Here's the outcome of the analysis I posted earlier. I outlined in my previous post that we would see a minor bullish pump up to the BSL to clear late shorts and I jumped on the ride. It's safe to say we've successfully accomplished that objective.
Again, I don't expect price to go above Monday's high, so I'm keeping my eyes peeled for the real short. Stay safe.
Eurodollar
My daily bias for EURUSD for today. 11/30/2022Since Monday's price action ran into an old weekly high. On the daily, we closed bearish and Tuesday's price action closed bearish as well. I'm expecting a minor bullish move to clear late shorts after which we will dump way lower into the 1.02 levels. I do not expect the bullish move to run up to Monday's high. It's a minor move, just aiming to clear late shorts.
EUR/USD -25/11/2022-• Trading above ascending trend line
• Symmetrical triangle on hourly chart, a continuation pattern
• A symmetrical triangle forms after a strong move, indicating a pause before the continuation of that prior trend
• Next target for bulls is 1.0480
• Bullish bias intact as long as the Euro is trading above the black ascending trend line
EUR/USD -24/11/2022-• Upward channels on daily chart
• First channel was broken, upper trend line was re-tested and is acting now as a support
• Pair now targets the upper resistance line of the second channel at around 1.05
• First resistance at 1.0480
• Second resistance at 1.0790
• Bullish stance as long as support at 1.0350 is held
EURUSD - 4H Continuation Play to at least 1.0356Ticker: EURUSD
Trade Type: 4H Continuation Play
Technicals Analysis
The technical have set-up nicely. The trade is good to take at close of the previous candle.
We're seeing a break of William %R above -80 for a continuation and the other indicators showing initial momentum for a further continuation.
Price & Target
Entry: 1.02673
Target Price: 1.03563 (50% of the position)
Stop Loss: 1.0225
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of November 18, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Following the strong Eurodollar rebound the previous week, the currency
completed our designated target of the Inner Currency Rally 1.038 this week, as specified on the EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For November 11 chart. Since completing the target, the Eurodollar is in retreat mode to Mean Sup 1.0285, potentially followed to a completed Inner Currency Rally of 1.038 retests one more time.
The prevailing down move is prone to pull back to our additional Mean Sup 1.014, 1.000, and 0.975. The down-trend projects for the Next Outer Currency Dip of 0.937 for the foreseeable future is being reignited.
#EURUSD Change in trend?EURUSD has finally broken the downtrend channel we have been trading in all year. A logical target would be 1.04 if this is not a fake break out. This is also the first consecutive 2 day close above the 50dma since February this year (if there is no massive turn tonight). Let's see how we go. the 200 day moving averages currently sit at 1.045 and 1.05 and will logically fall with time, so it should co-incide at 1.04 by the time price gets there, if this is the path it takes.
💵Euro/U.S.Dollar💵Analyze (Short Term, 11/15/2022)!!!Euro /U.S.Dollar was able to make Ascending Broadening Wedge over the heavy support zone.
I expect Euro /U.S.Dollar will go down at least to the support zone.
🔅Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD ) Timeframe 15min⏰.
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Euro Crash. ( Updated ) O.o
We update the analysis of the Euro that we have already done on other occasions. I think it's very easy to see what happens here.
- Bearish Channel, bouncing off institutional support or resistance zones, but with a dark future. Where the highest probability will be to see the Euro again at $0.85 very soon in 2023 (as we discussed in previous analyses) but also after a break of perhaps 1 and a half years of setback and relief. We will be able to live a new strong Fall until the year 2026 where we could see a Euro in values of $0.75 and finally for the year 2030 a fall of up to $0.64 to $0.56.
As we can see, it is NOT safe to maintain any currency other than the USD, since this is the dominant one, but the dollar does not protect us. The dollar is very damaged with a loss of more than 98% of the purchasing power of citizens over the years, but within all currencies it is the STRONGEST.
- On the other hand we will be able to see that the projections for the rest of the currencies are also horrendous, with which it will not be an isolated case only for the euro. We may see a Pound (GBP) at $0.85 by 2026 and up to $0.50 by 2030 if the trend DOES NOT CHANGE. And if he hasn't done it in all these years... why should he now?
- At the same time we can observe the currency of Japan (Japanese Yen) This currency seemed to be quite respected against the dollar, but that is over. We are facing a macro figure of change in trend. (A pattern known as the Inverted Headshoulder, + Bottom Round + Past Trend Break + Trend Reversal Confirmation by Breaking Previous Relative Highs)
It is time to worry and go. We are about to witness a loss of Value with respect to the dollar of at least 50%, 60%, 70% and the Japanese Yen up to values of 150% (in case of breaking the levels of 160) from June of the year 2021 until the year 2030
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of November 11, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Eurodollar has rebounded strongly this week since completing our Inner Currency Dip on 26 September - Upcoming target Inner Currency Rally is at 1.038. The prevailing down move is prone to pull back to our Mean Sup 1.000 and beyond in the foreseeable future.
Is it time to buy the $EUR & Why?Is it time to buy the $EUR & Why?
As we head closer to ECB - If they are Hawkish and expected to raise rates even further, expect EUR to turn further bullish. We are at a key resistance area, now remember it isn't just ECB we focus on when it comes to EUR. Take into consideration the FOMC - Source - WSJ: Federal Reserve officials are barrelling toward another interest-rate rise of 0.75 percentage point at their meeting Nov. 1-2 and are likely to debate then whether and how to signal plans to approve a smaller increase in December.
Now, yes we understand the further they hike the stronger DXY and that leads to the majors declining. However, we may have currency war at our hands we have had BOJ - intervene, even though they don't 'state' it, we've had various other countries concerned when it comes to FOMC further hikes but as they MAY slow down 75 basis points to 25 perhaps, this is easing the pressure on DXY leading the other currencies at very key areas! If we get hawkish ECB combined with this, expect euro to go back to previous levels of: 1.0500 - 1.03600.
Technically: If we stay above these levels and go above 1.0000 handle over I do expect 1.03 to come into play. However, if we drift below 0.98500- 0.97500 then we back within range.
Lastly, don't forget to trade your own trade plan!
All the best,
Trade Journal