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EURNZD H1 | Potential bearish breakoutEUR/NZD could fall towards a pullback support and potentially break through this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.76656 which is a potential breakout level. Stop loss is at 1.77160 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.75985 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci projection level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EUR/USD:Analyzing Impact of FOMC Decision and Powell's RemarksEUR/USD: Analyzing the Impact of FOMC Decision and Powell's Remarks The EUR/USD experienced a notable reversal following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) release, as Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks influenced market sentiment. This article delves into the aftermath of the FOMC decision, the Eurozone's recent inflation data, and the upcoming economic indicators influencing the EUR/USD outlook. FOMC Decision and Powell's Remarks: The FOMC opted to keep interest rates unchanged, aligning with widespread expectations. Powell's press conference introduced a cautious tone, emphasizing the need for "greater confidence" in inflation reaching the 2% target before considering rate cuts. While a March rate cut is not the base case, Powell's comments triggered increased demand for the US Dollar and impacted Wall Street. EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Despite the initial bearish impulse, the EUR/USD found support around the 1.08000 level. The subsequent bullish candle indicates an attempt to recover lost ground. A long-term bullish forecast is maintained on the H4 timeframe, emphasizing the potential resilience of the Euro against the US Dollar. Eurozone Inflation Data: The Eurozone's preliminary estimate of the January Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) showed an annual rise of 2.8%, in line with expectations. The core annualized reading, although slightly easing to 3.3%, remained above the anticipated 3.2%. This data provides insights into the inflationary pressures within the Eurozone. US Economic Indicators: In the United States, the January Challenger Job Cuts revealed a significant increase, with employers announcing 82,307 cuts compared to December's 34,817. Later releases, including Initial Jobless Claims, Q4 Unit Labor Costs and Nonfarm Productivity, and the January ISM Manufacturing PMI, will be closely watched for their impact on the labor market and overall economic health. Upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Report: As employment-related figures take center stage, the market awaits Friday's NFP report. These indicators contribute to the broader understanding of the US labor market and could influence the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair. Conclusion: The EUR/USD's response to the FOMC decision and Powell's comments reflects the intricate dynamics between major central bank policies. With a focus on upcoming economic indicators, including the critical NFP report, traders will navigate evolving market conditions and potential shifts in the currency pair's trajectory.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
Raising EURUSD Profit Target to $1.114 due to a Bullish CypherDue to the apparent formation of a Bullish Cypher on the Daily, combined with the Bullish Push as confirmation on the RSI, and the strong push push in price action above the 200-day SMA, I will be raising my profit target for the EURUSD to the 100% retrace up at $1.114 as the 100% retrace would be the standard target for a Cypher and the TLT has outperformed which is usually a signal for psoitive price action in the EURUSD.
Long
by RizeSenpai
HelenP. I Euro can make fake breakout and then continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price rebounded from resistance 2, which coincided with the resistance zone, and rose until to 1.1135 points, after which the EUR turned around and started to decline. Soon, the price started to decline inside the downward channel, where it in a short time broke resistance 2 and declined to support line of the channel. Later price bounced from this line and rose back to resistance 2, and tried to break it, but failed and rebound down from the resistance level, which coincided with resistance and trend lines. Euro declined to resistance 1, which coincided with the support zone with the support line of the channel, after which it rebounded and rose to the trend line. But later price continued to fall and in a short time declined to the support zone, breaking resistance 1. At the moment, the EUR trying to break this level again, so I expect that the price, after the breakout of resistance 1, will rise a little and then continue to decline in the channel to support line, making a fake breakout. For this reason, I set up my target at the 1.0750 level, which coincided with the support line of the channel. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
1
EURO - Price can break resistance level and bounce up to $1.0925Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price declined from resistance line to support line and then started to move up to $1.1015 level. In a short time, EUR rose to $1.1015 resistance level, which coincided with resistance area and soon broke it. After this, price rose to resistance line and then made downward impulse lower than $1.1015 level, breaking it. Next, Euro continued to decline in falling channel, where price first rose to resistance line and then bounced down. Price declined to $1.0845 level, and some time later EUR broke it and fell to support line of channel. But recently it started to rise and I think Euro can break $1.0845 level, make retest, and then bounce up to $1.0925 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
10
EURUSD Will the Fed's unchanged rate pressure the pair more?The EURUSD pair is extending its downtrend within the 1-month Channel Down and basically this is a quick update to our most recent analysis (January 19, see chart below) on the 1D time-frame: Following the Fed Rate Decision yesterday, which left it unchanged at 5.50% and made clear they are in no rush to cut rates, we think it would be helpful to look at the 4H time-frame again and identify additional trade opportunities. Based on the comparison with the previous Bearish Leg (dotted Channel Down, July - September 2023) of the long-term Channel Down (blue), yesterday's rejection on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) puts the price action on a similar level as August 22 2023. This suggests that after this rejection is completed, we will get one final rebound that shouldn't break the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and which should be the final sell opportunity before testing the 1W MA200 (yellow trend-line) and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Perhaps the ideal signal to enter this additional medium-term sell, would be when the 4H RSI turns overbought again at 70.00, similar to the August 30 (Lower) High. As you can see on the chart, our sell trading plan has Target 1 at 1.07500 and Target 2 at 1.06500 (1W MA200 contact). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
3
Euro can make small movement up and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few days ago made an upward impulse from the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone to the resistance line of the pennant. After this, the price rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline inside the pennant, where in a short time it fell to the support line, thereby breaking the 1.0925 resistance level. Then, the price tried to back up and rose to the resistance line, but the EUR didn't fixed and soon bounced down to the buyer zone, thereby breaking finally resistance level. After this movement, the price started to trades inside the range, where in a short time price rose to the resistance level, and later turned around and declined lower support level, but recently it backed up to the range, making a fake breakout. At the moment, I think that the Euro can make a small movement up and then start to decline to the support level, which coincides with the bottom part of the range. So, that's why I set my target at the 1.0810 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
1
Raising Bullish target on the EURUSD to the 78.6% RetraceLast week I put out this TLT trade setup that showcased a Falling Wedge with Bullish Divergence at the 0.382 retrace which targeted an upside move in the TLT that would recover at least 50% of the high: In the time since this setup first formed the TLT has nearly reached that minimum target. In addition to the TLT, I expected the EURUSD to follow a similar path, however, the EURO has remained mostly flat and has not moved up with the TLT which is kind of unusual. It is possible that the EURUSD pair is waiting for the FOMC but in the meantime the Bullish patterns on the EURUSD have gone from just being an intraday pattern to now being a daily pattern, with the Daily candle now printing a Bullish Hammer above the 200-day SMA while also slightly diverging on the RSI. Due to this improvement on the higher timeframe, I have decided to raise the Bullish price target to the 0.786 retrace, aligning with $1.107 as it catches up with the falling US Bond Yields.
Long
by RizeSenpai
EUR/USD: Strategic Insights - Bullish Patterns - FOMCThe EUR/USD pair has embarked on the final day of January with a notable bullish impulse, setting the stage for potential market shifts during the London session. Wednesday's Asian session witnessed another test of the crucial 1.08000 support level, marking a strategic entry point. The price action suggests the emergence of a Double Bottom setup, with indicators such as a stochastic RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart within a bearish channel and a recent rebound off a daily dynamic trendline adding to the intrigue. On the 1-hour timeframe chart, the Euro (EUR) has initiated a bullish move from the 61.8% Fibonacci area. This development potentially serves as a confirmation pattern aligning with our earlier double bottom thesis observed on the 4-hour timeframe. Quasimodo Bullish Pattern ( Reversal ) However, as the market dynamics unfold, various factors are contributing to the pair's movements. The JOLTS report released on Tuesday indicated an unexpected increase in US job openings to 9.02 million in December. This unforeseen strength in the labor market may influence the Federal Reserve (Fed) to refrain from initiating interest rate cuts in the first quarter, lending support to the resilient US Dollar (USD). Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about China's economic challenges are additional elements boosting the safe-haven appeal of the USD and exerting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Despite the prevailing headwinds, the recent dip in US Treasury bond yields might temper the enthusiasm of USD bulls, particularly with the highly-anticipated FOMC monetary policy decision looming on the horizon. Concurrently, uncertainty surrounding the European Central Bank's (ECB) potential interest rate adjustments could act as a tailwind for the Euro (EUR). This complex interplay of factors might curtail further depreciation of the EUR/USD pair, aligning with our optimistic outlook and anticipation of a bullish position on the Euro. As we navigate the month-end market swings, traders are advised to remain vigilant, considering both global economic indicators and geopolitical events that could influence the currency pair's trajectory. The balance of these factors will likely shape the EUR/USD landscape in the coming sessions, making strategic positioning and risk management crucial for traders seeking opportunities in this dynamic forex market. Our Idea: Long positions above 1.06700 with entry at 1.08000 and targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EURGBP H4 | Overhead resistanceEUR/GBP is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.85450 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 0.85800 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 0.85049 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EUR/USD:A Resilient Recovery Amidst Economic Data and Market...EUR/USD:A Resilient Recovery Amidst Economic Data and Market Sentiment Shifts The EUR/USD pair demonstrated a commendable recovery, reclaiming lost ground on Monday as an improved market sentiment put pressure on the US Dollar. This resurgence was marked by a significant rejection at the 1.08000 level, coinciding with the 78.6% and 88.60% Fibonacci levels, signaling a potential shift in the prevailing bearish trend. The Stochastic RSI on the H4 timeframe contributed to this optimistic outlook by displaying a divergence. Despite mixed European data, with Germany reporting a contraction in Q4 GDP, the overall Eurozone GDP surprised on the upside, posting a 0.1% increase from the previous year. Additionally, the Economic Sentiment Indicator for January met expectations at 96.2, while Consumer Confidence contracted to -16.1 during the same month. Attention in the market is now turning towards key US data releases, with January's Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings report taking center stage. These figures are particularly relevant in the lead-up to the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for the following Friday. Concurrently, market participants eagerly await the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision slated for Wednesday. As the EUR/USD pair appears to find a new bullish impulse within the confines of a bearish channel, traders are anticipating an increase in value. The short-term target for this potential bullish movement is set at 1.1000 in the coming days, pending the outcome of critical economic data releases and the Fed's policy decision. Our Idea: Long positions above 1.06700 with entry at 1.08000 and targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC AnticipationEUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC Anticipation EUR/USD experienced a decline on the last Monday of the month, closing near the psychological level of 1.08000. The downward pressure was influenced by remarks from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the looming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The breach of the dynamic trendline and a dip below the 61.8% Fibonacci level placed the price just beneath the 78.6%, within the range and approaching the 88.6%. Technical Indicators: Stochastic indicators signal oversold conditions, accompanied by a slight divergence. The potential policy shift hinted by the ECB has prompted a decline in the Euro, with market focus now shifting to the upcoming Fed decision. The recent strong economic growth and inflation in the US present a challenging decision for Powell and the Federal Reserve. Market Dynamics: Buyers are striving to maintain the exchange rate above the 1.0800 level in anticipation of Wednesday's FOMC decision. Despite a drop in US Treasury yields, USD bulls are not finding the push they need, resulting in the EUR/USD trading at 1.0809, down 0.39%. Outlook: The focus remains on buying opportunities for EUR/USD at a discounted exchange rate, anticipating a potential increase in value. Traders are advised to stay vigilant for market developments and the outcome of the FOMC decision, as it could significantly impact the direction of the currency pair. Our preference Long positions above 1.06700 with entry at 1.08000 and targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
2
Posible change off trend. Will we see a bearish movement?Eur/usd has been folowing a bullish trend channel. Last week it managed to break the channel and retested the channel multiple times. Priceaction confirmes a bearish flag pattern. Wich gives us more reasson a posible fall will come. level 1.0828 is currently support for eur/usd. We can either see a direct fall from 1.0883 or a small bullish pullback to 1.09237 and from here a fall. Posible bearish targets: 1.07904, 1,0753 Resistance: 1.0889, 1.0928, 1.09629 Support: 1.0827, 1.0789, 1.0757
Short
by ForexGoldIntraday
1
HelenP. I Euro will make impulse up from support area to $1.0885Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price started to trades in consolidation, where EUR declined firstly to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone with the bottom part. Then the price bounced from this level and rose to the trend line, which coincided with the top part of the consolidation and then started to fall. In a short time, the Euro declined to the support level, thereby exiting from consolidation and breaking the 1.0930 resistance level and later starting to trades near the 1.0850 level. After this, the price bounced from this level and rose to the resistance zone, but reaching this area, EUR at once turned around and made impulse down to the support zone, even lower. Later price made impulse up and rose to a resistance level, after which it in a short time fell back. But recently EUR rose to the trend line and at the moment it trades near the trend line. For my mind, Euro will decline to the support zone and then it make an impulse up to the 1.0885 level, thereby breaking the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
2
Rate-cut discussions are prematureThe ECB left its monetary policy unchanged, in line with expectations. The information available since the December meeting has largely confirmed the central bank’s assessment of the medium-term inflation outlook, leaving the Governing Council (GC) in a wait-and-see mode. ECB President Lagarde confirmed her Davos comments, hence indicating that she still expects the first rate cut to come in summer, but the market is not convinced, and dovish remarks here and there actually fueled meaningful rate-cut expectations already for the April meeting. While the ECB’s GDP and CPI forecasts will likely be revised down in March, the GC seems absolutely determined to play it safe on inflation, and this will continue as long as the labor market holds up. I still expect the first rate cut in June, followed by a gradual reduction at a pace of 25bp per quarter towards a broadly neutral level of 2%. Despite ongoing weakness in indicators of economic activity, the GC appears relatively relaxed about the growth outlook, largely thanks to ongoing resilience in the labor market. The statement mentions signs of recovery in some leading indicators, despite most of them still pointing to broad stagnation in GDP. Did Ms. Lagarde want to signal that the GC is warming up to the idea of an “early” start to the easing cycle? Probably not. Her rhetoric was mainly aimed at strengthening the message that the ECB is data-dependent, as opposed to calendar-driven.
TVC:EXYLong
by Elite_Forex