EUR/NZD is currently at interesting point! Breaks or NOT?Looks like EUR/NZD is about to show us something interesting. If it breaks the line -----> Bearish trend down to 1.62000 level
If it won't break the line -----> then we will see a further upward movement possibly up to 1.74000. Fundamentals are in favour of EUR!
So let's keep an eye on this lovely currency pair!
Europe
Buy DAX and hold at leat for this week?The DAX is recovering from last week's lows. The hammer confirms that the 12000 level is a strong support. The trend line shows that a shy uptrend is taking place. It will probably retrace on the 50% fibonacci level where also the 50 and 100 period EMA will function as a resistence.
EURO STOXX 50. Sell on breakdown. Target 2655This could be a large WXY flat correction.
We are in the last Y wave down.
It could be a hefty gain.
Target at 2655 level is the minimum.
I like European indexes clean charts and ideal touch points as you could see in the EURO Stoxx 50 here.
REP Breaking triangleAfter first push until previous all time high, REPEUR breaks out of triangle in a bullish way.
Based on Elliot wave counting, I expect the upward wave to hit Fib 1.618.
MACD is showing turning direction in bullish trend.
Buy target: 24 - 26.5 euro (break of previous high)
First stop: 33 euro
Second stop: 40.5 euro
Good luck.
Why The ECB Press Conference Plummeted EUR/USDThe European Central Bank had a conference where Mario Draghi, President of ECB, presented the ECB. One of his alarming statements were that the ECB has decided to cut their monthly asset purchases in half, from 60bn Euros to 30bn Euros, starting of January. With economic intuition, this enlightens Europe's inflation struggles it has had over the past few quarters. As well as Draghi's actions on APP, He has also insisted that quantitative easing is needed for ECB to reach their inflation rate target. Quantitative easing tends to looked as panic and a last resort for economies when trying to boost inflation rate; this can be shown from the massive decrease in value of the EUR/USD after this press conference where EUR/USD major support has been broken @ 1.70739. Lastly, U.S.A's GDP results are pending tomorrow and it is foretasted to be less that last month's 3.1% GDP, this month's forecast is at 2.5%.
Fuel for a EUR/USD move down/ euro retail sales down MomThe EUR/USD pair has broken down below a steep trendline. This morning, the euro area's retail sales were down .5 percent MoM. I believe this is going to fuel a move down on the pair and we can continue to see the pair trend down as the dollar strengthens and the euro area's economy slows a bit. I think we can see levels all they way down to 1.14 over the first half of the next quarter.
FXE Successful Retest and BreakoutOn the Daily chart we see a beautiful pattern.
The 113 level on FXE (EURO) has been resistance since 2015.
We've tested that area 5 times. Finally in July, we broke though, came back and retested, and now we are bouncing off of that level.
A beautiful pattern here. The base since 2015 has been forming for 2 years, so this looks like an amazing opportunity to get long the EURO via FXE.
Momentum in the RSI is in a bullish range (over 50) and it hit oversold territory in both April and July. That is NOT a bad sign, that is a GOOD sign that there are more buyers than sellers.
Target: 120, 161.8% retracement of 2016-2017 high to low
Stop: 112, under the 113 breakout level
Reward to Risk: 7:1, Amazing!
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MY TRADING METHOD:
I keep my analysis simple. Good analysis always is.
I use Price Patterns, Moving Averages, and RSI for my analysis.
I use the 1 day for trend analysis and 60 minute for trade entry
For my Targets I use Fibonacci projections + measured moves
Successful trading means proper risk sizing and trading small so you can stay in the game.