EUR/USD: Pullback 50% 61.8% FIBO For a New LONG SetupAccording to ING economists, the EUR/USD pair has retreated after surpassing the 1.0900 mark. Nevertheless, they anticipate that the pair will reach the level of 1.1000 in the near future.
Today, market focus will be on the PMI readings in the Eurozone. ING predicts that the survey will stabilize around the figures from February. Unless there are any major surprises, the PMI releases are unlikely to have a significant impact on the market as the macro fundamentals are currently playing a secondary role to the financial market's stress.
ING suggests that the Dollar bias will remain bearish, and European currencies will be supported by hawkish central banks and a less volatile banking environment, which could lead to the testing of the 1.1000 level in the near future.
Eurodollar
EUR/USD Continues to Climb, Testing 7-Week HighsOn Thursday, EUR/USD remained strongly bullish and showed no signs of slowing down. The pair managed to hit fresh 7-week highs, testing the 1.0930 level. This consistent upward trend can be attributed to the persistent selling pressure on the US dollar, which resulted in the USD Index (DXY) hitting multi-week lows, falling below the 102.00 level earlier in the day. The dovish hike by the Fed during its Wednesday meeting, coupled with Chair Powell's downbeat message at his press conference following the rate hike, also contributed to the pair's upward momentum.
The European Commission will release the flash EMU Consumer Confidence for the current month, which will likely have an impact on the euro's performance. In the US, weekly Claims, Chicago Fed National Activity Index, and New Home Sales are expected to be released.
The EUR/USD pair's optimistic outlook remains intact, and it looks to consolidate its recent strong rebound past the 1.0900 resistance level. The pair's immediate target is the 2023 high near 1.1030. The pair's future price action will be largely dependent on the US dollar's movement and the European Central Bank's potential next moves, considering the current context dominated by elevated inflation, although amidst dwindling recession risks for the time being.
LONG EURUSD (Daily Timeframe)Following up on my previous post below and zooming in thru the daily timeframe:
EURUSD is at the resistance area (supply zone) 1.08 and holding on. A break above may be confirmed today after FOMC and Fed rate decision.
A break above, will lead to the upper channel of the correction uptrend (ABC) and to the next resistance and supply area at level 1.15 as next target.
Euro can continue rise and reach resistance line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the graph, we can see how the Euro formed resistance area 1.0790-1.0805 from which the bounce back and begin to decline. The price dropped and created a support zone 1.0535-1.0515, from which it began to move up and created an upward channel. We also see how earlier the price made the downward impulse, broke through support of channel and retested the support area. After retest of the support area, the price returned to the channel and continued to move upwards and break through resistance level 1.0760. Euro make small correction to support level, retested it and continue to grow. Now the price is close to the resistance area and can continue to move and break through it. I think that after a possible breakdown of the resistance area, the price can keep moving up, so I decided to set two goals at level 1.0805 and at level 1.0830 which coincide with the resistance line of channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
💵Euro/U.S.Dollar💵Analyze (Short Term, 03/20/2023)!!!Euro /U.S.Dollar was able to make a rising wedge pattern near the resistance zone.
Because of the previous bearish Sharpie move that is evident on the chart, I expect at least Euro /U.S.Dollar fall to the support zone.
🔅Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD ), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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EUR/USD -16/03/2023-• Technical picture in favor of the bears
• 2 bearish patterns on daily chart
• First pattern is the broadening pattern highlighted in yellow
• Second pattern is head and shoulders highlighted in green
• 1.0500 support is very critical at the moment ( neckline of head and shoulders and previous pivot low )
• Yesterday's drop penetrated the 20 MA which is now acting as resistance
• Bulls need to overcome 1.0730 resistance to turn the trend in their favors
EUR/USD remains above multi-month uptrend lineEUR/USD
Despite that current price is above the multi-month uptrend line (September 2022 low - January 2023 high), current price remains vulnerable to the key support at 1.0525, the fact that price did pierce below the 1.0525 level yesterday does raise the risk that there could be another attempt for price to test the 1.0525 support. A clean break below the key support could trigger a further downside push towards 1.0440.
Bearing in mind that 1.0440 does intersect at 2 technical levels (see chart) which could build the case that 1.0440 has potential to become established as the next key support level provided the 1.0525 support fails to hold.
(a) The December 5th 2022 low at 1.0440 intersects on the prevailing upward trend line (see chart)
(b) The 26 week moving average also intersects at 1.0440 (see chart)
Conclusion: Provided price can hold above the multi-month trend line the prospects for the prevailing long term uptrend to continue remains.
💵Euro/U.S.Dollar💵Analyze (Short Term, 03/10/2023)!!!Euro /U.S.Dollar reached the top of the descending channel for the third time while it sees the 🔴resistance zone($1.07220-$1.06850)🔴 above.
It also seems that the RSI indicator is forming an Expanding Triangle pattern in the 4-hour time frame.👇
I expect the EUR to break down to the 🟢support zone($1.050-$1.046)🟢(maybe more) based on my analysis of the DXY as well as the high points.👇
🔅Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD ), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
CPI Should've taken us Above 1.07371 Daily Level ?My expectations for EU Bulls and CPI data missed. Even though my bias is still Bearish on EU as long as we hold below 1.07371 on the 4hr, I Would've liked to see Bulls prove me wrong and take us up to the next 4hr level at (1.07625) This did not happen.
EUR/USD cautious before US CPI release - SHORT IDEAAfter reaching multi-week highs near 1.0750 earlier this week, the euro currency is losing momentum and pushing the EUR/USD pair back to the 1.0680/75 area. The recent moderate recovery in the greenback is contributing to the currency pair's correction, as well as concerns about the US banking sector and speculations about the Fed's upcoming decisions on interest rates.
EU Already up 90 Pips on week? beware of FOMO. After gapping up 40 Pips, then creating another leg up 50 pips Higher High to 1.07392 Daily Zone, I can see fomo kicking in. I think it's likely that
we will see a harsh liquidity pullback to 1.06895 Daily Zone before a further bullish continuation on the week ( which just began! ) Already moved up 90 pips..
quite a move for EU during the first session of the week. Short term at least looking for fakeout during London Open (1st of the week). CPI on Tuesday, We'll see how the first
few sessions of the week unfold here.
Key Levels to Watch for EURUSD Reversal SignalThe EURUSD has completed a double bottom pattern on the daily timeframe with a breakout above the neckline, indicating a shift towards a bullish trend. However, with every strong move and breakout, there is usually a corrective move to retest the broken level. I expect the price to retrace to either 1.06897, which is a previous support and neckline, 1.06601, which is the upper channel line that was breached, or even 1.06231, which is the confluence of the 50 and 100 moving averages on the 4-hour timeframe and the 200 moving average on the hourly timeframe, which the pair tends to return to after every extended move. From one of these three levels, we will wait for any reversal signal to enter a buying opportunity up to 1.0750
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💵Euro/U.S.Dollar💵Analyze (Short Term, 03/08/2023)!!!Euro/U.S.Dollar is running near the lower line of descending channel, support zone, and SMA100(Daily TF).
Also, Euro/U.S.Dollar was able to make a 🌅morning star candlestick pattern🌅.
I expect Euro/U.S.Dollar will go up at least until the middle line of descending channel
🔅Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD ), 2-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURUSD Struggling 1.05860. Previous Key level. We can observe that price is pulling back after fed speech caused us to fall off a cliff. This was expected. A Bullish Argument would be buy Daily Support as we reject 1.05428 and NFP data tomorrow will catapult us back up to 1.0646. My bias remains bearish because of the weekly timeframe. Price has corrected 40% of the move on Tuesday. If that is a deep enough retracement or not idk. What matters for me as a trader is good RR Ideas and operating off key levels.
EURUSD TA Time!Short update:
Overall(short, mid or long term):
Very bearish ever since first publish in 2019. Unfortunately, I have been right ever since. I reckon my predictions wont deviate that much, since it's a macros term analysis.
You have to understand, the EU does a lot with USD in multiple different respects. Like export and import. So when Euro values goes down, inflation is the after effects. While our salaries stays the same. There will be less spending, which means less transactions. If this keeps economic collapse might be inevitible. I reckon the verge of collapsing will be somewhere before 2030...
Hmmm... where did we hear this before? "The Great Reset, 2030. Where you will own nothing and be happy."
EUR/USD:Has EUR/USD started to stop the decline and rebound?Fundamentally, the market believes that the probability of the ECB's terminal interest rate of 4.25% this year is 65%, while last week's terminal interest rate was only 4.00%.The European Central Bank's hawkish bets may help the euro limit its losses in the short term.
On the technical side, EUR/USD has rebounded since hitting a low near 1.0530 last week. It has now crossed above the short-term moving average, and technical indicators have also shown signs of a low turning point, indicating that there are some buying orders in this position.However, at present, EUR/USD is still subject to the resistance of the previous support level of 1.058. If this position can be broken through, buyers may show interest, so that the rebound and upward trend can continue, and EUR/USD may expand the rebound to the 1.063 position; according to the current market, the 1.053 position seems to have formed support, and the market will definitely be tested repeatedly in the future. If repeated tests determine that the support is effective, EUR/USD is expected to form a structural arc bottom, which is conducive to the rebound of EUR/USD and constitutes a new round of upward channels.
If you encounter resistance in the 1.058-1.063 area during the rebound process, you may continue to test the effectiveness of the support at the 1.053 position. Once the support is shown to be invalid, beware of the risk of a downward trend in the EUR/USD market.
Overall, EUR/USD is safe, try to short as high as possible, and it can be shorted at the position of 1.063.
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FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD PEPPERSTONE:US500