My View On Euro Bunds Futures (FGBL)Hello,
We've identified a huge current opportunity to buy Euro Bunds Futures (FGBL) with a high probability in the Weekly chart.
The target is 138€ within a few Weeks
Ibrouri
Eurobunds
EURO BUND : STRONG DOWNTREND | NEW TARGET POINT | SHORT ⚡️Euro climbs and German bund yields surge as ECB officials put July rate hike in play
The euro was stronger and the yield on the 2-year German bund surged after European Central Bank officials talked up the possibility of rate hikes as early as July. Luis de Guindos, vice president of the ECB, said, "from today's perspective, July is possible and September, or later, is also possible," while Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch told Bloomberg News said it's a "no brainer" to take rates to zero, or even positive territory, by the end of the year, unless the economy suffers a severe shock. Since the main ECB rate is negative 0.5%, taking rates to positive territory implies three hikes by the end of the year. The yield on the 2-year German bund TMBMKDE-02Y, 0.278% rose 11 basis points to 0.16%, while the euro EURUSD, 0.29% rallied 0.6% to $1.0924.
EURO BUND- Higher Yields Fueled by Inflation 💶There is a broad consensus out there for higher Bund yields, and we agree.
Euro zone bond yields ticked up again last week as inflation expectations rise.
Our updated chart shows that from a TA point of view we will need to break over the resistance at 173 and aim higher.
If this resistance is not breached over, we could experience a significant drop in the price of the euro.
ps. As the rate of one currency increases relative to another, investors are attracted to the higher yielding currency. Additionally, the cost of owning the lower yielding currency increase as the bond yield differential moves in favor of the currency that is sold. On our previous idea we are looking at a short on EURUSD .
Let it be no confusion:
Both EURBUND can rise and eurusd can drop at the same time, as eurusd is the euro in comparison to the US Dollar.
the FXPROFESSOR
EURO - Where the money in the Euro-Area flowsHere you can see where the money in the euro area flows. It is clear that a lot of money is flowing out of the euro area but within the euro area the safe havens are being sought. At the moment these are still the German government bonds and you can see that very nicely since March and yesterday's panic high of the Eurobund Futures. After a short consolidation, I expect more highs to Bundfuture.
That means a Lot more stress in the Euro- and Banking-system. Be careful with financials!
The idea published here serves for the time being as illustrative material and has yet to establish itself.
Greetings from Hanover
Stefan Bode
P.S. Press "Like" if you like it ;-)
BundFuture - Uncertainty prevailsThe BundFuture has a very high level of resilience and is likely to continue to decline until the first half of 2019. This indicates that a slight increase in interest rates on 10-year German Bunds is to be expected at least in the short term.
As of mid-2019, uncertainty in the euro-area should prevail again and thus demand for the "safe" harbour of-BRD-bonds rise and thus the 10-year-olds again slip below 0% interest rates.
After the completion of wave 5, a waterfall event should lead to a sharp increase in interest rates and over 1-2 decades to massive social upheavals.
Greeting
Stefan Bode from Hannover
P.S. If you like it - Thumbs up!
Forecast Euro Bund Future Next Few MonthsMidterm forecast Euro Bunds Future:
Expect 3rd wave down reaching for 160.50 - 160.00, taking out stops below the structure in the process. Then a consolidation followed by a move up to 167.50 - 167.75 to close the gap.
Special focus on the Fib Time Series, would love to see the swings at the marked lines.
