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Eurodollar

Some retracing in store? 🏪 EurusdAfter monstrous gains last week from EU bears, is the time up ? 🕓 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:21 Weekly timeframe 5:28 Daily timeframe 7:00 4hr timeframe 10:27 1hr timeframe There are a few scenarios that we can observe here for Eurusd this week . 1. Eurusd Pulls up prior to Interest rates ( Stays above 1.065 Daily support zone) and continues to retrace with Interest rates remaining the same or cut 25 points 2. Eurusd Pullback early in the week( 1.0706 & 1.0754) as we are currently observing which precedes a continuation to the downside (1.0608 & 1.055) with Interest rates as the catalyst 3. Eurusd rate increase and EURUSD bearish Continuation towards 1.055 Monthly/weekly support level So price has continued to retrace EUR rate increase, PPI, and retail sales data from last thursday. Consumer sentiment on Friday was not great for USD and price retraced in favor of EUR as well. It's a sort of change of character as sellers ( USD Buyers) do not appear to be in control. Sometimes when you observe a short or medium term top or bottom formulate in the market, it begins with a blowoff push in the direction of the trend. This blowoff is great for those trading with the trend, but if those traders don't Take Profit they go into denial as price retraces and retraces against them. This move on thursday 9/14 is a 100 pips blowoff that may act as our catalyst for a short-medium term reversal in the market.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
1
EUR/USD -14/9/2023-• All technical indicators are pointing to a bearish picture for the Euro • First, the price broke below an ascending channel since January • Second, the series of higher lows is being questioned as we are trading at the previous swing low at 1.0630 and bulls really need to defend that level to gain traction • Third, the price is trading below the 200 MA for more than a week without even testing that level back • The 2021-2022 1.5 year long down trend was followed by almost a yearly rally which stopped very close to the 61.8% level of that decline, which questions whether the yearly rally that we have seen recently is a major bullish trend or just a correction for the previous major bearish trend • The level 1.0630 is critical in this scenario and if bears successfully break below it, next support will be 1.05 followed by 1.0220 • Today's dovish ECB statement and Lagarde speech supports the bearish picture as the Euro area growth is slowing and forecasts for the coming months and year remain tilted to the downside
by RamziAbouAbdallah-CMT
Anticipating the next Move 🚤 EurusdAnticipate the next move beginning with a Top-Down Analysis followed by looking through the lens of price action. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 1:10 Weekly timeframe 2:35 Daily timeframe 6:36 4hr timeframe 8:30 1hr timeframe 11:20 upcoming news We have alot of rejections at 1.07 Weekly support level beginning from last tuesday. This weekly support level is also a Monthly support level. The Daily timeframe flipped to bullish market strucutre on Monday and still maintains that stance. Though, one could argue that we are simply ranging now. We have higher lows and Higher highs on the 1hr/4hr timeframes. CPI inflation data today pulled price back down to retest the weekly support level once more at 1.07. To be exact it touched into 1.071 but I still count that. Yesterday and especially today price respected what was our previous resistance zone 1.0727 but has now turned into a daily support zone. CPI increased for the second consecutive month and we are moving away from the Fed's target of 2%. That is good for the USD and the higher timeframe momentum favors USD. Given this, we are at a key level on the monthly and weekly timeframes. Volatility has decreased ever since we tapped into the key level's. Also, these fundamental releases act as a short term reversal for the market.. another confluence. Really in trading it's about combining multiple confluences to increase the probabilities for a trade idea.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Seen this Story before ... 🔖Following price action versus what you think price action will do are two completely different concepts. 0:0 Monthy timeframe 0;47 Weekly timeframe 1:52 Daily timeframe 3:52 4hr timeframe 5:46 1hr timeframe 6;40 Bias for upcoming Understanding these concepts to their core has cost me. I have benefited though from reflecting on the outcomes of these two concepts. Price action will often times clue you on what will happen next. To listen to the price will take time and because you will be inclined to impose your beliefs on the market and invest your energy into solving, well, the wrong problems. Observing where candles close and understanding the nature of volume surrounding 1hr and 4hr candle closures is very important. These concepts make up the core of intra-day trading in the forex market. With that said, I am anticipating a bit of a retrace towards our previous daily resistance zone that may facilitate more longs. Our previous daily resistance was 1.0726 and it can now be characterized as Daily support since market structure flipped on the daily timeframe to bullish.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
When the Price Action speaks, Listen! 🔉😼Price reacted off of 1.07 Weekly support level for 2 days before punching through it with New York session Open today boosted by positive USD unemployment data. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:21 Weekly timeframe 5:29 Daily timeframe 9:25 4hr timeframe 11:06 1hr timeframe Price printed a Daily bearish candle today and tapped into Extreme Daily Lows at 1.0688 Daily support zone. It is extreme daily support zone because price bounced 590 Pips off this area last time price was here. The Daily bearish candle today closed above the Extreme Daily lows. Yes the weekly candle is bearish at the moment, but I would not be surprised to see the Weekly candle pullback, and create a larger bottom wick to end the week. Calling the low has a good Risk/Reward and some people are good at spotting mean reversion trades. Be flexible because if the market continues to trend lower, we want to capitalize on that momentum. Interestingly enough, I'm looking forward to this mean reversion trade because of the News catalyst Unemployment Data. News releases can also provide the catalyst for a short term bottom and top in the markets. A good example of this was on June 27th earlier this year. After the news, a short term top was formed and price pulled back 100 pips. Anticipating something similar here.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
EURUSD... Bearish-BATWe have XABC, and almost D. Lets set a limit order. SL: 15 pips. TP: 15, 30, 45, 60 pips. What is the Bat harmonic pattern? The pattern is a 5-point retracement structure that was discovered in 2001 by Scott Carney. It has particular Fibonacci measurements for every point within its structure. It is necessary to note that D is not a point, but rather a zone in which price is probably going to reverse. This zone is known as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The B point retracement of the primary XA leg has to be lower than a 0.618, preferably a 0.50 or 0.382. The PRZ is made up of 3 converging harmonic levels: 0.886 retracement of the primary XA leg Extended AB=CD chart pattern, mostly 1.27 AB=CD Minimum BC projection is 1.618 Info by patternswizard Wait until 2 hours. Then, if it reaches the price, wait another 5 hours for closing. See you soon. JB.-
Short
by JBPip
Eurusd New Month .. New Lows to 1.07? 🛎️Traders! (≖_≖ ) we haven't seen a steady trend like this with 7 weeks of the same candles since June 2020. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 1:35 Weekly timeframe 5:13 Daily timeframe 7:25 4hr timeframe 9:46 1hr timeframe 11:30 Bias Hello traders. Yes, we did just create a daily support today at 1.0773. However, this support was created during a Bank Holiday and if you've hung around the block long enough in forex you know that Bank Holiday's have low volume and we should acknowledge them accordingly. If we do end up curling back to the upside here on Eurusd we do have 2 clean ranges on the 1hr and 4hr timeframes so long as we get above 1.08. With that said, the market is not random and we must act accordingly as we may coninue to descend into the depths below as we have been for nearly 2 months now. It is important to be flexible at times this . Bulls and Bear got thrown around last week with a early in the week Bullside push followed by a continuation of higher timeframe momentum to end the week, that also coincided with decent NFP data that was released better than expected. It is possible that we will soon touch into the next daily support level 1.0744. Momentum is still prevalent and so we must allot to it our due diligence.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
The Previous Week / Fundamental Releases and Price Action 🕋In this video we start by observing the movement of Eurusd from a top down perspective. We eventually break down the week's fundamental news releases and their impact on price behavior on the 1 hour timeframe as this is the bulk of the video. This week we went up and they came straight back down. Fundamental news releases played a suspicious role in the price behavior this week and we investigate their significance.
by ShrewdCatfx
EURUSD Analyze (Road Map)!!!🗺️(15 min)🏃‍♂️ EURUSD is running in the 🟢 Support zone 🟢. 🌊According to Elliott's theory , EURUSD has completed its 5-wave downtrend at the 🟢 Support zone 🟢. 🌊It seems that correction waves will start from the 🟢 Support zone 🟢. 🔔I expect EURUSD to rise at least until the end of wave 4 . Euro/U.S.Dolalr Analyze (EURUSD), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
32
Messy Monthly Candle close😾🐱Just look at this ruthless pullback breaking hearts during this monthly candle close. 0:0 Monthly Timeframe and previous Long Call 2:14 Weekly timeframe 3:34 Daily timeframe 7:10 4hr timeframe 9:50 1Hr timeframe 12:01 Fundamentals If you've been around long enough, you would understand that the monthly candle close in forex can be tricky. Price pulled up during this previous daily candle close and that was probably the most straightforward move in the market that've I've seen in months. The 1.086 move towards 1.093 was very easy to anticpate. That was like the 1 trade a month sort of trade. Tbh I don't see a whole lot occuring prior to NFP data during friday NY session. We've already moved up a decent amount on the week. Tbh we've already hit my Weekly bullish targets being 1.093 and 1.09. With NFP, ohh mann, what a wild close to the week if we retrace towards 1.10 with a continued sentiment , Risk on , Sell USD
by ShrewdCatfx
Countertrend push early in Week 🦖 We can observe a countertrend push early in the week here 0:0 Monthly timeframe and upcoming economic data this week 3:28 Weekly timeframe 4:48 Daily timeframe 6:40 4hr timeframe 9:05 1hr timeframe Will this countertrend push to the upside maintain despite obvious bearish momentum stretching from the Monthly timeframe? We'll see how far price will retrace here as my thoughts are a touch into the most recent daily resistance zone at 1.0864. Today during NY and London sessions we ranged hard which is expected for Monday. It Built up energy as price decided to increase through the transition of the new daily candle. Given this bullish daily candle close on monday, I'm anticipating a further retracement and pullback on the higher timeframes to 1.086 to 1.087. Key zones are 1.08225 1hr zone and 1.0806 4hr support zone. We also may see price touch 1.0795. I am looking for a Weekly wick fill this week as we have momentum on the higher timeframes. Housing data, consumer confidence and job openings will play bring some volatility during NY and So I will be looking out for that.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
$EURUSD Up Sloping Trend Line FX:EURUSD Up Sloping Trend Line An "Up Sloping Trend Line" is a basic concept in technical analysis, a method used to analyze and forecast the price movements of financial assets like stocks, currencies, commodities, and more. This trend line is a graphical representation of an uptrend or bullish movement in the price of an asset over time. Here's how it works: 1. **Construction**: An up-sloping trend line is drawn by connecting the successive higher lows in an uptrend. In other words, you start by identifying a series of low points on the price chart, and then draw a straight line that connects these low points. The idea is that as long as the price remains above this trend line, the overall trend is considered upward. 2. **Uptrend Confirmation**: An up-sloping trend line confirms the presence of an uptrend in the market. It signifies that buyers are consistently entering the market at higher prices, indicating increasing demand and positive sentiment. 3. **Support Levels**: An up-sloping trend line acts as a dynamic support level. In the event that the price retraces or experiences a temporary decline, traders often look for potential buying opportunities when the price approaches or touches the trend line. 4. **Visualizing Trends**: Trend lines help traders visualize the general direction of price movement. They provide a visual representation of the trend's strength and help in identifying potential trend reversals. 5. **Breakouts and Signals**: Traders pay attention to the behavior of price in relation to the trend line. A breakout above the trend line might indicate a continuation of the uptrend, while a sustained breakdown below the trend line could suggest a potential trend reversal or at least a weakening of the uptrend. It's important to note that while trend lines can be valuable tools for technical analysis, they should not be relied upon in isolation. Other indicators, such as volume patterns, candlestick patterns, and broader market conditions, should be considered alongside trend lines for a more comprehensive analysis. Additionally, trends can change, so continuous monitoring and adaptation of analysis are necessary. Overall, an up-sloping trend line is a simple yet effective tool that helps traders and analysts assess the direction and potential strength of an uptrend in a market.
by AlgoTradeAlert
Eurusd Momentum 🐻-> Probabilities Suggest Flexibility over the Rigid Ego wins. Trading with the trend Eurusd? 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:35 Weekly timeframe 4:50 Daily timeframe 6:30 4hr timeframe 7:36 1Hr timeframe Hey everyone. A new week and a new opportunity to master our emotions and skills in the markets. Experience suggests to me that we will sell a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. However, and similar to last week we may see a 30 pips - 70 pips pullback prior to a push towards Daily support level 1.07455 and Weekly support level 1.07. Those are my weekly targets for Eurusd. If Eurusd decides it's a week to pullback then we may observe an increase back towards Daily resistance level at 1.0895. Otherwise, we sit in a range right now between 4hr support 1.07941 and 4hr resistance 1.08161. Be adaptable and flexible with regard to a change in market conditions. If we do decide to do a continuation to the support level's mentioned above, be ready to hold on to some runners to maximize profits. No Red folders news to begin the week here on monday.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
EUR/USD -27/8/2023-• Technical long term picture for the Euro/Dollar pair is a bit mixed at the moment and at a critical area • The yearly rally from 0.95 to almost 1.13 represents the 61.8% retracement level of the 2021 decline from 1.22 to 0.95 • The above statement gets us wondering whether the 2022-2023 rally is a trend reversal and bullish trend or just a correction of the preceding decline • On the other side, there is an ascending channel and a higher highs higher lows identified since early March and it is still intact despite the recent drop • The bottom trend line support of the channel along with the previous swing low around mid 1.06s are very critical in this scenario • A break of the channel and the support level highlighted on the chart (1.0640) confirms a deeper decline and a break of the high lows series which invalidates the up trend • Further below there is a strong support around 1.05 followed by 1.0220 • If the bullish trend were to persist and the series of higher highs stay intact, we can expect a move up to 1.14-1.15 levels • What might trigger such dramatic moves is the jobs report in the upcoming week, inflation data in the coming weeks and any hint of a prolonged pause or surprise hike by any of the ECB or the FED
by RamziAbouAbdallah-CMT