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US Economic Data Impact: Will EURUSD Test Support zone Again?Today, key U.S. economic data was released , including GDP , Unemployment Claims , and the GDP Price Index . These data points had a direct impact on the U.S. dollar, resulting in volatility in the EURUSD pair . The weaker-than-expected GDP and lower inflation caused a temporary weakening of the USD, but the strong labor market data still supports the dollar, potentially limiting further downside for EURUSD. This was an analysis of the US economic data that was released today. ------------------------------------ EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) entered the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) again, and it seems that this move is a Pullback to the ascending channel (broken) . According to Elliott's wave theory , pullback appears to be a Zigzag corrective wave(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect EURUSD to attack the Support zone($1.039-$1.033) again, 100_SMA(4-hour) , and decline to at least the width of the broken ascending channel . Was the bullish candle the previous hour in the role of a pullback or the start of another upward trend for EURUSD? Note: If EURUSD goes over $1.049, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
11
EURUSD Near Ascending Channel’s Peak: Will It Reverse?EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) rose to the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044), as I expected in the previous idea . EURUSD is moving in the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) and near the upper line of the Ascending Channel ( the role of resistance ). According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed 5 impulsive waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect EURUSD to fall at least to the Targets I have marked on the chart . What do you think? Will EURUSD break the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) or back to test the Support zone($1.039-$1.033)? Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044), we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15
EUROUSD TRADING POINT UPDATE> READ THE CHAPTIN Buddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Euro USD Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup Euro USD breakout of MA 200 ) Now 👍 Looking start with bullish trend 📈 🚀 analysis setup update fisrt I look short 1.04918- 1.04322). That' is good buying zone ☺️) target point 1.5540) Key resistance level 1.05215 +1.05540 Key support level 1.4500 1.043222. .104107 Mr SMC Trading point Support 💫 My hard analysis setup like And Following 🤝 me that star ✨ game 🎮
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar saw a significant increase during this week's trading session after successfully breaking through our resistance levels at 1.031 and 1.039 and is now resting at the previous weekly chart analysis charts identified as a resistance level of 1.051. We expect a rally towards the next key target, the Interim Inner Currency Rally, set at 1.060. However, this upward movement could lead to a temporary retracement towards the support level at 1.041 and may challenge the next significant support level at 1.024.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD Roadmap==>>Short-term!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving near the Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and inside the Ascending Channel . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has succeeded in completing the main wave 3 above the ascending channel and is currently completing the main wave 4 . I expect EURUSD to attack the Resistance zone($1.052-$1.044) again soon, and the main wave 5 could end in this zone. What do you think? Will EURUSD break the support zone or bounce back to test the resistance zone? Note: If EURUSD can break the Support zone($1.039-$1.033), the lower line of the ascending channel, and 100_SMA(4-hour) , we should expect a further decline of this pair. Note: Donald Trump's speech and the announcement of the Unemployment Claims index can affect the EURUSD trend(Tomorrow). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 24, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is attracting buyers towards 1.04500 in the early Asian session on Friday, fuelled by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Later on Friday, preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for January in the Eurozone and Germany will be released. In the US, the flash S&P PMI for January will take centre stage. U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos led to a decline in the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies. Late on Thursday, Trump said he wants to see interest rates cut immediately and accordingly they should fall across the board. ‘The markets seem to be more concerned about lower rates and any indication that they're going to be cut’, said David Eng, an investment adviser at Sonora Wealth Group in Vancouver. Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasised on Wednesday that the central bank is ‘not too concerned’ about the risk of inflation from abroad and will continue to cut interest rates at a gradual pace. Markets have priced in a nearly 96% probability that the ECB will cut rates at its upcoming meeting. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 21, 2025 EURUSDThe Euro-Dollar pair remains in negative territory after cutting its recent losses, trading around 1.03800 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) remains under pressure amid prevailing expectations for the European Central Bank (ECB). Markets expect a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at each of the ECB's next four meetings, driven by concerns over the eurozone's economic outlook and the belief that inflationary pressures will remain subdued. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the U.S. dollar against six major currencies, rose to 108.30 at the time of writing. The US Dollar recovered from recent losses in the previous session, helped by news that President Donald Trump intends to direct federal agencies to review tariff policy and assess the United States' trade relations with Canada, Mexico and China. However, the dollar faced headwinds after Bloomberg reported that President Donald Trump will not immediately announce new tariffs after his inauguration on Monday. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep the benchmark overnight rate in a range of 4.25 percent to 4.50 percent at its January meeting. However, investors believe that Trump's policies could lead to rising inflationary pressures, which could limit the Fed to another rate cut. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.04000, if consolidated above consider Buy positions, if rebounded consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has seen a notable increase in volatility during this week's trading session after completing our significant Outer Currency Dip at 1.020. The interim rebound reached our target of the Mean Resistance at 1.030, as outlined in last week's chart analysis. We are now anticipating a retest of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, with additional extension levels at Outer Currency Dips of 1.016 and 1.005, respectively.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Longs from 1.02000 back upWhile the overall trend for EUR/USD (EU) remains bearish, the strong reaction from my marked demand zone last week has caused a Change of Character (CHOCH) to the upside. This indicates a temporary shift in momentum, and I plan to capitalize on this bullish move. My strategy is to wait for a retracement back into the 8-hour demand zone below. Once the price taps into this zone while sweeping liquidity, I’ll look for lower time frame confirmations to enter buy positions. However, if the price continues to move higher without retracing, I’ll consider potential sell opportunities from the key level at 1.04000. Confluences for EU Buys: - A CHOCH to the upside has temporarily shifted the trend. - Significant liquidity to the upside in the form of equal highs and an imbalance that needs to be filled. - A clean, unmitigated 8-hour demand zone remains below. - The DXY aligns with this counter-trend idea. - A pool of liquidity below is likely to be swept before price enters the point of interest (POI). Note: If the price breaks structure further to the upside, I’ll identify a new demand zone. For now, my primary focus remains on the 8-hour demand zone below for buys and the 6-hour supply zone above for potential sells.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
Is EURUSD Set for a Reversal? Watch the Potential Reversal ZonesThe recent release of Core PPI and PPI m/m published in lower than expected , signaling a potential decrease in inflationary pressures in the U.S. This could lead to speculation about a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, which might weaken the U.S. Dollar and provide support for other currencies, including the Euro. Let’s analyze how this data could influence the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) chart. The EURUSD is moving through a Heavy Support zone($1.036-$1.011) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main five waves (downward) , and we can expect upward waves . I expect EURUSD to start rising again from the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Uptrend line and then attack the upper Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If this zone is broken, we should wait for the EURUSD to attack the Resistance line . 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. ⚠️Note: If the EURUSD goes below the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ), EURUSD may fall further. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
8
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 16, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.0295 in the early Asian session on Thursday. Lower than expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates twice this year, putting pressure on the US Dollar. However, growing concerns over Eurozone economic growth could limit the major pair's gains. The US Dollar (USD) declined after weaker than expected US core CPI data, fuelling expectations that the Fed's easing cycle is not yet over. Markets now expect the US central bank to cut rates by 40 basis points (bps) before the end of the year, compared to around 31 bps before the inflation data was released. Across the ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates four times last year and traders expect three or four changes this year due to concerns about the Eurozone's weak economic outlook. Rising bets on further ECB interest rate cuts could undermine the euro (EUR) against the U.S. dollar in the near term. Later on Thursday, investors will be watching Germany's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for December and the ECB monetary policy meeting report. In the US, the main events will be retail sales data for December and weekly initial jobless claims. Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0260, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 13, 2025 EURUSDData from the US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) released on Friday reported that non-farm payroll employment (NFP) rose by 256k in December, exceeding market expectations of 160k and beating the revised November figure of 212k (previously reported at 227k). The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in December from 4.2% in November. Annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in average hourly earnings, fell slightly to 3.9% from 4%. US labour market data for December is likely to reinforce the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) stance on keeping interest rates unchanged in January, which will support the dollar against other currencies. Markets expect the Fed to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% at its 28-29 January meeting. In addition, traders expect four interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB), which are expected to occur at each meeting through the summer. ECB policymakers seem to be comfortable with these expectations as inflationary pressures in the Eurozone remain largely under control. The head of the ECB and the Bank of France said that interest rates will continue to move towards a neutral rate ‘without slowing down by the summer’ if upcoming data confirm that ‘the pullback in price pressures does not remain in place’. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 10, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has experienced a significant increase during this week's trading session, surpassing our initial target of Mean Resistance at 1.034. It then encountered strong resistance at a Mean Resistance of 1.043, leading to a notable pullback that brought it down to an Outer Currency Dip of 1.025 and lower. We are now looking at the next target at Outer Currency Dip 1.020, with additional extension levels at Outer Currency Dip 1.016 and 1.005, respectively. Reaching our first target, Outer Currency Dip 1.025, will likely trigger an interim rebound toward the designated level at Mean Resistance 1.030.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD: Neutrality Dominates Movements Around the 1.0250 ZoneThe U.S. dollar continues to gain ground as the Fed remains firm in slowing down rate cuts. The interest rate differential of 4.5% from the Fed versus 3.15% from the ECB remains a key reason for the market's preference for the U.S. dollar in the short term. Bearish Trend: The trend in favor of the U.S. dollar remains intact since late September 2024. So far, there are no significant breaks above 1.04091 that would threaten the current bearish formation. RSI Divergence : Lower lows in price and higher lows in the RSI indicate a bullish divergence in the short term. This suggests an imbalance in selling pressure and the potential for upward corrections. Monitoring the nearby resistance at 1.0491 is critical for these upcoming oscillations. Key Levels: 1.04091: Nearby resistance that coincides with the bearish trendline. Potential upward corrections may stall at this level. 1.02517: Main short-term support, the lowest level seen in recent months. Breaks below this price could accelerate selling pressure. 1.06031: Key resistance, the December high. Oscillations around this level could jeopardize the current bearish trend. -JP
by FOREXcom
Will History Repeat as Major Currencies Dance Toward Parity?In a dramatic shift that has captured the attention of global financial markets, the euro-dollar relationship stands at a historic crossroads, with leading institutions forecasting potential parity by 2025. This seismic development, triggered by Donald Trump's November election victory and amplified by mounting geopolitical tensions, signals more than just a currency fluctuation—it represents a fundamental realignment of global financial power dynamics. The confluence of diverging monetary policies between the U.S. and Europe and persistent economic challenges in Germany's industrial heartland has created a perfect storm in currency markets. European policymakers face the delicate task of maintaining supportive measures. At the same time, their American counterparts adopt a more cautious stance, setting the stage for what could become a defining moment in modern financial history. This potential currency convergence carries implications far beyond trading desks. It challenges traditional assumptions about economic power structures and reevaluates global investment strategies. As geopolitical tensions escalate and economic indicators paint an increasingly complex picture, market participants must navigate a landscape where historical precedents offer limited guidance. The journey toward potential parity serves as a compelling reminder that in today's interconnected financial world, currency movements reflect not just economic fundamentals but the broader forces reshaping our global order. Conclusion The current landscape presents unprecedented challenges for the EUR/USD pair, driven by economic fundamentals and geopolitical tensions. One significant concern is the potential release of sensitive footage from Israel (by the Israeli National Security Agency (NSA) from Hamas body cameras, containing graphic atrocities from the October 7th incident.), which could threaten European stability. These developments go beyond simple market dynamics and have the potential to reshape the social and political fabric of Europe. Market professionals emphasize the importance of adaptable strategies and the vigilant monitoring of key indicators. Investors must prepare for increased volatility while maintaining strong risk management frameworks. The pressure on the euro-dollar relationship is likely to persist, making strategic positioning and careful market analysis more crucial than ever in navigating these turbulent waters.
Short
by UDIS_View
Market Analysis: EUR/USD TumblesMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Tumbles EUR/USD declined from the 1.0450 resistance and traded below 1.0300. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0350 support zone. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0320 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.0450 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0350 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.0300 and tested the 1.0225 zone. A low was formed near 1.0224 and the pair recently attempted a recovery wave. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.0280 level. The pair climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0458 swing high to the 1.0224 low. The pair is now trading above 1.0285 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.0320 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0320. The next key resistance is at 1.0340. The main resistance is near the 1.0365 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0458 swing high to the 1.0224 low. A clear move above the 1.0365 level could send the pair toward the 1.0460 resistance. An upside break above 1.0460 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0500. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0280. The next key support is at 1.0225. If there is a downside break below 1.0225, the pair could drop toward 1.0200. The next support is near 1.0150, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.03600 back down?My analysis for EUR/USD (EU) this week closely mirrors my expectations for GBP/USD (GU), as both pairs share similar points of interest (POIs). I’ll be focusing on capitalizing on the bearish trend evident in the formation of lower lows and lower highs. With the recent break of structure to the downside, new supply zones have been created. I’ll be waiting for a retest of these zones to catch sell opportunities in alignment with the overall trend. Once the price sweeps liquidity and forms a clear schematic, I’ll enter sell trades targeting the demand zone below. Confluences for EU Sells: - The price has shown a Change of Character (CHOCH) and multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. - A few unmitigated supply zones remain, which are likely to be tapped. - Lots of liquidity below, alongside imbalances that need to be filled. - The Dollar Index (DXY) is bullish, strengthening the bearish case for EU through correlation. Note: If the price continues dropping, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look for counter-trend buy opportunities from a valid demand zone.
Short
by Hassan_fx
4