting from the range and continuing to move down. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0920 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro H4 | Falling to swing-low supportThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1005 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Stop loss is at 1.0985 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Take profit is at 1.1071 which is an overlap resistance.
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EUR/USD Decline, USD Gains Momentum as Strong Job DataThe US labor market continues to exhibit strength, bolstering the US dollar as recent data beats expectations. The US JOLTS Job Openings report, released on Tuesday, showed a surprising increase of 329K job openings, rising from a revised 7.711 million in July to 8.040 million in August. This unexpected surge reinforces the resilience of the US economy, providing near-term support to the US dollar. Additionally, today's ADP private sector survey reported that 143K jobs were added in September, exceeding the 120K forecast, while August's reading was revised upward from 99K to 103K.
These positive labor market signals have intensified the dollar's bullish momentum, particularly against the euro. As we previously forecasted for EUR/USD, the price rejected our key Supply area and has already reached the first take-profit target. With the pair edging closer to our second target, the US dollar's strength looks set to drive EUR/USD lower, with the next potential support sitting at the 1.09500 area.
Strong US Labor Data Drives Dollar Higher
The JOLTS and ADP reports reflect the robustness of the US labor market, providing the Federal Reserve with more room to maintain higher interest rates. With job openings and private sector employment both outperforming expectations, market sentiment is increasingly favoring the US dollar as investors anticipate the Fed may continue its hawkish stance.
The surge in job openings suggests that demand for labor remains high, which could keep inflationary pressures elevated and justify further rate hikes or prolonged tight monetary policy. Likewise, the ADP data highlights sustained private-sector job growth, reinforcing the overall strength of the labor market and lending further support to the greenback.
EUR/USD Under Pressure: Aiming for 1.09500?
On the technical front, EUR/USD remains under pressure after rejecting the Supply area as anticipated in our earlier forecast. The pair has already hit the first take-profit level, and further downside appears likely if today's US Unemployment Claims report comes in better than expected. A less severe unemployment figure compared to the forecast would strengthen the dollar further, pushing EUR/USD toward the 1.09500 support zone.
The pair has been trending lower due to a combination of strong US economic data and a weaker euro, as the European Central Bank (ECB) takes a more cautious approach to monetary policy. This divergence between the Fed and the ECB has weighed heavily on the euro, and with US data continuing to outperform, the trend could persist in the near term.
Key Data to Watch: US Unemployment Claims
Today, the market will focus on the release of US Unemployment Claims data, which could further influence the direction of EUR/USD. Should the report come in better than forecast, indicating a continued decline in unemployment, the dollar would likely strengthen further, pushing the pair closer to the 1.09500 mark.
In conclusion, the combination of strong US labor data and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve is fueling dollar strength, pressuring EUR/USD lower. If today's unemployment claims report aligns with the recent positive trend in US employment, a continuation of the bearish momentum could drive the pair to our next target. Traders should watch the unemployment claims release for further confirmation of this downward move.
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EURUSD: Dollar going stronger than EuroThe orange circle, shows the exact moment where, at the same time, ICEUS:DX1! crossed over CME:6E1! and the 200-sma was in the middle of this crossover.
The Dollar futures are gaining stregth while on the other hand, Euro futures are falling in price.
After the crossover, a strong bearish candle cross the support, the price remain in congestion with yesterday price closing at 1.10533.
Today the price is already below a support during early september and a resistance in the week after.
Indicators: Besides the 200sma. The RSI is projecting to go overbought or at least close, while DMI- is increasing the direction and ADX is confirming the trend strength.
EURO - Price can rise a little and then bounce down to $1.1010Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price bounced from mirror line and made upward impulse, thereby breaking $1.1010 level.
Then price started to trades inside flat, where it at once rose to resistance level, which coincided with top part of flat.
After this, EUR turned around and in a short time fell to mirror line and then bounced up again.
Later price reached $1.1200 level again and some time traded near, after which turned around and started to fall.
Euro fell to mirror line and recently broke it, so, now it trades very close to this line inside flat.
I think that price can make a move up, higher mirror line, and then continue to decline to $1.1010 level.
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DAX: Anticipating a Healthy Retracement Amid Weak Eurozone DataThe DAX is showing signs of losing momentum after three consecutive bullish days, despite making new highs. Technically, it’s time for a healthy retracement towards the 19,100 zone to provide a solid base for continued bullish action. I plan to take advantage of the pullback, profiting from the downside move. If the price spikes and hits the stop loss, I will reenter the trade once the setup confirms itself again.
Technical Analysis:
• The 4H chart suggests that the market is struggling to maintain bullish momentum after the recent highs.
• A retracement towards 19,200 is expected, aligning with key support and Fibonacci levels, which would signal a healthier continuation of the uptrend.
• The price action appears to be in need of consolidation before further bullish progression.
Fundamental Analysis:
On the fundamental side, the Eurozone economy continues to struggle, as reflected in the recent PMI data. Manufacturing PMI figures across Europe are underwhelming, with most of the key economies showing contraction or slower growth:
• Spanish PMI (53.0) exceeded expectations, but other economies, such as Italy (48.3) and France (44.6), show weaker performance.
• The overall sentiment in the Eurozone remains fragile, which may further support the case for a pullback in the DAX index before any sustained bullish moves.
Given the technical and fundamental outlook, I’m positioning for a retracement in the DAX, expecting a drop to 19,100. If the trade does not play out and spikes toward my stop loss, I’ll be prepared to reenter once conditions align again. It’s essential to stay patient and trust the setup.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
EUR/USD Analysis – Potential Rejection at Key ResistanceOn the EUR/USD chart, the price is currently not near the resistance level, but if it rises back to this zone, we could see a potential rejection, offering a good shorting opportunity. This resistance has acted as a strong barrier in the past, and with the right setup, it could provide a favorable risk-to-reward trade. Keep an eye on the price movement as it approaches this level and watch for confirmation signals before entering the trade.
EURUSD H4 - Short SignalEURUSD H4
We would be looking for something similar to this for the likes of EURUSD and US30, US100 if the opportunity is to present, we have seen and witnessed the selling pressure, now we need some market correction to offer the entry to the next wave of selling pressure.
That being said, we still want to stack confluences, our indicated sell zone now sits at 1.11 price. A whole number, area of resistance and supply. Lets see what today brings!
EURUSD: Bearish reversal if the 1D MA50 breaks.EURUSD is on the lower levels of neutrality on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 46.772, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.817) as it reversed aggressively on the 1.12100 R1 level, forming what is so far a DT (double top) on a 1month 1D RSI bearish divergence. The same divergence was formed on the December 28th 2024 HH and it caused a decline to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. The trigger point to sell is always the 1D MA50. Consequently, we will turn bearish if it is crossed, aiming at the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.08350).
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Euro can reach seller zone and then rebound downHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago started to decline from the resistance level inside the downward channel. In channel, the price rebounded from the resistance line of the channel and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and support line of the channel. Then the price made a fake breakout of 1.1050 level and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the downward channel and then turned around and started to decline inside the wedge. EUR dropped to the support line of the wedge, breaking the support level, but soon it started to grow and rose back and broke this level again. Then price continued to grow in a wedge, and later reached the resistance line, after which made a correction below. EUR fell to the support line of the wedge and then in a short time rose to the resistance line of the wedge, but soon turned around and declined back. A not long time ago price repeated movement up from the support line and at the moment it trades very close to the resistance level. So, I think that the price can rise to the seller zone and then it turn around and fall to support line of the wedge. That's why I set my TP at 1.1155 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can break resistance level and then exit of pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to pennant, where it at once declined to support line and made upward impulse.
Price broke $1.1080 level and then made a retest and then continued to move up, but later made correction.
Next, EUR made upward impulse to $1.1180 level but then turned around and declined to support line of pennant.
Later it made upward impulse to resistance line of pennant but soon fell below $1.1180 resistance level.
But a not long time ago it rose to resistance line of pennant again and recently fell back and now it is trying to rise.
In my mind, EUR can little decline and then bounce up to $1.1225, breaking resistance level and exiting from pennant.
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EURUSD H4 - Short setupEURUSD H4
Our sell zone here on EURUSD is playing out well 1.12 seems to be the handle which is holding as effective resistance. 3 attempts to break higher, 3 time resistance has held and see a dump of around 60-70 points, with just 10-15 points of movement around the 1.12 stoploss area. This 60-70 point range is certainly an area and range we can follow.
Ultimately, out target is 1.10, but we may see price bounce from current price like we have on the last few occassions.
Will the ECB's dovish stance put downward pressure on the euro?
EURUSD has remained range-bound between 1.1100~1.1215 for the week amidst escalating debates on whether the ECB will implement further rate cuts. Germany's September CPI has dropped to 1.6% YoY, down from the previous month's 1.9%. Market expectations indicate that the eurozone's CPI will decrease to 1.9% in September from 2.2%, marking the first time it has fallen below 2% since July 2021. A sustained decline in eurozone CPI could prompt the ECB to lower interest rates, exerting additional downward pressure on the euro.
Since last week, EURUSD has consolidated in the 1.1110-1.1215 range. After breaking EMAs, the price awaits an additional catalyst for a bounce back. If EURUSD recovers above EMA21 and breaches 1.1215, the price could surge to 1.1270, the highest since Jul 2023. Conversely, if EURUSD breaks the support at 1.1110, the price could fall further to 1.1050.
EURGBP Short - Do You Even Check Fundamentals?I'd like to see at least one wick of a major past price point on the htf which will reset the longs before any potential up movement. In general, fundamental wise, I literally have no idea why people long EURGBP while its obvious that EUR will further decrease its rates while GBP stays at it.
EURAUD Sell signalThe EURAUD pair gave us an excellent but signal last time (July 15, see chart below) as the price rallied straight after it, easily hitting our 1.64500 Target:
The pair is already on the new Bearish Leg of the 1-year Channel Down and until the 1D RSI starts forming Higher Lows and waves a Bullish Divergence (like the two previous bottoms), we will remain bearish, targeting 1.59500 (bottom).
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HelenP. I Euro can rise higher than resistance level, breaks itHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some days ago price declined to the trend line, but soon it turned around and started to grow. It quickly rose to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and broke it. After this, EUR rose a little and then made a correction to the support zone, after which continued to move up to 1.1145 points, and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the 1.1080 support level and at once rebounded up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and some time traded near. After this movement, EUR turned around and dropped to the trend line, after which quickly backed up. Also, the price broke the 1.1180 level but soon fell below, making a fake breakout. Price tried to break the resistance level again, but failed and recently dropped to the trend line. Now, EURUSD rising to a resistance level again, for this reason, I expect that the price can reach this level and then make a small correction movement. After this, Euro will break the resistance level and continue to move up, that's why i set my goal at 1.1220 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURUSD Bullish continuation of the Channel Up.The EURUSD pair is defying the Double Top selling pressure of the 1.12100 Resistance and it appears that there are high probabilities of extending the Bullish Leg of the June's Channel Up.
With the support of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that contained the September 11 pull-back, the trend may be targeting the pattern's top for a new Higher High. It appears that so far there is high symmetry between the July - August 2024 Leg and October - November 2023 trend (both +4.99% rises), so the current uptrend may be of around +3.85%, similar to the one of December 2023.
As a result, with the 1D MACD also on a Bullish Cross, we are targeting 1.13500 for a Higher High.
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Euro can reach resistance level and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price declined to 1.0775 points, after which turned around and made a strong impulse up to the 1.1000 support level, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price rebounded from this level and made a small correction movement, and then continued to move up next. Soon, the price broke the 1.1000 level and made a retest, after which rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Next, EUR turned around and started to decline to support the level inside a triangle. And when it reached this level, which coincided with the support line of the triangle, the price turned around and rebounded. A short time later Euro reached the 1.1200 resistance level and some time traded near this level and even tried to break it, but failed and dropped below. So, in my opinion, the price can reach the resistance level again and then start to decline to support line of the triangle. After the price reaches this line, it can break it, thereby exiting from the triangle pattern and continuing to move down. For this case, I set my TP at 1.1060 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR/USD Trendline BreakoutIf EUR/USD breaks below this trendline, it could lead to a significant bearish move.
🎯 First Target: Upon the breakout, the first target will be the nearest support level.
🎯 Second Target: If the momentum continues, we could see further decline toward the next major support.
Keep an eye on the volume and price action for confirmation.