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EUR/USD Struggles as Tariff Risks, ECB Rate Cut Prospects WeighThe euro edged up but stayed pressured around $1.03 amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariff policies. Over the weekend, Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on Mexican and Canadian imports, a 10% duty on Chinese goods, and threatened EU tariffs, citing the U.S. trade deficit. However, Mexico secured a one-month delay by agreeing to deploy 10,000 troops to curb fentanyl trafficking. The euro also faced pressure from the ECB’s dovish stance and prospects of further rate cuts after last week’s expected 25bps reduction. Meanwhile, Euro Area inflation rose to 2.5% in January, above the 2.4% forecast, while core inflation held at 2.7%, defying expectations of a slight dip. From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0305, with further resistance levels at 1.0360 and 1.0460 if the price breaks above. On the downside, the initial support is at 1.0220, followed by additional support levels at 1.0180 and 1.0120.
by zForexcom
EURUSD Hits Support Zone—Is a Bullish Reversal Coming!!!As I expected , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) fell to the target I set yesterday. EURUSD is moving near Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and 100_SMA(4-hour) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the EURUSD has succeeded in completing the corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the EURUSD to rise again. One of the signs of completion can be a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern with a suitable volume . I expect EURUSD to rise to Resistance zone($1.0534-$1.0448) after breaking the Resistance lines . Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0333, we can expect more dumps . Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15
EUR/USD Outlook to recover the imbalance My EU outlook for this week is similar to GU as the dollar index gapped to the upside which made pairs like GU and EU to drop down heavy. once price did so it did breach a lot of my previous demands so we have to now adapt and re adjust our analysis and forecast. So i have this demand zone that as you can see is getting reacted off of which what i drew out a. while ago which is the 8hr demand zone. I feel like this zone will hold as there is of validity. If price reacts well and manages to cover that gap i will then look to short inside the 1hr supply zone but after finding of course LTF confirmation. COnfluences for EU Buys are as follows: - The price gap has left a significant imbalance that needs to be filled. - Price is currently in a 8-hour demand zone that previously caused a Break of Structure (BOS), making it a valid POI. - There is a large pool of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken. - The setup aligns well with the DXY correlation. - For price to carry on going down it must form a correction to the upside regardless. P.S. If price decides to go lower then we might be in a bearish trend temporarily and will have to look for a new near by supply to capitilise on a shift of trend to the downside. Thats if this 8hr demand doesn't hold.
Long
by Hassan_fx
Fundamental Market Analysis for february 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD was subjected to heavy selling on Monday and fell towards 1.0200 early in the Asian session. Spot prices have returned to more than two-year lows reached in January and look set to continue their multi-month downtrend. The US Dollar (USD) is rising across the board in response to US President Donald Trump's decision over the weekend to impose 25 per cent duties against Canada and Mexico, as well as an additional 10 per cent against China. This marks the start of a new global trade war and has curbed investor appetite for risky assets. The flow of anti-risk sentiment is putting good pressure on the safe-haven quid, which is becoming a key factor putting downward pressure on EUR/USD. Meanwhile, on Friday evening, Trump announced that he will impose tariffs on goods from the European Union. This comes amid the European Central Bank's (ECB) stance, which continues to undermine the common currency. As expected, the ECB cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points (bps) last Thursday and left the door open for further rate cuts before the end of this year. This is a significant divergence from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) pause, which favours dollar bulls and supports the prospects for further EUR/USD declines. Meanwhile, the recent sharp pullback in US Treasury yields acts as a headwind for the quid and may provide some support to spot prices. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: Following a successful retest of our Mean Resistance at 1.051, the Eurodollar has undergone a significant retracement to our Mean Support at 1.041. It is now positioned to approach the newly established Mean Support at 1.024. We anticipate that this downtrend will persist as it seeks to retest the Interim Inner Currency Dip, set at 1.020, in conjunction with Key Support at 1.024. However, this downward movement may also result in a temporary "dead-cat bounce," allowing the price action to prepare for the subsequent decline.
by TradeSelecter
**Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting $2,818** **Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis:** - **Current Price:** Around **$2,800.29** - **Key Resistance:** **$2,818.05** (Potential target zone) - **Spot Zone:** Previous resistance turned support around **$2,790** - **Recent Price Action:** - Gold broke above a key resistance level (now acting as support). - Price faced a **minor rejection** but is consolidating, potentially forming a bullish continuation pattern. - **Forecast:** - If price holds above **$2,790**, consolidation could lead to a breakout toward **$2,818**. - A strong breakout above **$2,818** could signal further upside momentum. - A rejection from this level might result in a pullback to **$2,790** support. Overall, bullish sentiment remains strong unless price drops below **$2,790**.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
US Economic Data Impact: Will EURUSD Test Support zone Again?Today, key U.S. economic data was released , including GDP , Unemployment Claims , and the GDP Price Index . These data points had a direct impact on the U.S. dollar, resulting in volatility in the EURUSD pair . The weaker-than-expected GDP and lower inflation caused a temporary weakening of the USD, but the strong labor market data still supports the dollar, potentially limiting further downside for EURUSD. This was an analysis of the US economic data that was released today. ------------------------------------ EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) entered the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) again, and it seems that this move is a Pullback to the ascending channel (broken) . According to Elliott's wave theory , pullback appears to be a Zigzag corrective wave(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect EURUSD to attack the Support zone($1.039-$1.033) again, 100_SMA(4-hour) , and decline to at least the width of the broken ascending channel . Was the bullish candle the previous hour in the role of a pullback or the start of another upward trend for EURUSD? Note: If EURUSD goes over $1.049, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
11
EURUSD Near Ascending Channel’s Peak: Will It Reverse?EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) rose to the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044), as I expected in the previous idea . EURUSD is moving in the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) and near the upper line of the Ascending Channel ( the role of resistance ). According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed 5 impulsive waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect EURUSD to fall at least to the Targets I have marked on the chart . What do you think? Will EURUSD break the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) or back to test the Support zone($1.039-$1.033)? Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044), we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15
**EUR/USD Bearish Breakout: Potential Drop to 1.03500**This EUR/USD 1-hour chart indicates a **bearish breakout** from an ascending channel. Key observations: 1. **Breakout Confirmation:** Price has broken below the lower trendline of the rising channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. 2. **Bearish Momentum:** The price is retesting the broken trendline, and rejection at this level could confirm further downside. 3. **Target Zone:** The next significant support is around **1.03500**, aligning with previous structure levels. 4. **EMA Slope:** The short-term moving averages are turning bearish, adding confluence to a possible downward move. If the price holds below the breakout zone, a short setup toward 1.03500 could be valid. A re-entry above the trendline could invalidate this bearish bias. FOREXCOM:EURUSD
Short
by TRADE_CENTER_1
EUROUSD TRADING POINT UPDATE> READ THE CHAPTIN Buddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Euro USD Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup Euro USD breakout of MA 200 ) Now 👍 Looking start with bullish trend 📈 🚀 analysis setup update fisrt I look short 1.04918- 1.04322). That' is good buying zone ☺️) target point 1.5540) Key resistance level 1.05215 +1.05540 Key support level 1.4500 1.043222. .104107 Mr SMC Trading point Support 💫 My hard analysis setup like And Following 🤝 me that star ✨ game 🎮
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar saw a significant increase during this week's trading session after successfully breaking through our resistance levels at 1.031 and 1.039 and is now resting at the previous weekly chart analysis charts identified as a resistance level of 1.051. We expect a rally towards the next key target, the Interim Inner Currency Rally, set at 1.060. However, this upward movement could lead to a temporary retracement towards the support level at 1.041 and may challenge the next significant support level at 1.024.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD Roadmap==>>Short-term!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving near the Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and inside the Ascending Channel . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has succeeded in completing the main wave 3 above the ascending channel and is currently completing the main wave 4 . I expect EURUSD to attack the Resistance zone($1.052-$1.044) again soon, and the main wave 5 could end in this zone. What do you think? Will EURUSD break the support zone or bounce back to test the resistance zone? Note: If EURUSD can break the Support zone($1.039-$1.033), the lower line of the ascending channel, and 100_SMA(4-hour) , we should expect a further decline of this pair. Note: Donald Trump's speech and the announcement of the Unemployment Claims index can affect the EURUSD trend(Tomorrow). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 24, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is attracting buyers towards 1.04500 in the early Asian session on Friday, fuelled by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Later on Friday, preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for January in the Eurozone and Germany will be released. In the US, the flash S&P PMI for January will take centre stage. U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos led to a decline in the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies. Late on Thursday, Trump said he wants to see interest rates cut immediately and accordingly they should fall across the board. ‘The markets seem to be more concerned about lower rates and any indication that they're going to be cut’, said David Eng, an investment adviser at Sonora Wealth Group in Vancouver. Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasised on Wednesday that the central bank is ‘not too concerned’ about the risk of inflation from abroad and will continue to cut interest rates at a gradual pace. Markets have priced in a nearly 96% probability that the ECB will cut rates at its upcoming meeting. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1
"JPY/USD Bearish Channel Analysis: Potential Reversal Near ResisThis chart shows JPY/USD moving within a clear descending channel, marked by a resistance trendline (upper boundary) and a support trendline (lower boundary). The price is respecting the structure of the channel, bouncing between these trendlines. ### Key Observations: 1. **Current Position:** The price is near the resistance trendline, suggesting a potential reversal to the downside in line with the channel's bearish trend. 2. **Projected Move:** Based on the arrow drawn, the expectation is for the price to move lower toward the support trendline. 3. **Trend:** The overall structure indicates a bearish market within this channel. ### Possible Action: - Look for selling opportunities around the resistance trendline with targets toward the lower boundary of the channel (support). - Watch for a breakout from the channel if momentum builds significantly, as this could indicate a change in the trend.
Short
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar: The chart shows an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish market. There are several "break of structure" (bos) points where the price has broken previous resistance levels, suggesting strong momentum. The current price is around 2,730.530, with a breakout at this level hinting at a potential upward movement towards the projected price target of 2,762.140. The resistance level is approximately 2,740.000, while there's a support zone marked by a shaded area below the current price. Overall, the chart suggests that the gold price might continue to rise, making it a good time for bullish trades. *Short-term target*: 2,740.000 - This is the immediate resistance level. If the price breaks above this level, it could move towards the next target. 2. *Medium-term target*: 2,762.140 - This is the projected price target if the bullish momentum continues and the price breaks through the resistance at 2,740.000. Keep in mind that these targets are based on current market trends and technical analysis. It's always a good idea to monitor the market closely and adjust your strategy as needed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 21, 2025 EURUSDThe Euro-Dollar pair remains in negative territory after cutting its recent losses, trading around 1.03800 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) remains under pressure amid prevailing expectations for the European Central Bank (ECB). Markets expect a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at each of the ECB's next four meetings, driven by concerns over the eurozone's economic outlook and the belief that inflationary pressures will remain subdued. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the U.S. dollar against six major currencies, rose to 108.30 at the time of writing. The US Dollar recovered from recent losses in the previous session, helped by news that President Donald Trump intends to direct federal agencies to review tariff policy and assess the United States' trade relations with Canada, Mexico and China. However, the dollar faced headwinds after Bloomberg reported that President Donald Trump will not immediately announce new tariffs after his inauguration on Monday. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep the benchmark overnight rate in a range of 4.25 percent to 4.50 percent at its January meeting. However, investors believe that Trump's policies could lead to rising inflationary pressures, which could limit the Fed to another rate cut. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.04000, if consolidated above consider Buy positions, if rebounded consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has seen a notable increase in volatility during this week's trading session after completing our significant Outer Currency Dip at 1.020. The interim rebound reached our target of the Mean Resistance at 1.030, as outlined in last week's chart analysis. We are now anticipating a retest of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, with additional extension levels at Outer Currency Dips of 1.016 and 1.005, respectively.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Longs from 1.02000 back upWhile the overall trend for EUR/USD (EU) remains bearish, the strong reaction from my marked demand zone last week has caused a Change of Character (CHOCH) to the upside. This indicates a temporary shift in momentum, and I plan to capitalize on this bullish move. My strategy is to wait for a retracement back into the 8-hour demand zone below. Once the price taps into this zone while sweeping liquidity, I’ll look for lower time frame confirmations to enter buy positions. However, if the price continues to move higher without retracing, I’ll consider potential sell opportunities from the key level at 1.04000. Confluences for EU Buys: - A CHOCH to the upside has temporarily shifted the trend. - Significant liquidity to the upside in the form of equal highs and an imbalance that needs to be filled. - A clean, unmitigated 8-hour demand zone remains below. - The DXY aligns with this counter-trend idea. - A pool of liquidity below is likely to be swept before price enters the point of interest (POI). Note: If the price breaks structure further to the upside, I’ll identify a new demand zone. For now, my primary focus remains on the 8-hour demand zone below for buys and the 6-hour supply zone above for potential sells.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
Is EURUSD Set for a Reversal? Watch the Potential Reversal ZonesThe recent release of Core PPI and PPI m/m published in lower than expected , signaling a potential decrease in inflationary pressures in the U.S. This could lead to speculation about a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, which might weaken the U.S. Dollar and provide support for other currencies, including the Euro. Let’s analyze how this data could influence the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) chart. The EURUSD is moving through a Heavy Support zone($1.036-$1.011) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main five waves (downward) , and we can expect upward waves . I expect EURUSD to start rising again from the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Uptrend line and then attack the upper Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If this zone is broken, we should wait for the EURUSD to attack the Resistance line . 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. ⚠️Note: If the EURUSD goes below the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ), EURUSD may fall further. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
8