Eurjpy Potential Sell setup 400pipsSo the view of this downside move is based on USDJPY analysis which we talked about how the interest rate differential, Similar pattern behavior of USDJPY as the government sell bonds to buy back their currency yen!! so we are looking at the same theory at play
This is the video I talked about USDJPY similar pattern
So we could see price retrace to 61.8% fib or in between 50%-61.8% so have a eye on that yellow zone for confirmation of sell setup to downside
Risk management is very good!! with decent ROI
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Euro
Eur/jpy Wonderful trade 150pips Closed!!Based on what i was looking on usdjpy , I saw all the yen pair retracing as we reference UJ as a liquidity pair that set the direction of other pairs of yen. so we got into yen as explained on the weekend. hope everyone enjoyed the breakdown!!
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Eurusd rejecting key levelsBased on the weekend analysis on eurusd we talked about the dollar strengthening,and now we see multiple rejection on H4 & H1 Timeframe (sort of triple top formation)
So we have nice confluence with trendline plus the break of the neckline of triple top. so we still need price to be below the daily head and shoulder pattern. around 1.07400 level.
This was the video explanation, please watch it to get clear understanding
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EUR/USD Ready to short!(5/7/2024)In our last analysis, EUR/USD FX:EURUSD
Continued the mini bullish move(retracement) and right now the price is ranging.
We believe the price has finished the correction phase and is ready to start a new bearish move.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.
Euro can make small move up, turn around and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago started to trades inside the downward channel, where it at once rebounded from the support line and then started to decline. In a short time price fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, some time traded near and then broke the 1.0870 level and continued to decline. Later price fell to the support line of the channel and then made an impulse up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the channel and some time trading near the 1.0870 level. After this, the Euro entered to seller zone, where it turned around and started to trades in a triangle. In this pattern, the price fell to the support line from the resistance line, breaking the 1.0655 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, but in a short time later, the EUR broke this level again and continued to grow. Soon, the price reached a resistance line and broke it, exiting from the triangle pattern, and at the moment, the Euro continues to rise. I think that the price can rise a little and then the Euro will decline to support line, therefore I set my target at 1.0700 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Channel Top and Fib Resistance. Time to turn bearish.The EURUSD pair gave us an excellent pull-back buy entry last week (April 30, see chart below) and has almost reached our 1.08300 Target, which was the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level:
We now turn bearish as not only is the price near the 0.618 Fib but also hit on Friday and gor rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line)/ 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) cluster. Above all, we are near the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2024 Channel Down.
The last Lower Low was priced just above the 1.236 Fib extension, which on the current Leg happens to be exactly on the 1.05175 Support. As a result our new Target for the medium-term is 1.05350 (just above the 1.236 Fib ext).
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Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.0809 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.0895 which is a level that sits above the swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.0740 which is a pullback support.
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Preparing for FOMC Impact on EUR/USD: Insights and AnalysisAs we approach the FOMC meeting later today, there is anticipation of a potential bullish movement of the EUR against the USD, accompanied by a retest of the 50% Fibonacci level on the short timeframe and an uptick in value. Indicators suggest oversold conditions.
Regarding the Federal Reserve, it is expected to maintain a hawkish stance, acknowledging persistent inflation and robust economic indicators. Despite not updating its macroeconomic projections until June, the Fed is likely to highlight recent deteriorations in the inflation outlook.
Chair Powell's press conference will be pivotal, with the potential to adjust earlier guidance on easing, indicating a more cautious approach to monetary policy adjustments. Market expectations have shifted, significantly reducing the likelihood of rate cuts in the near future and postponing the start of the easing cycle to September 2024.
We anticipate an increase in the EUR value today, with a cautious approach to setting the stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels.
Eur/jpyI will look all the yen pair based on my analysis on usdjpy.
As USD/JPY has higher interest differential compared to eur/jpy ,so it would follow similar pattern.
this is the usd/jpy analysis
So I think there is an opportunity to get into the countertrend setup to the level of resistance before we analyze for short!!
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EURUSD - Long Term and Short Term Top Down AnalysisHey guys!
Here is a top down analysis on the EURUSD pair. I see a great deal of bullishness currently, but i am convinced this bullishness is to take prices into the 4 hour zone sitting a few pips above the 1 hour liquidity target.
If that happens, I will expect to see prices begin to u turn bearish and head in the direction of the 4 hour and daily liquidity for a start, and eventually go all the way down to the monthly and weekly liquidity point.
On the whole, the market is sort bullish, up through the current 1 hour liquidity target and through to the 4 hour zone, from where we will expect to see the bears take over the market.
This is the most likely perspective on direction with regards to market and price movement on this pair.
Could strong NFPs add downward pressure?The Euro (EUR/USD) is trading clsoe to the pivot and could potentially stall around this region before reversing to drop towards the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0740
1st Support: 1.0655
1st Resistance: 1.0776
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EURUSD: Potential Retracement 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD may retrace from a wide intraday horizontal resistance cluster.
I already see some sings of weakness of sellers: double top formation on an hourly time frame
and multiple rejections.
I think that the pair may reach 1.0705 level today.
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Eur/Usd Ready to massive sell 155 pips!!Based on previous post i talked about how eurusd has broken. the head and shoulder neckline and price is now retresting the neckline has resistance, still the interest rate is neutral which mean dollar will gain liquidity cause of the interest rate differential so we see price respecting the 31.8% fib level which is also in confluence with the POC level of activity volume
NOTE; The only thing you have to worry about is NFP news later tomorrow and some news today. make sure you put stop loss and manage your risk. there is small probably it can do a fake out!
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After rebinding from resistance level, Euro can continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago started to move up inside an upward channel, where it at once rebounded from the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and made a downward movement. Euro a little more time traded between the 1.0650 level and later finally broke it and in a short time rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and even rose to the resistance line of the channel. But then, the EUR turned around and made a correction movement, breaking 1.0730 again, after which the price rose to this level and then made a downward impulse to the support level, thereby exiting from the upward channel. But then the price at once rebounded from the 1.0650 level and made impulse up to the resistance level, some time traded near and a few moments ago started to decline. In my opinion, the Euro can continue to decline to the 1.0650 support level. So, that's why my target is this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD - BEARISH SCENARIO 📉
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
The Price Broke The Support Level (1.07431 - 1.06950) .
At The Moment, The Price Has Pulled Back to This Key Level Which Has Become The resistance Level.
So, Let's Expect The Bearish Scenario:
If The Market Breaks and Closes Below The Higher Low (1.06780 - 1.07245).
We Will See a Bearish Move📉
TARGET: 1.05755🎯
EURUSD Short-term Bull Flag targeting top of Channel Down.EURUSD held the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support both today and on Friday and is rebounding. This is a short-term Bull Flag within the 4-month Channel Down pattern that is targeting its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
As per the previous Bullish Leg of the Channel, we are targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.08300.
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EUR/CAD: Leveraging Range-Bound Trading OpportunitiesThe EUR/CAD pair, since January 1st, 2023, has been traversing within a defined range, characterized by notable reversals between support and resistance levels. Recent market movements have unveiled a potential reversal pattern, signaling opportunities for astute traders.
Initiating from its recent peak at 1.5050, EUR/CAD has embarked on a new trajectory, marked by a reversal pattern that warrants close attention. Notably, during Friday's trading session, the price encountered resistance, failing to surpass the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its preceding lower low. This development underscores the significance of technical analysis in discerning potential market movements.
Moreover, seasonal trends play a pivotal role in shaping price dynamics, and EUR/CAD is no exception. Historical data indicates a seasonal pattern where prices tend to decline until October. Armed with this insight, traders can strategically position themselves to capitalize on anticipated price movements.
At our trading desk, we are closely monitoring these developments, poised to seize opportunities presented by the current market configuration. Leveraging our analysis, we are inclined to open a short position, targeting the 1.4200 level. However, it's crucial to acknowledge the possibility of further downward movement, potentially breaching the support level of the established range area.
EURAUD:🔴Bearish scenario🔴
Well, as you can see, the price purged the weekly external range liquidity, had a bearish reaction, and shifted the market structure, most likely we are on the sell side of the curve now.
Recently the price took the sell side liquidity which can cause the price to move higher to collect the buy side liquidity and then drop to draw on liquidity.
The price can move lower from here to 4-hour FVG and collect the first sell-side liquidity. If the price goes higher we can sell above buy-side liquidity, by lower time frame confirmation.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️22/04/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Euro can rebound up to seller zone, breaking resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago rose a little and then made a strong downward impulse to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, breaking the 1.0740 resistance level. After this movement, the EUR turned around and started to rise inside the upward channel, where it firstly a little rose and then declined to the buyer zone. Price some time traded in this area and soon exited from it, making a fake breakout of 1.0625 level and then rose almost to the resistance line of the channel. But soon it turned around and declined to support line of the channel, after which rebounded up, making a fake breakout of the support level one more time. After this movement, the Euro in a short time rose to a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and not a long time ago rebounded and started to decline. At the moment, I think that the EUR can almost decline to the support line of the channel and then rebound up to the seller zone, breaking the resistance level. So, that's why I set my target at the 1.0760 level, which is located in the seller zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀