Euro H4 | Heading into overlap resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.0453 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.0544 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.0343 which is a pullback support.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Euro
When to trade Dollars ($) to Euro's (€) and the other way aroundWhen exchanging dollars (USDT or USDC) for euros, it's best to do so when the dollar is strong against the euro, meaning you’ll get more euros for your dollars. The same goes for the reverse—if the euro is stronger, it's a good time to exchange euros for dollars (or stablecoins like USDT and USDC). For crypto, since stablecoins like USDT and USDC are pegged to the dollar, their value closely follows the dollar's movements.
Pay attention to factors such as interest rates, inflation, and global economic events that affect the dollar's strength.
If you're holding USDT or USDC and believe the dollar will weaken, converting to euros or another currency could be a good move. Similarly, if the euro weakens, you might exchange euros for dollars or stablecoins to benefit from a stronger dollar.
Euro / Dollar long week. Market Maker buy modelAnd so, we see that there was a reaction from the weekly FVG that was created back in 2022. Liquidity was not removed and early lows have been created (this may be for the next invasion and filling of the inefficiency of the FVG) So far we see support on the 4H BISI that was created from the weekly BISI, it was Friday, New York (which is good for a reversal for the model) All 4H SIBI hourly inefficiencies are filled and respect 0.5 quadrant
The wicks are causing damage, the bodies are telling the truth. While the nearest liquidity is formed on the weekly sibi, which is the initial model of the market maker for buying to this level. Let's see what candles will be formed.
+ we see on DXY touch Month Sibi High. its good for long forex market
+ candle formed Discount area
EURUSD Short-term buying activity spotted.The EURUSD pair has been under heavy selling pressure for the whole December but despite the red candle, it closed last week on a long wick and opened today on a green note. The weekly closing managed to make it inside the 2-year Megaphone pattern.
At the same time, the 1W RSI is making a Double Bottom and that resembles the August 06 2018 candle, which was also a medium-term bottom after a multi-month decline. The rebound that followed peaked a little below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance.
As a result, we are bullish on this pair, at least on the medium-term, targeting 1.0600 (just below the Resistance level).
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BITCOIN (BTC/USD) BASED ON 1H-TIME FRAME ANALYSIS,
Based on the chart you provided, here's the current analysis:
1. **Current Price Action**:
- BTC is trading near 97,800, within a rising channel.
- There are visible higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming the bullish momentum in the short term.
2. **Resistance Zone**:
- The key resistance is marked at 99,000 (blue zone), where BTC previously reversed. This is a strong area to watch for potential selling pressure.
3. **Support Levels**:
- Immediate support lies near 97,000 (orange zone).
- A deeper support zone is visible around 95,500 to 96,000, which aligns with previous demand and bullish order blocks.
4. **Potential Scenarios**:
- If the price continues its upward trend, a test of the 99,000 resistance zone seems likely.
- Rejection from 99,000 could signal a retracement back to the 97,000 or even the 96,000 level for support retests.
- Breaking and closing above 99,000 might open the door for BTC to target higher levels, possibly 100,000 or beyond.
5. **Market Structure**:
- The chart shows a recent break of structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating bullish strength.
- However, keep an eye on any potential change of character (ChoCh) near the resistance zones, which might suggest a reversal or slowdown.
My Suggestion:
- **For Bulls**: Look for buying opportunities on pullbacks near the 97,000 or 96,000 support zones with a target near 99,000.
- **For Bears**: Wait for confirmation of rejection near the 99,000 resistance zone before considering a sell, targeting the lower support zones (97,000 or 96,000).
EURUSD 5/1/25Heading into the First Trading Week of the Year
We’re ready to dominate as always, with Orion leading the way and providing a clear bias. This week, we continue with our bearish outlook, looking to trade from the highs into the lows outlined here, with the target clearly defined.
Before diving in headfirst, let’s cover a few key points:
There’s currently a large gap between the highs and the current price.
Based on this, we need to be mindful of the following scenarios:
A short-term high could form before reaching the main highs shown here.
A new low might be created, giving us an additional target low.
These scenarios suggest we could see some form of manipulation before a move higher. For example, the price could create new highs, sweep them, and then form a new short-term low.
While this wouldn’t invalidate the larger bearish move, it could shake out many lower time frame traders.
Please also take note of the heavy liquid we have stored above the current highs we are looking at.
Trade safe and stick to your plan.
EURO - Price can reach resistance area and then continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to decline inside falling channel, where it first fell to $1.0590 level and broke it.
Then price made retes and some time traded near this level, after which fell to $1.0385 level, and then bounced up.
Price made a gap and then reached $1.0590 level, after which it some time traded close to this level and then continued to fall.
EUR fell to $1.0385 - $1.0350 area and then tried to grow, but failed and dropped to support line of channel.
Thereby price broke $1.0385 level also and a not long time ago it turned around and started to grow from support line.
In my mind, Euro can grow to resistance area and then continue to fall to $1.0190 in channel.
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HelenP. I Euro can reach resistance zone and then continue fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A few days ago price broke resistance level 2, which coincided with the resistance zone, and started to trades inside consolidation. In this pattern, the price rose to the top part and then at once made a correction movement to resistance 2. Then, the EUR some time traded near this level and then rebounded up to the trend line, which coincided with the top part of the range and then started to decline. In a short time, EURO declined to resistance 2, broke it, thereby exiting from consolidation as well and then some time traded between resistance 2. Later price dropped to resistance 1, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then started to grow to the trend line. Some time later it reached this line and then made impulse down to 1.0220 points, breaking resistance 1 too. Recently prices started to grow, so, in my opinion, EURUSD will reach the resistance zone and then continue to decline next. That's why I set my goal at 1.0240 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURUSD: Still bearish long term. Don't buy a falling knife.EURUSD remains heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.500, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.396) as the 1 month Channel Down remains intact. The current 4H rebound is the bullish wave of the Channel and technically once the 4H MA50 is hit, it will turn into a bearish opportunity again. We are waiting for that signal to sell towards the bottom of the Channel (TP = 1.0200).
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EURO - Price can bounce up from support zone to $1.0430 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price traded inside flat, where it made a gap and then fell to $1.0470 level, after which started to grow.
Then Euro exited from flat and started to decline inside pennant, where it bounced from resistance line to $1.0470 level.
Price some time traded near this level and then broke it, after which fell to $1.0350 level and then started to grow.
In a short time, price rose to resistance line of pennant, after which bounced from it and fell to $1.0350 level.
Now, Euro traded near this level and I think that it can fall to support zone and some time trades inside.
After this, price can turn around and start to grow to $1.0430 resistance line of pennant.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Euro can exit from pennant and continue to fall nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago started to grow and soon broke resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to grow in range. Later EUR reached the top part of the range and then made a correction movement to the resistance level, after which rebounded and quickly rose back. Then price started to decline and in a short time fell to the 1.0475 level and even made a fake breakout of this level, after which backed up to the range. But soon, the price turned around and dropped to the current resistance level, thereby exiting from the range and breaking the 1.0475 level. Next, the price made an impulse up inside the downward pennant, but later it made a small correction. After this, EUR rose to the resistance line of the pennant and then turned around and dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0350 level, which coincided with the resistance zone. A not long time ago price bounced from the support line, therefore I think that the Euro can reach the resistance zone and then continue to decline, even exiting from the pennant pattern. That's why I set my TP at 1.0240 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR/CAD H1 | Heading into swing-high resistanceEUR/CAD is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.4971 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.5005 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.4887 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EUR/USD Under Bearish Pressure: A Market Analysis [Update]As anticipated in our previous analyses, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced significant downward pressure during the late American trading session on Wednesday, hitting its lowest point in almost a month, below 1.0350. Currently, while I am drafting this article, the pair has seen a minor rebound and is trading around 1.0410; however, the technical indicators still suggest a bearish outlook.
The price is nearing a critical area where it may continue to decline. Our analysis reveals an imbalance on the Daily timeframe that could signal a further downturn. For more detailed insights, please refer to the link provided below.
Following the last Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, the central bank announced a reduction in its policy rate by 25 basis points, aligning with market expectations, bringing it to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. In their accompanying statement, the Fed emphasized that they would take into account incoming data, the evolving economic landscape, and the balance of risks when evaluating future rate adjustments.
In the aftermath of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar (USD) gained substantial strength, leading to a sharp decline in the EUR/USD pair. Moving forward, our outlook suggests the potential for a new bearish correction in the market as we navigate these developments.
Previous close position SHORT
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EUR/USD Market Dynamics: Analyzing Recent Price MovementsFollowing our previous analysis, we anticipated the market's response to last week's robust U.S. economic indicators, particularly regarding the USD's strength against the EUR. After experiencing a notable bearish trend, the euro managed to recoup some losses, specifically retesting our pending order at 1.04380. As I write this article on December 23, 2024, the currency pair trades around 1.04130, providing a rejection of our entry point.
On Monday, the U.S. Dollar (USD) stabilized after a significant drop on Friday. This sell-off was prompted by weaker-than-expected growth in the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE). Specifically, the core PCE—a key inflation metric favored by the Federal Reserve—rose by 2.8%, falling short of the projected 2.9%. On a month-to-month basis, both headline and core PCE inflation inched up by only 0.1%, leading to speculation about the Federal Reserve's trajectory concerning interest rate adjustments in 2025.
Federal Reserve officials are beginning to signal expectations of fewer rate cuts in the coming year, as the disinflation process appears to be slowing and uncertainties loom over how President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming immigration, trade, and taxation policies could affect the economy.
Given the current outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of bearish trends in the market.
Previous Idea:
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EURNZD, H1 - 12?31?24.Drawing fibonacci from last fvg created to previous high.
Price will retrace to next bid level, - fib 382 retracement, for bearish continuation.
Confirmations -
Level to retest - fib 382 retracement.
Level not to break - fib 382 retracement.
Trade Invalidity -
Change in market direction will be confirmed when price breaks 'price-point', 1.85252, and retests. Price must maintain level to continue bull-trend.
- FX_Dispenser,
You're Welcome.
Euro will exit from triangle and continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago entered to downward triangle and started to decline to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. When the price reached this level, it broke it and continued to fall to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, the price turned around and started to grow to a resistance level, thereby making a gap. Later, the price reached the 1.0630 resistance level, coinciding with the resistance line and then declining. Price also rose to almost the resistance line and then dropped to the support line of the triangle, breaking the support level. Euro some time traded below the 1.0400 level and later bounced up to the resistance line of the triangle, breaking this level again. At the moment, the price continues to trades near this line and I think that the Euro can correct to a support level and then rebound up, thereby exiting from the triangle. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0575 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀