EURUSD, Another setup for the bears.EURUSD / 4H
Hello traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
Technical analysis: The EURUSD currency pair has been experiencing a downward trend, with the price consistently breaking lower. Furthermore, on the monthly time frame, the price has rejected a major key level. In addition, the Dollar index DXY has also rejected a macro level, indicating further strength in the dollar. This, coupled with the US10Y bond market breaking its structure higher, makes it seem like a wise decision to invest in the dollar during its pullback phase.
The scenario I'm looking at:
test back to the broken trend line.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
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Eurodollar
EURUSD - It's at a very important area!EURUSD - It's at a very important area!
EUR - We are currently at a very important support area of the range.
What's happening to the market fundamentally?
Yesterday we had a very Hawkish Powell, as I mentioned in my previous post we had the indication of 25 basis point but I did mention we could perhaps change to 50 well.. embedded that in and we had a hawkish upward revision upward revision to the 2024 Dot Plots and Fed Swaps Now Favours 50bp Hike In March Repricing Higher From 25bp as mentioned by Powell is not out of picture and being priced in. Now that's a very important information... We had 2 yrs escalate to 5%. The 2% target of inflation will be achievable and it is a global target. Even though we have a hawkish ECB, pricing in further hike. The dollar is having much more of a major movement overall.
We had Gold hit 1800 areas again re-test of the lows, yields head higher, Yen 137 area and euro at the most important EUR 1.05 areas a break of this level, 1.04 can easily be achieved. However, if we break above the highs, I expect us to go towards 1.09 areas... Currently, we are within the ranges of highs: 1.07480 & lows: 1.04900.
Don't forget we have a busy docket today: ADP, Fed Chair Powell Testifies, JOLTs...and end of this week NFP!
Have a great day ahead,
Trade Journal
Key tip: Don't forget Risk Management!
EURUSD Bears In Trouble? --> Monday London Close 1.0667What great Bullish momentum we have seen on this pair. However, like in all forms of life , their must be a balance. A rebalancing of inventory. Idk, we may see lower prices and respect of Higher time frame market strucutre
(i.e./Daily timeframes) We''ll see what happens. You never really know. Though, experience can clue you on what has a good probability of occurring.
EURUSD: The long power of the exchange rate is gatheringAs mentioned in our article yesterday, as long as EUR/USD remains above 1.056, the bearish momentum is still limited, and once EUR/USD stabilizes above this position, the euro may point to 1.0650/60.The current exchange rate is 1.06482, which is fully in line with my expectations yesterday.
On the fundamental side, more hawkish remarks made by several members of the European Central Bank (ECB) support the euro and support the reasons for increasing huge interest rate increases in the coming months; in addition, the generally positive tone around the stock market is considered to put pressure on the safe-haven dollar and provide additional support for EUR/USD.
On the technical side, the continued strength of the pair and its foothold above the convergence resistance level of 1.0645-1.0650 are conducive to the rise of the market.In addition, the oscillators of the daily chart have just begun to move in the positive area and support the prospect of additional gains.However, any further increase may face some resistance in the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement area of about 1.0725, followed by the 50% Fibonacci retracement area of about 1.0785 and the 1.0800 integer mark.Some follow-up buying will negate any recent negative tendencies and will continue to push up EUR/USD.
On the 4-hour chart, the exchange rate is currently falling under the suppression of the short-term moving average, and the short-term technical indicators are biased towards the air. However, in the short-term, I think this is a technical correction to the previous increase. It is conducive to the market to consolidate the bottom while accumulating kinetic energy, which is more conducive to the small-level market to rise, and below at the position of 1.0635 is the intersection of the middle Bollinger band and the 30-day moving average support, which has relatively strong support for the short-term market.
Taken together, today's EUR/USD short-term operation thinking can go long at 1.0635.
FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD PEPPERSTONE:EURUSD CAPITALCOM:EURUSD
1.0633 and 1.0645 Eurusd. Clear Market StructureWe had Buyers use data to grab lower prices at 1.06. Time will tell if this is accurate. If we maintain market structure, In the short term, I see no reason why we could not touch 1.0645.
I concluded this from previous daily close. 1Hr and 4hr candle closures must respect 1.06230 1Hr Zone. Price Currently is at 1.06237. Though considering price gapped down over the weekend
by -.1% ,, it does not erase last daily candle closure. Bullish 36 Pip Body Candle. Idk seems sus considering previous bearish engulfing. We'll see. Riding Intraday Moves on EU requires flexibility.
EURUSD Daily: 26/02/2023: Important zones and possible scenarios
Well, you can see all the scenarios on the chart.
There is a huge liquidity pool below 1.0482 and we expect the price to collect them.
If you have questions, feel free to ask.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️26/02/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
EUR/USD -5/3/2023-• EUR/USD short term trend is neutral to bearish
• Long term trend bullish and intact as long as we are still above 200 MA
• Following strong rally, sellers broke the ascending trend line and are now trading inside a descending parallel channel
• Descending channel looks like a flag, a continuation pattern
• Meaning, most probably buyers will break above it and resume the up trend
• The pair is in correction mode, the drop stalled at the 38.2%
• Next resistance: R1: 1.0730
R2: 1.1030
EURUSD: Why I Expect 10% INCREASEHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
If you're interested in the EURUSD Forex market, this update is for you. There's an interesting pattern playing out for possibly the third time on the 3D chart. When using the Moving Averages together with trend line analysis and support zone / resistance zone analysis, it seems most reasonable to expect and increase from this point above the 200 day Moving Average, which is the purple line.
HOWEVER- if the price fails to capture the 200d MA again and falls under the orange (100d MA), this pattern would not hold true.
Interested in Ethereum ? Check out this idea:
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Euro can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observed on the graph, we can see how the Euro moves in a downward trend. Moving down, the price broke through the support area, which became the resistance area. You can also see how the price retested the resistance area and bounced back. Currently, the price is close to the support level and may continue to decline and break through it. I think the price may continue to fall and reach the buyer zone. So I decided to set two targets for Gold at level 1.0565 and in the buyer zone 1.0485-1.0515. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Eurusd could push further into Daily Zone at 1.07 Before SellersManufacturing data as anticpated, or missed slightly. Causing an initial decline in the EU Price. We are looking to close above 1.0657 on the 4hr for Buyers. Then I can observe it being possible for us to touch 1.07 and push deeper into the daily zone before we see sellers take over or range. If the Daily Candle closes like this, we will see a solid body candle.. and at the leasst expect a top wick on the next daily candle. Which, would be a nice intraday-move up.
EURUSD the long-term pic - My target 1.3-1.4I think it bottomed in 2022, and that Eurodollar futures are approaching end of cylce. Bounce will be supportive for the EURUSD. Bunds forming a wedge, turn down on US and BUND yields will make EURUSD bullish (rate differential) like in past cycles
Grega
EURNZD Things can change in a weekIt’s amazing how things can change in a week. Last week I was looking to buy EURNZD around 1.69450. The deeper retracment trade would have given me an a 1:2 risk to reward trade. This morning price made a new high.
After updating my chart( just adding a note there has been a new high(1.70615)so now I can focus on a new buy entry price) I have another chance to trade a 1 to 2.27 risk to reward trade based on the daily timeframe. I also have an opportunity to grab more pips on a lower timeframe.
Keeping it simple
When price is in an uptrend(bull volatile as this one) it’s best to not switch strategies. Trade what’s working. I’m trading my TMP strategy using a Fibonacci to help me get more than a 1:2 risk to reward. That’s it. No indicators. No trend lines. Just price in the form of candlesticks and a Fibonacci tool. Simple.
That’s what keeps the market fascinating. You never know when things will change. It’s a beautiful yet chaotic puzzle.
Wouldn’t you agree?
Today I’ll be live-streaming at 1:00 pm est. I hope you can join me. I’ll see you there.
Shaquan
Rates Obsession - a pro interest rates set-up on TradingView Interest rate pricing has a huge effect across many financial markets at present – the correlation between short-term rates, rates volatility and the USD is certainly evident.
However, with such a big window for increased volatility in interest rates pricing, as traders try and price the prospect of a 25bp or 50bp hike at the 22 March FOMC, as well as peak fed funds pricing, could increased pricing result in a big move in the USD and NAS100?
In the video, we look at how we can look at the fed funds curve and understand ‘what is priced in’ – we look at how to measure the degree of cuts priced in for a specific period of time, and how to look at implied volatility in bond markets – and, why it is important for FX and index traders?
Interest rates and short-term US Treasury bonds are the first derivative and so many markets take their direction from these inputs - hopefully, this gives some understanding of how you can use TradingView more effectively to assess these inputs.
AW Euro Dollar Analysis - Wave 1 Complete - Take Profits...In this video I explain how I got you into this trade, but it was only Wave v.
No harm done unless you decided to short at ridiculous levels.
Here I help you out once more by explaining what comes next.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
More Risk Off US Dollar scenarios?Risk Off DXY = Bullish US Dollar
If US Dollar Bullish, Nasdaq 100 will be?
You can cross check XAUUSD and EURUSD
Same outcome
Once you see, you cannot unsee
By Sifu Steve @ XeroAcademy
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of February 17, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar this week continued a downward retreat. The price action created new Mean Sup 1.066 as the intermediary beak point from the knockout punch. The leading upside target designation is Mean Res 1.075 - dead cat rebound. Once this puppy settles down, we will see a revival to the downside aiming for the main target of the Inner Currency Dip of 1.046.
EUR/USD Analysis: Potential Continuation of the Bullish TrendSince November 2022, the Euro has exhibited an upward trend against the US Dollar, thus prompting the consideration of purchasing opportunities. Following a decline to the 1.06 price level, which corresponds to a trendline and 0.764 Fibonacci level, demand on the price level has been observed with the formation of a bullish hammer pattern. Furthermore, an underlying bullish divergence in the daily timeframe's Relative Strength Index suggests a potential conclusion to the bearish retracement within the broader bullish trend.