Market Analysis: EUR/USD Gains PaceMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Gains Pace
EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.0460 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.0400 resistance zone.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0460 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0290 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.0400 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled above the 1.0450 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.0515 resistance. A high is formed near 1.0514 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0292 swing low to the 1.0514 high.
Immediate support is near the 1.0445 level. The next major support is at 1.0400 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0292 swing low to the 1.0514 high.
If there is a downside break below 1.0400, the pair could drop toward the 1.0375 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0290, below which the pair could start a major decline.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.0460. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0460. The next major resistance is near the 1.0515 level. An upside break above 1.0515 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0550.
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Euroanalysis
EURUSD Hits Resistances—Reversal Incoming?As I expected in the previous post , the EURUSD( FX:EURUSD ) touched my Targets and is creating the second top of the ascending channel.
The EURUSD is in the Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) near the Monthly Resistance(1) and the upper line of the ascending channel.
In terms of Elliott wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect the EURUSD to start falling soon, and it is likely to form a Head and Shoulders Pattern to continue the decline.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.055, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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EURUSD’s Bullish Breakout—Targets Set for $1.046 & $1.049!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) came to the above of the 100_SMA(4-hour) once again and managed to break the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) and Resistance lines , and today we saw EURUSD made a pullback to this zone.
It is also possible that EURUSD will form an ascending channel , so we have to wait for the second hit to the Upper line and confirm its major point .
I expect the EURUSD to trend higher after coming above the 100_SMA(4-hour) and attacking the next Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) and Resistance lines .
The First Target: $1.04651
The Second Target: $1.04981
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.0347, we can expect more dumps.
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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Bearish Flag & Quasimodo Patterns—Is EURUSD Set to Drop?First, let's have a Fundamental Analysis of EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ).
The EURUSD rate is influenced by several key fundamental factors :
1. Divergent Economic Indicators :
United States : Recent data indicates a robust labor market, with job growth maintaining momentum. This strength supports the U.S. dollar, as investors anticipate potential monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve to manage inflationary pressures.
Eurozone : Conversely, the Eurozone faces economic challenges, including unexpected inflation acceleration and declining industrial production, particularly in Germany. These factors may constrain the European Central Bank's (ECB) ability to adjust interest rates, potentially weakening the euro.
2. Central Bank Policies :
Federal Reserve (Fed) : The Fed's recent communications suggest a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments, balancing economic growth with inflation control. The prospect of maintaining or increasing rates could further bolster the U.S. dollar.
European Central Bank (ECB) : The ECB is grappling with rising inflation amidst a struggling economy. This scenario complicates policy decisions, as increasing rates to combat inflation might hinder economic recovery, thereby exerting downward pressure on the euro.
3. Geopolitical Developments :
The U.S. administration's recent tariff threats have introduced uncertainties in global trade. Such actions typically lead investors to seek safe-haven assets, benefiting the U.S. dollar due to its perceived stability.
In summary, the EURUSD is currently experiencing downward pressure , driven by stronger U.S. economic performance, proactive Federal Reserve policies, and geopolitical factors favoring the U.S. dollar. Conversely, the Eurozone's economic difficulties and the ECB's constrained policy options contribute to a weaker euro. These dynamics suggest a potential continuation of the EURUSD's bearish trend in the near term .
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Now, let's analyze the EURUSD chart in terms of Technical Analysis .
EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , 100_SMA(4-hour) , Monthly Pivot Point , and Resistance lines . Each of these items is considered a good resistance for EURUSD .
In terms of Price Action , if we look at the EURUSD chart in the 1-hour time frame , we can see the Bearish Quasimodo Pattern , which is one of the reasons for EURUSD's fall .
Educational Note : The Bearish Quasimodo Pattern is a price action reversal pattern that signals a potential downtrend. It forms when the price creates a higher high (HH) followed by a lower low (LL) and a lower high (LH), breaking the market structure.
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that EURUSD has managed to form a Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern . It is a good sign for the continuation of the downward trend of EURUSD .
Educational Note : The Bearish Flag Pattern is a continuation pattern that signals the continuation of a downtrend. It consists of a sharp downward move (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase in a small upward-sloping channel (flag). A breakdown from the flag confirms the pattern, indicating further price decline.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , according to the volume of the previous movement, it seems that EURUSD is completing wave 4 , and it is possible that we are still in the main wave 3 even with a further fall.
I expect EURUS D to fall to at least the Support zone($1.0285-$1.0255) after entering the PRZ or after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel of the bearish flag pattern, and if this zone is broken , we should expect to fall to the next Support zone($1.0222-$1.0175) and Monthly Support(1) .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.03700, we can expect more dumps.
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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EURUSD Hits Support Zone—Is a Bullish Reversal Coming!!!As I expected , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) fell to the target I set yesterday.
EURUSD is moving near Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and 100_SMA(4-hour) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the EURUSD has succeeded in completing the corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the EURUSD to rise again. One of the signs of completion can be a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern with a suitable volume .
I expect EURUSD to rise to Resistance zone($1.0534-$1.0448) after breaking the Resistance lines .
Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0333, we can expect more dumps .
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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US Economic Data Impact: Will EURUSD Test Support zone Again?Today, key U.S. economic data was released , including GDP , Unemployment Claims , and the GDP Price Index . These data points had a direct impact on the U.S. dollar, resulting in volatility in the EURUSD pair . The weaker-than-expected GDP and lower inflation caused a temporary weakening of the USD, but the strong labor market data still supports the dollar, potentially limiting further downside for EURUSD.
This was an analysis of the US economic data that was released today.
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EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) entered the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) again, and it seems that this move is a Pullback to the ascending channel (broken) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , pullback appears to be a Zigzag corrective wave(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Support zone($1.039-$1.033) again, 100_SMA(4-hour) , and decline to at least the width of the broken ascending channel .
Was the bullish candle the previous hour in the role of a pullback or the start of another upward trend for EURUSD?
Note: If EURUSD goes over $1.049, we can expect more pumps.
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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EURUSD Near Ascending Channel’s Peak: Will It Reverse?EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) rose to the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044), as I expected in the previous idea .
EURUSD is moving in the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) and near the upper line of the Ascending Channel ( the role of resistance ).
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed 5 impulsive waves , and we should wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect EURUSD to fall at least to the Targets I have marked on the chart .
What do you think? Will EURUSD break the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) or back to test the Support zone($1.039-$1.033)?
Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044), we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame.
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EUROUSD TRADING POINT UPDATE> READ THE CHAPTIN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Euro USD Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup Euro USD breakout of MA 200 ) Now 👍 Looking start with bullish trend 📈 🚀 analysis setup update fisrt I look short 1.04918- 1.04322). That' is good buying zone ☺️) target point 1.5540)
Key resistance level 1.05215 +1.05540
Key support level 1.4500 1.043222. .104107
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Is EURUSD Set for a Reversal? Watch the Potential Reversal ZonesThe recent release of Core PPI and PPI m/m published in lower than expected , signaling a potential decrease in inflationary pressures in the U.S. This could lead to speculation about a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, which might weaken the U.S. Dollar and provide support for other currencies, including the Euro.
Let’s analyze how this data could influence the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) chart.
The EURUSD is moving through a Heavy Support zone($1.036-$1.011) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main five waves (downward) , and we can expect upward waves .
I expect EURUSD to start rising again from the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Uptrend line and then attack the upper Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If this zone is broken, we should wait for the EURUSD to attack the Resistance line .
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
⚠️Note: If the EURUSD goes below the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ), EURUSD may fall further.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Here’s a summary of the EUR/USD chart: **Trend Analysis**: Here’s a summary of the EUR/USD chart:
1. **Trend Analysis**:
- The chart shows an upward channel with clear support and resistance lines.
- The price is currently trading near the middle of the channel, suggesting a potential continuation of the bullish momentum.
2. **Moving Averages**:
- Several moving averages (20, 50, 100, 200 EMA) are displayed.
- The shorter-term EMAs (20 and 50) are starting to slope upwards, aligning with the bullish trend.
- The price has broken above the cluster of EMAs, which can indicate bullish strength.
3. **Projection**:
- The purple arrow suggests a scenario where the price may continue rising toward the upper channel boundary.
- A potential pullback to the support line of the channel is anticipated before another upward push.
4. **Key Levels**:
- Resistance: The top boundary of the channel near 1.0500-1.0540.
- Support: The lower boundary of the channel near 1.0380-1.0400.
5. **Possible Trade Setup**:
- A buy opportunity could arise if the price retraces to the lower boundary or EMA cluster before resuming the upward movement.
- Targets could be set near the upper channel resistance (1.0500+).
- A break below the channel would invalidate this bullish scenario.
EURUSD Analysis==>>Pumping Soon!?EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and an Important Support line .
According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD is completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 , so we should expect bullish waves soon .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.049 AFTER the Downtrend line is broken , and if the Resistance zone($1.040-$1.022) is broken, we have to wait for further increases .
⚠️Note: If EURUSD breaks the Important Support line, we can also expect the break of the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022).⚠️
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD - Short Term Bullish Move
EURUSD is potentially targetting the above level as far as the below support holds.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
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Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
EURUSD: Will It Retrace to POI?Our philosophy focuses on simplicity and precision, avoiding cognitive overload.
On the daily chart, EURUSD is trading within Range Zone.
If another daily candle closes bullish above $1.086 (the Daily Range Bottom), it could push the price up to the Range Top at $1.1, which is our Daily Point of Interest (Daily POI).
The Mid Daily Range may act as minor resistance on this move.
If EURUSD falls below the Daily Range Bottom, it enters a bearish zone, with the next target around Key Daily Level 1↓ at $1.066.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout above the Daily Range Top could extend gains to the Minor Daily Level at $1.112.
Though, this scenario is secondary as long as EURUSD remains within the Daily Range Zone.
EURUSD Analysis==>>Ascending Broadening Wedge Reversal Pattern!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )has managed to form an Ascending Broadening Wedge Reversal Pattern near the Resistance zone($1.0980-$1.0912) and Yearly Pivot Point .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the EURUSD to attack the Support zone($1.0816-$1.0775) again in the coming hours.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD Analysis==>>Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving near the Upper line of the Descending Channel , Support zone($1.0816-$1.0775) , and Support lines .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , EURUSD has already broken the Neckline of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern ( Bullish Reversal Pattern ).
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least the width of the descending channel after breaking the upper line of the descending channel and SMA(100) and then attacking the Resistance lines .
⚠️Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.075, we must wait for more dumps to at least $1.069⚠️
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD Analysis==>>Short term==>>(Fundamental + Technical)Today's Fundamental analysis of the FX:EURUSD highlights several key factors:
1-Expected ECB Rate Cuts : With Eurozone inflation dropping below 2% in September, there is growing speculation about further rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) in both October and December. These rate cuts would likely weaken the euro, as lower borrowing costs reduce demand for the currency.
2-US Economic Performance : The recent U.S. labor market report exceeded expectations, showing solid job growth and a lower unemployment rate. This has strengthened the dollar, with investors now awaiting the upcoming U.S. CPI report(10 October), which may offer insights into future Fed policy
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Now, let's go to the technical analysis of EURUSD .
EURUSD is moving in the Heavy Support zone($1.0982-$1.0916) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , near the Support lines and 100_SMA(Daily) .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURUSD to rise at least to near the Resistance zone($1.005-$1.0995) after breaking the Downtrend line .
Note: If EURUSD manages to break the Heavy Support zone($1.0982-$1.0916) and support lines, we can expect EURUSD to touch at least $1.0878.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD Analysis==>>AB=CD Pattern!!!==>>Short termEURUSD is moving near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.130-$1.118) and Resistance lines .
There is a possibility of Bearish AB=CD Harmonic Pattern formation near Resistance lines and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
I expect EURUSD to decline to the Support zone($1.082-$1.066) after breaking the Support line .
Note: If EURUSD manages to break the Resistance lines, we can expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.130-$1.118) and increase.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD Analysis==>Cup and Handle Pattern==>>Pennant PatternEURUSD is moving near the Support zone($1.105-$1.103) and managed to break the Downtrend line .
If we look at the EURUSD chart from the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , we will notice two Cup and Handle Pattern and a Bullish Pennant Pattern .
After breaking the neckline, I expect EURUSD to rise to at least the Resistance zone($1.111-$1.109) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 15-minute Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD Analysis==>>Signs of a FallEURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0955-$1.0933) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern can be a sign of EURUSD reversal.
I expect EURUSD to continue to decline, at least in the Support zone($1.0884-$1.0864) .
This week, the US economic calendar will be very busy releasing inflation Indices that will likely influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy . We must wait for the prices to react when the indices are published.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD Analysis==> H&S patternEURUSD reacted well to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Heavy Resistance zone($1.1185-$1.098) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has succeeded in completing five impulsive waves , and we should wait for EURUSD to decline .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Head and Shoulders Pattern is likely to form.
I expect EURUSD to continue to decline, at least in the Support zone($1.0885-$1.0860) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD Analysis==>>Reversal PatternsEURUSD is moving in the Resistance zone($1.0920-$1.0870) and near the Resistance lines .
If we want to analyze the EURUSD chart from the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , two Reversal Patterns are clearly visible: Head and Shoulders Pattern & Bump-and-Run Top Pattern .
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Educational tip :👇
The Bump-and-Run Reversal Top Pattern forms when, after a gentle upward trend, a more aggressive one appears on the chart. The price pivots at the peak and then falls like an avalanche.
In this scenario, only professional traders survive and thrive with considerable portfolio gains. In the following section, I will teach you how to make money when there’s blood in the snow!
This pattern forms when the price rallies too far up. People second-guess themselves buying at such high prices while sellers sell confidently, causing a downward trend. This means you can see a clear reversal in the Bump-and-Run Reversal Top Pattern. Although this pattern is considered a single entity, it consists of three separate parts or phases:
1) Normal and steady trend, called the “Lead-in Phase.” Imagine it as walking up a mountain.
2) Market participants going crazy with greed, called the “Bump Phase.” You can imagine this one as an ascent to the mountain’s peak.
3) The price falling and causing bloodshed of candles, called the “Run Phase.” At last, you ski down the snow, collecting profits on your way.
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According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD seems to have successfully completed five impulse waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
After breaking the support trend line and Neckline , I expect EURUSD to fall at least to the Support zone($1.0820-$1.0776) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD Roadmap==>>1-hour time frameEURUSD is moving near the Resistance lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($1.084-$1.081) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing the Expanding Ending Diagonal .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the EURUSD to decline at least to the target I have specified on the chart.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EURUSD Analysis(Continue to Fall)!!!EURUSD managed to break the Support zone($1.080-$1.078) , Monthly Pivot Point , and the Uptrend line . We can also consider this Breakaway Gap a sign of valid failure.
According to the theory of Elliott Waves , EURUSD seems to have successfully completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Currently, EURUSD is completing wave 4 , and we have to wait for wave 5 to start.
After the completion of wave 4, I expect EURUSD to decline at least as far as the targets I have specified on the chart.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
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