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Eurodollar

Eurusd : Bullish USD data and Inflation Fears 🛫 Hello everyone. Switching things up today with a in-depth look into recent sentiment and my thoughts on the last 5 bearish weekly candles on EURUSD. A mix of Bullish USD data and the fact that inflation looms above all of our heads has caused market participants to flock into the Safe haven USD. What are your thoughts on this decrease of EURUSD back into the range that EU has been stuck in since January? Thanks for joining me for another analysis and reading this far. See you in the next analysis!
by ShrewdCatfx
No 😵 not flat over the past 24 Hours Eurusd? Eurusd fav prices, fundamentals breakdown, and looking forward 0:0 Monthly Timeframe 1:25 Weekly timeframe 2:32 Daily timeframe 4:36 4hr timeframe 7:50 FOMC meeting minutes during upcoming NY 8:49 1hr timeframe 9:30 Retails sales data from today Price bounced from weekly support +40 Pips as expected, looking for more accumulation in next 5 trading days Ohh gosh, I don't want to overthink this one. I'm afraid it may turn out to be the case.. We have retraced back to our weekly support level 1.09 and are unchanged over the past 24 hours. The daily candle has pulled all the way back down and closed bearish, the 2nd bearish close this week after the strong selloff on Monday. The Daily candle also retested the bottom of structure from the range we observed over the first 2 weeks of August. The monthly candle is pulling down and we've been doing so since Interest rates during the final week of July. The Weekly timeframe has so far completed our fakeout concept from 1.1025 down to 1.09. The question is will we see this fakeout continue it's way down to the next weekly zone(and also monthly zone) 1.07? Just follow the system though and have no worries. Nothing is achieved with worry, but suffering. Trust in thy system and experience and gold shall line thy pocket in due time. Safe trading everyone , cheers
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
3
Sellers Beware 🖾 Weekly Demand Level [1.09] ↗️I care about where candles close! 😂 0:0 Monthly timeframe 0:53 Weekly timeframe 3:47 Retail Sales & Manufacturing data 4:31 Daily timeframe 6:29 4hr timeframe 9:22 1Hr timeframe 9:40 Bias 12:14 be flexible I pay attention to where candles close. Yes, it is important, because this is the concept that really validates any data collection during backtesting. No indicators needed, just paying attention to how candles close relative to our key zones AKA levels. 1.09 is a key area for us. Thus far, we have done an impressive job of closing above 1.09. As long as we stay within a vicinity of 1.09, my bias this week and the next will remain bullish. I like support and resistance bounces as it's a fundamental part of my system.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
1
Looking 2 weeks out / EurusdThe Weekly candle last friday closed below 1.1024. After today July 31st, we can also observe the monthly candle just closed below 1.1024. The monthly candle left a very large top wick but ultimately closed below 1.1024. 1.1024 is our May Monthly resistance zone as well as our weekly resistance zone. The market has now confirmed a fakeout on the Daily timefrmae and has created a resistance with the most recent Daily bearish candle. The Bearish candle retested and rejected the top of the range being 1.1024. I'm anticpating that Eurusd will now head towards the bottom of the range around 1.09 weekly support level and 1.085 daily support level.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
5
What Happened Eurusd? 📻 CPI Fails as Bullish Catalyst What happened EU? 0:0 Monthly timeframe 1:03 Weekly timeframe 2:59 Daily timefraem & CPI talks 6:20 Simplify your T.A. 7:26 4hr timeframe 9:53 1hr timeframe Bulls Failed at 1.1025 Weekly resistance Key Level! CPI was not the catalyst and the brave warrior to save the princess from the high tower. When CPI moves we really move, and so not only did we fail to hold above 1.1025 weekly key level after an intial 34 pips spike with CPI, we also dropped back down on the daily candle to the open price. Observing the daily candle we can see a much larger top wick than a body on the candle. After completing a fakeout 2 weeks ago when the weekly candle closed back below 1.1025 weekly key level, this level has since acted like the greek god Zues. Nothing can stop it from getting it's way! Not NFP last week and Not CPI this week! Using this reasoning how can I not look for some short opportunities to end the week?? idk we'll see have a safe rest of the trading week. risk management is the real zeus let's be honest.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
4
Impending [CPI] Volatility 🏁 Cut L's Short and Let profits run!Okay everyone, buckle up your seat belts! 0:0 Federal reserve goals for inflation & Monthly timeframe 2:15 Weekly timefraem 3:17 Daily timeframe 5:09 4hr timeframe 9:45 Careful with CPi, it can move hard! 10:00 1hr timeframe The time has come for August CPI and it's also a special occasion🦁. This is the first report in over a year in which inflation is expected to increase in the CPI Y/Y. Looking back into history, it is shown that inflation doesn't come down in a linear fashion. This signals that the fed will have to hold interest rates higher for longer to reign in spending. The federal reserves goal is to achieve a 2.0% CPI Y/Y . The CPI Y/Y is expected to increase from 3.0% Y/Y to 3.3% Y/Y. If the CPI is less than 3.0% Y/Y like 2.9% for example then we can observe the fed moving closer to it's goal and should see risk on assets be favored and consequently safe haven assets like the USD decrease in value. Thus, pumping up EU towards 1.108 Daily resistance zone. I like this since the price has been doing what I thought it would do all week and is moving as accordingly for my analysis. With all this said, I could be wrong as we may see inflation not only increase, but increase more than expected thus seeing a price dump on EU towards 1.09 weekly support level. Only trade with money you can afford to lose and Tbh I didn't trade news for the first 2 years. I sat on the sidelines and there is nothing wrong with that. See you in the next vidoe and thanks for reading this far!
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Ranging as we await ⏳ [CPI] VolatilityHello everyone welcome back to another video. Not expecting much prior to CPI on thursday! 0:0 Monthly timeframe 1:18 Weekly timeframe 3:32 Daily timeframe 6:15 4hr timeframe 8:05 1hr timeframe Just ranging until then between our Daily resistance level 1.1008 and 1.093 Daily support level, in which we bounced off of today and I was taking buys, unfortunately to no avail. You can be right abut the direction but still lose. That's the tough part of trading and it can be frustrating but risk management and a focus on trading psychology always come first to protect much valued capital. Price in the meantime may pop it's head up to 1.0986 1hr resistance zone or push back to the highs of our range. I am favoring an increase on EURUSD with CPI data on thursday and would prefer to see EURUSD hold to the lows of structure around 1.0951 1hr zone and 1.0937 daily support zone while gathering sell side liquidity prior to a launch with CPI back towards 1.108 Daily resistance level. I will not be closed off to longs if we are back at the highs of structure though prior to CPI.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
1
Return to the lows prior to Inflation data 🧐Thanks for reading this! Really enjoy doing these vidoes. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 1:33 Daily timeframe 3:42 Daily timeframe 7:12 4hr timeframe 9:22 1hr timeframe 3:35 Bias My Idea for for this week : with our quite, no news market conditions through the first 3 daily candles of the week, I can observe a decrease towards 1.09373 Daily support level or a tap into 1.09 weekly support. When U.S. Dollar CPI arrives on thursday, and it is expected to increase, I can visualize a blast off in favor of the EUR. Now, increasing inflation is technically not good for the USD and the federal reserves goals. The market often doesn't do what it's supposed to do. I'm favoring this idea. The opposite would be an increase to the highs of our range near 1.10236 weekly level and 1.1036 4hr resistance zone prior to CPI.. and then a consequential dump in favor of the USD. Either way we must remain flexible with our bias and let the market lead.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
EURUSD: Still seeing some strength hereEven writing this I’m thinking it could be a crazy idea with USD strength in play, but let’s see... I think we’ll see some early weakness from the USD before a momentum shift that will see DXY reverse up (maybe by end of the week). I think the EURO is still looking strong, bouncing back from the falling following the ECB rate hike pause. ECB are hawkish around further hikes and USD CPI numbers this week may indicate a pause is coming from the FED, this idea may have played out by then. I’ll be tightening my SL at 13.30 GMT this Thursday. So for now looking to go long provided we breakout and retest the falling trendline on the daily from the 1.275 high. We’ve been in a strong uptrend for months and I think the moves in the next few weeks could start to show reversal back down, but for now we still have higher highs and higher lows, support held nicely last week and had confluence to not break the 100 and 200 EMA on the daily, so I'm still bullish with this one for now. I’ll hopefully be tp’ing around 1.124 to see if we get a double top or continuation up, which would bring the 1.14 centre line of the rising channel quickly into play (which could well happen if the US CPI is better / lower than expectation).
Long
by Finchcliffe
Momentum is Heavy here 👹, But.. We are dropping ! Buy the USD, Buy the USD before there is no more! Buy expensive and chase the market. Hold up! Often times the market will punish those market participants that chase rather than being disciplined like a hunting lion. It stalks and plans and thereby decreases it's risk of not eating. I've learned that trading is more about psychology than anything else. Observing price action can clue you on the next move if you ask why would I buy here? Why would I sell here? who's selling here? Unemployment claims data and Manufacturing data tomrrow will only act as either a catalyst to continue dropping towards 1.09 or pullback towards 1.099 4hr resistance zone. Either way I'm going to be adaptable as a scalper. This is one thing of my strengths.. flexibility . I've anticpating a drop into 1.09 weekly support level since the beginning of the week. I'm publishing a long analysis here because we are currently about 20 Pips from where I'm anticpating a short term turning point in the market. market participants are buying the rumor with ADP which is estimated data. I'm anticpating that with NFP market particpants with Sell the news and thus the USD thereby pushing Eurusd up in favor of the Eur. 1.09 may orchestrate that turning point for us. If we happen to completely ignore 1.09 level, then we are headed to 4hr support 1.088.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
4
[ USD ] Buy the Rumor ADP & Sell the News NFP ☎️ / EurusdWelcome back to another Video Analysis! 0:0 Monthly timeframe 0:58 Weekly timeframe 2:23 Daily timeframe 5:43 4hr timeframe 8:57 1hr timeframe The Weekly candle pulls back up to end the week with a Sell USD NFP news play after seeing Buy the rumor ADP estimated news! Or The Weekly candle continues it's trajectory despite missed USD manufacturing data that simply created a short term pullback. The Market can do whatever it wants and so flexibility is rewarded. Be like water, and refrain from being rigid in your approach. Be proactive and enter the market where you don't want to. Hold your winners because why would you settle for 4 when you can sit on yours hands and get 8. I see this in video games as well at times when players settle for alot less than they could've aquired. It's a shame to see and I always shake my head. Going to be tough to get ahead liked that. Anyways, looking for 1.098 and 1.10 with NFP in 7 hours. This is not to say that we may pullback to our extreme of structure and Daily support 1.09383. If Price is acting funny, we could drop back below Daily support and head towards the lows of the range at 1.092 and officially tap into 1.09 Weekly support level
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
3
Lower Prices of structure 🤔 / EurusdUSD strength appears persistent as we move into the 3rd daily candle of the week. Manufacturing data was released and was worse than expectations. Eurusd duly corrected up in favor of the EUR +16 pips initially before price climbed +45 pips through the daily candle transition. This is unusual for a move to occur like this during the 1st hour of trading during the new daily candle. Price climbed to within 4 pips of our weekly resistance level 1.1024. As spreads calmed down, Eurusd has only seen sell pressure correcting down in favor of our bear trend by 35 pips at this point 1.0983 currently. This is alot of volume during asian session and so I'm anticpating a wild upcoming london and NY sessions. We have ADP , estimated employment data tomorrow during NY which may act as a catalyst to drop back towards 1.09488. 1.0948 4hr zone is playing a key role this week and will likely ultimately determine our direction with NFP at the end of the week. It is important to note that price bounced from our daily support level today 1.09765. This bounce coincided with missed expectations USD manufacturing data. what a coincidence ! I like the engulfing candle that we observed during asian session and this sways me to favoring a continued range as we move into major employment data on Friday.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Momentum may carry 🎒us back to 1.0948Welcome back to another Eurusd Analysis! 0:0 Monthly timeframe 1:00 Weekly timeframe 4:32 4hr timeframe 5:47 1hr timeframe 7:15 Bias to begin the week We have two Bearish weekly candle's back to back as we failed in a great fashion to continue our bullish ascent. The weekly candle last week closed below 1.1024 which was our weekly support level. It is now characterized a as a weekly resistance and may facilatate a selloff back to 1.0975 Daily support which we created on friday and eventually 1.0948 1hr support zone. 1.0948 would also be a weekly wick fill with bearish momentum carried over from the previous week. Please leave feedback if you enjoyed. Have a great trading week.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx