Eurodollar
EUR/USD -4/4/2023-• Bullish trend intact
• Ascending channel
• Higher highs higher lows both on the price chart and MACD confirming the trend
• MACD in positive territory
• Price above 50 and 100 SMA with bullish crossover, fast MA crossing above the slow one
• Bulls need to overcome the 1.0930 resistance level
• Next target above that level will be 1.1030
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 31, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The currency repeated its completed Intermediate Inner Currency Rally of 1.092, posting new Mean Res 1.090 with a price action pointing to our Mean Sup 1.074 - Resumption downtrend to Mean Sup 1.050 and Inner Currency Dip of 1.046 in process.
The fall of the EURO with a 🗻Double Top🗻 pattern!!!It seems that according to the regular divergence(rd-) between the two peaks created in the 🔴resistance zone🔴, the possibility of creating a Double Top pattern after the breaking of the uptrend line is very high.
Since the DXY analysis is bullish, the probability of the euro falling after breaking the neckline of the Double Top pattern to the 🟢support zone🟢 is high.
The Double Top pattern is likely of the Adam-Adam type, which has many credibilities.
DXY analyze👇
🔅Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD ), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
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Opportunity to jump on the Train or get ready for Sell side? 🕛We have corrected the GDP volatility and continuation at 530PST. However, We have pulled back to a 1Hr/4Hr zone at 1.0895 and this woulnd't be a bad place to jump on the bullish train. I'm just watching for the rest of the day. I jumped off the train already with Buys. With all this said, we have increased 145 pips on the week. Wouldn't be surprised if Price drops from these prices tbh back to 1.0854 Daily Zone. We'll see what happens as we move into CPI data tomorrow. Safe trading. Not Financial Advice. Just education.
EUR/USD Double Top Formation Indicates Potential Discount BuyingAs anticipated yesterday, the EUR/USD experienced a robust bullish impulse that met our target price. Subsequently, the value formed a double top pattern, and today it appears to be retesting the neckline before a potential downward movement. If the price drops, we plan to purchase at a discounted price near the 61.8% Fibonacci level and wait for a long-term impulse in the direction of the primary trend.
EUR/USD Reverses Gains as Greenback Strengthens Ahead Key DataEUR/USD Reverses Recent Gains as Greenback Gains Strength Ahead of Key Data Releases
After four consecutive daily advances, the EUR/USD has given up some ground at the end of the week. The German docket's disappointing results, combined with renewed buying interest in the greenback, have contributed to the reversal of the recent multi-session upside.
Despite this setback, the ECB's expected rate hikes in May are likely to lend support to the pair's upside momentum, especially as there is growing speculation that the Federal Reserve might decide to hold rates at its next gathering.
The weekly uptrend in EUR/USD has encountered a formidable barrier around the monthly highs near 1.0930 on Friday. In Germany's domestic calendar, Retail Sales contracted 7.1% in the year to February, while the March jobs report showed the Unemployment Change increased by 16K persons, and the Unemployment Rate ticked higher to 5.6%.
Later in the session, flash inflation figures in the euro area will take center stage ahead of ECB Chairwoman C. Lagarde's speech. Meanwhile, in the US, all eyes are on the PCE inflation measurement, Personal Income/Spending, and the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment.
NY open Volume may take us to next Daily Zone? >1.07995We must first make it Past 1.07825 4Hr/1Hr Zone. Ny Open may provide the catalyst to move up to the next daily zone as we have planned and mentioned in yesterdays publishing.
Price is creeping up towards resistance zone at 1.07825 as we transition into the NY Session. This is suspicious and we could breakout to the upside as we have clean traffic on the 1Hr Timeframe
up to 1.0833. It is monday and is a good idea to start the week out on a good note and follow your trading plan. If the new 4Hr candle closes above 1.07721 then I like buys more for the session. If not then we may range or go back to lows of our rnage at 1.07425
EUR/USD -28/03-2023-Suggested Elliott wave analysis
• Rule #1: Wave 3 can never be the shortest impulse wave (applies here)
• Rule #2: Wave 2 can never go beyond the start of wave 1 (applies here)
• Rule #3: Wave 4 never enters the territory of wave 1 (applies here)
Wave 2 usually retraces between 50% to 61.8% of wave 1 (applies here and shown)
Wave 3 is the longest
Wave 4 usually retraces around 38.2% of wave 3 (applies here and shown)
If the assumption is correct, we are now in wave 5. This is a very simple and basic Elliott wave drawing, I am still not really advanced at it.
Let me know your opinions,
Thank you
LONG EURUSD (4H TIMEFRAME)Following on my idea on the daily and weekly timeframes below:
EURUSD looks like have completed its pullback before uptrend continuation.
EURUSD retested the support (demand) zone and tipple bottom neckline at the bottom of area 1.07 on the 4H timeframe with failing to break below.
Possibly a sub uptrend channel is forming, which next target is into the upper channel above previous and current month high into area 1.11.
Very possible we may pullback early in week --> 1.08 Daily LevelIt is possible we may continue to pullback early in week and continue to reject daily level 1.07425. We must consider every daily level, even when we have a medium to long term bias on an asset. I think we can continue to pullback to the previous daily zone at 1.07795 before we see sellers step in and put in their two cents. Also the weekly candle needs to pullback and create a top wick. We had a very steep dive last week which we caught on the sell side. The wick on the daily candle shows rejection at a Monthly support and resistance zone at 1.09. I Still like a Bearish outlook. We have inflation data this week, at the end of the week that is. I think by that time we will have solid trend, and consequently use cpi data for a continuation of trend on the 4hr which we can ride. Safe Trading.
EURUSD Short setup 23-3-15EURUSD was rejected from the 1.10 range and further price correction can be expected, I am currently waiting for a return to the desired level.
If you see a suitable setup in the time frame of 1 hour, you can enter the short position.
This Analysis will be updated ...
Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto
15. Mar .23
(DYOR)
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EURUSD: Rejection at 1.067 is a Buying OpportunityThe EURUSD broke through the 1.080 resistance level quickly, but was just as quickly rejected and closed below the level, returning to the channel it was previously moving in. I expect the price to retest the resistance at 1.080 before falling to the strong monthly support level at 1.067, where it coincides with the 61.8 Fibonacci and the 100 and 200 moving averages on the 4-hour chart. Below it is an annual uptrend line, so any rejection at this level would be a buying signal.
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Euro to CrashWe're still anticipating one more low for the Euro against the Dollar. As you can see the move down in the last few weeks has been 5 minute waves down to make a minor wave 1. We moved quite sharply up last week in what looks to be a blowoff top to finish the minor wave 2 and we anticipate a very sharp move down over the coming weeks to complete a minor wave 3 taking us back towards parity. shorting from current prices should provide a very nice return over the coming weeks and months. It seems traders have become overly bullish on Europe and this is likely about to change, with Credit Suisse and now likely Deustche Bank about to go over the edge as well, the European banking system isn't as strong as the ECB will have you believe and with Putin making moves to escalate the war in Ukraine further still by moving tactical nuclear weapons into Belarus the sentiment might be about to change. In addition to this we are forecasting that the US economy will continue to show more strength than the EU's and inflation looks to be on the rise again globaly, the Fed will likely continue on their path of rate hikes or at least maintaining the 'higher for longer policy'. All of this leads us to believe shorting the Euro will turn out highly lucrative in the weeks to come.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 24, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The currency has completed our Inner Currency Rally 1.092 as well, posting new Mean Res 1.085 with a possibility of the retest of the letter. The main down path target is Mean Sup 1.074 - Resumption to Inner Currency Dip of 1.046 is in progress.
Best zone for short in Eurusdwe had a bullish choch in the daily timeframe, so if i want to take a risk and if i want to open a short position (with a low probability of activation), I will do so from the two specified areas and i avoid getting short on gaps, because the trend is bullish (in the bigger timeframe(daily))
GoodLuck everyone.